Billy Corcoran P Amarillo Sod Poodles
Age 26 RHP 6'8" / 220 lbs AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%18.9%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
K: -1.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -14.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-14CONTACTSTAM: +5.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -1.08 (73 IP)-1.1WAR
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202222ROKACL D-backs Red4073410110%1.829.4%2.9%26.5%2.9%9.002.60
202222ROKACL D-backs Red4073410110%1.829.4%2.9%26.5%2.9%9.002.53
202323MIX2 levels307692917525623%2.319.5%10.0%9.5%2.8%4.304.25
202323MIX2 levels307692917525623%2.325.8%8.6%17.2%2.1%4.303.14
202424MIX2 levels25251345611143617100%5.416.2%7.1%9.1%2.8%4.354.17
202424MIX2 levels25251345611143617100%5.420.3%6.4%13.9%3.0%4.353.85
202525AAAReno Aces55211051874100%4.315.1%7.0%8.1%5.2%10.555.56
202525AAAReno Aces55211051874100%4.317.1%6.7%10.5%3.8%10.554.83
▸ 2026 Season
202626AAAmarillo Sod Poodles1523816237151013%2.517.7%9.3%8.4%8.5%5.737.42-1.3
ROS26MLBARI34036151291250%1.118.9%8.1%10.9%3.2%4.684.68-0.1
ROS26MLBARI10141000%1.018.9%8.1%10.9%3.2%4.684.68-0.0
2026 TOT26MLBARI7331366271521.0%8.7%12.3%4.8%5.226.09-1.1
2026 FULL26MLBARI1310018.9%8.1%10.9%3.2%4.684.30+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBARI34035149291250%1.019.4%8.2%11.1%3.3%4.674.68-0.1
202828MLBARI32034144281250%1.119.6%8.5%11.1%3.3%4.704.74-0.1
202929MLBARI31033138271250%1.119.5%8.7%10.8%3.5%4.784.85-0.1
202727MLBARI120135511520%1.119.4%8.2%11.1%3.3%4.674.68-0.0
202828MLBARI190208417730%1.119.6%8.5%11.1%3.3%4.704.74-0.0
202929MLBARI220239719830%1.019.5%8.7%10.8%3.5%4.784.85-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career55057242472180%1.019.5%8.5%11.0%3.4%4.734.39+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084416473280%1.119.5%8.5%11.0%3.4%4.734.39+2.4
Career79392691153202924449%3.417.5%8.0%9.5%3.8%5.154.73+2.1
/ 200 IP5929200856150693349%3.417.5%8.0%9.5%3.8%5.154.73+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Billy Corcoran (OGILVIE) 4.68 18.9%8.1%3.2% 4.75 19.5%11.0%102 +0.07
Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 78
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 78
Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 78
Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 78
Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 26 SP- 4.66 17.5%6.4%4.0%.296 4.92 13.3%3.1%116 +0.26 2.20 286 78
Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 78
Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 77
Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 77
Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 77
Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 77
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 26 SW 4.65 20.5%7.8%4.2%.319 4.96 18.4%6.6%242 +0.31 4.39 353 76
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 76
Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 76
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 75
Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 75
Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 26 SW 4.25 15.0%10.4%2.0%.310 3.91 169 75
Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 26 SW 3.83 18.1%11.0%1.6%.280 3.17 24.5%17.9%97 -0.66 3.17 178 74
Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 74
Ramon Delgado R 2029 · 4.73 FIP 29 SW 4.73 13.8%5.9%3.7%.332 4.45 11.2%7.2%74 -0.28 4.45 135 74
Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION43419.3%8.4%1.294.71
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Alex Young ('23)55219.5%8.6%1.614.43
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91