Kyle Lodise

SS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP40OGV rank#300ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+CWS	113	.185/.324/.370	4	7	58	—	.155/.261/.320
2026	22	A+CWS	525	.230/.382/.440	20	42	68	—	.174/.278/.338
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBCWS	1	.209/.301/.372	0	0	90	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBCWS	183	.212/.304/.378	6	5	92	0.4
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBCWS	277	.214/.306/.382	9	7	93	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$4M2034Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%91

Speed89

BB%88

ISO77

wRC+72

wOBA70

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 8.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 85%

CompsMatt McLain (age 23) · Henry Davis (age 23) · Jeter Downs (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .301 / .372

PA1

HR0

K%31

BB%10

BABIP279

ISO163

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$21M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	418	96	20	4	20	92	141	11	42	9	230	382	440	822	211	292	27	18	368	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	97	15	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	155	261	320	581	165	165	26	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	455	79	15	3	18	55	185	11	42	9	174	278	338	617	165	232	35	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	97	15	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	155	261	320	581	165	167	26	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	455	79	15	3	18	55	185	11	42	9	174	278	338	617	165	239	35	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	418	96	20	4	20	92	141	11	42	9	230	382	440	822	211	292	27	18	368	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	98	15	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	153	261	316	578	163	165	26	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	454	79	15	3	18	55	185	11	42	9	174	278	339	618	165	232	35	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	98	15	2	1	4	10	29	4	7	1	153	261	316	578	163	165	26	9	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	525	454	79	15	3	18	55	185	11	42	9	174	278	339	618	165	232	35	10	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	535	468	97	18	3	17	54	168	8	16	4	208	300	368	669	161	278	31	10	301	90	-7	+2	-2	+6	+12	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	209	301	372	673	163	279	0	0	302	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CWS	38%	482	423	90	17	3	16	49	148	7	13	3	211	303	375	678	164	280	31	10	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	500	439	94	18	3	16	50	151	7	12	3	213	305	378	683	165	281	30	10	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CWS	64%	506	443	96	18	3	17	51	151	7	12	3	215	306	380	686	165	281	30	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	CWS	66%	505	443	96	18	3	16	50	150	7	11	3	216	306	379	684	163	281	30	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	CWS	67%	500	440	94	18	2	16	49	147	7	10	2	215	304	376	680	160	281	29	10	305	93	-4	+1	-2	+5	+11	1.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CWS	72%	490	432	91	17	2	15	48	146	7	9	2	213	302	370	672	157	280	30	10	301	90	-6	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.9
2034	30	MLB MLE	CWS	75%	440	388	81	15	2	13	43	132	6	7	2	210	298	362	661	152	278	30	10	297	87	-7	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	CWS	77%	425	376	78	15	2	12	41	130	5	6	2	206	294	353	647	147	275	31	10	291	83	-8	+0	-4	+5	+9	0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	CWS	79%	402	356	72	13	2	11	38	124	5	4	4	201	288	341	629	139	271	31	9	284	78	-10	-1	-4	+4	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CWS	38%	183	160	34	6	1	6	18	56	3	5	1	212	304	378	683	166	281	31	10	306	92	-2	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	277	243	51	10	1	9	28	84	4	7	2	214	306	382	688	167	282	30	10	308	93	-2	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.7
2030	26	MLB CTX	CWS	64%	322	282	62	12	2	11	32	96	5	8	2	216	307	383	690	167	282	30	10	309	94	-2	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	CWS	66%	332	291	63	12	2	11	33	98	5	7	2	217	307	382	689	166	282	30	10	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	CWS	67%	334	293	64	12	2	11	33	99	5	7	2	216	305	379	685	163	282	30	10	307	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	CWS	72%	351	308	67	13	2	11	35	104	5	6	2	214	303	373	676	159	281	30	10	303	90	-4	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	CWS	75%	329	290	61	12	1	10	32	99	4	5	2	211	299	365	665	154	279	30	10	299	87	-5	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2035	31	MLB CTX	CWS	77%	328	289	60	11	1	10	32	100	4	4	2	207	295	356	651	149	276	30	10	293	83	-6	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	CWS	79%	316	279	57	11	1	9	30	98	4	4	3	202	289	344	632	141	272	31	9	286	78	-8	-0	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2772	2435	519	99	13	88	273	834	39	53	18	213	303	373	675	160	282	30	10	302	87	-35	+3	-14	+30	+60	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	122	23	3	21	64	196	9	12	4	214	303	375	678	161	282	30	10	302	87	-8	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5098	4476	924	173	27	161	505	1559	76	139	35	206	298	365	663	159	274	31	10	297	87	-54	+8	-21	+48	+97	7.