Owen CareyOF
Rome Emperors
Age 20
L/L
6'0" / 185 lbs
A+
BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 2.7 · 2032
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .300 / .357
PA320
HR7
SB6
K%23
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗50
PWR
35↗45
SPD
55→55
FLD
45↗54
EYE
38↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.7peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.3 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.5 | $23M | +$22M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.7 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.6 | $26M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +2.5 | $25M | +$17M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +2.3 | $24M | +$13M |
| Totals | $28M | $145M | +$117M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 525 | 483 | 104 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 119 | 14 | 17 | 10 | .215 | .273 | .282 | .554 | .066 | .277 | 23 | 5 | .246 | 46 | -32 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -2.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 50 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .280 | .370 | .650 | .152 | .250 | 18 | 6 | .282 | 74 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | ATL | 270 | 244 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 61 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .234 | .302 | .369 | .671 | .135 | .281 | 23 | 7 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +8 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | ATL | 320 | 290 | 67 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 70 | 6 | 6 | 2 | .231 | .299 | .369 | .668 | .138 | .280 | 22 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 7% | ATL | 592 | 531 | 127 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 127 | 10 | 13 | 4 | .239 | .312 | .380 | .692 | .141 | .285 | 21 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +17 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 18% | ATL | 646 | 577 | 140 | 27 | 4 | 17 | 53 | 135 | 11 | 15 | 4 | .243 | .318 | .392 | .710 | .149 | .286 | 21 | 8 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +18 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 27% | ATL | 674 | 600 | 147 | 28 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 138 | 11 | 16 | 4 | .245 | .323 | .400 | .723 | .155 | .287 | 20 | 9 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +19 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 37% | ATL | 687 | 610 | 151 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 60 | 139 | 12 | 16 | 4 | .248 | .327 | .407 | .734 | .159 | .287 | 20 | 9 | .326 | 108 | +6 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +19 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 45% | ATL | 695 | 615 | 152 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 63 | 140 | 12 | 16 | 4 | .247 | .329 | .405 | .734 | .158 | .288 | 20 | 9 | .329 | 110 | +8 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +20 | 2.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 51% | ATL | 700 | 618 | 154 | 29 | 4 | 21 | 64 | 141 | 12 | 16 | 4 | .249 | .331 | .411 | .742 | .162 | .288 | 20 | 9 | .331 | 111 | +9 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +20 | 2.7 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB 60% | ATL | 699 | 617 | 153 | 29 | 4 | 21 | 65 | 141 | 12 | 15 | 4 | .248 | .331 | .410 | .741 | .162 | .288 | 20 | 9 | .331 | 111 | +9 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +20 | 2.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB 63% | ATL | 693 | 611 | 151 | 29 | 4 | 20 | 65 | 141 | 12 | 14 | 3 | .247 | .331 | .406 | .737 | .159 | .288 | 20 | 9 | .330 | 111 | +8 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +20 | 2.5 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB 66% | ATL | 682 | 601 | 148 | 28 | 4 | 20 | 64 | 141 | 12 | 14 | 3 | .246 | .331 | .406 | .737 | .160 | .287 | 21 | 9 | .328 | 109 | +7 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +19 | 2.3 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB 68% | ATL | 671 | 592 | 144 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 63 | 141 | 11 | 13 | 2 | .243 | .327 | .399 | .726 | .155 | .286 | 21 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +19 | 2.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB 70% | ATL | 657 | 579 | 138 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 141 | 11 | 11 | 1 | .238 | .324 | .387 | .710 | .149 | .284 | 21 | 9 | .321 | 104 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +19 | 1.7 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB 71% | ATL | 638 | 563 | 133 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 140 | 10 | 10 | 1 | .236 | .321 | .382 | .703 | .146 | .283 | 22 | 9 | .316 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 1.3 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB 73% | ATL | 609 | 537 | 124 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 138 | 10 | 10 | 0 | .231 | .316 | .369 | .685 | .138 | .281 | 23 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -3 | +2 | -4 | -4 | +17 | 0.9 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB 83% | ATL | 560 | 494 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 131 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .227 | .312 | .360 | .672 | .134 | .279 | 23 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -6 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +16 | 0.4 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB 94% | ATL | 502 | 443 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 123 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .221 | .306 | .345 | .651 | .124 | .277 | 25 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -9 | +2 | -6 | -3 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 440 | 390 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 112 | 7 | 8 | 0 | .213 | .297 | .331 | .628 | .118 | .274 | 25 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +2 | -6 | -3 | +12 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10940 | 9705 | 2316 | 440 | 59 | 283 | 961 | 2349 | 189 | 226 | 50 | .239 | .319 | .384 | .703 | .145 | .285 | 21 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -10 | +25 | -34 | -66 | +310 | 23.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 138 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 57 | 140 | 11 | 13 | 3 | .239 | .319 | .386 | .706 | .147 | .286 | 22 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 525 | 469 | 121 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 82 | 14 | 17 | 10 | .258 | .332 | .345 | .677 | .087 | .303 | 16 | 7 | .308 | 94 | -3 | -1 | — | — | +15 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Owen Carey (OGILVIE) | 20 | 30→50 | 35→45 | 55 | 50 | .231/.300/.357 | .126 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 86 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 46→60 | 54→50 | 42 | .223/.277/.357 | .134 | .288 | 13 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .225/.291/.388 | .163 | .272 | 19 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .237/.305/.454 | .217 | .309 | 28 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 109 | +1.8 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Max Kepler 2013 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 42→60 | 53→50 | 44 | .216/.275/.328 | .112 | .278 | 9 | 6 | 25% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .222/.279/.348 | .126 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.319/.433 | .200 | .248 | 24 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 108 | +2.2 |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 42→45 | 57→70 | 45 | .220/.273/.329 | .110 | .277 | 8 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.313 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A |
20 | 51→58 | 42→55 | 51→50 | 41 | .244/.289/.355 | .111 | .326 | 9 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .259/.300/.414 | .155 | .299 | 17 | 12 | 19% | 5% | 99 | +1.7 | .266/.310/.441 | .174 | .301 | 19 | 10 | 18% | 6% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Oswaldo Arcia 2011 · A |
20 | 47→53 | 48→60 | 49→45 | 40 | .237/.276/.382 | .145 | .293 | 14 | 7 | 24% | 4% | 81 | +0.4 | .245/.293/.422 | .177 | .328 | 19 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 | .249/.310/.451 | .201 | .321 | 25 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 110 | +2.1 |
|
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 42→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .235/.276/.347 | .112 | .314 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.280/.325 | .104 | .331 | 8 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .262/.344/.424 | .163 | .366 | 16 | 16 | 30% | 11% | 115 | +2.2 |
|
✕Colin Moran 2014 · A |
21 | 48→57 | 43→55 | 50→30 | 45 | .234/.283/.345 | .110 | .286 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.290/.349 | .103 | .318 | 9 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .271/.332/.429 | .158 | .324 | 19 | 0 | 21% | 8% | 111 | +1.6 |
|
●Riley Greene 2021 · A |
20 | 44→54 | 44→60 | 53→50 | 39 | .215/.271/.330 | .115 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .252/.315/.404 | .152 | .357 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .263/.332/.466 | .203 | .338 | 25 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 124 | +3.1 |
|
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A |
20 | 50→53 | 42→55 | 54→60 | 45 | .242/.287/.364 | .122 | .283 | 8 | 14 | 18% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.293/.363 | .116 | .305 | 9 | 25 | 21% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .248/.310/.428 | .179 | .287 | 18 | 35 | 20% | 6% | 104 | +2.1 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A |
21 | 48→53 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 42 | .228/.286/.337 | .109 | .309 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.293/.326 | .100 | .295 | 6 | 15 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA |
20 | 46→52 | 45→50 | 55 | 51 | .224/.304/.359 | .135 | .280 | 11 | 21 | 23% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .231/.318/.378 | .147 | .301 | 14 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 | .227/.321/.379 | .152 | .295 | 16 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A |
20 | 44→52 | 44→50 | 50→40 | 45 | .216/.273/.341 | .124 | .279 | 10 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.297/.343 | .111 | .298 | 9 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.289/.369 | .145 | .265 | 17 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Domonic Brown 2009 · A |
21 | 48→55 | 41→55 | 51→55 | 47 | .234/.289/.333 | .099 | .285 | 9 | 14 | 21% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .252/.310/.400 | .148 | .314 | 15 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 100 | +1.7 | .254/.320/.417 | .163 | .315 | 18 | 20 | 24% | 8% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 43→60 | 57→50 | 42 | .218/.278/.332 | .114 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.282/.404 | .179 | .286 | 22 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .222/.292/.404 | .182 | .285 | 20 | 15 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A |
20 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 46 | .222/.285/.324 | .103 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .230/.313/.368 | .138 | .279 | 13 | 9 | 21% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .226/.311/.371 | .145 | .266 | 15 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 91 | +1.0 |
|
✕Cole Young 2023 · A |
20 | 50→49 | 45 | 49→50 | 47 | .245/.300/.368 | .123 | .296 | 13 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .232/.316/.354 | .122 | .279 | 10 | 13 | 20% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .227/.316/.346 | .119 | .270 | 10 | 12 | 19% | 10% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A |
20 | 51→58 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 51 | .245/.310/.342 | .096 | .296 | 8 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .235/.303/.332 | .097 | .280 | 8 | 11 | 18% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .263/.355/.386 | .123 | .307 | 11 | 2 | 17% | 11% | 113 | +2.8 |