Leandro Pineda — OGILVIE

Leandro PinedaOF Harrisburg Senators

Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 165 lbs AA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2029

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .273 / .332

PA320

HR7

SB7

K%28

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

44↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-5M	-$8M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	223	198	27	3	0	1	14	58	6	4	4	.136	.216	.167	.382	.030	.184	26	6	.170	-12	-28	-1	+0	-1	+6	-2.4
2021	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	93	77	7	2	0	1	12	33	2	3	3	.091	.231	.156	.387	.065	.133	35	13	.192	5	-10	-1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
2022	20	A	2 teams	369	328	52	16	5	2	27	135	7	5	3	.159	.238	.256	.494	.098	.253	37	7	.224	29	-29	-0	+0	-2	+10	-2.2
2023	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	431	390	76	15	2	9	28	135	8	6	2	.195	.263	.313	.576	.118	.267	31	6	.256	54	-22	+0	+0	-3	+12	-1.3
2024	22	A+	3 teams	422	388	84	13	2	11	19	108	10	3	2	.216	.271	.345	.616	.129	.266	26	5	.267	63	-18	-0	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
2025	23	AA	2 teams	470	411	76	22	1	9	40	135	13	7	0	.185	.278	.309	.587	.124	.245	29	9	.261	58	-22	+1	+0	-3	+13	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	67	62	14	2	1	1	3	14	2	3	1	.226	.284	.339	.622	.113	.277	21	4	.258	56	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	253	229	48	10	1	6	17	69	5	4	1	.210	.279	.341	.619	.131	.269	27	7	.276	69	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
TOT	24	MLB	WSH	320	291	62	12	2	7	20	83	7	7	2	.213	.280	.340	.620	.127	.272	26	6	.272	66	-12	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	WSH	359	322	71	14	2	9	27	85	7	6	1	.220	.295	.360	.655	.140	.266	24	8	.288	79	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.0
2028	26	MLB 26%	WSH	399	358	78	15	2	10	31	95	7	6	2	.218	.293	.355	.648	.137	.268	24	8	.293	82	-8	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.1
2029	27	MLB 44%	WSH	415	373	81	16	2	10	32	99	7	7	2	.217	.291	.351	.642	.134	.269	24	8	.294	83	-8	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.2
2030	28	MLB 53%	WSH	422	379	82	16	2	10	33	101	7	6	1	.216	.291	.348	.639	.132	.270	24	8	.294	83	-8	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2031	29	MLB 64%	WSH	418	375	81	16	2	10	33	101	7	5	1	.216	.292	.349	.641	.133	.269	24	8	.292	82	-9	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.0
2032	30	MLB 73%	WSH	413	370	80	16	2	10	33	101	7	4	1	.216	.293	.351	.644	.135	.267	24	8	.289	79	-10	+0	-2	-2	+12	-0.2
2033	31	MLB 81%	WSH	401	359	76	15	2	9	32	100	7	2	0	.212	.289	.340	.629	.128	.266	25	8	.285	76	-11	+0	-3	-2	+11	-0.4
2034	32	MLB	WSH	383	344	72	14	2	8	30	98	6	1	0	.209	.284	.331	.616	.122	.264	26	8	.280	73	-12	+0	-4	-2	+11	-0.7
2035	33	MLB	WSH	354	317	66	13	2	7	28	93	6	0	0	.208	.285	.328	.613	.120	.262	26	8	.275	69	-13	+0	-4	-2	+10	-0.9
2036	34	MLB	WSH	311	279	56	11	1	6	24	84	5	0	0	.201	.276	.312	.588	.111	.261	27	8	.268	64	-13	+0	-5	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6136	5497	1113	227	30	128	460	1630	117	69	23	.202	.278	.325	.603	.122	.260	27	7	.271	66	-238	+5	-20	-37	+174	-11.8
/ 162G	—			650	582	118	24	3	14	49	173	12	7	2	.203	.278	.326	.604	.124	.260	27	8	.271	66	-25	+1	-2	-4	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	223	190	35	4	0	1	22	40	6	4	4	.184	.289	.221	.510	.037	.225	18	10	.243	44	-14	-1	—	—	+6	-0.9
2021	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	93	69	9	3	0	1	20	23	2	3	3	.130	.341	.217	.558	.087	.170	25	22	.278	71	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	70	60	9	3	1	0	7	19	2	0	0	.150	.261	.233	.494	.083	.214	27	10	.234	37	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	299	256	56	16	6	3	32	78	5	5	3	.219	.317	.363	.681	.145	.293	26	11	.303	90	-3	-0	—	—	+8	0.5
2023	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	431	370	90	20	3	9	48	102	8	6	2	.243	.343	.386	.729	.143	.307	24	11	.327	109	+4	+0	—	—	+12	1.7
2024	22	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	48	42	11	3	0	3	5	5	1	0	0	.262	.354	.548	.902	.286	.235	10	10	.393	159	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	327	292	76	11	2	8	23	70	8	3	2	.260	.331	.394	.725	.134	.312	21	7	.323	106	+2	-0	—	—	+9	1.1
2024	22	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	47	43	11	3	0	2	2	10	1	0	0	.256	.304	.465	.769	.209	.281	21	4	.331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	394	332	70	22	1	9	47	90	9	7	0	.211	.325	.364	.689	.154	.255	23	12	.311	96	-2	+1	—	—	+11	1.1
