Owen Carey

OF Rome Emperors
Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2356ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202519AATL525.258/.332/.34541760—.228/.290/.301
202620AA/A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs436.248/.336/.41010874—.208/.268/.348
2027PROJMLE21MLBATL1.214/.272/.3300069-0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB22MLBATL97.220/.280/.3492277-0.1
2029PROJ38% MLB23MLBATL171.224/.286/.3614382-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.8M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed80
Z-Con%47
K%39
BB%30
Whiff%29
ISO28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 5.1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 78%
CompsLivan Soto (age 22) · Gavin Conticello (age 21) · Conner Capel (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .272 / .330
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%6
BABIP279
ISO125
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$6M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Arb-1$0.8M———
2032Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$2M———
Totals $0.0M $-0.4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202519 AAugusta GreenJackets — 525469 1212524 388214 1710 258332345677 87303 167 308 60 — — — — — —
202620 AAColumbus Clingstones — 152133 28522 13404 31 211300323623 113280 269 283 52 — — — — — —
202620 A+Rome Emperors — 225202 551048 19404 31 272347480827 208305 188 364 82 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Braves — 2018 3100 250 10 167250222472 56231 2510 224 -15 — — — — — —
202620 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 3930 9020 732 10 300462433895 133333 818 408 162 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 525479 1092223 2811314 1710 228290301590 73282 225 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLEColumbus Clingstones — 152137 27522 9494 31 197267307573 109271 326 245 52 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLERome Emperors — 225209 47837 12524 31 225280392672 167265 235 289 82 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 2019 2100 170 10 105150158308 53181 355 146 -15 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 525479 1092223 2811314 1710 228290301590 73290 225 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 525469 1212524 388214 1710 258332345677 87303 167 308 60 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE4 teams — 436399 8314610 2511910 82 208272348620 140268 276 265 65 — — — — — —
202620 A+ RAW4 teams — 436383 9516810 418810 82 248336410746 162296 209 334 65 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 525478 1092223 2811314 1710 228290301591 73282 225 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE4 teams — 436398 8314610 2511910 82 209272349621 141263 276 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202519 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 525478 1092223 2811314 1710 228290301591 73282 225 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLE4 teams — 436398 8314610 2511910 82 209272349621 141263 276 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEATL 0% 507465 991949 281369 83 214272330602 117279 276 270 69 -19 +0 -0 -3 +11 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXATL 0% 11 0000 000 00 214272330602 117279 00 270 69 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEATL 25% 387354 781538 231017 73 220280349629 130280 266 281 77 -11 +0 -0 -2 +8 -0.5
202923 MLB MLEATL 38% 446407 9217411 281148 93 224286361647 137281 266 289 82 -10 +1 +0 -3 +10 -0.2
203024 MLB MLEATL 44% 482440 9918412 311218 103 227290369658 142283 256 294 85 -9 +1 +0 -3 +10 -0.0
203125 MLB MLEATL 47% 504458 10419413 331258 104 228292373665 145283 257 296 87 -8 +0 +1 -3 +11 0.1
203226 MLB MLEATL 49% 513466 10720413 341278 114 229294374668 145283 257 298 88 -8 +1 +1 -3 +11 0.2
203327 MLB MLEATL 49% 513466 10720413 341288 104 228293372664 144283 257 296 87 -8 +0 +1 -3 +11 0.1
203428 MLB MLEATL 49% 509462 10519413 341288 94 226290367658 141282 257 293 85 -9 +0 -0 -3 +11 -0.1
203529 MLB MLEATL 48% 496453 10219412 331267 84 224288361648 137280 257 290 82 -10 +0 -1 -3 +11 -0.4
203630 MLB MLEATL 48% 483441 9718311 321247 74 221284353637 132278 267 285 79 -12 -0 -1 -3 +10 -0.6
202822 MLB CTXATL 25% 9789 20412 6252 21 220280349629 130280 266 281 77 -3 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXATL 38% 171155 34614 11443 31 224286361647 137281 266 289 82 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXATL 44% 212192 44825 14534 41 227290369658 142283 257 294 85 -4 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.0
203125 MLB CTXATL 47% 238216 49926 16594 52 228292373665 145283 257 296 87 -4 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.0
203226 MLB CTXATL 49% 252229 531027 17624 52 229294374668 145283 257 298 88 -4 +0 +0 -2 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXATL 49% 252229 521026 17634 52 228293372664 144283 257 296 87 -4 +0 +0 -2 +5 0.0
203428 MLB CTXATL 49% 250227 521026 17634 52 226290367658 141282 257 293 85 -5 +0 -0 -2 +5 -0.0
203529 MLB CTXATL 48% 239217 49926 16614 42 224288361648 137280 267 290 82 -5 +0 -0 -1 +5 -0.2
203630 MLB CTXATL 48% 229209 46825 15593 32 221284353637 132278 267 285 79 -6 -0 -1 -1 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 19401763 399741647 12948932 3615 226291366657 140285 257 292 79 -37 +1 +0 -12 +42 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 13425516 4316411 125 227292367659 140285 257 292 79 -12 +0 +0 -4 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 55045017 112520944123 347138297 10946 224287357644 133283 256 285 79 -92 +3 -0 -27 +98 -1.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 13325515 4116311 135 225287360647 135283 256 285 79 -13 +0 -0 -4 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 225 PAwOBA .355 → .289 (−66)K% 17.8% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.78%÷1.000×1.310——23.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.44%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0425.28%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.770—×1.0421.43%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷1.000×0.870×0.984×1.04218.18%
Doubles /BIP6.17%÷1.000×0.780×0.984×1.0424.94%
Triples /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.850×0.984×1.0422.15%
Home runs /BIP4.94%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0424.53%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .355 → .289; ISO .208 → .178; BABIP .305 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 152 PAwOBA .280 → .245 (−34)K% 26.3% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.32%÷1.000×1.220——32.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.55%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0506.11%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.840—×1.0502.32%
Singles /BIP20.43%÷1.000×0.920×1.012×1.05019.96%
Doubles /BIP5.38%÷1.000×0.910×1.012×1.0505.20%
Triples /BIP2.15%÷1.000×0.880×1.012×1.0502.01%
Home runs /BIP2.15%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0501.81%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .280 → .245; ISO .113 → .099; BABIP .280 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 20 PAwOBA .219 → .146 (−73)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.440——36.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99512.55%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9955.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .219 → .146; ISO .056 → .035; BABIP .231 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 525 PAwOBA .302 → .257 (−46)K% 15.6% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.62%÷0.984×1.360——21.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.24%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0455.30%
HBP% /PA2.67%—×0.780—×1.0452.17%
Singles /BIP23.26%÷1.030×0.920×1.010×1.04521.93%
Doubles /BIP6.46%÷0.977×0.830×1.010×1.0455.80%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.037×0.910×1.010×1.0450.48%
Home runs /BIP1.03%÷1.281×0.800—×1.0450.67%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .302 → .257; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .303 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .