Oliver Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Oliver Gonzalez P DSL LAD Bautista

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 27 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%22.2%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF3550

CMD2045

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	10	7	29	123	33	9	4	70%	2.9	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	4.2%	3.38	5.00	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	10	7	29	123	33	9	4	70%	2.9	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	4.2%	3.38	5.00	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	10	7	29	123	33	9	4	70%	2.9	26.8%	7.3%	19.5%	3.3%	3.38	3.54	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	11	35	144	38	25	2	100%	3.2	17.9%	21.7%	-3.8%	1.8%	2.83	5.33	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	11	35	144	38	25	2	100%	3.2	17.9%	21.7%	-3.8%	1.8%	2.83	5.33	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	11	11	35	144	38	25	2	100%	3.2	26.4%	17.4%	9.0%	1.4%	2.83	3.81	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAD	5	5	27	114	25	19	3	100%	5.4	22.2%	16.5%	5.7%	3.0%	5.33	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	6	6	33	140	32	20	4	100%	5.5	22.7%	14.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.99	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	3	3	16	68	15	10	2	100%	5.3	22.7%	14.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	69	16	10	2	100%	5.4	22.7%	14.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.61	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	197	123	25	100%	4.8	22.7%	14.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.08	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		21	18	64	267	48	42	8	86%	3.1	18.1%	15.9%	2.2%	2.9%	3.08	5.18	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	56	200	830	150	132	24	86%	3.1	18.1%	15.9%	2.2%	2.9%	3.08	5.18	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oliver Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	22.2%	16.5%	3.0%	—	4.99	22.7%	8.4%	33	-0.34	—	—	—
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.93	25.8%	12.5%	199	-0.41	3.66	273	85
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	84
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	83
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Cristian Hernandez R 2024 · 4.39 FIP	19	SP	4.39	23.5%	19.9%	1.4%	.269	5.41	18.1%	2.6%	62	+1.02	4.39	116	81
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.81	21.3%	8.0%	253	-0.15	3.82	323	81
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	80
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	80
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	79
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	79
Royber Salinas R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	27.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.280	4.36	26.1%	11.3%	213	-0.33	3.75	285	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	79
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	78
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	78
Beck Way R 2021 · 4.53 FIP	21	SP	4.53	23.1%	16.5%	2.4%	.250	4.79	19.8%	5.4%	246	+0.26	3.82	438	78
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	78
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	78
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	78
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	77
Marlon Nieves R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	19	SP	5.63	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	.300	4.19	18.6%	1.2%	134	-1.44	3.82	187	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	22.5%	15.3%	1.14	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35