Drake George
P
San Jose Giants
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 199 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%19.8%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 13 | 12 | 56 | 232 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 92% | 4.3 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 0.3% | 3.20 | 2.58 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 13 | 12 | 56 | 232 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 92% | 4.3 | 26.7% | 6.5% | 20.3% | 0.4% | 3.20 | 1.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 56 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 59 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.29 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 60 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.29 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 58 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 54 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 58 | 247 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.89 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 49 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 56 | 56 | 337 | 1424 | 294 | 123 | 41 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.04 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 73 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 12 | 56 | 232 | 46 | 18 | 1 | 92% | 4.3 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 0.3% | 3.20 | 2.58 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 43 | 200 | 824 | 163 | 63 | 3 | 92% | 4.3 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 0.3% | 3.20 | 2.58 | +6.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drake George (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.27 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 203 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 87 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 84 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 4.16 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 315 | -0.22 | 3.50 | 472 | 83 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 82 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 82 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 82 |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 82 |
| James McArthur R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.53 | 19.7% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .310 | 4.16 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 194 | +0.63 | 3.53 | 352 | 82 |
| Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .317 | 4.33 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.33 | 3.61 | 428 | 82 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .359 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.67 | 4.20 | 118 | 81 |
| Jake Walters R 2025 · 3.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.46 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 1.2% | .260 | 3.82 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 97 | +0.36 | 3.46 | 261 | 81 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 81 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.53 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .278 | 5.41 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.96 | 260 | 81 |
| Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 81 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 80 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 80 |
| Brian Edgington R 2027 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.81 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .321 | 5.05 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.24 | 3.81 | 171 | 80 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.65 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | .288 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 389 | -0.37 | 3.21 | 630 | 80 |
| Brett Sears R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 64 | 20.6% | 8.6% | 1.13 | 4.40 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Nick Wittgren ('23) | 8 | 41 | 21.6% | 7.0% | 1.15 | 4.04 |
| Tyler Duffey ('22) | 8 | 59 | 23.0% | 6.8% | 1.25 | 4.57 |
| Luis Cessa ('23) | 8 | 53 | 18.3% | 7.8% | 1.40 | 4.43 |