Owen Carey
OF Rome Emperors| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | AATL | 525 | .258/.332/.345 | 4 | 17 | 60 | — | .228/.290/.301 |
| 2026 | 20 | AA/A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 436 | .248/.336/.410 | 10 | 8 | 74 | — | .208/.268/.348 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBATL | 1 | .214/.272/.330 | 0 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ25% MLB | 22 | MLBATL | 97 | .220/.280/.349 | 2 | 2 | 77 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ38% MLB | 23 | MLBATL | 171 | .224/.286/.361 | 4 | 3 | 82 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 469 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 82 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 258 | 332 | 345 | 677 | 87 | 303 | 16 | 7 | 308 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 152 | 133 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 300 | 323 | 623 | 113 | 280 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 225 | 202 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 347 | 480 | 827 | 208 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 364 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 231 | 25 | 10 | 224 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 39 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 462 | 433 | 895 | 133 | 333 | 8 | 18 | 408 | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 479 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 113 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 228 | 290 | 301 | 590 | 73 | 282 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 152 | 137 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 197 | 267 | 307 | 573 | 109 | 271 | 32 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 225 | 209 | 47 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 280 | 392 | 672 | 167 | 265 | 23 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 20 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 150 | 158 | 308 | 53 | 181 | 35 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 479 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 113 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 228 | 290 | 301 | 590 | 73 | 290 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 469 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 82 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 258 | 332 | 345 | 677 | 87 | 303 | 16 | 7 | 308 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 436 | 399 | 83 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 119 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 208 | 272 | 348 | 620 | 140 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 436 | 383 | 95 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 88 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 248 | 336 | 410 | 746 | 162 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 334 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 478 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 113 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 228 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 73 | 282 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 436 | 398 | 83 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 119 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 141 | 263 | 27 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 525 | 478 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 113 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 228 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 73 | 282 | 22 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 436 | 398 | 83 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 119 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 272 | 349 | 621 | 141 | 263 | 27 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | ATL | 0% | 507 | 465 | 99 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 136 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 214 | 272 | 330 | 602 | 117 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -19 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | ATL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 272 | 330 | 602 | 117 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 69 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | ATL | 25% | 387 | 354 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 220 | 280 | 349 | 629 | 130 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 281 | 77 | -11 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | ATL | 38% | 446 | 407 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 114 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 224 | 286 | 361 | 647 | 137 | 281 | 26 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | ATL | 44% | 482 | 440 | 99 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 121 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 227 | 290 | 369 | 658 | 142 | 283 | 25 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 47% | 504 | 458 | 104 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 125 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 228 | 292 | 373 | 665 | 145 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 87 | -8 | +0 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 49% | 513 | 466 | 107 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 127 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 229 | 294 | 374 | 668 | 145 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 49% | 513 | 466 | 107 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 128 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 228 | 293 | 372 | 664 | 144 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 87 | -8 | +0 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 49% | 509 | 462 | 105 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 128 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 226 | 290 | 367 | 658 | 141 | 282 | 25 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -9 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | ATL | 48% | 496 | 453 | 102 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 126 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 224 | 288 | 361 | 648 | 137 | 280 | 25 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -10 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | ATL | 48% | 483 | 441 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 124 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 221 | 284 | 353 | 637 | 132 | 278 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -12 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | ATL | 25% | 97 | 89 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 280 | 349 | 629 | 130 | 280 | 26 | 6 | 281 | 77 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | ATL | 38% | 171 | 155 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 286 | 361 | 647 | 137 | 281 | 26 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | ATL | 44% | 212 | 192 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 53 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 290 | 369 | 658 | 142 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 47% | 238 | 216 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 292 | 373 | 665 | 145 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 87 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 49% | 252 | 229 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 62 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 294 | 374 | 668 | 145 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 49% | 252 | 229 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 293 | 372 | 664 | 144 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 296 | 87 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 49% | 250 | 227 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 63 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 290 | 367 | 658 | 141 | 282 | 25 | 7 | 293 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | ATL | 48% | 239 | 217 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 61 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 224 | 288 | 361 | 648 | 137 | 280 | 26 | 7 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | ATL | 48% | 229 | 209 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 221 | 284 | 353 | 637 | 132 | 278 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -6 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1940 | 1763 | 399 | 74 | 16 | 47 | 129 | 489 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 226 | 291 | 366 | 657 | 140 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 292 | 79 | -37 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +42 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 134 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 164 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 227 | 292 | 367 | 659 | 140 | 285 | 25 | 7 | 292 | 79 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5504 | 5017 | 1125 | 209 | 44 | 123 | 347 | 1382 | 97 | 109 | 46 | 224 | 287 | 357 | 644 | 133 | 283 | 25 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -92 | +3 | -0 | -27 | +98 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 133 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 41 | 163 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 225 | 287 | 360 | 647 | 135 | 283 | 25 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Rome Emperors · 225 PAwOBA .355 → .289 (−66)K% 17.8% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 23.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×1.042 | 18.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.984 | ×1.042 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×1.042 | 2.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .355 → .289; ISO .208 → .178; BABIP .305 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 152 PAwOBA .280 → .245 (−34)K% 26.3% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 19.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .280 → .245; ISO .113 → .099; BABIP .280 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Braves · 20 PAwOBA .219 → .146 (−73)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 12.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .146; ISO .056 → .035; BABIP .231 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 525 PAwOBA .302 → .257 (−46)K% 15.6% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.045 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.46% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.045 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.037 | ×0.910 | ×1.010 | ×1.045 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.281 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.67% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .302 → .257; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .303 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .