Junior Mieses — OGILVIE

Junior Mieses P Hillsboro Hops

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 168 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%23.0%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	4	3	14	67	12	13	0	75%	3.5	12.2%	24.3%	-12.1%	0.0%	5.14	5.14	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	4	3	14	67	12	13	0	75%	3.5	17.9%	19.4%	-1.5%	0.0%	5.14	4.17	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	11	6	30	132	27	29	0	55%	2.7	13.9%	27.5%	-13.6%	0.0%	3.64	5.40	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	11	6	30	132	27	29	0	55%	2.7	20.5%	22.0%	-1.5%	0.0%	3.64	4.21	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	11	7	35	150	44	23	2	64%	3.2	19.9%	19.2%	0.8%	1.9%	3.38	4.87	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	11	7	35	150	44	23	2	64%	3.2	29.3%	15.3%	14.0%	1.3%	3.38	3.30	—
2021	21	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	22	15	81	407	89	72	10	68%	3.7	16.2%	20.9%	-4.7%	3.5%	7.59	6.28	—
2021	21	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	22	15	81	407	89	72	10	68%	3.7	21.9%	17.7%	4.2%	2.5%	7.59	5.18	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	54	255	78	41	8	0%	1.4	22.9%	18.8%	4.1%	4.1%	6.54	5.82	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	54	255	78	41	8	0%	1.4	30.6%	16.1%	14.5%	3.1%	6.54	4.42	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	21	0	24	117	32	27	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	26.5%	-5.5%	5.6%	6.46	7.76	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	21	0	24	117	32	27	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	26.5%	-5.5%	5.6%	6.46	7.76	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	21	0	24	117	32	27	5	0%	1.1	27.4%	23.1%	4.3%	4.3%	6.46	6.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	23.0%	14.2%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	19	12	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	13.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.98	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	13.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.98	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	13.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	23.0%	13.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		108	31	236	1128	205	245	34	29%	2.2	18.2%	21.7%	-3.5%	3.0%	5.98	5.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	26	200	955	174	207	29	29%	2.2	18.2%	21.7%	-3.5%	3.0%	5.98	5.97	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Junior Mieses (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	23.0%	14.2%	3.0%	—	4.98	23.0%	9.2%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	79
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	78
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	75
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	73
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	72
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	72
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	72
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	72
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	72
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	72
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	71
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	71
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	71
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	71
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	71