Miqueas Mercedes
P
Wilson Warbirds
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 129
ERA5.73
FIP5.73
K%15.1%
BB%15.5%
K-BB%-0.4%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 33% | 1.8 | 24.0% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 4.0% | 10.12 | 4.28 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 33% | 1.8 | 24.0% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 4.0% | 10.12 | 4.41 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 60 | 283 | 62 | 34 | 3 | 76% | 3.5 | 15.3% | 14.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 6.34 | 4.42 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 13 | 60 | 283 | 62 | 34 | 3 | 76% | 3.5 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 1.1% | 6.34 | 3.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 14 | 11 | 46 | 204 | 49 | 32 | 2 | 79% | 3.3 | 17.8% | 18.5% | -0.7% | 1.3% | 3.91 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 42 | 176 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.1% | 15.5% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.1% | 15.5% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 5.73 | 5.73 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 88 | 380 | 76 | 59 | 7 | — | — | 19.9% | 15.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 4.78 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 44 | 185 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.7% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.37 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 22 | 93 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 4.4 | 16.7% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 22 | 91 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.7% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 4.99 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 139 | 120 | 28 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.7% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.46 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 25 | 111 | 512 | 85 | 81 | 7 | 74% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 15.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.51 | 4.50 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 45 | 200 | 923 | 154 | 146 | 13 | 74% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 15.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.51 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miqueas Mercedes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 15.1% | 15.5% | 2.8% | — | 5.37 | 16.7% | 2.8% | 44 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 91 |
| Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.86 | 16.7% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 6.15 | 21.4% | 4.1% | 64 | +1.29 | 4.16 | 109 | 88 |
| Denis Diaz R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 88 |
| Kyle Larsen R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 87 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2025 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 86 |
| Bryan Balzer R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.58 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 1.9% | .360 | 4.78 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 73 | +0.20 | 4.58 | 123 | 86 |
| Yovanny Cabrera R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.8% | .238 | 5.31 | 18.5% | 1.6% | 149 | +0.15 | 4.39 | 243 | 86 |
| Josh Swales R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.43 | 11.8% | 14.6% | 2.7% | .356 | 5.63 | 15.1% | 1.4% | 66 | +0.20 | 5.43 | 129 | 85 |
| Ismael Agreda R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.23 | 17.1% | 18.5% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.73 | 21.9% | 5.3% | 145 | -0.50 | 3.35 | 239 | 85 |
| Jeter Martinez R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.89 | 15.7% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 209 | 84 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 84 |
| Jorge Bautista R 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.99 | 13.1% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .297 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 231 | -1.16 | 3.69 | 336 | 84 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2025 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 83 |
| Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.33 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .248 | 5.50 | 13.0% | 1.2% | 243 | +0.17 | 5.24 | 347 | 83 |
| Harold Chirino R 2025 · 6.05 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.05 | 13.2% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .327 | 3.11 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 34 | -2.94 | 3.11 | 321 | 83 |
| Ryan Degges R 2028 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 83 |
| Miguel Vinicio R 2025 · 5.69 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.69 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 1.4% | 47 | -1.71 | 3.63 | 164 | 83 |
| Darlin Alcántara R 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.12 | 12.3% | 22.2% | 2.3% | .320 | 4.61 | 12.3% | 2.5% | 31 | -1.51 | 3.61 | 118 | 83 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 83 |
| Angel Rivero R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.06 | 19.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 105 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 15.9% | 14.7% | 1.09 | 5.59 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |