Leandro Pineda
OF Harrisburg Senators| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 422 | .260/.331/.419 | 13 | 3 | 73 | — | .221/.278/.355 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 470 | .226/.345/.405 | 14 | 7 | 89 | — | .191/.281/.313 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AAWSH | 454 | .273/.375/.477 | 15 | 4 | 104 | — | .251/.330/.414 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBWSH | 4 | .216/.297/.355 | 0 | 0 | 86 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBWSH | 79 | .218/.298/.357 | 2 | 1 | 86 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBWSH | 118 | .218/.298/.357 | 3 | 2 | 86 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | — | 223 | 190 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 184 | 289 | 221 | 510 | 37 | 225 | 18 | 10 | 243 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 93 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 130 | 341 | 217 | 558 | 87 | 170 | 25 | 22 | 278 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 70 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 261 | 233 | 494 | 83 | 214 | 27 | 10 | 234 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 299 | 256 | 56 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 78 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 219 | 317 | 363 | 681 | 145 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 303 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 431 | 370 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 102 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 343 | 386 | 729 | 143 | 307 | 24 | 11 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 48 | 42 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 354 | 548 | 902 | 286 | 235 | 10 | 10 | 393 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 327 | 292 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 70 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 134 | 312 | 21 | 7 | 323 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 47 | 43 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 304 | 465 | 769 | 209 | 281 | 21 | 4 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 394 | 332 | 70 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 47 | 90 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 211 | 325 | 364 | 689 | 154 | 255 | 23 | 12 | 311 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 76 | 61 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 311 | 447 | 623 | 1.070 | 311 | 359 | 22 | 14 | 463 | 200 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 184 | 152 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 329 | 443 | 658 | 1.101 | 329 | 362 | 20 | 14 | 470 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 270 | 236 | 56 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 237 | 328 | 360 | 689 | 123 | 283 | 18 | 10 | 311 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 223 | 196 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 112 | 202 | 122 | 324 | 10 | 146 | 22 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 93 | 77 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 91 | 231 | 156 | 387 | 65 | 135 | 35 | 13 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 70 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 188 | 175 | 363 | 63 | 178 | 34 | 6 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 299 | 266 | 46 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 106 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 173 | 249 | 278 | 527 | 105 | 258 | 35 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 431 | 389 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 134 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 268 | 316 | 584 | 118 | 267 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 48 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 312 | 442 | 754 | 209 | 221 | 12 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 327 | 301 | 66 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 90 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 272 | 342 | 615 | 123 | 271 | 28 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 394 | 345 | 66 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 108 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 191 | 281 | 313 | 594 | 122 | 245 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 184 | 159 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 296 | 388 | 547 | 935 | 252 | 350 | 23 | 10 | 398 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 270 | 244 | 54 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 59 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 291 | 324 | 615 | 102 | 272 | 22 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 223 | 196 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 112 | 202 | 122 | 324 | 10 | 148 | 22 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies White | — | 223 | 190 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 184 | 289 | 221 | 510 | 37 | 225 | 18 | 10 | 243 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 93 | 77 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 91 | 231 | 156 | 387 | 65 | 133 | 35 | 13 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 93 | 69 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 130 | 341 | 217 | 558 | 87 | 170 | 25 | 22 | 278 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 329 | 54 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 131 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 164 | 240 | 264 | 505 | 100 | 256 | 36 | 7 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 369 | 316 | 65 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 97 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 307 | 339 | 645 | 133 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 290 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 431 | 389 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 134 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 268 | 316 | 584 | 118 | 271 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 431 | 370 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 102 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 343 | 386 | 729 | 143 | 307 | 24 | 11 | 327 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 422 | 387 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 108 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 276 | 349 | 625 | 129 | 271 | 26 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 422 | 377 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 85 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 260 | 331 | 419 | 750 | 159 | 299 | 20 | 7 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 410 | 79 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 129 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 193 | 287 | 312 | 599 | 120 | 254 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 393 | 89 | 26 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 107 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 345 | 405 | 749 | 178 | 270 | 23 | 12 | 335 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 403 | 100 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 102 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 248 | 328 | 409 | 738 | 161 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 454 | 388 | 106 | 22 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 84 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 273 | 375 | 477 | 852 | 204 | 312 | 19 | 12 | 376 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | — | 223 | 199 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 111 | 202 | 121 | 322 | 10 | 146 | 22 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 93 | 79 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 89 | 231 | 152 | 383 | 63 | 135 | 35 | 13 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 369 | 333 | 54 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 131 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 162 | 240 | 261 | 502 | 99 | 243 | 36 | 7 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 431 | 391 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 134 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 197 | 268 | 315 | 582 | 118 | 267 | 31 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 422 | 389 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 108 