Ben Cowles — OGILVIE

Ben Cowles3B Iowa Cubs

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION254 act + 169 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .330

PA169

HR3

SB5

K%30

BB%6

BABIP293

ISO117

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	101	17	5	0	3	8	57	4	1	1	168	257	307	564	139	333	50	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	97	23	7	0	4	12	42	4	1	1	237	345	433	778	196	365	37	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	355	316	59	15	3	5	29	148	8	14	6	187	272	301	573	114	327	42	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	355	302	82	18	4	7	43	103	8	14	6	272	377	427	804	156	387	29	12	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	528	474	93	15	3	9	36	192	10	26	4	196	267	297	565	101	299	36	7	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	528	443	115	22	3	14	67	146	10	26	4	260	369	418	787	158	347	28	13	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	479	426	101	22	3	14	37	115	10	15	2	237	313	401	714	164	287	24	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	479	414	113	31	4	9	49	88	10	15	2	273	364	432	796	159	322	18	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	527	491	91	24	4	4	27	184	7	18	8	185	238	275	513	90	286	35	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	527	480	113	30	4	9	38	152	7	18	8	235	301	371	672	135	325	29	7	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	CHC	—	254	233	48	10	0	4	13	72	4	8	1	206	260	300	560	94	277	28	5	245	46	-16	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
YTD	26	AAA	CHC	—	254	227	55	12	0	5	19	60	4	8	1	242	312	361	673	119	305	24	7	301	88	-3	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
ROS	26	AAA	CHC	10%	169	154	33	7	1	3	10	50	3	5	1	214	275	330	605	117	280	30	6	258	55	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
ROS	26	MLB	CHC	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	188	235	250	485	62	281	29	6	248	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	CHC	—	271	249	51	11	0	4	14	77	4	8	1	205	258	297	556	92	276	28	5	245	46	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
TOT	26	AAA	CHC	—	423	387	81	17	1	7	23	122	7	13	2	209	266	312	578	103	283	29	5	250	50	-24	+2	+0	+2	+12	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CHC	31%	474	435	91	20	2	8	29	137	7	13	3	209	270	320	589	110	280	29	6	265	61	-21	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.5
2028	28	MLB	CHC	42%	493	452	95	20	2	9	31	141	7	13	3	210	271	323	594	113	281	29	6	268	63	-20	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
2027	27	MLB	CHC	31%	147	135	29	6	1	3	9	42	2	4	1	215	274	341	615	126	282	29	6	255	54	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	CHC	42%	207	189	41	9	1	4	13	59	3	5	1	217	278	339	617	122	282	29	6	259	56	-10	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	371	340	73	16	2	7	23	106	5	9	2	215	274	335	610	121	288	29	6	257	55	-19	+1	-0	+1	+11	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	128	28	4	12	40	186	9	16	4	215	275	336	610	121	289	29	6	257	55	-33	+2	-1	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	3139	2849	580	128	18	55	207	1024	56	105	28	204	271	319	590	115	293	33	7	261	58	-149	+10	-1	+11	+89	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	120	27	4	11	43	212	12	22	6	203	272	319	590	115	293	33	7	261	58	-31	+2	-0	+2	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	114	97	23	7	0	4	12	42	4	1	1	237	345	433	778	196	365	37	11	346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	92	77	17	2	1	0	12	31	2	0	1	221	341	273	613	52	362	34	13	290	80	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	263	225	65	16	3	7	31	72	6	14	5	289	389	480	869	191	395	27	12	385	153	+16	+1	—	—	+7	2.4
