C.J. StubbsC
Buffalo Bisons
Age 29
R/R
6'2" / 207 lbs
AAA
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†38
AVG/OBP/SLG.159 / .252 / .278
PA250
HR6
K%44
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
47↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-10M | $-10M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 62 | 59 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .254 | .290 | .458 | .748 | .203 | .324 | 31 | 3 | .325 | 107 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 377 | 348 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 179 | 5 | 8 | 6 | .144 | .205 | .244 | .450 | .101 | .262 | 47 | 6 | .202 | 13 | -37 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -2.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | 2 teams | 325 | 285 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 178 | 10 | 14 | 2 | .133 | .233 | .312 | .545 | .179 | .242 | 55 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -22 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 370 | 329 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 166 | 12 | 15 | 5 | .140 | .235 | .258 | .493 | .119 | .240 | 45 | 8 | .224 | 30 | -29 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 300 | 262 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 139 | 13 | 4 | 0 | .145 | .248 | .252 | .500 | .107 | .271 | 46 | 8 | .229 | 33 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | 2 teams | 266 | 234 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 121 | 10 | 4 | 2 | .132 | .234 | .252 | .486 | .120 | .224 | 45 | 8 | .220 | 26 | -22 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 24 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .087 | .125 | .087 | .212 | .000 | .222 | 58 | 4 | .124 | -47 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TOR | 226 | 199 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 100 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .156 | .250 | .266 | .516 | .111 | .279 | 44 | 8 | .247 | 47 | -13 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +6 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 29 | MLB | TOR | 250 | 222 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 114 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .149 | .238 | .248 | .486 | .099 | .269 | 46 | 8 | .235 | 38 | -17 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | TOR | 287 | 254 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 122 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .169 | .260 | .295 | .555 | .126 | .279 | 43 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -16 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | TOR | 283 | 250 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 117 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .172 | .263 | .300 | .563 | .128 | .279 | 41 | 8 | .254 | 52 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | TOR | 268 | 237 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 110 | 7 | 2 | 0 | .173 | .263 | .295 | .559 | .122 | .278 | 41 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -15 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | TOR | 239 | 212 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 98 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .165 | .253 | .278 | .531 | .113 | .276 | 41 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | TOR | 198 | 175 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 83 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .160 | .250 | .263 | .513 | .103 | .274 | 42 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3201 | 2844 | 439 | 91 | 8 | 81 | 245 | 1432 | 92 | 61 | 20 | .154 | .244 | .277 | .521 | .123 | .266 | 45 | 8 | .237 | 40 | -218 | +4 | -13 | +57 | +91 | -8.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 291 | 19 | 12 | 4 | .154 | .245 | .275 | .520 | .121 | .266 | 45 | 8 | .237 | 40 | -44 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 62 | 58 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .328 | .371 | .621 | .992 | .293 | .385 | 24 | 5 | .429 | 187 | +6 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 97 | 84 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .190 | .299 | .226 | .525 | .036 | .281 | 28 | 10 | .256 | 54 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 280 | 253 | 58 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 104 | 2 | 6 | 4 | .229 | .299 | .455 | .753 | .225 | .331 | 37 | 8 | .328 | 109 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 158 | 133 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 60 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .211 | .327 | .504 | .831 | .293 | .266 | 38 | 11 | .359 | 133 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 167 | 138 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 68 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .217 | .349 | .471 | .820 | .254 | .328 | 41 | 14 | .362 | 135 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 370 | 316 | 62 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 132 | 12 | 15 | 5 | .196 | .314 | .380 | .693 | .184 | .282 | 36 | 11 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 31 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .419 | .318 | .738 | .136 | .400 | 39 | 23 | .358 | 132 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 269 | 229 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 97 | 11 | 4 | 0 | .188 | .303 | .336 | .640 | .148 | .280 | 36 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 110 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .209 | .339 | .462 | .801 | .253 | .255 | 32 | 10 | .354 | 129 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 156 | 134 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .142 | .263 | .216 | .479 | .075 | .243 | 40 | 12 | .234 | 37 | -11 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| C.J. Stubbs (OGILVIE) | 29 | 20 | 30 | 45 | 55 | .159/.252/.278 | .119 | .279 | 6 | 4 | 44% | 8% | 47 | -0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2019 · MLB |
