Junior Mieses
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 168 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%23.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 75% | 3.5 | 12.2% | 24.3% | -12.1% | 0.0% | 5.14 | 5.14 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 75% | 3.5 | 17.9% | 19.4% | -1.5% | 0.0% | 5.14 | 4.17 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 11 | 6 | 30 | 132 | 27 | 29 | 0 | 55% | 2.7 | 13.9% | 27.5% | -13.6% | 0.0% | 3.64 | 5.40 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 11 | 6 | 30 | 132 | 27 | 29 | 0 | 55% | 2.7 | 20.5% | 22.0% | -1.5% | 0.0% | 3.64 | 4.21 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 35 | 150 | 44 | 23 | 2 | 64% | 3.2 | 19.9% | 19.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.38 | 4.87 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 35 | 150 | 44 | 23 | 2 | 64% | 3.2 | 29.3% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 1.3% | 3.38 | 3.30 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 15 | 81 | 407 | 89 | 72 | 10 | 68% | 3.7 | 16.2% | 20.9% | -4.7% | 3.8% | 7.59 | 6.45 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 22 | 15 | 81 | 407 | 89 | 72 | 10 | 68% | 3.7 | 21.9% | 17.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 7.59 | 5.18 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 54 | 255 | 78 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.9% | 18.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.54 | 5.95 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 54 | 255 | 78 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.6% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 3.1% | 6.54 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 21 | 0 | 24 | 117 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 26.5% | -5.5% | 5.9% | 6.46 | 7.93 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 21 | 0 | 24 | 117 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 23.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.46 | 6.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.08 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 31 | 236 | 1128 | 205 | 245 | 36 | 29% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 21.7% | -3.5% | 3.2% | 5.98 | 6.08 | -1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 26 | 200 | 955 | 174 | 207 | 31 | 29% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 21.7% | -3.5% | 3.2% | 5.98 | 6.08 | -1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Junior Mieses (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.46 | 23.3% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 74 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 74 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 74 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 73 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 73 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 72 |
| Mike Ellenbest R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.63 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .315 | 3.73 | 19.4% | 6.8% | 21 | -0.90 | 3.69 | 228 | 72 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 72 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 275 | 72 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 72 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 72 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 72 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.53 | 13.7% | 3.1% | 41 | +0.03 | 4.50 | 119 | 72 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 72 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 72 |