Mark Kolozsvary
C Clearwater Threshers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAABOS | 83 | .185/.354/.354 | 3 | 2 | 57 | — | .145/.280/.261 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA/AABOS | 107 | .253/.336/.495 | 5 | 1 | 63 | — | .190/.252/.341 |
| 2026 | 30 | AA/A+/APHI | 78 | .185/.436/.370 | 3 | 1 | 70 | — | .147/.333/.311 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 31 | MLBPHI | 200 | .202/.282/.333 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ22% MLB | 32 | MLBPHI | 23 | .200/.279/.331 | 1 | 0 | 71 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | — | 105 | 95 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 365 | 411 | 776 | 105 | 431 | 29 | 8 | 347 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | — | 310 | 275 | 62 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 311 | 324 | 634 | 98 | 299 | 25 | 8 | 292 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 300 | 29 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 291 | 234 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 188 | 343 | 321 | 663 | 132 | 252 | 27 | 13 | 312 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 67 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 299 | 310 | 609 | 121 | 294 | 34 | 4 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 170 | 146 | 34 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 341 | 438 | 780 | 205 | 322 | 31 | 12 | 349 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 238 | 450 | 688 | 250 | 300 | 43 | 5 | 298 | 83 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 142 | 119 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 293 | 294 | 587 | 126 | 236 | 31 | 9 | 274 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 400 | 100 | 500 | 167 | 27 | 27 | 295 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 91 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 253 | 305 | 558 | 134 | 229 | 34 | 7 | 257 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 421 | 671 | 211 | 300 | 40 | 5 | 294 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 354 | 354 | 708 | 169 | 243 | 31 | 13 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 24 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 500 | 727 | 1.227 | 273 | 500 | 12 | 8 | 532 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 83 | 73 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 289 | 425 | 714 | 233 | 227 | 30 | 11 | 317 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 24 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 375 | 118 | 493 | 250 | 38 | 25 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 30 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 19 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 579 | 833 | 1.412 | 500 | 500 | 32 | 37 | 571 | 186 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 35 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 400 | 320 | 720 | 160 | 333 | 43 | 20 | 350 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 238 | 450 | 688 | 250 | 300 | 43 | 5 | 298 | 88 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +0 | 0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 105 | 98 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 240 | 265 | 506 | 71 | 319 | 41 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 310 | 284 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 105 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 169 | 236 | 239 | 476 | 70 | 257 | 34 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 291 | 244 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 112 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 135 | 270 | 225 | 495 | 90 | 219 | 38 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 67 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 269 | 288 | 557 | 119 | 277 | 43 | 3 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 170 | 151 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 271 | 331 | 602 | 152 | 253 | 36 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 238 | 450 | 688 | 250 | 300 | 43 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +0 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 142 | 123 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 236 | 220 | 455 | 89 | 204 | 39 | 6 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 333 | 91 | 424 | 150 | 33 | 20 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 91 | 84 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 119 | 187 | 202 | 389 | 83 | 191 | 42 | 4 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 421 | 671 | 211 | 264 | 50 | 5 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 69 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 145 | 280 | 261 | 541 | 116 | 208 | 37 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 24 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 565 | 940 | 217 | 413 | 17 | 4 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 83 | 76 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 217 | 276 | 493 | 132 | 192 | 37 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 24 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 292 | 105 | 397 | 228 | 46 | 17 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 30 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 19 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 421 | 667 | 1.088 | 400 | 376 | 42 | 21 | 443 | 186 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 35 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 314 | 259 | 574 | 148 | 271 | 57 | 14 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 105 | 98 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 240 | 265 | 506 | 71 | 327 | 41 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK RAW | Billings Mustangs | — | 105 | 95 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 365 | 411 | 776 | 105 | 431 | 29 | 8 | 347 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 313 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 116 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 173 | 245 | 243 | 488 | 70 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 344 | 305 | 68 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 223 | 309 | 318 | 627 | 95 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 291 | 244 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 112 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 135 | 270 | 225 | 495 | 90 | 225 | 38 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 291 | 234 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 188 | 343 | 321 | 663 | 132 | 252 | 27 | 13 | 312 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 210 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 262 | 295 | 557 | 129 | 263 | 38 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 204 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 329 | 402 | 731 | 181 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 331 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 178 | 155 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 69 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 233 | 213 | 446 | 84 | 214 | 39 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 178 | 149 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 295 | 302 | 597 | 134 | 239 | 32 | 10 | 278 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 111 | 103 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 126 | 189 | 204 | 393 | 78 | 208 | 43 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 111 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 252 | 327 | 579 | 149 | 241 | 35 | 6 | 263 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 69 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 145 | 280 | 261 | 541 | 116 | 216 | 37 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 