Billy Corcoran — OGILVIE

Billy Corcoran P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 26 RHP 6'8" / 220 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%16.2%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	4	0	7	34	10	1	1	0%	1.8	29.4%	2.9%	26.5%	2.9%	9.00	2.60	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	4	0	7	34	10	1	1	0%	1.8	29.4%	2.9%	26.5%	2.9%	9.00	2.53	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	7	69	291	75	25	6	23%	2.3	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	2.7%	4.30	4.20	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	7	69	291	75	25	6	23%	2.3	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	2.7%	4.30	4.20	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	7	69	291	75	25	6	23%	2.3	25.8%	8.6%	17.2%	2.1%	4.30	3.14	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	134	561	114	36	17	100%	5.4	16.2%	7.1%	9.1%	3.1%	4.35	4.35	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	134	561	114	36	17	100%	5.4	16.2%	7.1%	9.1%	3.1%	4.35	4.35	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	134	561	114	36	17	100%	5.4	20.3%	6.4%	13.9%	3.0%	4.35	3.85	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	5	5	21	105	18	7	4	100%	4.3	14.2%	6.0%	8.2%	4.6%	10.55	5.20	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	5	5	21	105	18	7	4	100%	4.3	14.2%	6.0%	8.2%	4.6%	10.55	5.20	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	5	5	21	105	18	7	4	100%	4.3	17.1%	6.7%	10.5%	3.8%	10.55	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	24	5	56	244	56	24	15	21%	2.3	18.1%	10.3%	7.8%	8.0%	5.46	7.29	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	24	5	56	244	56	24	15	21%	2.3	18.1%	10.3%	7.8%	8.0%	5.46	7.29	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	ARI	2	0	6	20	6	3	0	0%	2.9	30.0%	15.0%	15.0%	0.0%	3.18	2.47	—
2026	26	AA RAW	ARI	22	5	50	224	50	21	15	23%	2.3	22.3%	9.4%	12.9%	6.7%	5.72	6.08	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	113	0	119	503	84	38	16	0%	1.1	16.8%	7.5%	9.3%	3.3%	4.79	4.80	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	ARI	110	0	116	488	83	37	16	0%	1.1	17.1%	7.6%	9.4%	3.4%	4.81	4.85	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	ARI	105	0	110	466	80	37	16	0%	1.1	17.1%	7.9%	9.2%	3.5%	4.88	4.95	-0.5
2030	30	MLB MLE	ARI	99	0	104	438	74	36	16	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.2%	8.7%	3.7%	5.01	5.11	-0.6
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	43	0	45	190	32	14	6	0%	1.0	16.8%	7.5%	9.3%	3.3%	4.79	4.80	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	ARI	66	0	69	291	50	22	10	0%	1.0	17.1%	7.6%	9.4%	3.4%	4.81	4.85	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	ARI	74	0	78	329	56	26	11	0%	1.1	17.1%	7.9%	9.2%	3.5%	4.88	4.95	-0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	ARI	77	0	81	342	58	28	13	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.2%	8.7%	3.7%	5.01	5.11	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		260	0	273	1152	195	90	40	0%	1.0	17.0%	7.8%	9.1%	3.5%	4.89	4.57	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	66	29	0%	1.1	17.0%	7.8%	9.1%	3.5%	4.89	4.57	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		88	42	288	1235	217	101	51	48%	3.3	17.6%	8.2%	9.3%	4.1%	5.13	4.92	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	29	200	859	151	71	35	48%	3.3	17.6%	8.2%	9.3%	4.1%	5.13	4.92	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Billy Corcoran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	16.2%	7.4%	3.2%	—	4.86	17.0%	9.3%	345	+0.04	—	—	—
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	83
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	81
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	80
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	80
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	79
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	78
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	77
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	77
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	77
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	77
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	76
Jake Walkinshaw R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	26	SP-	4.61	17.5%	6.4%	4.0%	.296	4.84	13.0%	3.5%	116	+0.23	2.84	307	76
Kolton Mahoney R 2018 · 3.93 FIP	26	SW	3.93	13.8%	5.6%	2.3%	.328	3.56	19.4%	10.6%	109	-0.37	3.56	302	76
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	76
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	75
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	75
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	75
Kurt Heyer R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	14.1%	6.7%	2.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	178	75
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	75
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	97	16.9%	7.8%	1.33	4.86
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Daniel Mengden ('19)	1.5	73	17.3%	7.7%	1.24	4.68
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Alec Mills ('21)	1.1	72	19.0%	6.9%	1.41	4.51