Jeferson Abreu

C DSL Twins

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKMIN	128	.279/.409/.519	5	5	55	—	.164/.276/.282
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBMIN	238	.223/.298/.330	3	5	79	0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBMIN	85	.227/.303/.341	1	2	83	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBMIN	204	.230/.307/.350	3	5	87	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO91

Chase%91

Z-Con%80

wOBA79

wRC+75

K%75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAlfredo Duno (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18) · Jett Williams (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 107 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .296 / .328

PA107

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$76M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2038	Arb-3	$8M	+1.1	$4M	+$1M
Totals		$22M		$35M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	128	104	29	8	1	5	21	21	2	5	1	279	409	519	929	240	304	16	16	406	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	128	110	18	5	1	2	15	26	2	5	1	164	276	282	557	118	182	20	12	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	128	110	18	5	1	2	15	26	2	5	1	164	276	282	557	118	193	20	12	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	128	104	29	8	1	5	21	21	2	5	1	279	409	519	929	240	304	16	16	406	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	128	110	18	5	1	2	15	26	2	5	1	164	276	282	557	118	182	20	12	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	128	110	18	5	1	2	15	26	2	5	1	164	276	282	557	118	182	20	12	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	238	214	48	10	2	3	20	58	2	5	1	223	298	330	628	107	288	24	8	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIN	43%	198	177	41	8	2	3	17	47	2	5	1	227	303	341	644	114	290	24	9	291	83	-4	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIN	61%	336	300	70	14	3	6	29	80	4	9	3	230	307	350	657	120	291	24	9	296	87	-5	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	440	393	91	18	3	8	38	103	6	11	4	232	310	358	668	125	293	23	9	301	90	-5	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIN	71%	514	457	107	21	4	10	45	120	7	13	4	235	312	364	676	130	293	23	9	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	520	463	110	22	4	11	45	121	7	13	4	237	314	370	684	133	294	23	9	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	520	463	111	22	4	11	45	121	7	13	4	238	315	373	688	135	295	23	9	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	71%	520	463	110	22	4	11	45	121	7	13	4	238	315	375	690	137	295	23	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIN	76%	520	462	110	22	4	11	46	121	7	13	5	238	315	375	691	137	295	23	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIN	78%	520	462	110	22	4	11	46	121	7	13	5	237	314	373	687	136	294	23	9	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIN	80%	520	463	109	21	4	11	46	123	6	13	5	235	312	368	680	133	293	24	9	305	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIN	80%	520	464	108	21	4	10	45	124	6	12	5	232	309	361	671	129	292	24	9	302	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	MIN	82%	520	464	107	21	4	10	45	126	6	12	5	229	305	354	659	124	290	24	9	297	87	-8	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	MIN	82%	504	450	101	20	3	9	43	124	6	11	6	225	300	343	644	119	287	25	9	291	83	-10	-0	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2041	32	MLB MLE	MIN	82%	489	440	96	18	3	8	41	122	5	10	8	219	294	331	625	111	282	25	8	283	78	-13	-1	-4	+9	+11	0.2
2042	33	MLB MLE	MIN	82%	473	426	91	17	3	7	39	121	5	10	11	213	286	316	602	103	277	26	8	274	71	-16	-2	-4	+8	+10	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIN	43%	85	77	17	3	1	1	7	20	1	2	1	227	303	341	644	114	290	24	8	291	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIN	61%	204	181	41	8	2	3	18	48	3	5	2	230	307	350	657	120	292	24	9	296	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	300	267	62	12	2	6	26	71	4	8	3	233	310	358	668	125	293	24	9	301	90	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIN	71%	365	325	76	15	3	7	32	85	5	9	3	235	312	365	677	130	293	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	376	335	80	16	3	8	33	87	5	10	3	237	314	371	684	134	294	23	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	372	331	80	16	3	8	33	86	5	10	3	238	315	373	688	136	295	23	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	71%	370	330	78	15	3	8	32	86	5	10	3	238	315	375	690	137	295	23	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIN	76%	395	352	84	16	3	9	35	92	5	10	3	238	315	376	691	138	295	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.5
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIN	78%	407	363	86	17	3	9	36	95	5	10	4	237	314	373	687	136	294	23	9	308	95	-3	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIN	80%	415	371	87	17	3	9	36	98	5	10	4	235	312	368	681	133	293	24	9	306	93	-4	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.3
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIN	80%	418	374	86	17	3	8	36	100	5	10	4	233	309	362	671	129	292	24	9	302	90	-5	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	MIN	82%	426	381	87	17	3	8	37	103	5	10	4	229	306	354	660	125	290	24	9	297	87	-7	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.9
2040	31	MLB CTX	MIN	82%	413	370	83	16	3	7	35	101	5	9	5	225	301	344	645	119	287	24	8	291	83	-8	-0	-2	+7	+9	0.6
2041	32	MLB CTX	MIN	82%	401	360	79	15	2	7	34	100	4	9	7	220	294	331	625	112	283	25	8	283	78	-11	-1	-3	+7	+9	0.1
2042	33	MLB CTX	MIN	82%	388	349	74	14	2	6	32	99	4	8	9	213	287	316	603	103	277	26	8	274	71	-13	-2	-3	+7	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5335	4766	1100	214	39	104	462	1271	66	130	58	231	308	358	665	127	291	24	9	300	88	-71	+3	-12	+95	+116	13.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	135	26	5	13	56	155	8	16	7	232	309	361	670	129	293	24	9	300	88	-9	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7349	6553	1511	298	55	140	639	1747	91	178	76	231	308	357	665	126	291	24	9	299	88	-96	+5	-15	+129	+156	18.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	133	26	5	12	57	155	8	16	7	229	307	353	661	124	290	24	9	299	88	-9	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Roseboro'57-'70 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,527 PA	8.3	5,527	104	67	247*	328*	393*	+97	-2	24.9	22.0
/162	664	12	8	+11.7	-0.2	3.0	pk7: 19
#2Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#3Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#4Al Lopez'28-'47 * career totals — 18 seasons, 6,607 PA	10.0	6,607	51	46	243*	314*	358*	+118	-1	21.3	17.4
/162	664	5	5	+11.8	-0.1	2.1	pk7: 14
#5Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#6John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.2	5,444	105	132	232	305	359	+97	+48	17.7	14.5
/162	664	13	16	+11.9	+5.9	2.2	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeferson Abreu (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/296/328	106	288	1	2	24%	9%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→47	45→50	53→45	44	238/292/368	130	296	12	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	203/257/332	129	283	13	7	32%	6%	65	-1.2	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0

Jeferson Abreu

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps