Edwin Díaz — OGILVIE

Edwin DíazSS Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 223 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 179 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .271 / .350

PA179

HR6

K%33

BB%8

BABIP260

ISO156

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	98	95	16	4	1	1	2	36	0	1	1	168	186	263	449	95	254	37	2	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	98	92	22	6	1	1	5	25	0	1	1	239	278	359	637	120	313	26	5	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	2 teams	—	201	179	29	9	1	1	12	66	7	2	1	162	242	240	483	78	248	33	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	2 teams	—	201	172	38	13	1	1	19	51	7	2	1	221	323	326	649	105	306	25	9	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	2 teams	—	239	221	18	6	0	1	11	100	3	0	0	81	136	122	258	41	139	42	5	124	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	2 teams	—	239	216	27	10	0	2	16	71	3	0	0	125	196	199	395	74	172	30	7	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	2 teams	—	370	336	57	12	0	4	16	152	8	5	2	170	225	241	466	71	288	41	4	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	2 teams	—	370	322	73	13	0	5	30	107	8	5	2	227	308	314	622	87	318	29	8	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	3 teams	—	461	418	71	9	5	8	32	157	4	0	0	170	236	273	508	103	245	34	7	220	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	3 teams	—	461	399	94	17	4	12	51	123	4	0	0	236	328	388	717	153	306	27	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	3 teams	—	540	485	78	22	0	11	37	215	6	4	1	161	229	274	503	113	251	40	7	219	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	3 teams	—	540	470	102	27	1	16	52	150	6	4	1	217	303	381	684	164	276	28	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	637	581	92	24	5	15	42	271	9	4	2	158	226	294	521	136	258	43	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	637	566	129	43	8	16	57	187	9	4	2	228	309	417	726	189	309	29	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	71	64	13	3	0	4	5	28	2	0	0	203	282	438	719	234	281	39	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	71	64	13	3	0	4	5	28	2	0	0	203	282	438	719	234	281	39	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	333	305	46	7	0	15	20	160	8	2	1	151	222	321	544	170	238	48	6	225	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	333	292	56	11	0	15	33	121	8	2	1	192	291	384	675	192	263	36	10	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	3 teams	—	511	468	65	9	3	15	27	261	10	3	0	139	202	267	469	128	254	51	5	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	3 teams	—	511	440	91	13	2	21	55	151	10	3	0	207	309	389	698	182	256	30	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	2 teams	—	187	169	11	2	4	5	10	96	7	0	2	65	151	213	364	148	87	51	5	142	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	2 teams	—	187	150	30	7	1	6	29	51	7	0	2	200	355	380	735	180	255	27	16	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	177	147	35	8	1	9	20	37	8	4	4	238	360	490	850	252	255	21	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	177	147	35	8	1	9	20	37	8	4	4	238	360	490	850	252	255	21	11	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	588	520	98	25	0	21	47	182	16	9	4	188	276	358	634	169	239	31	8	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	588	489	113	25	1	20	78	125	16	9	4	231	355	409	764	178	266	21	13	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	HOU	—	71	60	6	1	0	2	6	39	2	1	0	100	206	217	423	117	182	55	8	200	11	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
YTD	30	AAA	HOU	—	71	57	8	1	0	3	9	29	2	1	0	140	279	316	595	175	179	41	13	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	30	AAA	HOU	10%	179	160	31	7	0	6	14	59	3	3	1	194	271	350	621	156	257	33	8	280	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
ROS	30	MLB	HOU	10%	18	17	4	1	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	235	278	471	748	235	260	33	6	271	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	HOU	—	89	77	10	2	0	3	7	45	2	1	0	130	221	273	494	143	219	51	8	215	22	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
TOT	30	AAA	HOU	—	250	220	37	8	0	8	20	98	5	4	1	168	253	314	567	145	246	39	8	257	55	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	HOU	33%	278	250	49	10	1	9	22	89	4	3	1	196	272	352	624	156	259	32	8	281	73	-8	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.0
2027	31	MLB	HOU	33%	91	83	15	3	0	3	7	29	1	1	0	181	253	325	578	145	262	32	8	274	68	-3	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	109	100	19	4	0	4	8	35	1	1	0	190	257	350	607	160	246	32	7	273	67	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	114	24	0	24	48	209	6	6	0	191	258	352	611	161	248	32	7	273	67	-24	+1	-5	+7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4870	4398	709	157	21	125	317	1909	95	40	20	161	233	292	525	131	243	39	7	210	19	-447	+0	-3	+52	+138	-26.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	95	21	3	17	42	255	13	5	3	162	234	295	528	133	244	39	6	210	19	-60	-0	-0	+7	+18	-3.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	98	92	22	6	1	1	5	25	0	1	1	239	278	359	637	120	313	26	5	281	73	-3	-0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2014	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	170	145	35	12	1	1	17	39	6	2	0	241	345	359	704	117	321	23	10	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2014	18	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	31	27	3	1	0	0	2	12	1	0	1	111	200	148	348	37	200	39	6	169	-13	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2015	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	154	140	14	8	0	0	8	49	2	0	0	100	160	157	317	57	151	32	5	148	-29	-22	+0	—	—	+4	-1.8
2015	19	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	85	76	13	2	0	2	8	22	1	0	0	171	259	276	535	105	212	26	9	249	49	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2016	20	A	Beloit Snappers	—	340	296	70	13	0	5	26	101	8	4	2	236	315	331	646	95	335	30	8	289	79	-8	+0	—	—	+10	0.2
