Sammy Hernandez — OGILVIE

Sammy HernandezC Peoria Chiefs

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs A+ HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.9 · 2030

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .296 / .289

PA320

HR4

SB5

K%27

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

20→20

SPD

50→50

EYE

53↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$16M	+$13M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.4	$14M	+$10M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.1	$11M	+$7M
Totals		$15M		$93M	+$78M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	16	15	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	.067	.125	.067	.192	.000	.083	19	6	.072	-87	-3	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
2023	19	A	3 teams	331	294	47	8	4	7	20	108	14	5	0	.160	.247	.286	.533	.126	.221	33	6	.226	31	-26	+1	+0	+6	+9	-1.0
2024	20	A	3 teams	490	420	77	16	2	4	42	129	21	6	2	.183	.290	.260	.549	.076	.252	26	9	.254	53	-26	+0	+0	+9	+14	-0.3
2025	21	A	3 teams	459	390	74	13	0	3	44	119	15	13	4	.190	.296	.246	.542	.056	.260	26	10	.253	52	-25	+1	+0	+8	+13	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	22	18	5	4	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	.278	.409	.500	.909	.222	.294	5	18	.401	165	+2	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	STL	298	260	52	10	1	3	26	80	10	4	1	.200	.297	.281	.578	.081	.276	27	9	.274	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
TOT	22	MLB	STL	320	278	57	14	1	3	30	81	10	5	1	.205	.305	.295	.600	.090	.277	25	9	.283	75	-9	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	STL	424	370	79	15	2	7	38	110	13	6	2	.214	.309	.322	.630	.108	.279	26	9	.287	78	-10	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2028	24	MLB 26%	STL	476	415	90	17	2	9	44	121	14	8	2	.217	.313	.333	.645	.116	.281	25	9	.295	84	-9	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.5
2029	25	MLB 44%	STL	505	439	96	18	2	10	47	127	14	9	2	.219	.314	.337	.651	.118	.282	25	9	.300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.8
2030	26	MLB 59%	STL	520	450	100	19	2	11	50	130	15	9	2	.222	.320	.347	.667	.124	.283	25	10	.302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2031	27	MLB 76%	STL	520	450	100	19	2	11	50	131	15	9	2	.222	.320	.347	.667	.124	.283	25	10	.302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2032	28	MLB 84%	STL	520	449	99	19	2	11	51	132	15	9	2	.220	.320	.345	.666	.125	.282	25	10	.301	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2033	29	MLB 90%	STL	517	447	97	18	2	10	51	133	14	8	2	.217	.316	.333	.650	.116	.281	26	10	.299	87	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2034	30	MLB	STL	508	439	95	18	2	10	50	132	14	8	1	.216	.316	.335	.651	.118	.280	26	10	.296	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2035	31	MLB	STL	480	417	89	17	2	9	47	127	13	6	1	.213	.312	.329	.641	.115	.278	26	10	.292	82	-10	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2036	32	MLB	STL	448	389	81	15	2	8	44	121	12	5	0	.208	.308	.319	.627	.111	.277	27	10	.288	78	-11	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.7
2037	33	MLB	STL	408	354	72	13	1	7	40	113	11	4	0	.203	.304	.305	.609	.102	.275	28	10	.282	74	-12	+1	-4	+7	+12	0.4
2038	34	MLB	STL	354	308	60	11	1	5	34	101	9	4	0	.195	.293	.286	.579	.091	.273	29	10	.276	70	-12	+1	-5	+6	+10	0.0
2039	35	MLB	STL	296	258	50	9	1	4	28	87	8	3	0	.194	.293	.283	.575	.089	.271	29	9	.269	64	-12	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7570	6564	1359	255	30	129	707	2004	227	116	23	.207	.306	.314	.620	.107	.275	26	9	.284	76	-209	+14	-25	+135	+214	13.2
/ 162G	—			650	564	117	22	3	11	61	172	19	10	2	.207	.306	.316	.622	.108	.275	26	9	.284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	16	15	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	.067	.125	.067	.192	.000	.077	12	6	.100	-65	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2023	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	152	137	27	3	2	3	12	35	2	0	0	.197	.272	.314	.585	.117	.240	23	8	.266	61	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	76	62	16	5	2	3	8	16	6	1	0	.258	.395	.548	.943	.290	.302	21	11	.412	173	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	19	INTL	Leones de Ponce	103	83	21	4	1	1	12	20	6	4	0	.253	.386	.361	.748	.108	.317	19	12	.342	120	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	33	23	3	0	0	2	6	8	3	0	0	.130	.375	.391	.766	.261	.077	24	18	.347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	350	295	78	19	2	2	38	60	14	3	2	.264	.375	.363	.737	.098	.323	17	11	.338	117	+7	-0	—	—	+10	1.7
2024	20	INTL	Leones de Ponce	107	94	18	2	0	1	6	21	4	3	0	.191	.269	.245	.514	.053	.233	20	6	.237	40	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	23	20	2	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	2	.100	.217	.250	.467	.150	.062	13	13	.221	27	-2	-1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	360	293	69	11	0	2	46	67	14	12	1	.235	.364	.294	.658	.058	.295	19	13	.309	95	-2	+2	—	—	+10	1.0
2025	21	INTL	Leones de Ponce	76	65	17	5	0	0	6	10	1	1	1	.262	.333	.338	.672	.077	.298	13	8	.292	82	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sammy Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	40	20	50	50	.201/.296/.289	.088	.276	4	4	27%	9%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	39→30	48→40	49	.206/.285/.289	.084	.266	7	7	24%	9%	62	-0.9	.224/.308/.287	.063	.307	4	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.233/.323/.283	.051	.326	2	2	26%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	.213/.285/.304	.091	.300	6	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.223/.305/.293	.070	.278	5	4	20%	9%	71	-0.3	.243/.334/.302	.059	.291	5	1	16%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	47	40→30	45→50	49	.225/.297/.314	.089	.263	7	7	17%	7%	73	-0.1	.204/.258/.288	.084	.268	6	8	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.183/.231/.254	.071	.236	5	9	24%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	47→40	46	.212/.286/.304	.092	.282	7	6	26%	8%	66	-0.6	.200/.260/.271	.071	.268	4	4	25%	7%	46	-2.0	.245/.301/.340	.096	.298	7	3	19%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Luis Perez 2013 · A	22	47	41→30	52→50	46	.226/.281/.335	.109	.269	8	10	19%	6%	70	-0.3	.220/.261/.335	.115	.296	10	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	.217/.244/.347	.129	.299	11	2	31%	3%	54	-0.4
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	39	38→40	45	45	.191/.251/.267	.076	.256	5	5	26%	7%	40	-2.4	.211/.266/.279	.068	.290	4	6	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.235/.280/.283	.048	.303	3	7	22%	6%	52	-0.5
✕Onix Vega 2022 · A	23	44	39→30	51→45	45	.213/.281/.298	.085	.274	6	8	24%	7%	62	-0.9	.210/.283/.285	.075	.278	6	6	25%	8%	59	-1.1	.198/.277/.253	.056	.261	4	5	24%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→46	40→45	48→50	52	.208/.300/.315	.107	.258	6	10	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.202/.283/.334	.132	.263	13	9	27%	8%	73	-0.1	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	45→55	47	.222/.294/.300	.078	.296	5	8	25%	8%	67	-0.5	.223/.289/.344	.121	.293	12	13	27%	7%	77	+0.1	.220/.293/.341	.120	.280	13	27	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Reynaldo Mateo 2011 · A	22	45	39→30	49→45	48	.211/.298/.297	.085	.284	5	8	26%	9%	69	-0.4	.214/.279/.343	.129	.301	12	5	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.181/.240/.333	.153	.262	17	0	37%	3%	56	-0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Franklin Torres 2019 · A	22	46→41	40	51→50	46	.222/.275/.314	.092	.276	8	8	22%	7%	63	-0.9	.210/.274/.294	.084	.302	6	5	30%	8%	57	-1.2	.193/.257/.264	.072	.295	5	1	34%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	48	.221/.287/.307	.086	.276	5	8	21%	8%	66	-0.6	.204/.292/.304	.100	.281	9	4	28%	9%	69	-0.4	.163/.265/.251	.089	.214	11	0	27%	9%	41	-0.6
✕Ramon Soto 2010 · AAA	22	47	39→30	47→45	43	.227/.276/.306	.079	.283	8	10	22%	6%	61	-1.0	.240/.283/.304	.064	.290	4	8	18%	5%	63	-0.9	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	40	38→40	47→55	47	.192/.263/.275	.082	.250	5	9	24%	8%	48	-1.9	.212/.292/.300	.088	.255	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	.209/.299/.290	.080	.241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Roy Morales 2018 · A	23	49	36→30	49→45	49	.231/.294/.298	.066	.270	4	8	16%	6%	66	-0.6	.229/.291/.300	.071	.281	4	10	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.267/.331/.325	.058	.319	4	8	16%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Shawn Zarraga 2011 · A	22	48	38→40	49→45	46	.224/.303/.301	.077	.314	5	6	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.241/.298/.333	.092	.298	7	8	20%	6%	78	+0.2	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A	22	44→41	41→40	54→50	45	.211/.283/.308	.098	.289	8	8	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.203/.263/.271	.068	.282	5	7	28%	7%	46	-2.0	.197/.253/.247	.050	.272	5	5	28%	6%	34	-1.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)