Owen Carey — OGILVIE

Owen CareyOF Rome Emperors

Age 20 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION393 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%5

BABIP275

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.9M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	469	121	25	2	4	38	82	14	17	10	258	332	345	677	87	303	16	7	308	95	-3	-1	—	—	+11	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	483	104	21	1	3	24	118	14	17	10	215	273	282	554	66	274	22	5	246	53	-30	-1	—	—	+11	-1.9
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	483	104	21	1	3	24	118	14	17	10	215	273	282	554	66	277	22	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	469	121	25	2	4	38	82	14	17	10	258	332	345	677	87	303	16	7	308	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	482	104	21	1	3	24	118	14	17	10	216	273	282	555	66	274	22	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	482	104	21	1	3	24	118	14	17	10	216	273	282	555	66	274	22	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	ATL	—	393	360	74	13	5	8	23	107	8	7	2	206	269	336	605	131	267	27	6	262	63	-17	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK RAW	ATL	—	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	167	250	222	472	56	231	25	10	224	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	ATL	—	225	202	55	10	4	8	19	40	4	3	1	272	347	480	827	208	305	18	8	364	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA RAW	ATL	—	148	129	28	5	2	2	13	38	4	3	1	217	308	333	642	116	286	26	9	291	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	ATL	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		275	22	0	265	65	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	ATL	—	402	369	75	13	5	8	23	109	8	7	2	203	265	331	596	127	264	27	6	262	63	-18	+1	-0	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	25%	567	517	114	21	5	11	34	139	11	10	4	221	283	344	627	124	276	25	6	281	76	-16	+0	-0	-3	+12	-0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	38%	597	543	124	23	5	14	38	141	11	11	5	228	292	366	659	138	278	24	6	292	84	-11	+0	-0	-4	+13	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	45%	615	559	130	24	5	16	40	142	11	12	5	233	297	379	676	147	279	23	7	299	89	-8	+0	-0	-4	+13	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	627	569	133	24	5	17	42	143	11	13	5	234	299	383	682	149	280	23	7	304	92	-6	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	634	575	134	25	5	17	43	144	11	13	5	233	299	383	681	150	281	23	7	306	93	-5	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	639	579	136	25	5	18	44	145	11	13	6	235	301	389	690	154	280	23	7	307	94	-5	+0	-0	-4	+14	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	637	576	135	25	5	18	45	145	11	13	6	234	302	389	691	155	280	23	7	307	94	-5	+0	-0	-4	+14	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	50%	631	570	132	24	5	17	45	144	11	13	5	232	300	381	681	149	280	23	7	306	93	-5	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	621	561	131	24	5	17	44	143	11	12	5	234	302	385	687	152	279	23	7	304	92	-6	+0	-2	-4	+13	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	609	549	127	23	5	16	44	142	11	12	5	231	301	379	680	148	278	23	7	301	90	-7	+0	-2	-4	+13	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	595	537	121	22	4	15	43	141	10	11	4	225	295	365	660	140	275	24	7	297	87	-9	+1	-3	-4	+13	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	25%	143	131	28	5	1	3	8	35	3	2	1	214	275	336	611	122	276	24	6	267	76	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	38%	229	209	47	9	2	5	14	54	4	4	2	225	286	359	645	134	278	24	6	279	84	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	45%	280	255	58	11	2	7	18	65	5	5	2	227	291	369	660	141	279	23	6	286	89	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	302	274	64	12	2	8	20	69	5	6	3	234	298	380	677	146	280	23	7	290	92	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	315	285	67	12	3	9	21	71	6	6	3	235	301	393	694	158	281	23	7	293	93	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	323	292	69	13	3	9	22	73	6	7	3	236	303	394	697	158	280	23	