C.J. Stubbs — OGILVIE

C.J. StubbsC Buffalo Bisons

Age 29 R/R 6'2" / 207 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 153 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .257 / .287

PA153

HR4

K%41

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO118

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

Bat Spd

7874.3

EYE55

Chase%

4233.3%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	62	59	15	3	0	3	2	20	1	2	2	254	290	458	748	203	333	32	3	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	62	58	19	5	0	4	3	15	1	2	2	328	371	621	992	293	385	24	5	429	187	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	377	348	49	10	2	6	22	180	5	8	6	141	203	233	435	92	262	48	6	200	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	2 teams	—	377	337	74	18	3	12	33	131	5	8	6	220	299	398	696	178	316	35	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+	2 teams	—	325	284	32	3	1	12	28	193	10	14	2	113	217	257	474	144	244	59	9	215	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+	2 teams	—	325	271	58	7	2	21	41	128	10	14	2	214	339	487	826	273	296	39	13	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	370	330	49	14	0	8	28	155	12	15	5	148	241	264	504	115	246	42	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	370	316	62	16	0	14	42	132	12	15	5	196	314	380	693	184	282	36	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	300	263	38	10	0	7	22	139	13	4	0	144	245	262	507	118	263	46	7	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	300	251	47	13	0	8	34	109	13	4	0	187	315	335	650	147	289	36	11	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	2 teams	—	266	234	32	6	1	7	21	120	10	4	2	137	238	261	498	124	231	45	8	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	2 teams	—	266	225	38	7	1	8	30	97	10	4	2	169	294	316	610	147	248	36	11	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	TOR	—	97	88	16	1	0	3	8	39	0	1	0	182	250	295	545	114	277	40	8	250	49	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	29	AAA	TOR	—	97	85	20	2	0	4	11	32	0	1	0	235	323	400	723	165	320	33	11	322	105	+1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
ROS	29	AAA	TOR	10%	153	136	23	4	0	4	12	62	4	2	1	169	257	287	543	118	271	41	8	250	50	-9	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.2
ROS	29	MLB	TOR	10%	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	71	133	71	205		272	40	7	232	36	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	AAA	TOR	—	112	102	17	1	0	3	9	45	0	1	0	167	234	265	499	98	255	40	8	247	47	-7	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	29	AAA	TOR	—	250	224	39	5	0	7	20	101	4	3	1	174	254	290	544	116	271	40	8	250	50	-14	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TOR	27%	287	255	46	9	1	7	23	113	7	4	1	180	267	306	573	125	276	39	8	257	55	-15	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.3
2028	31	MLB	TOR	37%	283	253	46	9	1	7	22	109	6	3	1	182	263	308	572	126	275	39	8	258	55	-14	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.4
2027	30	MLB	TOR	27%	78	70	12	2	0	2	6	31	2	1	0	171	256	286	542	114	277	40	8	240	42	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	TOR	37%	106	95	17	3	0	3	8	41	2	1	0	179	257	305	562	126	276	39	8	242	43	-7	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	199	179	30	5	0	5	15	78	4	2	0	168	247	279	527	112	258	39	8	240	42	-13	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	97	16	0	16	49	255	13	7	0	166	246	275	521	109	256	39	8	240	42	-42	+1	-6	+12	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	2423	2162	330	68	6	61	180	1091	68	56	20	153	240	274	514	122	264	45	7	231	35	-177	+3	-5	+43	+69	-6.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	88	18	2	16	48	293	18	15	5	152	238	272	511	121	263	45	7	231	35	-48	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	22	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	62	58	19	5	0	4	3	15	1	2	2	328	371	621	992	293	385	24	5	429	187	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	97	84	16	3	0	0	10	27	3	2	2	190	299	226	525	36	281	28	10	256	54	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2021	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	280	253	58	15	3	12	23	104	2	6	4	229	299	455	753	225	331	37	8	328	109	+3	-0	—	—	+8	1.1
