Casey Yamauchi — OGILVIE

Casey YamauchiSS Lansing Lugnuts

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION255 act + 170 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .321 / .351

PA170

HR2

SB5

K%12

BB%5

BABIP286

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$14M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	35	32	5	1	0	0	1	7	2	1	1	156	229	188	416	31	200	20	3	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	35	31	6	1	0	0	2	5	2	1	1	194	286	226	512	32	231	14	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	329	298	71	9	2	0	15	37	12	20	5	238	302	282	583	44	270	11	5	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	329	292	78	10	2	0	21	27	12	20	5	267	342	315	657	48	292	8	6	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	500	463	102	14	3	2	13	55	15	13	7	220	265	276	541	56	242	11	3	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	500	454	129	22	4	2	22	38	15	13	7	284	338	363	702	79	302	8	4	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	OAK	—	255	225	65	9	2	6	15	28	11	10	1	289	363	427	789	138	307	11	6	335	114	+4	+2	+0	+3	+7	1.6
YTD	25	A+	OAK	—	255	219	69	10	2	7	21	21	11	10	1	315	402	475	877	160	323	8	8	387	154	+16	+2	+0	+3	+7	2.8
ROS	25	A+	OAK	0%	170	154	40	6	1	2	8	20	6	5	1	260	321	351	672	91	284	12	5	299	87	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.5
ROS	25	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						282	0	0	273	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	A+	OAK	—	256	226	65	9	2	6	15	28	11	10	1	288	361	425	786	137	306	11	6	334	114	+4	+2	+0	+3	+7	1.6
TOT	25	A+	OAK	—	425	379	105	15	3	8	23	48	17	15	2	277	346	396	742	119	298	11	5	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+5	+12	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	OAK	30%	525	482	122	18	3	7	24	65	14	12	3	253	308	346	654	93	278	12	5	294	84	-10	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2028	27	MLB	OAK	42%	539	493	124	19	3	7	27	71	14	12	3	252	309	345	654	93	279	13	5	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.4
2029	28	MLB	OAK	48%	544	496	125	19	3	8	29	75	14	11	3	252	312	351	662	99	279	14	5	297	86	-9	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.3
2030	29	MLB	OAK	49%	543	495	124	19	3	8	29	78	14	10	3	251	310	349	660	99	279	14	5	296	85	-9	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.2
2031	30	MLB	OAK	50%	539	492	122	19	3	7	29	78	13	9	2	248	307	341	649	93	279	14	5	294	83	-10	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.0
2032	31	MLB	OAK	51%	532	485	119	18	3	7	29	79	13	9	2	245	306	338	644	93	277	15	5	290	80	-12	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.7
2033	32	MLB	OAK	51%	524	478	115	17	3	6	28	80	13	8	2	241	301	326	627	86	274	15	5	285	76	-14	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.4
2034	33	MLB	OAK	51%	453	415	97	14	2	5	24	71	11	6	1	234	293	313	607	80	271	16	5	279	71	-15	+1	-4	+5	+13	-0.0
2035	34	MLB	OAK	47%	384	352	81	11	2	4	20	63	9	4	1	230	289	307	596	77	267	16	5	271	65	-15	+0	-5	+4	+11	-0.5
2027	26	MLB	OAK	30%	159	147	36	5	1	2	7	20	4	4	1	245	297	333	631	88	276	13	4	272	66	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	27	MLB	OAK	42%	225	206	51	8	1	3	11	30	6	5	1	248	305	340	645	92	277	13	5	275	69	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	28	MLB	OAK	48%	259	236	59	9	1	4	14	36	7	5	1	250	311	347	659	97	277	14	5	276	70	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	29	MLB	OAK	49%	267	244	60	9	1	4	14	38	7	5	1	246	306	340	646	94	277	14	5	276	69	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2031	30	MLB	OAK	50%	270	246	60	9	1	4	15	39	7	5	1	244	306	337	643	93	277	14	6	273	67	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2032	31	MLB	OAK	51%	270	246	59	9	1	3	15	40	7	4	1	240	302	321	623	81	275	15	6	270	65	-11	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.1
2033	32	MLB	OAK	51%	267	244	58	9	1	3	14	41	7	4	1	238	298	320	618	82	272	15	5	265	61	-12	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.3
2034	33	MLB	OAK	51%	232	212	50	7	1	3	12	37	6	3	1	236	296	321	616	85	269	16	5	259	56	-11	+0	-2	+2	+7	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	OAK	47%	179	164	38	5	1	2	9	29	4	2	1	232	288	311	599	79	265	16	5	251	50	-10	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2129	1946	471	70	9	28	111	310	55	37	9	242	302	330	632	88	274	15	5	269	64	-86	+4	-10	+23	+60	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	144	21	3	9	34	95	17	11	3	242	302	333	636	91	274	15	5	269	64	-26	+1	-3	+7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	5617	5135	1247	184	31	63	276	779	150	120	34	243	301	328	628	85	274	14	5	283	75	-161	+10	-20	+60	+159	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	144	21	4	7	32	90	17	14	4	242	300	327	626	84	273	14	5	283	75	-19	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	35	31	6	1	0	0	2	5	2	1	1	194	286	226	512	32	231	14	6	248	48	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	197	178	42	4	0	0	11	14	7	13	2	236	306	258	565	22	256	7	6	266	62	-9	+2	—	—	+6	-0.1