2016	20	INTL	Tiburones de Aguadilla	—	30	26	3	0	0	0	4	6	0	1	0	115	233	115	349		150	20	13	184	-1	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	21	A+	Stockton Ports	—	51	45	4	0	1	0	4	15	0	0	0	89	163	133	297	44	129	29	8	140	-35	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2017	21	A	Beloit Snappers	—	351	302	77	12	3	10	43	91	2	0	0	255	352	414	765	159	330	26	12	341	119	+7	+0	—	—	+10	1.8
2017	21	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	59	52	13	5	0	2	4	17	2	0	0	250	328	462	789	212	324	29	7	344	121	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	116	103	16	4	0	2	8	32	0	1	0	155	216	252	469	97	192	28	7	206	16	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2018	22	A+	Stockton Ports	—	344	296	70	19	0	13	39	98	3	3	0	236	331	432	764	196	303	28	11	335	115	+6	+1	—	—	+10	1.6
2018	22	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	80	71	16	4	1	1	5	20	3	0	1	225	304	352	656	127	294	25	6	295	84	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	520	458	109	36	7	14	48	153	9	3	1	238	322	439	761	201	323	29	9	334	114	+8	+0	—	—	+15	2.4
2019	23	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	117	108	20	7	1	2	9	34	0	1	1	185	248	324	572	139	250	29	8	257	55	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2020	24	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	71	64	13	3	0	4	5	28	2	0	0	203	282	438	719	234	281	39	7	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	61	54	6	0	0	2	7	26	0	0	0	111	213	222	435	111	154	43	11	208	17	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2021	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	160	144	35	7	0	7	14	56	2	1	0	243	319	438	756	194	346	35	9	336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2021	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	112	94	15	4	0	6	12	39	6	1	1	160	295	394	688	234	184	35	11	312	97	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	120	110	25	5	1	3	8	46	0	0	0	227	280	373	652	145	355	38	7	286	77	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	26	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	169	149	25	2	1	9	17	60	1	2	0	168	257	376	633	208	195	36	10	280	72	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2022	26	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	222	181	41	6	0	9	30	45	9	1	0	227	364	409	772	182	248	20	14	349	125	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.3
2023	27	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	48	44	4	1	1	2	4	19	0	0	0	91	167	295	462	205	87	40	8	205	15	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	27	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	139	106	26	6	0	4	25	32	7	0	2	245	420	415	835	170	310	23	18	382	150	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2024	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	177	147	35	8	1	9	20	37	8	4	4	238	360	490	850	252	255	21	11	372	143	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	247	215	46	12	0	10	27	61	4	2	0	214	313	409	722	195	248	25	11	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	29	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	107	91	23	4	0	6	14	25	2	2	1	253	364	495	859	242	283	23	13	380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	29	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	234	183	44	9	1	4	37	39	10	5	3	240	396	366	762	126	278	17	16	350	126	+7	-0	—	—	+7	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwin Díaz (OGILVIE)	30	40	60	45	50	168/253/314	145	246	8	4	39%	8%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Cameron Rupp 2019 · MLB	30	40→48	55→60	48→30	42	215/279/397	183	294	23	3	35%	8%	88	+0.9	204/276/359	155	296	19	6	36%	8%	76	+0.1	154/240/282	128	225	16	0	37%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	45→42	50	46→45	44	229/296/383	154	293	18	6	28%	7%	91	+1.1	226/275/382	156	289	20	6	28%	6%	81	+0.4	216/261/366	150	271	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	52→50	49→50	44	224/282/384	160	260	22	7	24%	6%	85	+0.7	207/292/345	138	268	16	11	28%	9%	79	+0.3	157/276/271	115	204	15	12	29%	12%	54	-0.6
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	45	52→55	45→40	40	230/281/398	168	305	21	5	31%	6%	88	+0.9	205/264/366	161	262	19	4	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/239/323	142	224	19	3	29%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Erik Kratz 2010 · AAA	30	42→44	53→60	51→45	41	224/271/398	174	268	20	8	25%	5%	84	+0.6	224/285/385	161	267	18	5	23%	6%	87	+0.8	218/284/385	167	250	20	2	22%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45→46	49→55	40	45	229/288/378	149	279	17	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	239/287/375	136	292	15	5	23%	6%	84	+0.6	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Luke Montz 2012 · AAA	29	42→46	52→55	46→40	50	222/297/390	168	266	20	7	25%	9%	93	+1.3	216/285/427	211	263	29	5	30%	8%	98	+1.6	175/244/377	202	214	28	1	34%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Niko Vasquez 2019 · AAA	30	46→41	51→50	47→45	41	237/289/396	159	302	19	10	28%	6%	91	+1.1	210/267/324	114	300	13	9	33%	6%	63	-0.9	175/237/256	81	255	12	4	34%	5%	31	-1.2
✕John Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	46→50	54→60	43→50	39	240/282/413	174	309	22	5	30%	6%	92	+1.2	234/275/426	192	308	25	13	32%	5%	93	+1.3	218/259/399	181	289	23	16	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Mike Rivera 2007 · MLB	30	46	54→55	43→45	42	242/284/417	174	266	23	7	20%	4%	95	+1.4	220/272/376	156	254	20	8	22%	6%	79	+0.3	192/275/296	104	262	10	4	28%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Francisco Peña 2021 · MLB	31	43→46	51→55	48→40	41	229/267/387	159	267	20	7	24%	5%	79	+0.3	210/260/392	182	238	26	6	25%	5%	79	+0.3	180/232/364	185	186	30	1	25%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	52→55	53→50	44	222/284/389	167	280	19	12	28%	7%	87	+0.8	231/298/418	187	310	23	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	210/276/405	195	273	27	2	33%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Chad Wallach 2022 · MLB	30	39→49	53→50	47→40	42	210/279/379	169	284	22	4	34%	8%	82	+0.5	197/264/339	142	276	18	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	186/257/330	144	259	20	2	35%	8%	58	-0.5