2022	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	158	133	28	2	2	11	17	60	6	8	1	211	327	504	831	293	266	38	11	359	133	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	25	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	167	138	30	5	0	10	24	68	4	6	1	217	349	471	820	254	328	41	14	362	135	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	370	316	62	16	0	14	42	132	12	15	5	196	314	380	693	184	282	36	11	316	100	-0	+1	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	31	22	4	3	0	0	7	12	2	0	0	182	419	318	738	136	400	39	23	358	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	269	229	43	10	0	8	27	97	11	4	0	188	303	336	640	148	280	36	10	294	83	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2025	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	110	91	19	3	1	6	11	35	7	2	1	209	339	462	801	253	255	32	10	354	129	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	28	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	156	134	19	4	0	2	19	62	3	2	1	142	263	216	479	75	243	40	12	234	37	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	209	5	3	177	260	300	+4	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	16	8	177	260	300	+11.9	+0.1	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
C.J. Stubbs (OGILVIE)	29	20	30	45	55	174/254/290	116	271	7	3	40%	8%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gift Ngoepe 2019 · MLB	29	40	43→45	45→50	40	191/261/300	110	318	10	7	41%	8%	54	-1.4	198/267/326	128	355	14	10	44%	8%	63	-0.8	149/225/281	131	281	18	8	50%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	38	40	47→55	43	190/255/276	86	266	8	13	31%	7%	45	-2.1	197/261/293	96	305	9	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	152/225/219	67	257	5	5	40%	6%	15	-1.2
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	35	45→50	41→40	36	177/242/301	123	297	14	4	43%	7%	46	-2.0	183/247/291	108	339	11	6	46%	7%	46	-2.0	134/201/208	74	269	8	0	50%	7%	2	-2.0
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA	28	36→39	44→45	52→50	33	180/234/290	111	293	11	12	41%	5%	40	-2.4	187/243/302	115	314	13	8	42%	6%	46	-2.0	144/202/234	90	248	12	0	45%	6%	8	-1.6
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA	28	33→35	47→45	48→45	37	179/239/309	130	273	16	9	39%	6%	47	-1.9	192/249/336	144	283	19	8	38%	6%	59	-1.1	158/218/302	144	215	22	0	38%	6%	36	-1.3
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB	30	35	45→40	43→30	41	183/249/298	115	253	13	4	32%	7%	49	-1.8	202/270/308	106	281	11	4	30%	8%	60	-1.0	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	43→45	48→40	36	208/251/319	110	295	10	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	235/274/338	103	323	9	5	29%	4%	69	-0.4	241/277/335	94	316	8	2	25%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→50	48→55	41	179/241/285	105	253	11	13	33%	7%	42	-2.3	189/249/278	89	270	8	15	31%	7%	43	-2.2	160/223/224	65	230	5	19	31%	6%	16	-2.0
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→41	49→50	46→50	41	187/265/334	147	282	18	7	38%	8%	66	-0.6	188/258/303	115	312	13	8	41%	8%	54	-1.4	165/233/253	88	291	10	8	44%	7%	27	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	29	37→30	45→50	44→30	32	192/228/312	120	283	14	4	37%	4%	43	-2.2	175/210/263	88	298	9	4	43%	4%	21	-3.7	141/173/210	69	263	8	1	48%	3%	-11	-2.1
✕Joseph Odom 2021 · MLB	29	43	43→45	45→30	37	210/258/316	106	312	11	4	35%	6%	56	-1.3	208/269/333	125	371	13	6	44%	7%	66	-0.6	187/254/320	133	362	13	3	48%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	47→45	43→40	42	182/256/313	130	250	17	5	33%	8%	56	-1.3	211/279/332	121	284	13	7	29%	8%	70	-0.3	205/282/307	102	267	11	0	26%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	36→46	44→45	43→40	45	184/268/299	115	267	12	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	201/279/314	113	329	11	6	39%	9%	66	-0.6	187/275/287	100	323	9	0	41%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	42	44→45	47→30	39	204/267/318	114	313	12	4	37%	7%	61	-1.0	195/258/307	112	367	12	6	46%	7%	54	-1.4	163/224/271	109	316	15	3	50%	7%	29	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	45→40	49→50	41	181/280/304	124	295	12	16	39%	8%	66	-0.6	190/278/289	99	315	8	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	152/249/216	63	282	3	16	42%	8%	27	-1.6
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	196/259/308	112	257	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	213/261/333	120	273	13	5	26%	6%	62	-0.9	210/254/324	114	266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	42	40→30	48→45	38	203/255/293	90	292	7	9	32%	5%	49	-1.8	218/289/294	76	280	5	8	22%	7%	64	-0.8	205/285/239	34	267	0	2	21%	7%	45	-0.8