29 | 39→42 | 42→45 | 45→50 | 38 | .187/.253/.295 | .107 | .312 | 10 | 7 | 41% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .193/.261/.311 | .118 | .350 | 12 | 10 | 44% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .150/.222/.265 | .115 | .287 | 14 | 8 | 50% | 8% | 27 | -1.0 |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA |
29 | 40 | 40 | 47→55 | 44 | .195/.262/.284 | .089 | .273 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .197/.263/.291 | .094 | .306 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .156/.228/.224 | .068 | .265 | 5 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 17 | -1.2 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA |
29 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .194/.247/.308 | .114 | .270 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.255/.324 | .126 | .283 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Joseph Odom 2021 · MLB |
29 | 41 | 41→45 | 45→30 | 37 | .200/.249/.295 | .095 | .302 | 9 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .200/.263/.319 | .119 | .360 | 13 | 6 | 44% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .171/.242/.298 | .127 | .335 | 15 | 3 | 50% | 7% | 43 | -0.6 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 40 | .200/.262/.313 | .113 | .299 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.259/.307 | .112 | .360 | 12 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .163/.227/.268 | .105 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 51% | 7% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA |
30 | 37 | 44→50 | 42→40 | 37 | .183/.248/.296 | .114 | .298 | 11 | 4 | 40% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .180/.244/.281 | .101 | .329 | 10 | 5 | 45% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .132/.201/.198 | .066 | .266 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 8% | 0 | -2.0 |
|
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA |
28 | 34→35 | 47→45 | 48→45 | 37 | .181/.241/.311 | .129 | .276 | 16 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .189/.246/.332 | .143 | .280 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.218/.302 | .144 | .215 | 22 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -1.3 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Kevin Cash 2008 · MLB |
30 | 36 | 45→40 | 43→30 | 40 | .187/.252/.308 | .120 | .258 | 14 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .201/.270/.307 | .106 | .280 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.267/.274 | .080 | .265 | 9 | 0 | 29% | 9% | 45 | -0.5 |
|
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2015 · AAA |
29 | 36→30 | 45→50 | 44→30 | 32 | .189/.225/.306 | .117 | .277 | 14 | 4 | 37% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .177/.213/.268 | .091 | .293 | 9 | 4 | 41% | 4% | 24 | -3.5 | .142/.176/.217 | .075 | .259 | 9 | 1 | 48% | 3% | -7 | -2.0 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB |
30 | 37→40 | 46→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .188/.262/.313 | .125 | .291 | 14 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .194/.263/.307 | .113 | .327 | 12 | 10 | 41% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .169/.240/.260 | .091 | .301 | 11 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 32 | -1.5 |
|
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA |
28 | 35→41 | 45→50 | 49→55 | 40 | .183/.244/.299 | .117 | .258 | 13 | 14 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .185/.247/.272 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .158/.224/.222 | .065 | .226 | 5 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 16 | -2.0 |
|
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA |
28 | 41 | 39→30 | 47→45 | 38 | .200/.251/.285 | .084 | .287 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .218/.292/.290 | .072 | .281 | 5 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .204/.288/.235 | .031 | .267 | 0 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA |
29 | 42 | 43→45 | 48→40 | 37 | .209/.250/.322 | .113 | .287 | 11 | 4 | 31% | 4% | 54 | -1.4 | .231/.271/.334 | .103 | .320 | 8 | 5 | 29% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.274/.333 | .095 | .312 | 8 | 2 | 25% | 4% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA |
28 | 34 | 47→45 | 43→40 | 42 | .182/.258/.310 | .127 | .254 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.277/.329 | .120 | .281 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .205/.282/.307 | .102 | .267 | 11 | 0 | 26% | 8% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dusty Coleman 2016 · AAA |
29 | 41→43 | 43→50 | 49→50 | 35 | .196/.254/.306 | .109 | .319 | 10 | 14 | 40% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.242/.321 | .131 | .308 | 14 | 14 | 41% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .153/.206/.287 | .134 | .262 | 15 | 13 | 46% | 5% | 26 | -1.9 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→36 | 43→45 | 49→40 | 35 | .186/.243/.299 | .112 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 41% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .192/.271/.300 | .108 | .306 | 9 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .176/.270/.275 | .099 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 35% | 10% | 49 | -1.3 |
|
✕Dayton Buller 2011 · AAA |
30 | 42 | 42→45 | 45→40 | 39 | .205/.262/.314 | .109 | .306 | 9 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.253/.291 | .093 | .314 | 7 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .198/.249/.323 | .125 | .296 | 12 | 0 | 36% | 6% | 50 | -0.3 |