Jorel Ortega — OGILVIE

Jorel Ortega2B Wichita Wind Surge

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 194 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION181 act + 120 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†26

AVG/OBP/SLG.146 / .217 / .246

PA120

HR3

K%42

BB%7

BABIP229

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	537	476	93	24	4	10	49	195	8	27	7	195	281	326	607	130	302	36	9	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	537	456	117	34	5	14	69	133	8	27	7	257	364	445	809	189	329	25	13	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	440	396	64	11	2	13	35	150	6	11	6	162	240	298	538	136	217	34	8	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	440	385	82	13	3	10	46	110	6	11	6	213	307	340	647	127	270	25	10	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	263	238	38	5	0	7	21	98	2	9	1	160	234	269	503	109	231	37	8	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	263	229	50	7	0	8	30	67	2	9	1	218	314	354	668	135	271	25	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	MIN	—	181	166	16	1	0	3	10	88	3	7	0	96	162	157	319	60	169	49	6	158	-21	-25	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.8
YTD	25	AA	MIN	—	181	161	22	2	0	4	15	67	3	7	0	137	223	224	447	87	196	37	8	210	19	-17	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.0
ROS	25	AA	MIN	2%	120	109	16	2	0	3	9	51	1	3	1	146	217	246	463	100	240	42	7	219	26	-10	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
ROS	25	MLB	MIN	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						240	50	0	210	19	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	MIN	—	183	168	16	1	0	3	10	89	3	7	0	95	160	155	315	60	167	49	5	158	-21	-25	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.8
TOT	25	AA	MIN	—	301	275	32	3	0	6	19	139	4	10	1	116	184	192	376	76	195	46	6	182	-2	-35	+2	+0	+1	+9	-2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIN	31%	308	278	45	7	1	7	23	123	4	8	1	162	236	270	506	108	252	40	7	234	37	-22	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.1
2027	26	MLB	MIN	31%	96	88	13	2	0	2	7	38	1	2	0	148	219	239	457	91	252	40	7	226	31	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	98	90	13	2	0	2	7	39	1	2	0	144	214	233	448	89	224	40	7	225	31	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	86	13	0	13	46	259	7	13	0	144	214	231	445	87	225	40	7	225	31	-51	+3	+0	+2	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	1668	1497	256	49	7	40	137	617	21	58	16	171	250	293	543	122	254	37	8	242	44	-106	+5	+0	+6	+47	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	100	19	3	16	53	240	8	23	6	172	250	297	546	125	254	37	8	242	44	-41	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	264	227	53	12	2	8	28	69	5	10	2	233	331	410	740	176	292	26	11	328	109	+3	+1	—	—	+7	1.2
2023	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	273	229	64	22	3	6	41	64	3	17	5	279	396	480	876	201	365	23	15	389	156	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2024	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	417	364	78	13	3	10	44	102	6	11	6	214	309	349	658	135	268	24	11	299	87	-6	-0	—	—	+12	0.5
2024	23	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	23	21	4	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	190	261	190	451		308	35	9	218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	263	229	50	7	0	8	30	67	2	9	1	218	314	354	668	135	271	25	11	303	90	-3	+1	—	—	+7	0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorel Ortega (OGILVIE)	25	35	45	50	50	116/184/192	76	195	6	10	46%	6%	-2	-2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Martinson 2014 · AA	25	36→39	46→45	54→50	38	184/255/307	124	295	15	15	41%	8%	54	-1.4	186/245/294	108	295	12	14	39%	6%	45	-2.1	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	33→28	45	49→50	42	177/246/290	113	244	14	18	33%	7%	46	-2.0	206/279/324	118	280	13	12	29%	9%	68	-0.5	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Bryan Arias 2022 · AA	25	38	46→45	48→50	39	192/260/314	122	300	15	13	39%	7%	58	-1.2	190/264/289	99	300	9	14	37%	8%	53	-1.5	174/258/264	90	276	8	17	37%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	35→34	45→50	47→50	37	180/243/296	116	289	13	11	40%	7%	46	-2.0	189/248/293	104	291	9	10	36%	7%	46	-2.0	146/203/235	89	219	3	6	33%	7%	8	-1.2
✕Gift Ngoepe 2015 · AA	25	40	43→45	51→50	37	192/250/302	110	306	10	14	39%	7%	50	-1.8	208/262/322	114	317	10	8	36%	6%	59	-1.1	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	36→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/321	133	280	16	8	37%	7%	57	-1.2	201/261/333	132	277	17	6	32%	7%	63	-0.8	194/254/308	114	254	15	4	29%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Jalen Miller 2022 · AA	25	35→43	50	47→50	38	193/240/343	150	255	19	12	33%	6%	56	-1.3	208/274/348	140	284	15	15	30%	8%	72	-0.2	193/271/328	135	257	13	20	29%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	34→33	47→50	48→45	30	178/225/314	135	284	15	8	42%	4%	43	-2.2	194/265/328	134	314	15	9	40%	7%	64	-0.8	172/260/302	130	280	15	8	41%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	37	45	47→45	41	189/259/305	116	274	13	9	34%	7%	55	-1.4	197/263/332	135	295	15	9	36%	7%	63	-0.8	145/214/301	156	204	19	9	39%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Connor Lien 2019 · AA	25	34→44	45	49→55	29	165/224/282	117	311	13	15	49%	5%	34	-2.8	172/243/313	141	384	17	11	55%	7%	51	-1.7	125/210/272	147	307	19	9	61%	8%	24	-1.2
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Blake Forsythe 2014 · AA	25	36→37	45	50→30	39	184/246/308	124	280	12	4	38%	7%	50	-1.8	197/249/310	113	314	11	5	39%	6%	51	-1.7	182/235/278	96	304	10	0	42%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	37→41	45→50	51→50	38	192/249/314	122	273	13	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	201/262/346	145	307	18	11	38%	7%	67	-0.5	192/257/340	148	302	19	10	41%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	45	47→50	37	182/259/294	113	303	14	8	42%	7%	53	-1.5	208/285/315	107	351	11	13	40%	8%	69	-0.4	209/294/304	95	361	9	19	40%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0