Billy Corcoran
P
Hillsboro Hops
+0.2
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'8" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.9%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%10.9%
IP51
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 4 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 30 | 7 | 69 | 291 | 75 | 25 | 6 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.24 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 25 | 25 | 134 | 561 | 114 | 36 | 17 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.31 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 5 | 5 | 21 | 105 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 15.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 10.55 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.18 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ARI | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 18.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 57 | 235 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.20 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 19.7% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.65 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 39 | 17 | 7 | 19.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 37 | 17 | 6 | 19.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 35 | 16 | 6 | 19.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.84 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 18.4% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 5.03 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 5.14 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 17.6% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 5.27 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 37 | 237 | 1011 | 180 | 80 | 31 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 4.29 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 31 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 67 | 26 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 4.29 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Billy Corcoran (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 18.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.65 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 149 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 89 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.04 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | .296 | 3.25 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 64 | -0.79 | 3.06 | 222 | 88 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 88 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 88 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 88 |
| John Brebbia R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.23 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 523 | 88 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 88 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 87 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 87 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 87 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 87 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 86 |
| Seth Frankoff R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.02 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | .312 | 4.24 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 177 | +0.22 | 2.88 | 263 | 86 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 86 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 86 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 86 |
| Sean Donatello R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.64 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 141 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 86 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 86 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.