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 276 | 347 | 623 | 129 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 413 | 79 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 129 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 191 | 287 | 310 | 597 | 119 | 245 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 403 | 100 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 102 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 248 | 328 | 409 | 738 | 161 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 422 | 389 | 85 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 108 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 276 | 347 | 623 | 129 | 265 | 26 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 413 | 79 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 129 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 191 | 287 | 310 | 597 | 119 | 245 | 27 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 454 | 403 | 100 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 102 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 248 | 328 | 409 | 738 | 161 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 2% | 380 | 339 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 91 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 217 | 297 | 358 | 655 | 141 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -7 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 297 | 355 | 652 | 138 | 267 | 25 | 0 | 293 | 86 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | WSH | 31% | 254 | 226 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 61 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 299 | 360 | 659 | 142 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 42% | 281 | 251 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 299 | 360 | 658 | 141 | 270 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 48% | 297 | 265 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 72 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 218 | 298 | 358 | 655 | 139 | 270 | 24 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -5 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | WSH | 49% | 296 | 265 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 72 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 217 | 296 | 354 | 650 | 137 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -6 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | WSH | 50% | 294 | 263 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 72 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 216 | 294 | 349 | 642 | 133 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -6 | -1 | -2 | -2 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | WSH | 31% | 79 | 70 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 298 | 357 | 655 | 139 | 268 | 24 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | WSH | 42% | 118 | 105 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 298 | 357 | 655 | 139 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 48% | 142 | 126 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 297 | 355 | 652 | 137 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | WSH | 49% | 146 | 131 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 135 | 269 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 84 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | WSH | 50% | 148 | 133 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 293 | 347 | 640 | 132 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 288 | 82 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 633 | 565 | 122 | 26 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 152 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 216 | 296 | 350 | 646 | 135 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 292 | 70 | -12 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 125 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 156 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 216 | 294 | 348 | 642 | 133 | 268 | 24 | 8 | 292 | 70 | -12 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4094 | 3648 | 743 | 158 | 29 | 80 | 316 | 1080 | 85 | 55 | 34 | 204 | 283 | 329 | 611 | 125 | 263 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -29 | -1 | -4 | -10 | +35 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 119 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 171 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 206 | 283 | 333 | 616 | 128 | 264 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -12 | -1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHarrisburg Senators · 270 PAwOBA .306 → .270 (−36)K% 17.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 19.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .306 → .270; ISO .123 → .108; BABIP .283 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAARochester Red Wings · 184 PAwOBA .460 → .398 (−61)K% 19.6% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 3.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×1.048 | 22.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.048 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.048 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 7.59% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .460 → .398; ISO .329 → .264; BABIP .362 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 394 PAwOBA .308 → .267 (−41)K% 22.8% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.84% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.93% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.70% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 16.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×1.027 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .308 → .267; ISO .154 → .128; BABIP .255 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 327 PAwOBA .317 → .263 (−55)K% 21.4% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.41% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 27.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.45% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.77% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 21.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 4.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | ×1.034 | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.46% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .317 → .263; ISO .134 → .120; BABIP .312 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 48 PAwOBA .382 → .317 (−64)K% 10.4% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.42% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.042 | 13.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.11% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 5.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .382 → .317; ISO .286 → .217; BABIP .235 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 431 PAwOBA .321 → .261 (−60)K% 23.7% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.67% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 31.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.006 | ×0.870 | ×1.014 | ×1.027 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | ×1.014 | ×1.027 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.071 | ×0.850 | ×1.014 | ×1.027 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.36% | ÷0.858 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.54% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .321 → .261; ISO .143 → .129; BABIP .307 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 299 PAwOBA .300 → .238 (−62)K% 26.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×1.030 | 15.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×1.030 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×1.030 | 3.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .300 → .238; ISO .145 → .115; BABIP .293 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 70 PAwOBA .232 → .172 (−60)K% 27.1% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.14% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.20% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×0.965 | ×1.042 | 10.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×0.965 | ×1.042 | 5.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×0.965 | ×1.042 | 2.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .232 → .172; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .214 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .