Ben Cowles — OGILVIE

Ben Cowles3B Iowa Cubs

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.3 · 2027

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .271 / .329

PA250

HR4

SB10

K%31

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

44↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-2M	-$5M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	114	101	17	5	0	3	8	57	4	1	1	.168	.257	.307	.564	.139	.333	50	7	.245	46	-7	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2022	22	A	2 teams	355	315	63	15	3	5	30	145	8	14	6	.200	.286	.314	.600	.114	.347	41	8	.266	62	-15	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2023	23	A+	2 teams	528	473	90	15	2	10	37	190	10	26	4	.190	.263	.294	.557	.104	.285	36	7	.249	49	-31	+4	+0	+2	+15	-1.0
2024	24	AA	2 teams	479	428	101	24	3	12	35	114	10	15	2	.236	.309	.390	.699	.154	.289	24	7	.308	94	-3	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.4
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	527	491	91	23	4	5	27	183	7	18	8	.185	.238	.279	.517	.094	.283	35	5	.229	33	-40	+0	+0	+2	+15	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	72	63	13	3	0	2	6	18	2	4	1	.206	.296	.349	.645	.143	.250	25	8	.289	79	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
ROS	26	MLB	CHC	178	161	34	8	1	3	12	53	3	6	2	.211	.278	.329	.608	.118	.288	30	7	.274	68	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
TOT	26	MLB	CHC	250	224	47	11	1	5	18	71	5	10	3	.210	.283	.335	.618	.125	.280	28	7	.279	71	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	CHC	336	303	66	15	2	7	25	87	5	10	3	.218	.288	.350	.638	.132	.281	26	7	.287	78	-8	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.3
2028	28	MLB 37%	CHC	364	327	72	16	2	8	28	94	6	11	3	.220	.294	.355	.648	.135	.281	26	8	.289	79	-9	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.3
2029	29	MLB 47%	CHC	373	335	74	17	2	8	29	97	6	10	3	.221	.295	.355	.650	.134	.281	26	8	.289	79	-9	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.3
2030	30	MLB 55%	CHC	378	339	75	17	2	8	30	99	6	9	2	.221	.296	.354	.650	.133	.280	26	8	.286	77	-10	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.1
2031	31	MLB 66%	CHC	369	332	71	16	2	7	29	98	5	7	2	.214	.287	.337	.624	.123	.279	27	8	.283	74	-11	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.1
2032	32	MLB 75%	CHC	354	318	68	15	2	7	28	96	5	6	1	.214	.288	.340	.627	.126	.277	27	8	.278	71	-12	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.3
2033	33	MLB 83%	CHC	326	293	61	14	1	6	25	91	5	4	1	.208	.282	.324	.606	.116	.275	28	8	.273	67	-12	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.6
2034	34	MLB 89%	CHC	284	256	51	11	1	5	22	82	4	3	0	.199	.273	.309	.582	.109	.273	29	8	.266	62	-12	+1	-5	+1	+8	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4965	4472	934	211	27	94	365	1486	84	140	38	.209	.281	.331	.612	.122	.287	30	7	.273	67	-184	+13	-20	+18	+141	-3.3
/ 162G	—			650	585	123	28	4	12	48	195	11	18	5	.210	.282	.333	.616	.123	.291	30	7	.273	67	-24	+2	-3	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	114	97	23	7	0	4	12	42	4	1	1	.237	.345	.433	.778	.196	.365	37	11	.346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	92	77	17	2	1	0	12	31	2	0	1	.221	.341	.273	.613	.052	.362	34	13	.290	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	263	225	65	16	3	7	31	72	6	14	5	.289	.389	.480	.869	.191	.395	27	12	.385	153	+16	+1	—	—	+7	2.4
2023	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	444	374	95	18	2	10	55	122	8	23	4	.254	.362	.393	.755	.139	.341	27	12	.338	117	+9	+3	—	—	+13	2.5
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	84	69	20	4	1	4	12	24	2	3	0	.290	.410	.551	.960	.261	.381	29	14	.415	176	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	395	339	97	25	3	9	41	70	9	14	2	.286	.378	.457	.835	.171	.331	18	10	.368	139	+18	+2	—	—	+11	3.1