7	294	94	-2	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	319	288	68	12	3	9	22	73	6	7	3	236	304	392	696	156	280	23	7	294	94	-2	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	50%	314	283	66	12	2	9	22	72	6	6	3	233	302	385	687	152	280	23	7	293	93	-3	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	301	271	62	11	2	8	22	69	5	6	2	229	299	373	671	144	279	23	7	291	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	291	263	60	11	2	8	21	68	5	6	2	228	298	376	674	148	278	23	7	288	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2037	31	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	307	277	62	11	2	8	22	73	5	6	2	224	293	365	657	141	275	24	7	284	87	-5	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3124	2828	651	119	24	83	212	722	56	61	26	230	297	377	674	147	278	23	7	289	87	-36	+2	-4	-19	+68	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	135	25	5	17	44	150	12	13	5	230	297	376	672	146	278	23	7	289	87	-7	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7306	6627	1522	281	55	179	486	1689	134	150	65	230	296	370	665	140	280	23	7	297	87	-84	+5	-8	-41	+147	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	136	25	5	16	43	150	12	13	6	231	296	371	667	141	281	23	7	297	87	-8	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.7	3,123	82	61	232	296	380	-19	+8	3.3	3.1
/162	664	18	13	-4.0	+1.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Carey (OGILVIE)	20	30→50	35→45	55	50	210/268/314	104	275	5	6	26%	5%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→55	37→45	49→50	46	217/288/299	82	276	3	11	21%	7%	70	-0.9	247/320/367	120	279	11	7	15%	7%	97	+1.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ramón Flores 2012 · A	20	45→55	40→45	50	46	218/274/310	92	277	7	8	24%	7%	65	-1.2	233/289/332	99	292	7	10	21%	7%	76	-0.4	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
●Tyson Gillies 2009 · A	20	43→53	36→45	48→55	38	202/268/275	72	294	3	13	30%	5%	56	-1.9	266/325/370	104	331	8	21	21%	6%	98	+1.2	284/341/396	112	356	7	21	21%	5%	106	+1.0
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	270	4	13	33%	7%	42	-2.9	209/260/327	118	304	9	6	32%	7%	64	-1.3	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Daryl Jones 2007 · A	20	41→51	41→45	49→50	41	200/266/295	96	265	8	10	27%	5%	60	-1.6	221/285/315	94	296	7	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/305/342	104	309	8	14	24%	7%	82	+0.0
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A	21	39→49	37→50	51→45	43	189/251/258	69	273	4	6	31%	8%	45	-2.7	225/286/328	103	301	8	6	26%	7%	74	-0.5	249/307/375	126	306	13	7	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	47	-2.5	233/286/369	136	325	11	13	30%	7%	84	+0.1	238/300/383	144	331	12	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	45→55	39→55	52→55	41	214/265/301	87	294	6	10	28%	6%	60	-1.6	264/309/417	153	334	15	22	24%	5%	103	+1.6	283/325/464	180	333	21	21	21%	5%	119	+2.5
✕Luis Barrera 2016 · A	20	40→50	36→45	50	42	194/247/262	68	268	4	6	28%	6%	44	-2.8	219/260/308	89	301	5	11	27%	5%	59	-1.7	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Ismael Munguia 2019 · A	20	48→55	37→45	50→55	45	225/265/306	81	265	3	7	16%	5%	60	-1.6	245/282/332	87	281	4	10	14%	4%	73	-0.6	263/318/368	105	289	10	20	13%	5%	93	+0.5
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	45→55	39→50	53→50	45	216/275/305	89	286	6	13	26%	7%	64	-1.3	247/303/392	145	313	15	11	25%	7%	95	+1.0	265/334/414	149	332	14	8	23%	9%	109	+1.7
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Jordany Valdespin 2008 · A	20	43→53	37→50	49→55	48	202/278/277	75	266	4	10	24%	8%	61	-1.5	224/265/323	99	274	7	13	20%	5%	65	-1.2	257/296/398	141	298	16	28	19%	4%	91	+0.4
✕Alexis Hernandez 2023 · A	20	40→48	39→50	47→50	46	194/260/277	83	243	6	11	22%	7%	53	-2.1	209/284/305	96	294	9	17	29%	8%	70	-0.9	215/291/342	128	289	14	18	29%	8%	78	-0.1
✕José Tena 2021 · A	20	46→54	37→45	50→55	37	216/253/290	74	299	3	9	28%	4%	52	-2.2	224/264/341	117	327	11	9	33%	5%	69	-0.9	243/301/368	126	332	12	21	29%	7%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps