Kyle Lodise — OGILVIE

Kyle LodiseSS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION525 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$19M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	97	16	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	165	270	330	600	165	172	26	9	255	59	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	97	16	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	165	270	330	600	165	182	26	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	98	16	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	163	270	327	597	163	172	26	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	98	16	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	163	270	327	597	163	172	26	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	CWS	—	525	449	78	15	3	16	61	189	11	42	9	174	288	327	615	154	251	36	12	273	71	-18	+5	+0	+6	+11	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	CWS	—	525	418	96	20	4	20	92	141	11	42	9	230	382	440	822	211	292	27	18	368	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	CWS	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		267	30	10	291	83	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	CWS	—	535	458	79	15	3	16	62	192	11	43	9	172	286	323	609	151	249	36	12	273	71	-18	+5	-0	+6	+12	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	43%	343	297	59	11	2	11	38	111	5	12	3	199	300	360	660	162	270	32	11	297	87	-5	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	609	528	107	20	4	19	67	193	9	19	4	203	303	364	667	161	274	32	11	302	90	-7	+2	-3	+7	+13	1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	623	540	111	21	4	20	69	193	9	17	4	206	306	370	676	165	275	31	11	305	92	-6	+2	-3	+7	+13	1.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	CWS	68%	622	540	112	21	4	20	68	192	9	16	3	207	306	372	679	165	276	31	11	306	93	-5	+2	-3	+7	+13	1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	CWS	68%	616	533	111	21	4	20	69	190	9	15	3	208	309	375	685	167	275	31	11	306	93	-5	+2	-3	+7	+13	1.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	CWS	68%	609	527	109	21	3	20	68	189	9	14	3	207	308	372	680	165	275	31	11	305	93	-5	+2	-4	+7	+13	1.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	CWS	66%	600	518	106	20	3	19	68	187	9	13	3	205	308	365	672	160	274	31	11	304	92	-6	+1	-4	+6	+13	1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CWS	66%	589	509	103	20	3	18	66	185	9	12	3	202	305	360	664	157	273	31	11	301	90	-7	+1	-5	+6	+13	0.9
2035	31	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	427	370	74	14	2	13	48	136	6	8	2	200	302	354	656	154	271	32	11	297	87	-6	+1	-5	+5	+9	0.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	409	354	69	13	2	12	46	132	6	7	2	195	298	345	643	150	268	32	11	292	84	-8	+1	-5	+4	+9	0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	CWS	65%	379	329	63	11	2	11	42	124	5	6	1	191	293	337	630	146	263	33	11	286	80	-9	+1	-6	+4	+8	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CWS	43%	149	129	26	5	1	5	17	48	2	5	1	202	304	372	676	171	271	32	11	288	87	-2	+1	-1	+2	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	353	306	62	12	2	11	39	112	5	11	2	203	303	363	666	160	275	32	11	292	90	-4	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	404	351	72	14	2	13	44	125	6	11	2	205	304	368	672	162	276	31	11	295	92	-4	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.9
2030	26	MLB CTX	CWS	68%	423	367	76	15	2	14	47	130	6	11	2	207	307	373	680	166	277	31	11	297	93	-3	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	CWS	68%	419	363	75	14	2	14	47	129	6	10	2	207	308	372	680	165	276	31	11	297	93	-3	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	CWS	68%	414	359	74	14	2	14	46	128	6	9	2	206	307	373	680	167	276	31	11	296	93	-4	+1	-2	+4	+9	0.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	CWS	66%	399	345	71	14	2	13	45	125	6	9	2	206	308	371	679	165	275	31	11	294	92	-4	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	CWS	66%	386	333	68	13	2	12	44	121	6	8	2	204	308	363	671	159	274	31	11	292	90	-5	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	278	241	48	9	1	9	31	88	4	5	1	199	301	357	658	158	272	32	11	288	87	-4	+1	-3	+3	+6	0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	265	229	44	8	1	8	30	85	4	5	1	192	297	341	637	148	269	32	11	283	84	-5	+1	-4	+3	+6	0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	CWS	65%	245	213	40	7	1	7	27	80	3	4	1	188	288	329	617	141	264	33	11	277	80	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3735	3236	656	125	18	120	417	1171	54	88	18	203	304	364	668	161	273	31	11	292	89	-44	+10	-27	+40	+81	6.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	114	22	3	21	73	204	9	15	3	202	304	364	668	162	273	31	11	292	89	-8	+2	-5	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5949	5151	1041	195	34	187	660	1864	89	147	32	202	303	362	665	160	273	31	11	300	89	-69	+16	-42	+63	+126	9.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	113	21	4	20	72	204	10	16	3	201	302	359	661	158	272	31	11	300	89	-8	+2	-5	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,735	118	88	204	302	365	+40	-8	10.8	9.9
/162	664	21	16	+7.1	-1.4	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Lodise (OGILVIE)	22	30→47	35→42	55	60	188/295/340	152	267	6	11	34%	11%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→50	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	233/296/404	171	326	21	20	33%	8%	97	+1.1	229/294/405	176	316	22	24	33%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→45	50	51→45	45	210/316/367	157	290	18	7	32%	8%	97	+1.1	216/320/366	150	270	16	7	25%	8%	98	+1.2	214/321/360	146	266	16	7	24%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	46	44→45	55	46	225/303/346	121	300	11	14	27%	8%	86	+0.3	225/283/333	108	304	9	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46→47	51→55	54→50	39	228/285/395	167	332	19	16	36%	7%	90	+0.6	222/284/369	147	329	17	15	36%	7%	84	+0.1	205/279/360	155	289	21	12	35%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	84	+0.2	220/282/334	114	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	296	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	234/282/362	128	290	11	16	22%	6%	80	-0.1	243/288/359	116	293	9	15	20%	5%	80	-0.1
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	48→50	52→50	42	230/313/379	148	298	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	221/305/368	147	284	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	208/293/349	141	265	17	11	27%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→51	46→45	50→40	42	233/294/368	135	326	14	8	31%	7%	87	+0.4	230/295/357	127	313	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	225/291/352	127	306	12	1	29%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→51	48→50	54→55	46	237/301/379	142	295	16	14	25%	8%	93	+0.8	207/275/323	116	264	10	20	24%	7%	70	-0.9	235/299/371	136	298	13	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
✕Ben Ross 2023 · A	22	46→44	47→45	54→55	46	226/299/362	136	313	14	14	31%	9%	88	+0.4	185/248/305	120	266	14	13	34%	7%	56	-1.9	184/255/309	125	254	14	19	32%	8%	57	-1.4
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	51→55	50	37	206/265/364	158	302	19	14	37%	6%	76	-0.4	240/284/393	153	314	17	13	28%	5%	89	+0.5	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→50	52→55	60→55	48	218/298/397	180	264	19	29	25%	8%	96	+1.0	219/284/371	152	274	16	24	25%	8%	84	+0.2	224/284/362	138	278	14	23	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	46→48	47→45	52→55	51	220/324/358	139	315	14	14	32%	11%	97	+1.1	214/316/335	121	285	12	18	27%	11%	88	+0.5	211/315/326	115	274	12	19	25%	11%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps