Gilbert Gomez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 21 | A+NYM | 424 | .216/.310/.262 | 1 | 4 | 34 | — | .179/.260/.221 |
| 2014 | 22 | A+NYM | 384 | .217/.355/.342 | 4 | 10 | 60 | — | .183/.284/.288 |
| 2015 | 23 | AABinghamton Me… | 186 | .130/.239/.186 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | .119/.196/.167 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets | — | 297 | 239 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 59 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 268 | 405 | 385 | 790 | 117 | 343 | 20 | 17 | 361 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 174 | 157 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 115 | 276 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 85 | 75 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 307 | 388 | 547 | 935 | 240 | 352 | 20 | 11 | 409 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 158 | 141 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 248 | 325 | 355 | 679 | 106 | 327 | 25 | 8 | 308 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 336 | 285 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 256 | 365 | 347 | 713 | 91 | 330 | 20 | 14 | 328 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 424 | 366 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 110 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 216 | 310 | 262 | 572 | 46 | 305 | 26 | 11 | 267 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 384 | 313 | 68 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 89 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 217 | 355 | 342 | 697 | 125 | 288 | 23 | 17 | 321 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Mets | — | 186 | 161 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 130 | 239 | 186 | 425 | 56 | 177 | 26 | 12 | 207 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets | — | 297 | 254 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 72 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 165 | 279 | 220 | 499 | 55 | 223 | 24 | 12 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 174 | 160 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 169 | 222 | 250 | 472 | 81 | 218 | 26 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 85 | 78 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 256 | 318 | 449 | 766 | 192 | 342 | 31 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 158 | 146 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 164 | 223 | 226 | 449 | 62 | 247 | 35 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 336 | 302 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 88 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 238 | 311 | 321 | 633 | 83 | 326 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 424 | 375 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 159 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 179 | 260 | 221 | 481 | 43 | 294 | 38 | 9 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 384 | 333 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 129 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 183 | 284 | 288 | 572 | 105 | 278 | 34 | 12 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 186 | 168 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 61 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 119 | 196 | 167 | 362 | 48 | 174 | 33 | 9 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets | — | 297 | 254 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 72 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 165 | 279 | 220 | 499 | 55 | 225 | 24 | 12 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets | — | 297 | 239 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 59 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 268 | 405 | 385 | 790 | 117 | 343 | 20 | 17 | 361 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 174 | 160 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 169 | 222 | 250 | 472 | 81 | 224 | 26 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 174 | 157 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 115 | 276 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 243 | 224 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 82 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 192 | 252 | 295 | 547 | 103 | 281 | 34 | 6 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 243 | 216 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 56 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 269 | 347 | 421 | 768 | 153 | 335 | 23 | 9 | 344 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 336 | 302 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 88 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 238 | 311 | 321 | 633 | 83 | 330 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 336 | 285 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 68 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 256 | 365 | 347 | 713 | 91 | 330 | 20 | 14 | 328 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 424 | 375 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 159 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 179 | 260 | 221 | 481 | 43 | 306 | 38 | 9 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 424 | 366 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 110 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 216 | 310 | 262 | 572 | 46 | 305 | 26 | 11 | 267 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 384 | 333 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 129 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 183 | 284 | 288 | 572 | 105 | 286 | 34 | 12 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 384 | 313 | 68 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 89 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 217 | 355 | 342 | 697 | 125 | 288 | 23 | 17 | 321 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 186 | 168 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 61 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 119 | 196 | 167 | 362 | 48 | 176 | 33 | 9 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | Binghamton Mets | — | 186 | 161 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 130 | 239 | 186 | 425 | 56 | 177 | 26 | 12 | 207 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets | — | 297 | 255 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 72 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 165 | 279 | 220 | 499 | 55 | 223 | 24 | 12 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 174 | 161 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 168 | 222 | 248 | 471 | 81 | 218 | 26 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 243 | 223 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 82 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 193 | 252 | 296 | 548 | 103 | 280 | 34 | 6 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 20 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 336 | 301 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 88 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 239 | 311 | 322 | 634 | 83 | 326 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 424 | 380 | 67 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 159 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 176 | 260 | 218 | 478 | 42 | 294 | 38 | 9 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 384 | 334 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 129 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 183 | 284 | 287 | 572 | 105 | 278 | 34 | 12 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Mets | — | 186 | 168 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 61 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 119 | 196 | 167 | 362 | 48 | 174 | 33 | 9 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2044 | 1816 | 332 | 75 | 10 | 13 | 184 | 636 | 21 | 74 | 37 | 183 | 266 | 257 | 522 | 74 | 271 | 31 | 9 | 236 | 46 | -131 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +44 | -8.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 59 | 202 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 182 | 266 | 255 | 521 | 73 | 270 | 31 | 9 | 236 | 46 | -42 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AABinghamton Mets · 186 PAwOBA .202 → .171 (−31)K% 26.3% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.34% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.83% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 13.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.034 | ×0.860 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 3.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.037 | ×1.027 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.088 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 80, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .202 → .171; ISO .056 → .048; BABIP .177 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+St. Lucie Mets · 384 PAwOBA .315 → .257 (−58)K% 23.2% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.18% | ÷0.984 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.93% | ÷1.106 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 11.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.30% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 16.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷0.883 | ×0.960 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 9.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.054 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 104, 2B 77, 3B 130, K 97, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .315 → .257; ISO .125 → .110; BABIP .288 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+St. Lucie Mets · 424 PAwOBA .261 → .218 (−43)K% 25.9% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.94% | ÷0.979 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.85% | ÷0.949 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 23.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.47% | ÷0.959 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.114 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.370 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 123, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .261 → .218; ISO .046 → .041; BABIP .305 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 336 PAwOBA .320 → .279 (−41)K% 20.2% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.055 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 9.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.88% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 24.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.920 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.105 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.954 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.82% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 84, 3B 121, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .320 → .279; ISO .091 → .085; BABIP .330 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Mets · 158 PAwOBA .302 → .203 (−100)K% 24.7% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 18.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.54% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .302 → .203; ISO .106 → .070; BABIP .327 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+St. Lucie Mets · 85 PAwOBA .394 → .330 (−64)K% 20.0% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷1.042 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.050 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 23.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.013 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.097 | ×0.810 | ×1.030 | ×1.050 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.095 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 5.82% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 119, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .394 → .330; ISO .240 → .191; BABIP .352 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKGCL Mets · 174 PAwOBA .279 → .204 (−75)K% 17.8% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.87% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.993 | ×1.022 | 14.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.993 | ×1.022 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.993 | ×1.022 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.63% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .279 → .204; ISO .115 → .081; BABIP .276 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 DSLDSL Mets · 297 PAwOBA .352 → .239 (−113)K% 19.9% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 11.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 16.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.977 | ×1.022 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.80% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .352 → .239; ISO .117 → .068; BABIP .343 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).