354 | 354 | 708 | 169 | 243 | 31 | 13 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 99 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 252 | 343 | 596 | 152 | 262 | 33 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 107 | 95 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 336 | 495 | 831 | 242 | 306 | 26 | 10 | 365 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 78 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 321 | 306 | 627 | 161 | 300 | 50 | 15 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 78 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 436 | 370 | 806 | 185 | 333 | 38 | 26 | 383 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Billings Mustangs | — | 105 | 98 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 240 | 265 | 506 | 71 | 319 | 41 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 311 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 116 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 245 | 244 | 489 | 71 | 257 | 34 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 291 | 244 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 112 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 135 | 270 | 225 | 495 | 90 | 219 | 38 | 10 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 208 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 91 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 262 | 298 | 560 | 130 | 260 | 38 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 178 | 155 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 69 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 233 | 213 | 446 | 84 | 211 | 39 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 111 | 102 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 127 | 189 | 206 | 395 | 78 | 204 | 43 | 5 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 280 | 257 | 538 | 114 | 208 | 37 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 98 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 252 | 347 | 599 | 153 | 242 | 33 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 78 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 321 | 306 | 627 | 161 | 283 | 50 | 15 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 83 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 143 | 280 | 257 | 538 | 114 | 208 | 37 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 98 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 252 | 347 | 599 | 153 | 242 | 33 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 78 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 321 | 306 | 627 | 161 | 283 | 50 | 15 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 200 | 178 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 282 | 333 | 615 | 132 | 264 | 29 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +4 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | PHI | 22% | 105 | 93 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 277 | 324 | 602 | 126 | 262 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | PHI | 22% | 23 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 279 | 331 | 610 | 131 | 262 | 30 | 9 | 276 | 71 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 273 | 439 | 712 | 220 | 304 | 36 | 7 | 286 | 45 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +1 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 606 | 133 | 44 | 0 | 30 | 44 | 236 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 272 | 441 | 713 | 221 | 303 | 36 | 7 | 286 | 45 | -16 | +0 | -20 | +53 | +14 | 3.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1763 | 1557 | 252 | 62 | 4 | 29 | 129 | 650 | 68 | 12 | 5 | 162 | 256 | 263 | 519 | 101 | 252 | 37 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +5 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 93 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 240 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 162 | 257 | 263 | 520 | 101 | 252 | 37 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -20 | +1 | -11 | +19 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AClearwater Threshers · 35 PAwOBA .343 → .225 (−118)K% 42.9% → 58.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 58.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 12.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 6.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 17.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 7.52% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .343 → .225; ISO .160 → .095; BABIP .333 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 24 PAwOBA .276 → .207 (−69)K% 37.5% → 45.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 16.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 3.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .207; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 19 PAwOBA .558 → .443 (−114)K% 31.6% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 36.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.940 | 20.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 27.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.940 | 27.57% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .558 → .443; ISO .500 → .496; BABIP .500 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 83 PAwOBA .308 → .217 (−91)K% 30.1% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.12% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.84% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷0.962 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 10.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷1.109 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.141 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.119 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 5.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 92, 2B 122, 3B 128, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .308 → .217; ISO .233 → .151; BABIP .227 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 24 PAwOBA .517 → .412 (−105)K% 12.5% → 14.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.042 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.060 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 26.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 12.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .517 → .412; ISO .273 → .207; BABIP .500 → .413. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 83 PAwOBA .324 → .252 (−72)K% 31.3% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.33% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.25% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 6.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.951 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.143 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 5.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .324 → .252; ISO .169 → .123; BABIP .243 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 91 PAwOBA .250 → .179 (−71)K% 34.1% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.07% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 16.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.341 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .250 → .179; ISO .134 → .081; BABIP .229 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABowie Baysox · 20 PAwOBA .285 → .193 (−92)K% 40.0% → 49.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 49.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.965 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.968 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.046 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.208 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 5.68% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .285 → .193; ISO .211 → .121; BABIP .300 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).