2025	23	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	76	61	19	4	0	5	11	17	4	0	0	.311	.447	.623	1.070	.311	.359	22	14	.463	213	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leandro Pineda (OGILVIE)	24	35	45	45	55	.204/.273/.332	.128	.268	7	4	28%	7%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	41→44	47→50	44→45	38	.212/.255/.346	.135	.285	15	6	31%	5%	63	-0.9	.217/.264/.338	.121	.287	12	8	27%	6%	65	-0.7	.224/.282/.338	.114	.277	10	7	22%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Matthew Sweeney 2012 · AA	24	36→41	44→50	49→45	41	.183/.249/.300	.117	.266	12	4	34%	7%	50	-1.8	.198/.255/.308	.110	.279	10	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.212/.252/.322	.110	.274	6	0	24%	5%	52	-0.3
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	43→45	44→50	45	41	.213/.275/.332	.119	.291	12	6	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.205/.273/.320	.115	.355	12	7	42%	7%	64	-0.8	.150/.234/.245	.096	.295	15	0	50%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Tommy Giles 2008 · AA	24	42→41	48→55	43→40	38	.218/.260/.362	.144	.284	16	9	29%	5%	69	-0.4	.222/.278/.391	.169	.290	21	5	30%	7%	85	+0.7	.213/.276/.387	.174	.271	22	3	30%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	42→41	41→50	45	43	.206/.265/.304	.098	.278	8	8	28%	7%	56	-1.3	.212/.292/.338	.126	.286	12	7	28%	9%	77	+0.1	.214/.305/.368	.154	.264	18	4	25%	10%	88	+0.6
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	39→47	44→45	44→45	48	.193/.275/.309	.117	.272	11	5	31%	10%	63	-0.8	.217/.294/.333	.116	.291	12	5	27%	9%	76	+0.1	.219/.297/.324	.105	.288	11	4	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Michael Burgess 2013 · AA	24	41→42	48→55	47→45	45	.212/.277/.355	.142	.271	16	3	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.209/.257/.355	.146	.270	15	4	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.204/.243/.368	.163	.261	18	3	29%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	41	42→45	45	43	.204/.257/.308	.104	.256	10	7	25%	6%	53	-1.5	.202/.257/.299	.097	.248	9	6	22%	6%	51	-1.7	.200/.259/.296	.096	.245	9	7	21%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	40→44	46→55	41→40	43	.206/.270/.337	.130	.255	15	3	25%	6%	68	-0.5	.208/.269/.370	.162	.282	20	2	33%	6%	76	+0.1	.205/.271/.379	.174	.261	23	1	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	.212/.273/.333	.122	.278	12	9	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.228/.285/.377	.149	.300	18	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Clint Coulter 2017 · AA	24	42→43	45→50	42→40	43	.212/.279/.337	.125	.265	13	4	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.203/.260/.326	.123	.282	12	4	31%	5%	60	-1.0	.205/.273/.359	.153	.249	19	4	25%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	45→55	47→45	45	.204/.281/.326	.122	.262	13	8	27%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.278/.391	.172	.284	22	4	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.215/.266/.411	.196	.270	28	0	32%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→41	48→55	48→50	44	.188/.265/.331	.144	.271	15	11	35%	9%	65	-0.7	.204/.278/.369	.165	.296	18	13	35%	9%	79	+0.3	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2021 · AA	24	42→43	48→55	51→50	36	.214/.257/.351	.137	.291	16	9	32%	5%	66	-0.6	.221/.282/.380	.159	.297	19	9	31%	7%	84	+0.6	.211/.283/.380	.168	.276	21	6	31%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Nicky Delmonico 2016 · AA	24	42→47	46→55	45	42	.211/.269/.345	.134	.290	12	7	31%	7%	69	-0.4	.233/.293/.391	.158	.293	17	5	25%	7%	91	+1.1	.233/.301/.393	.161	.284	18	4	24%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Gabe Matthews 2022 · AAA	24	42→41	44→50	50→40	41	.203/.279/.321	.119	.305	11	8	35%	8%	68	-0.5	.196/.285/.334	.138	.297	16	4	37%	9%	75	-0.0	.184/.284/.322	.138	.277	17	2	37%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	.197/.276/.303	.106	.284	9	9	32%	9%	61	-1.0	.215/.297/.325	.110	.300	11	14	30%	9%	76	+0.1	.222/.305/.326	.104	.296	11	19	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	41→40	47→50	44→45	43	.209/.272/.344	.134	.283	14	5	31%	7%	70	-0.3	.212/.266/.327	.115	.295	12	5	31%	6%	63	-0.9	.166/.196/.248	.082	.207	12	0	27%	4%	9	-1.0
✕Dustin Yount 2007 · AA	24	44	45	43→40	47	.217/.292/.332	.115	.293	13	5	29%	9%	76	+0.0	.211/.285/.321	.110	.285	12	5	28%	8%	69	-0.4	.215/.285/.365	.150	.322	18	0	37%	9%	76	+0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)