2024	23	A	Stockton Ports	—	132	114	36	6	2	0	10	13	5	7	3	316	395	404	799	88	350	10	8	355	130	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	19	19	9	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	474	474	789	1.263	316	500	11	0	548	277	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	481	435	120	21	3	1	22	36	15	13	7	276	333	345	677	69	294	7	5	304	91	-5	-0	—	—	+14	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,131	28	37	246	302	337	+22	+12	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	9	11	246	302	337	+6.7	+3.7	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Yamauchi (OGILVIE)	25	60	25	50	20	277/346/396	119	298	8	15	11%	5%	103	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramon Soto 2013 · AAA	25	53	37→30	47→45	45	250/294/318	68	299	4	9	18%	5%	71	-0.3	250/300/325	75	304	4	9	18%	6%	76	+0.0	302/344/370	67	379	0	7	19%	5%	103	+0.5
✕James Tomlin 2008 · AA	25	51→61	38→40	49→50	44	240/277/326	87	284	4	14	17%	5%	66	-0.6	259/307/346	87	317	4	13	18%	6%	83	+0.6	265/315/349	84	327	3	12	19%	6%	84	+0.5
✕Tony Renda 2016 · AA	25	53→58	36→40	52→50	48	249/298/323	74	287	3	17	14%	6%	74	-0.1	246/286/327	81	284	4	15	14%	5%	70	-0.3	250/288/330	80	288	4	14	15%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Omar Luna 2013 · AAA	26	55→62	36→30	48→50	45	260/296/324	65	295	3	13	13%	4%	73	-0.1	241/280/321	80	281	5	10	15%	5%	66	-0.6	230/258/292	62	269	2	4	15%	3%	43	-0.9
✕Chesny Young 2018 · AAA	25	55→65	36→30	43→50	48	256/306/321	64	301	3	11	16%	6%	76	+0.1	222/263/284	62	286	4	9	22%	5%	49	-1.8	207/238/231	23	280	0	7	25%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Valentin Gamez 2008 · AAA	25	55	36→40	48→40	46	257/292/319	62	286	4	15	12%	5%	69	-0.4	232/283/298	66	269	4	8	14%	7%	62	-0.9	265/312/334	70	302	3	3	13%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Brandon Douglas 2012 · AA	26	55→54	36→40	53→50	45	255/292/331	76	296	2	15	15%	4%	73	-0.1	235/277/318	83	286	5	13	19%	5%	63	-0.8	230/274/311	82	279	5	11	19%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Kevin Russo 2009 · AA	25	52→59	38→40	51→50	42	246/286/333	87	304	4	14	20%	4%	72	-0.2	247/296/325	78	310	4	14	20%	6%	74	-0.1	245/296/316	71	312	4	14	21%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Ben Orloff 2013 · AA	26	55→57	35→40	48→50	49	254/305/309	55	278	2	10	10%	5%	73	-0.1	243/297/307	64	272	3	11	11%	5%	70	-0.3	266/319/296	30	285	0	14	6%	4%	77	+0.0
✕Leonardo Reginatto 2015 · AA	25	57→61	34→30	50→45	48	265/319/321	56	324	1	10	18%	6%	82	+0.5	244/288/308	64	301	3	6	19%	5%	66	-0.6	241/281/302	61	297	3	3	19%	5%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2015 · AAA	25	53	35→30	47→50	44	249/285/307	58	299	3	12	18%	4%	63	-0.8	247/283/337	90	297	7	9	18%	4%	71	-0.3	267/296/360	93	315	6	4	17%	3%	79	+0.1
✕Yonathan Daza 2019 · AA	25	53→56	38→40	49→50	39	249/276/332	83	313	4	13	22%	3%	66	-0.6	249/288/339	90	302	6	11	19%	5%	74	-0.1	255/302/330	75	305	4	6	17%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Nick Liles 2012 · A	25	56→63	36→30	52→50	44	262/295/335	74	305	2	13	15%	4%	75	-0.0	235/282/301	66	292	3	10	19%	6%	61	-1.0	233/284/264	31	292	0	9	19%	6%	48	-0.9
✕Renny Osuna 2011 · AA	26	54→63	37→40	47→50	44	255/292/329	74	305	3	12	18%	5%	72	-0.2	251/285/333	82	290	6	15	15%	5%	71	-0.3	255/289/334	79	288	6	16	14%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Fidel Hernandez 2011 · AA	25	52	35→30	44→50	43	242/271/296	54	275	2	11	13%	3%	55	-1.4	231/267/297	66	270	4	9	15%	5%	53	-1.5	229/258/275	46	261	4	5	13%	4%	40	-1.1
✕Manny Mayorson 2008 · AA	25	54→63	36→40	42→55	47	251/287/319	67	277	3	8	11%	4%	67	-0.5	257/291/329	72	279	2	16	8%	4%	72	-0.2	280/314/337	57	304	2	18	8%	4%	80	+0.2
✕Ali Castillo 2015 · AA	26	48→58	37→40	48→55	47	227/276/298	71	266	4	14	16%	6%	58	-1.2	254/288/316	62	297	3	18	15%	4%	67	-0.5	249/284/340	91	282	6	7	14%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Wladimir Sutil 2010 · AA	25	52→54	34→30	49→55	47	242/290/291	49	275	1	20	12%	5%	63	-0.9	231/280/285	54	262	3	18	12%	5%	57	-1.2	222/274/269	47	252	2	19	12%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Rayner Laya 2006 · AA	25	51	36→30	48→50	46	236/268/301	66	262	3	12	12%	4%	55	-1.4	235/269/288	53	270	3	14	13%	4%	52	-1.6	251/276/262	11	284	0	18	11%	3%	43	-1.0
✕Darwin Barney 2011 · MLB	25	53→58	37→40	49→50	44	249/281/321	72	287	3	9	15%	4%	66	-0.6	248/289/335	87	277	5	8	12%	5%	73	-0.1	240/287/331	92	272	8	5	15%	5%	68	-0.3