Zach Watson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 438 | .248/.297/.468 | 21 | 24 | 50 | — | .191/.232/.335 |
| 2022 | 25 | AABowie Baysox | 364 | .199/.253/.326 | 8 | 5 | 21 | — | .163/.205/.251 |
| 2023 | 26 | AABowie Baysox | 208 | .209/.263/.396 | 8 | 11 | 35 | — | .170/.215/.294 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 68 | 60 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 299 | 450 | 749 | 233 | 222 | 19 | 9 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 197 | 183 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 246 | 282 | 497 | 779 | 251 | 287 | 29 | 4 | 333 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 241 | 217 | 54 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 65 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 249 | 309 | 442 | 752 | 194 | 304 | 27 | 6 | 325 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 364 | 331 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 123 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 199 | 253 | 326 | 579 | 127 | 284 | 34 | 5 | 255 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 187 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 209 | 263 | 396 | 659 | 187 | 248 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 68 | 62 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 239 | 387 | 626 | 210 | 190 | 25 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 197 | 188 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 197 | 226 | 356 | 582 | 160 | 262 | 36 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 241 | 221 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 88 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 186 | 237 | 317 | 554 | 131 | 246 | 37 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 364 | 338 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 151 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 163 | 205 | 251 | 457 | 89 | 258 | 41 | 4 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 194 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 69 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 170 | 215 | 294 | 508 | 124 | 223 | 33 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 68 | 62 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 239 | 387 | 626 | 210 | 186 | 25 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 68 | 60 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 299 | 450 | 749 | 233 | 222 | 19 | 9 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 409 | 77 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 158 | 7 | 24 | 6 | 188 | 230 | 337 | 567 | 149 | 259 | 36 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 438 | 400 | 99 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 122 | 7 | 24 | 6 | 247 | 297 | 468 | 764 | 220 | 297 | 28 | 5 | 329 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 364 | 338 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 151 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 163 | 205 | 251 | 457 | 89 | 269 | 41 | 4 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 364 | 331 | 66 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 123 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 199 | 253 | 326 | 579 | 127 | 284 | 34 | 5 | 255 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 194 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 69 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 170 | 215 | 294 | 508 | 124 | 230 | 33 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 187 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 209 | 263 | 396 | 659 | 187 | 248 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 68 | 63 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 239 | 381 | 620 | 206 | 190 | 25 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 413 | 77 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 158 | 7 | 24 | 6 | 186 | 230 | 334 | 564 | 148 | 253 | 36 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 364 | 343 | 55 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 151 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 160 | 205 | 248 | 453 | 87 | 258 | 41 | 4 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 208 | 195 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 69 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 169 | 215 | 292 | 507 | 123 | 223 | 33 | 4 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1078 | 1003 | 176 | 33 | 7 | 27 | 41 | 395 | 15 | 40 | 8 | 175 | 219 | 303 | 522 | 128 | 251 | 37 | 4 | 224 | 38 | -80 | +5 | +0 | +4 | +23 | -4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 25 | 238 | 9 | 24 | 5 | 175 | 219 | 301 | 520 | 126 | 251 | 37 | 4 | 224 | 38 | -48 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABowie Baysox · 208 PAwOBA .280 → .220 (−60)K% 26.9% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.03% | ÷0.965 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.046 | ×0.860 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.998 | ×0.950 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.11% | ÷1.208 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.90% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .280 → .220; ISO .187 → .127; BABIP .248 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABowie Baysox · 364 PAwOBA .251 → .199 (−52)K% 33.8% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.79% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 19.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.055 | ×0.860 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.170 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .251 → .199; ISO .127 → .090; BABIP .284 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 241 PAwOBA .323 → .239 (−84)K% 27.0% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.97% | ÷1.002 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.81% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 18.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 4.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .323 → .239; ISO .194 → .137; BABIP .304 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABowie Baysox · 197 PAwOBA .325 → .246 (−78)K% 28.9% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.93% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.06% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷0.995 | ×0.870 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.258 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.97% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .325 → .246; ISO .251 → .164; BABIP .287 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 68 PAwOBA .321 → .258 (−63)K% 19.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.12% | ÷1.013 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.033 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | — | — | 9.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷1.013 | ×0.820 | — | — | 8.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.940 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.931 | ×0.820 | — | — | 5.62% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .258; ISO .233 → .196; BABIP .222 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).