2024	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	84	75	16	6	1	0	8	18	1	1	0	.213	.298	.320	.618	.107	.281	21	10	.283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	527	480	113	30	4	9	38	152	7	18	8	.235	.301	.371	.672	.135	.325	29	7	.301	89	-7	+0	—	—	+15	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Cowles (OGILVIE)	26	40	45	55	35	.209/.271/.329	.120	.294	4	7	31%	6%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA	25	44→47	43→45	55→50	40	.212/.271/.329	.117	.297	10	17	31%	6%	65	-0.7	.203/.266/.307	.104	.321	10	15	37%	7%	58	-1.2	.177/.247/.258	.081	.300	9	19	41%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	42→48	43→50	54→60	39	.208/.265/.327	.119	.287	10	21	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.230/.286/.372	.142	.305	14	17	28%	5%	83	+0.6	.227/.287/.366	.138	.305	13	23	28%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Narciso Crook 2021 · AAA	26	45→43	45→55	51→50	37	.220/.269/.351	.131	.313	12	12	32%	5%	70	-0.3	.214/.283/.371	.157	.316	18	14	36%	7%	82	+0.5	.199/.278/.357	.158	.302	19	15	38%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	41→46	46→50	52→55	39	.208/.257/.340	.133	.277	13	15	30%	5%	63	-0.9	.203/.249/.338	.135	.283	13	17	32%	5%	58	-1.2	.196/.242/.333	.137	.279	12	16	33%	5%	51	-1.2
✕JaCoby Jones 2018 · MLB	26	43→47	44→50	52→50	37	.210/.262/.326	.116	.316	11	16	36%	6%	60	-1.0	.218/.279/.369	.151	.302	15	14	31%	6%	79	+0.3	.222/.290/.398	.176	.297	18	13	30%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	41→45	48→50	50	40	.208/.269/.350	.142	.293	15	10	33%	7%	70	-0.3	.222/.287/.357	.135	.316	14	10	32%	7%	79	+0.3	.221/.286/.344	.123	.313	13	9	32%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→40	45	54→50	42	.196/.270/.318	.122	.273	13	15	32%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.258/.302	.109	.284	11	12	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.153/.220/.254	.100	.233	9	9	36%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	42→45	47→50	50	38	.213/.258/.351	.138	.274	15	12	28%	4%	66	-0.6	.200/.252/.324	.124	.274	13	11	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.186/.243/.304	.118	.267	13	12	34%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	42→45	44→45	50→55	43	.210/.281/.323	.113	.279	11	17	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.198/.276/.314	.116	.288	12	20	33%	8%	65	-0.7	.181/.268/.277	.096	.287	10	25	37%	9%	49	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2012 · AAA	26	44→50	42→45	55	41	.216/.271/.320	.104	.278	10	19	26%	5%	63	-0.8	.206/.257/.312	.106	.278	10	18	28%	5%	55	-1.4	.225/.289/.349	.123	.323	14	14	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	.202/.252/.327	.125	.285	14	17	34%	5%	57	-1.2	.190/.247/.303	.113	.282	13	22	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.172/.233/.265	.093	.260	10	26	36%	6%	31	-1.4
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44→43	44→40	55→50	41	.215/.277/.335	.120	.309	11	19	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.295/.313	.097	.331	7	15	34%	9%	72	-0.2	.207/.298/.290	.083	.327	6	17	34%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB	26	41→46	43→50	55→65	34	.201/.239/.316	.115	.290	9	21	33%	4%	47	-1.9	.222/.266/.359	.137	.294	13	30	28%	5%	71	-0.3	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jim Haley 2021 · AA	26	47→43	46→50	54→55	38	.235/.275/.364	.129	.302	15	17	27%	4%	76	+0.1	.198/.251/.343	.145	.286	18	19	36%	5%	62	-0.9	.202/.259/.333	.130	.275	15	22	31%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Yusniel Díaz 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	43→45	46→50	41	.202/.260/.304	.102	.284	12	11	32%	7%	54	-1.4	.227/.298/.372	.145	.290	17	12	26%	9%	89	+0.9	.238/.314/.405	.167	.291	19	8	24%	10%	101	+1.2
✕Vinny Capra 2022 · AA	26	46→48	45	51→50	41	.227/.282/.352	.125	.308	12	11	29%	6%	76	+0.0	.245/.309/.362	.117	.309	11	10	23%	8%	90	+1.0	.239/.308/.330	.092	.293	8	11	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2023 · MLB	26	42→45	46→55	54→55	40	.210/.268/.338	.128	.291	13	20	32%	6%	67	-0.5	.219/.284/.369	.150	.285	17	22	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	43	43→45	54→50	45	.214/.270/.321	.107	.271	11	17	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.232/.281/.350	.118	.283	11	10	21%	6%	75	-0.0	.255/.296/.373	.118	.310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Derrick Mitchell 2013 · AAA	26	42→46	46→50	50→55	41	.216/.264/.346	.130	.274	14	17	27%	5%	67	-0.5	.206/.261/.337	.131	.264	15	14	27%	7%	64	-0.8	.192/.254/.326	.134	.242	15	15	27%	7%	57	-0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB	27	39→41	47→55	51→50	38	.205/.249/.340	.135	.267	15	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	.206/.261/.337	.131	.289	15	12	33%	6%	63	-0.8	.187/.253/.332	.146	.269	20	12	37%	7%	57	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)