2023	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	444	374	95	18	2	10	55	122	8	23	4	254	362	393	755	139	341	27	12	338	117	+9	+3	—	—	+13	2.5
2023	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	84	69	20	4	1	4	12	24	2	3	0	290	410	551	960	261	381	29	14	415	176	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	395	339	97	25	3	9	41	70	9	14	2	286	378	457	835	171	331	18	10	368	139	+18	+2	—	—	+11	3.1
2024	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	84	75	16	6	1	0	8	18	1	1	0	213	298	320	618	107	281	21	10	283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	527	480	113	30	4	9	38	152	7	18	8	235	301	371	672	135	325	29	7	301	89	-7	+0	—	—	+15	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	380	7	10	210	268	322	+1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	12	17	210	268	322	+2.4	+0.9	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Cowles (OGILVIE)	26	40	45	55	35	209/266/312	103	283	7	13	29%	5%	50	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA	26	40→46	45→50	53→55	38	202/250/331	129	273	12	16	30%	5%	57	-1.2	200/246/330	130	284	12	17	33%	5%	55	-1.4	195/240/329	134	281	12	16	34%	5%	49	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA	26	41→43	43→45	50→55	42	206/275/317	112	280	11	19	29%	6%	65	-0.7	195/273/306	111	288	11	20	34%	8%	61	-1.0	178/266/272	94	285	10	25	38%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB	26	41→46	43→50	55→65	35	204/241/321	118	292	9	20	33%	4%	50	-1.8	219/264/352	133	289	12	31	28%	5%	68	-0.5	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→52	42→45	52→50	43	225/277/332	106	293	9	16	26%	6%	68	-0.5	208/271/306	98	297	7	15	30%	7%	59	-1.1	221/288/315	95	324	7	9	32%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Sergio Garcia 2017 · AAA	26	47	41→45	50→60	35	227/256/325	98	308	8	18	29%	4%	56	-1.3	239/271/374	135	306	15	15	26%	3%	76	+0.1	241/265/410	169	287	21	16	24%	2%	82	+0.2
✕Mycal Jones 2013 · AA	26	41→45	41→45	49→55	42	202/260/302	100	267	8	18	27%	6%	53	-1.5	215/271/304	89	279	6	22	24%	6%	59	-1.1	219/277/306	87	283	6	24	24%	6%	59	-0.7
✕J.P. Sportman 2018 · AA	26	43→44	43→45	50	38	213/250/328	115	278	11	13	28%	4%	56	-1.3	220/256/360	140	283	16	14	28%	4%	67	-0.5	218/248/369	151	271	18	17	27%	3%	63	-0.7
✕Michael O'Neill 2018 · AA	26	42	44→45	53→55	35	208/255/324	116	300	11	18	34%	4%	57	-1.2	212/262/309	97	325	9	20	36%	5%	56	-1.3	207/257/288	82	321	8	23	36%	5%	45	-1.5
✕Todd Hankins 2017 · AAA	26	41→48	42→45	53→55	38	205/251/307	103	288	10	18	32%	5%	51	-1.7	213/259/298	85	313	7	21	32%	5%	51	-1.7	213/257/278	65	319	4	26	33%	5%	42	-1.1
✕Eric Stamets 2018 · AAA	26	42→51	44→45	53→50	40	209/263/328	119	274	12	11	28%	5%	62	-0.9	201/253/309	108	280	10	14	30%	5%	53	-1.5	165/229/265	100	235	10	16	33%	6%	28	-1.3
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Bubba Starling 2019 · AAA	26	39→46	45	48→50	38	202/248/325	124	270	13	10	30%	5%	55	-1.4	222/264/345	123	299	14	11	29%	5%	66	-0.6	221/258/345	124	289	15	11	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Leury Bonilla 2011 · AA	26	46	44→45	49→50	38	222/271/342	120	313	11	12	32%	6%	69	-0.4	227/267/317	90	306	8	10	27%	5%	59	-1.1	228/266/294	66	302	6	8	26%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	41	202/264/324	122	291	11	16	33%	7%	62	-0.9	205/275/354	149	352	17	10	43%	8%	74	-0.1	176/260/344	168	320	21	7	48%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA	26	42→52	41→45	53→55	41	207/264/307	99	272	8	16	26%	6%	56	-1.3	219/275/315	96	291	8	13	26%	6%	63	-0.9	225/280/310	85	299	6	13	25%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	268	12	15	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	75	-0.0	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3