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	118	22	3	21	64	199	10	18	4	207	298	366	664	159	274	31	10	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 525 PAwOBA .361 → .269 (−92)K% 26.9% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.86%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	35.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.52%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	10.49%
HBP% /PA	2.10%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	1.61%
Singles /BIP	18.77%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.950	×0.998	15.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.22%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.950	×0.998	5.34%
Triples /BIP	1.44%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.950	×0.998	1.16%
Home runs /BIP	7.22%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	6.34%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .361 → .269; ISO .211 → .177; BABIP .292 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 113 PAwOBA .311 → .254 (−56)K% 18.6% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.58%	÷0.955	×1.310	—	—	25.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.27%	÷0.949	×0.600	—	×1.012	8.49%
HBP% /PA	3.54%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	2.76%
Singles /BIP	12.68%	÷0.942	×0.870	×0.983	×1.012	11.64%
Doubles /BIP	4.23%	÷0.984	×0.780	×0.983	×1.012	3.33%
Triples /BIP	1.41%	÷1.045	×0.850	×0.983	×1.012	1.14%
Home runs /BIP	5.63%	÷0.923	×0.880	—	×1.012	5.44%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .311 → .254; ISO .185 → .170; BABIP .188 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Kevin Elster'86-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,225 PA	4.9	3,225	88	14	223*	294*	388*	+34	+9	7.9	8.1
/162	664	18	3	+7.0	+1.9	1.6	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,773	86	53	212	298	369	+30	-7	7.4	7.0
/162	664	21	13	+7.1	-1.6	1.8	pk7: 7
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Lodise (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	206/298/365	159	278	7	6	31%	10%	90	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	41→51	50→55	59→55	48	209/297/370	161	292	17	24	33%	10%	89	+0.5	248/327/426	178	332	20	21	29%	9%	113	+2.3	229/312/388	159	300	18	22	28%	9%	98	+1.1
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Ryan Ritter 2024 · AA	23	44→48	49→50	52→50	40	214/290/365	152	331	17	14	38%	8%	86	+0.3	231/304/361	130	324	13	14	31%	7%	90	+0.6	239/315/362	122	327	11	14	28%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	41→51	51→55	50	37	208/267/368	160	305	19	14	37%	6%	78	-0.3	244/288/399	155	319	17	13	28%	5%	92	+0.7	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A	23	43→53	49→50	52→50	47	223/283/376	152	269	17	14	24%	8%	84	+0.2	234/299/349	115	304	9	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/309/353	112	313	8	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Jack Brannigan 2024 · A	23	42	50	54→50	43	209/290/360	151	317	19	19	38%	9%	84	+0.2	195/271/346	151	282	18	14	36%	8%	74	-0.5	175/254/322	147	250	17	12	36%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43→44	48→55	56→50	47	212/302/359	147	307	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.5	219/297/382	163	280	19	10	28%	9%	92	+0.7	215/296/383	167	260	20	8	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	41→46	50	49→45	46	207/315/368	161	265	17	8	27%	8%	97	+1.1	228/330/374	146	284	16	8	24%	9%	103	+1.6	228/337/371	143	283	17	6	24%	9%	103	+1.0
✕Anthony Volpe 2024 · MLB	23	42→50	52→55	58→55	48	218/296/393	175	269	19	27	26%	9%	94	+0.9	225/286/370	145	282	14	22	25%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Travis Jones 2009 · A	23	41→48	48→45	46→50	48	212/289/355	143	267	16	11	27%	9%	82	+0.0	214/284/325	111	288	10	15	28%	8%	74	-0.6	209/281/306	97	284	9	19	28%	8%	65	-0.7
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	46→53	52→55	52→55	44	230/294/392	162	319	20	13	33%	8%	93	+0.8	234/299/408	174	324	21	23	32%	8%	99	+1.2	228/297/401	173	313	21	27	33%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	44	46→40	49→50	49	214/312/344	129	290	14	11	29%	10%	89	+0.5	212/309/310	98	304	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.1	207/293/299	92	288	9	15	29%	9%	68	-0.6

Kyle Lodise

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps