Anthony Alford — OGILVIE

Anthony AlfordLF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 32 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .276 / .330

PA200

HR5

K%35

BB%8

ISO126

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2022

CONTACT—

Whiff%

1018.1%

xwOBA

220.275

POWER58

Barrel%

599.6

Avg EV

1085.8

EYE49

Chase%

3534.6%

SPEED76

Sprint

9029.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	20	19	3	0	0	1	1	6	0	4	0	158	200	316	516	158	167	30	5	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	20	18	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	4	0	167	250	333	583	167	154	20	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	30	24	5	2	1	0	4	9	1	2	0	208	345	375	720	167	333	30	13	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	30	22	5	2	1	0	6	6	1	2	0	227	414	409	823	182	312	20	20	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	INTL	3 teams	—	219	201	38	2	0	6	12	106	6	14	2	189	256	289	544	100	360	48	5	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	INTL	3 teams	—	219	189	42	5	1	5	24	67	6	14	2	222	329	339	667	116	316	31	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	2 teams	—	487	432	91	16	5	3	48	164	4	27	7	211	295	292	587	81	328	34	10	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	2 teams	—	487	413	123	25	7	4	67	109	4	27	7	298	401	421	822	123	393	22	14	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	2 teams	—	487	433	67	14	1	9	45	222	5	26	10	155	242	254	496	99	282	46	9	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	2 teams	—	487	414	99	20	3	12	64	141	5	26	10	239	348	389	737	150	328	29	13	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	3 teams	—	425	380	96	16	0	5	32	94	8	27	6	253	324	334	658	82	319	22	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	3 teams	—	425	371	116	20	2	7	41	80	8	27	6	313	393	434	827	121	378	19	10	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	3 teams	—	463	422	86	19	1	3	27	157	12	18	8	204	271	275	546	71	314	34	6	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	3 teams	—	463	414	96	23	1	5	35	129	12	18	8	232	310	329	639	97	323	28	8	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	3 teams	—	364	331	67	14	4	7	26	133	6	24	8	202	273	332	605	130	314	37	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	3 teams	—	364	323	83	18	4	9	34	106	6	24	8	257	339	421	760	164	356	29	9	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	29	28	6	0	1	2	1	8	0	3	0	214	241	500	741	286	222	28	3	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+0	+1	-0.0
2020	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	29	28	6	0	1	2	1	8	0	3	0	214	241	500	741	286	222	28	3	317	101	+0	+1	-2	+0	+1	-0.0
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	374	337	76	15	1	14	30	159	7	14	10	226	302	401	703	175	378	43	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	2 teams	—	374	322	89	18	1	19	45	136	7	14	10	276	377	516	893	239	419	36	12	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	44	39	6	0	0	3	5	17	0	2	0	154	250	385	635	231	158	39	11	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	44	38	7	0	0	4	6	15	0	2	0	184	295	500	795	316	158	34	14	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA	2 teams	—	69	63	10	2	0	1	6	39	0	1	0	159	232	238	470	79	391	57	9	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	AA	2 teams	—	69	62	11	2	0	2	7	29	0	1	0	177	261	306	567	129	290	42	10	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	CIN	—	200	180	38	7	1	5	16	70	2	3	1	211	283	344	627	133	303	35	8	275	69	-7	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	CIN	23%	170	153	31	5	1	4	14	60	1	2	1	203	274	327	601	124	298	35	8	268	63	-7	+0	-4	-2	+5	-0.8
2028	34	MLB	CIN	18%	129	117	24	4	1	3	10	46	1	1	0	205	273	333	607	128	291	36	8	259	57	-6	+0	-5	-1	+4	-0.9
2027	33	MLB	CIN	23%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	194	256	306	562	111	300	36	8	266	61	-2	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.2
2028	34	MLB	CIN	18%	23	21	5	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	238	304	429	733	190	293	35	9	257	55	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	290	265	56	8	2	10	21	108	4	11	6	211	279	370	649	158	313	37	7	287	78	-7	-0	-1	-13	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	125	18	4	22	47	242	9	25	13	210	278	365	644	155	312	37	7	287	78	-16	-0	-1	-30	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	3510	3159	644	116	17	66	277	1290	53	168	53	204	279	314	593	110	318	37	8	264	60	-159	+12	-8	-37	+99	-9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	118	21	3	12	51	239	10	31	10	202	277	309	586	108	315	37	8	264	60	-29	+2	-1	-7	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	20	18	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	4	0	167	250	333	583	167	154	20	10	264	60	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2013	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	30	22	5	2	1	0	6	6	1	2	0	227	414	409	823	182	312	20	20	364	137	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2014	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	25	25	8	1	0	1	0	8	0	4	0	320	320	480	800	160	438	32	0	352	127	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2014	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	35	29	6	0	0	1	5	13	1	1	0	207	343	310	653	103	333	37	14	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2014	20	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	159	135	28	4	1	3	19	46	5	9	2	207	327	319	646	111	291	29	12	302	89	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2015	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	255	225	68	11	6	3	28	49	1	15	6	302	382	444	826	142	374	19	11	368	140	+11	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2015	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	232	188	55	14	1	1	39	60	3	12	1	293	422	394	815	101	419	26	17	372	143	+11	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
2016	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	401	339	80	17	2	9	53	117	5	18	6	236	348	378	725	142	327	29	13	328	109	+4	+1	—	—	+11	1.7
2016	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	86	75	19	3	1	3	11	24	0	8	4	253	349	440	789	187	333	28	13	352	127	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	289	245	76	14	0	5	35	45	6	18	3	310	409	429	838	118	360	16	12	376	146	+15	+2	—	—	+8	2.6
2017	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	22	21	3	0	0	0	0	8	1	1	0	143	182	143	325		231	36	0	157	-22	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	23	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	114	105	37	6	2	2	6	27	1	8	3	352	393	505	898	152	449	24	5	390	157	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2018	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	21	19	2	0	0	0	2	9	0	1	0	105	190	105	296		200	43	10	153	-25	-3	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.7
2018	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	417	375	90	22	1	5	30	112	10	17	7	240	313	344	657	104	327	27	7	299	87	-6	+1	—	—	+12	0.6
2018	24	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	25	20	4	1	0	0	3	8	2	0	1	200	360	250	610	50	333	32	12	302	90	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2019	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	30	28	5	0	0	1	1	11	1	2	0	179	233	286	519	107	250	37	3	238	40	-2	+0	+0	-4	+1	-0.4
2019	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	319	282	73	16	3	7	31	94	5	22	8	259	343	411	754	152	365	29	10	338	117	+6	+1	—	—	+9	1.7
2019	25	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	15	13	5	2	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	385	467	923	1.390	538	364	7	13	571	295	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2020	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	29	28	6	0	1	2	1	8	0	3	0	214	241	500	741	286	222	28	3	317	101	+0	+1	-2	+0	+1	-0.0
2021	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	148	133	31	6	1	5	12	58	3	5	6	233	311	406	717	173	371	39	8	321	104	+1	-1	+2	-4	+4	0.1
2021	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	226	189	58	12	0	14	33	78	4	9	4	307	420	593	1.013	286	454	35	15	440	195	+24	+0	—	—	+6	3.1
2022	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	44	38	7	0	0	4	6	15	0	2	0	184	295	500	795	316	158	34	14	346	123	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	30	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	41	36	8	2	0	1	5	18	0	0	0	222	317	361	678	139	412	44	12	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	30	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	28	26	3	0	0	1	2	11	0	1	0	115	179	231	409	115	143	39	7	189	3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	228	208	44	6	2	8	16	86	4	11	6	212	281	375	656	163	316	38	7	294	83	-4	-0	+1	-13	+6	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	214	6	6	225	298	382	-2	-0	-0.1	0.0
	/162	664	20	17	225	298	382	-7.1	-0.2	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Alford (OGILVIE)	32	—	58	76	49	205/276/330	125	303	5	3	35%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kristopher Negrón 2018 · MLB	32	44→51	44→45	55	39	219/272/337	118	290	11	17	28%	5%	68	-0.5	225/283/348	123	327	14	14	33%	6%	76	+0.0	221/284/340	119	329	14	14	35%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2019 · AAA	32	43→53	44→50	55	39	216/253/337	121	277	10	20	26%	4%	59	-1.1	243/299/363	120	301	11	13	22%	6%	85	+0.7	254/312/370	116	313	9	13	21%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Bobby Smith 2006 · AAA	32	48→49	45→50	54→50	44	239/288/361	121	287	13	11	22%	6%	80	+0.4	230/273/362	132	309	14	11	29%	5%	74	-0.1	214/247/354	141	308	14	7	35%	4%	58	-0.4
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	42→41	49→50	53→55	49	213/292/360	147	273	17	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	196/273/336	140	263	16	15	30%	9%	69	-0.4	169/251/300	130	226	15	14	31%	10%	50	-1.0
✕Dusty Coleman 2018 · MLB	31	38→42	48→50	51→50	35	194/248/337	142	295	15	14	38%	6%	58	-1.2	170/225/296	126	336	14	12	51%	6%	38	-2.6	106/161/203	97	243	12	11	59%	5%	-16	-3.5
✕Seth Bynum 2012 · AAA	31	41→44	49→55	51→50	38	213/259/357	144	287	18	13	32%	5%	68	-0.5	205/257/329	124	302	14	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	179/234/287	108	272	12	6	37%	6%	35	-1.9
✕John Andreoli 2021 · MLB	31	45→55	44→45	54→60	47	214/296/334	120	316	11	15	33%	10%	78	+0.2	183/279/327	144	316	17	17	43%	11%	69	-0.4	145/256/290	145	243	19	21	45%	13%	49	-0.9
✕Denis Phipps 2016 · AAA	31	42→52	43→50	52→50	40	208/261/318	110	275	10	13	28%	6%	59	-1.1	213/251/373	160	293	20	11	34%	4%	69	-0.4	177/204/358	180	230	25	9	36%	3%	41	-0.7
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Brent Clevlen 2015 · AAA	31	42→52	47→50	52→50	42	213/271/348	135	292	15	9	32%	7%	70	-0.3	217/265/354	137	300	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	205/253/340	134	279	18	7	32%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	46→51	40	55	41	222/271/314	93	299	8	20	28%	6%	61	-1.0	188/232/271	83	274	7	16	32%	5%	33	-2.9	144/183/194	50	198	3	12	28%	5%	-9	-1.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2022 · AAA	31	40→50	41→45	60	40	199/249/301	103	264	8	27	28%	5%	48	-1.9	234/284/358	124	291	12	32	23%	6%	78	+0.2	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Tim Torres 2016 · AAA	32	46→51	43→45	55	43	222/285/339	116	316	10	16	32%	8%	73	-0.1	246/309/377	131	329	13	19	27%	8%	94	+1.3	257/323/389	132	338	13	23	26%	9%	102	+0.8
✕Pete Orr 2011 · MLB	32	46→45	43→45	56→55	41	223/268/343	119	269	9	21	21%	4%	67	-0.5	227/267/327	100	279	7	20	21%	4%	63	-0.9	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→48	45→50	53→55	44	227/284/344	117	284	14	21	25%	6%	75	-0.0	216/277/342	126	282	13	14	27%	7%	71	-0.3	187/252/315	128	245	12	10	28%	6%	51	-0.6
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Jake Marisnick 2023 · MLB	32	45→52	47→60	53→55	38	224/281/361	137	313	14	17	32%	5%	78	+0.2	216/287/369	153	299	16	18	32%	7%	83	+0.6	207/287/375	168	285	18	20	32%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Anton French 2006 · AAA	31	46	46→55	60	38	232/266/370	138	295	12	18	26%	4%	73	-0.1	239/291/394	155	287	17	23	22%	7%	90	+1.0	259/313/441	182	300	21	30	21%	7%	110	+1.5
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	41→40	45	51→50	39	203/265/328	124	281	12	14	31%	6%	63	-0.8	211/268/328	117	268	12	13	25%	6%	64	-0.8	199/258/303	104	244	11	12	23%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Jeremy Owens 2007 · AA	30	41→37	47→45	54→55	34	204/251/332	128	317	15	20	39%	5%	58	-1.2	209/245/327	118	331	12	18	39%	4%	53	-1.5	217/246/330	113	357	9	21	40%	4%	50	-1.0