Kyle Lodise — OGILVIE

Kyle LodiseSS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION337 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .292 / .310

PA224

HR5

SB12

K%30

BB%11

BABIP255

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$34M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	96	16	2	1	4	11	31	4	7	1	167	279	333	613	167	190	27	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	CWS	—	337	287	46	10	2	7	39	111	8	29	6	160	278	282	561	122	228	33	12	254	53	-18	+3	+0	+4	+10	-0.2
YTD	22	A+	CWS	—	337	267	56	13	2	9	59	83	8	29	6	210	368	375	743	165	266	25	18	340	119	+7	+3	+0	+4	+10	2.4
ROS	22	A+	CWS	0%	224	193	36	7	1	5	25	68	4	12	3	186	292	310	602	124	260	30	11	285	76	-6	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						261	0	0	272	66	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	CWS	—	338	288	46	10	2	7	39	111	8	29	6	160	278	281	559	122	227	33	12	254	53	-18	+3	-0	+4	+10	-0.2
TOT	22	A+	CWS	—	561	480	82	17	3	12	64	179	12	41	9	171	284	293	577	123	239	32	11	266	62	-24	+5	-1	+6	+16	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CWS	43%	343	297	60	12	2	9	37	100	6	11	2	202	303	347	650	145	265	29	11	292	81	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.6
2028	24	MLB	CWS	58%	415	360	74	15	2	11	45	118	7	12	3	206	306	350	656	144	268	28	11	297	85	-7	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.9
2029	25	MLB	CWS	65%	444	387	80	16	2	12	47	124	7	11	2	207	304	351	655	145	269	28	11	300	87	-6	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.1
2030	26	MLB	CWS	68%	611	531	111	22	3	17	65	170	10	15	3	209	307	358	665	149	270	28	11	301	88	-8	+2	-3	+7	+17	1.5
2031	27	MLB	CWS	68%	606	525	110	22	3	17	66	169	10	14	3	210	309	360	669	150	270	28	11	301	89	-8	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.5
2032	28	MLB	CWS	68%	599	520	107	21	3	16	65	168	9	13	3	206	305	350	655	144	269	28	11	300	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.3
2033	29	MLB	CWS	66%	451	392	80	16	2	12	49	127	7	9	2	204	304	347	651	143	269	28	11	299	87	-7	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.8
2034	30	MLB	CWS	66%	441	383	78	15	2	12	48	126	7	9	2	204	304	347	651	144	268	29	11	296	85	-8	+1	-4	+5	+12	0.7
2027	23	MLB	CWS	43%	149	130	26	5	1	4	16	43	2	5	1	200	297	346	643	146	265	29	11	281	73	-5	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2028	24	MLB	CWS	58%	241	209	44	9	1	7	26	68	4	7	1	211	310	364	673	153	269	28	11	286	77	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2029	25	MLB	CWS	65%	288	250	52	10	2	8	31	81	5	7	2	208	308	360	668	152	270	28	11	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.4
2030	26	MLB	CWS	68%	416	362	76	15	2	12	44	116	7	10	2	210	308	362	669	152	271	28	11	291	81	-9	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.7
2031	27	MLB	CWS	68%	412	357	75	15	2	12	45	115	7	10	2	210	311	364	675	154	271	28	11	291	81	-9	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.7
2032	28	MLB	CWS	68%	407	354	74	15	2	11	44	114	6	9	2	209	307	356	663	147	270	28	11	290	80	-9	+1	-2	+4	+12	0.5
2033	29	MLB	CWS	66%	300	259	54	11	1	8	33	85	5	6	1	208	310	351	661	143	270	28	11	288	79	-7	+1	-2	+3	+8	0.3
2034	30	MLB	CWS	66%	289	251	51	10	1	8	32	82	4	6	1	203	303	347	650	143	269	28	11	286	77	-7	+1	-3	+3	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2503	2173	452	90	12	70	271	704	40	60	12	208	307	357	664	149	271	28	11	289	79	-59	+7	-15	+27	+71	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	117	23	3	18	70	183	10	16	3	207	305	355	660	147	270	28	11	289	79	-15	+2	-4	+7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	4247	3684	752	148	21	115	458	1201	71	113	24	204	304	349	653	145	266	28	11	297	85	-70	+13	-24	+46	+120	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	116	23	3	18	70	184	11	17	4	206	305	353	658	147	268	28	11	297	85	-11	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	113	92	17	3	1	4	15	21	4	7	1	185	324	370	694	185	188	19	13	313	98	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,502	68	60	208	304	355	+27	-6	6.7	6.5
	/162	664	18	16	208	304	355	+7.1	-1.5	1.8	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Lodise (OGILVIE)	22	30→47	35→42	55	60	171/284/293	123	239	12	41	32%	11%	62	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→55	57→55	49	219/303/341	122	299	9	19	28%	10%	82	+0.5	220/282/336	116	290	11	21	26%	7%	72	-0.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Steve Tolleson 2006 · A	22	42→52	44→45	50	51	209/292/329	120	248	12	8	20%	9%	75	-0.0	236/309/339	103	302	8	12	23%	9%	84	+0.6	255/312/378	123	303	11	12	19%	7%	91	+0.9
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	44→39	45	52→55	49	219/291/341	122	268	12	21	23%	8%	77	+0.1	208/258/316	108	272	10	13	26%	6%	56	-1.3	142/167/229	87	185	9	6	29%	2%	-7	-1.1
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→50	48→50	54→55	46	235/299/377	141	293	16	14	25%	8%	90	+1.0	211/279/333	122	267	11	20	24%	7%	70	-0.3	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	41→51	47→50	54→55	41	205/273/349	144	294	13	13	34%	7%	72	-0.2	233/279/364	131	293	11	16	24%	6%	77	+0.1	244/287/365	121	297	10	15	21%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	44→53	49→50	49→55	46	224/295/363	140	285	17	16	27%	8%	85	+0.7	236/289/367	131	301	14	19	25%	6%	82	+0.5	242/290/380	137	303	15	21	25%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	53→55	53	218/296/306	88	253	9	19	18%	9%	70	-0.3	203/280/285	82	264	6	13	23%	9%	58	-1.2	141/245/214	74	184	4	14	24%	11%	24	-0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	47→56	44→50	51→50	46	228/291/356	128	301	9	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	248/302/388	140	329	12	14	27%	7%	93	+1.3	253/307/401	148	331	14	16	26%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	47→45	48→50	52→50	41	230/312/373	143	305	15	13	28%	6%	95	+1.4	220/304/371	151	284	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	207/291/353	147	263	19	11	28%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5