Jordan Beck — OGILVIE

Jordan BeckLF Colorado Rockies

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 227 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.890 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 239 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 118113vR 100

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .308 / .402

PA239

HR6

SB10

K%29

BB%7

BABIP340

ISO151

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

3412.8%

xwOBA

330.289

POWER50

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

2186.9

Bat Spd

7774.2

EYE50

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 826 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

213

613

—

wRC+

107

◀◀L

wOBA

325

285

◀L

ISO

177

125

◀◀L

BABIP

354

314

◀L

30.5%

30.2%

—

BB%

5.6%

7.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.890 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$11M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$10M	+$7M
2029	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$28M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	ROK	2 teams	—	109	95	21	5	0	3	14	30	0	0	0	221	321	368	690	147	290	28	13	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	2 teams	—	109	88	26	7	0	3	21	20	0	0	0	295	431	477	908	182	354	18	19	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	564	517	101	25	2	19	44	186	0	20	5	195	258	362	620	166	260	33	8	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	2 teams	—	564	487	132	34	2	25	73	142	0	20	5	271	365	503	868	232	331	25	13	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	373	340	68	13	1	7	28	124	2	13	2	200	265	306	571	106	288	33	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	2 teams	—	373	333	84	17	2	11	35	109	2	13	2	252	327	414	741	162	338	29	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	625	576	124	22	5	13	44	187	4	21	8	215	276	339	614	123	294	30	7	273	67	-23	+1	-3	-7	+18	-1.4
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	625	574	144	27	6	17	45	183	4	21	8	251	309	408	717	157	339	29	7	319	102	+1	+1	-3	-7	+18	1.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	COL	—	156	144	25	6	2	3	9	44	1	6	1	174	227	306	533	132	222	28	6	238	40	-11	+1	-0	-2	+4	-0.8
YTD	25	MLB	COL	—	156	143	29	7	2	4	10	39	1	6	1	203	260	364	623	161	245	25	6	274	68	-6	+1	-0	-2	+4	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	COL	100%	239	219	55	11	2	6	16	70	2	10	2	251	308	402	710	151	328	29	7	304	91	-2	+1	+1	-3	+7	0.4
ROS	25	MLB	COL	100%	239	219	59	12	2	7	16	70	2	10	2	269	325	438	763	169	354	29	7	322	105	+1	+1	+1	-3	+7	0.8
FULL	25	MLB	COL	—	395	363	84	18	4	10	25	114	3	16	3	231	286	386	672	154	306	29	6	289	79	-9	+2	+1	-4	+11	0.0
TOT	25	MLB	COL	—	395	363	80	17	4	9	25	114	3	16	3	220	276	364	640	143	292	29	6	278	71	-13	+2	+1	-4	+11	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	COL	65%	615	565	141	28	4	15	41	179	4	25	5	250	305	393	698	143	335	29	7	309	95	-4	+3	+3	-7	+17	1.3
2028	27	MLB	COL	65%	603	553	138	27	4	15	41	176	4	24	5	250	306	394	700	145	335	29	7	309	95	-4	+3	+3	-6	+17	1.3
2029	28	MLB	COL	65%	591	541	133	26	4	14	41	174	4	23	5	246	304	386	690	140	334	29	7	308	94	-4	+3	+2	-6	+17	1.1
2027	26	MLB	COL	65%	400	367	98	20	3	11	27	117	3	16	3	267	322	428	750	161	361	29	7	328	109	+4	+2	+2	-4	+11	1.5
2028	27	MLB	COL	65%	392	359	97	20	3	11	27	115	3	16	3	270	326	435	761	164	361	29	7	328	109	+4	+2	+2	-4	+11	1.5
2029	28	MLB	COL	65%	384	352	94	19	3	11	27	113	2	15	3	267	323	432	755	165	360	29	7	326	108	+3	+2	+1	-4	+11	1.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2187	2006	519	104	16	59	152	654	15	83	20	259	316	415	730	156	353	30	7	319	102	+5	+9	+1	-26	+62	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	155	31	5	18	45	194	4	25	6	260	316	419	735	159	354	30	7	319	102	+2	+3	+0	-8	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	3719	3406	781	157	22	92	269	1126	20	136	32	229	290	369	659	140	312	30	7	291	81	-80	+14	+4	-40	+105	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	136	27	4	16	47	197	3	24	6	229	288	368	656	139	312	30	7	291	81	-14	+2	+1	-7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	52	39	11	2	0	2	13	9	0	0	0	282	462	487	949	205	321	17	25	426	184	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	57	49	15	5	0	1	8	11	0	0	0	306	404	469	873	163	378	19	14	390	157	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	223	192	46	15	1	5	30	71	0	9	2	240	341	406	747	167	353	32	13	336	115	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	341	295	86	19	1	20	43	71	0	11	3	292	382	566	948	275	319	21	13	408	171	+27	+1	—	—	+10	3.9
2024	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	184	170	32	6	0	3	12	65	1	7	1	188	246	276	522	88	282	35	7	238	41	-12	+1	-2	-4	+5	-1.2
2024	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	189	163	52	11	2	8	23	44	1	6	1	319	406	558	965	239	389	23	12	417	177	+17	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2025	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	588	539	139	27	5	16	43	174	4	19	8	258	317	416	732	158	351	30	7	325	107	+5	+1	-3	-7	+17	1.3
2025	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	37	35	5	0	1	1	2	9	0	2	0	143	189	286	475	143	160	24	5	211	20	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	772	709	171	33	5	19	55	239	5	26	9	241	300	382	682	141	336	31	7	305	91	-8	+2	-5	-11	+22	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,431	58	92	241	295	382	-26	-13	1.9	2.0
	/162	664	16	25	241	295	382	-7.1	-3.6	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Beck (OGILVIE)	25	45	50	60	50	220/276/364	143	292	9	16	29%	6%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Jake Marisnick 2016 · MLB	25	47→52	45→60	56→55	39	234/278/357	123	300	12	29	26%	4%	76	+0.0	223/278/380	157	296	18	21	30%	6%	82	+0.5	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
✕Jared Oliva 2021 · MLB	25	46→45	43→50	56→65	41	221/282/331	110	303	10	26	29%	6%	71	-0.3	211/263/323	112	294	8	23	30%	5%	59	-1.1	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2016 · MLB	25	46→53	48→55	55→60	40	227/284/365	139	329	17	24	35%	7%	80	+0.4	232/284/382	150	326	17	26	32%	7%	85	+0.7	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
●Junior Lake 2015 · MLB	25	47→54	46→50	49→55	38	231/274/361	130	312	14	17	30%	5%	75	-0.0	225/282/342	117	317	11	17	30%	7%	72	-0.2	231/302/372	141	287	15	19	24%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Phillip Ervin 2018 · MLB	26	43→50	45→50	55	46	214/282/335	121	263	13	27	24%	7%	72	-0.2	233/301/376	143	295	14	18	25%	7%	91	+1.1	224/295/373	149	289	15	17	27%	7%	85	+0.4
●Victor Robles 2022 · MLB	25	46→54	44→50	50→60	45	224/307/352	127	290	11	18	25%	7%	88	+0.9	240/309/344	104	306	8	27	23%	7%	85	+0.7	283/353/387	105	352	6	51	20%	6%	113	+0.9
●Drew Stubbs 2010 · MLB	25	49→51	42→50	57→60	45	233/297/341	109	320	9	31	28%	8%	79	+0.3	236/306/369	133	321	15	32	29%	9%	91	+1.1	230/304/364	134	313	16	33	30%	9%	86	+0.8
✕Lane Adams 2016 · AAA	26	45→46	47→50	56→60	42	228/278/361	132	291	14	27	27%	6%	76	+0.1	220/275/346	126	316	13	33	33%	6%	72	-0.2	188/255/332	144	293	17	28	40%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Óscar Mercado 2021 · MLB	26	48→54	46→55	55→60	46	240/294/374	133	285	14	24	21%	6%	86	+0.8	227/291/374	147	267	15	21	21%	7%	86	+0.8	226/292/376	150	266	15	26	21%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Drew Ferguson 2018 · AAA	25	49	43→45	51→55	44	234/298/348	114	315	10	19	28%	7%	82	+0.5	241/322/354	113	329	10	19	28%	9%	93	+1.3	231/324/331	100	329	9	23	29%	10%	86	+0.4
✕Romy Gonzalez 2022 · MLB	25	43→41	50	52→55	37	218/267/370	152	309	19	19	35%	6%	75	-0.0	222/264/367	145	315	17	20	34%	5%	72	-0.2	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	268	12	15	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	75	-0.0	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	44→53	48→50	53→50	46	225/285/363	138	263	16	18	21%	7%	81	+0.4	240/309/371	131	275	15	13	18%	8%	92	+1.2	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Michael Hermosillo 2019 · MLB	24	45→46	46→55	50→55	41	220/290/350	130	299	13	19	30%	6%	79	+0.3	209/290/364	155	296	18	15	34%	7%	84	+0.6	190/276/362	172	250	23	16	33%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Manuel Margot 2020 · MLB	25	50→53	48→50	54→60	49	248/306/401	154	286	15	19	19%	8%	98	+1.6	251/311/380	129	291	12	20	17%	8%	95	+1.4	256/312/371	114	298	10	15	17%	7%	89	+0.7
●Aaron Altherr 2016 · MLB	25	46→52	48→55	53→50	42	231/284/384	153	297	14	15	27%	6%	85	+0.7	233/308/398	165	299	17	12	27%	8%	99	+1.7	219/309/381	161	291	18	10	29%	10%	92	+0.7
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
●Greg Golson 2011 · MLB	25	45→51	41→45	54→55	37	221/257/319	98	302	8	19	29%	4%	56	-1.3	229/268/340	111	315	9	20	29%	4%	66	-0.6	267/319/357	90	377	5	31	28%	5%	87	+0.3