Wilmer Blanco

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ROKDSL Phillies …	11	10	45	2.80	2.57	26.0%	10.5%	—	K 17.7% · BB 13.1% · FIP 3.81
2024	20	ROKPHI	12	10	47	6.70	4.25	22.0%	13.0%	—	K 14.9% · BB 16.3% · FIP 5.76
2026	22	MIX3 levels	28	1	50	5.76	4.60	19.3%	10.5%	—	K 14.1% · BB 11.8% · FIP 5.82
2027PROJ	23	MLBPHI	—	—	0	5.21	5.21	17.6%	11.9%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPHI	14	0	15	5.00	4.91	19.2%	10.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBPHI	20	0	21	4.83	4.74	20.2%	10.2%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrad Deppermann (age 25) · Adam Bernero (age 23) · Patrick Halligan (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%17.6%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%5.7%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	6	24	113	25	18	1	55%	2.2	15.0%	19.9%	-4.9%	1.5%	5.70	5.15	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	6	24	113	25	18	1	55%	2.2	22.1%	15.9%	6.2%	0.9%	5.70	3.82	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	45	181	47	19	1	91%	4.1	17.7%	13.1%	4.5%	1.0%	2.80	3.81	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	10	45	181	47	19	1	91%	4.1	26.0%	10.5%	15.5%	0.6%	2.80	2.57	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	14.9%	16.3%	-1.3%	3.4%	6.70	5.76	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	14.9%	16.3%	-1.3%	3.4%	6.70	5.76	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	22.0%	13.0%	9.0%	2.2%	6.70	4.25	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	50	228	44	24	7	4%	1.8	14.1%	11.8%	2.4%	4.4%	5.76	5.82	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	50	228	44	24	7	4%	1.8	14.1%	11.8%	2.4%	4.4%	5.76	5.82	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	1	50	228	44	24	7	4%	1.8	19.3%	10.5%	8.8%	3.1%	5.76	4.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PHI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.6%	11.9%	5.7%	3.1%	5.21	5.21	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	33	0	35	146	28	16	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.9%	8.4%	3.1%	5.00	4.91	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30	0	31	131	26	13	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.2%	10.0%	3.0%	4.83	4.74	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	14	0	15	63	12	7	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	10.9%	8.4%	3.1%	5.00	4.91	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	20	0	21	89	18	9	3	0%	1.1	20.2%	10.2%	10.0%	3.0%	4.83	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		34	0	35	149	29	16	5	0%	1.0	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	3.1%	4.90	4.43	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	91	28	0%	1.1	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	3.1%	4.90	4.43	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		62	27	166	745	115	109	21	44%	2.7	15.4%	14.7%	0.7%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	33	200	899	138	132	25	44%	2.7	15.4%	14.7%	0.7%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 33 IPFIP 4.59 → 5.70 (+1.12)K% 17.9% → 13.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	17.93%	—	×0.740	13.27%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.72%	—	×1.180	13.83%
HR / BF /BF	2.76%	÷1.000	×1.300	3.59%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.59 → 5.70, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 14 IPFIP 4.28 → 6.07 (+1.79)K% 23.5% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.53%	—	×0.680	16.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.88%	—	×1.250	7.35%
HR / BF /BF	4.41%	÷1.000	×1.400	6.18%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.28 → 6.07, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Phillies · 47 IPFIP 4.12 → 5.76 (+1.64)K% 22.0% → 14.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.97%	—	×0.680	14.94%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.00%	—	×1.250	16.26%
HR / BF /BF	2.24%	÷0.924	×1.400	3.40%

Result: FIP 4.12 → 5.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKDSL Phillies White · 45 IPFIP 2.54 → 3.81 (+1.27)K% 26.0% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.97%	—	×0.680	17.66%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.50%	—	×1.250	13.12%
HR / BF /BF	0.55%	÷0.794	×1.400	0.97%

Result: FIP 2.54 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKDSL Phillies White · 24 IPFIP 3.74 → 5.15 (+1.42)K% 22.1% → 15.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.12%	—	×0.680	15.04%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.93%	—	×1.250	19.91%
HR / BF /BF	0.88%	÷0.849	×1.400	1.46%

Result: FIP 3.74 → 5.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Blanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	17.6%	11.9%	3.1%	—	4.83	19.7%	9.1%	66	-0.38	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	87
Adam Bernero R 2000 · 4.15 FIP	23	SW	4.15	14.2%	8.5%	2.1%	.283	4.88	14.2%	6.3%	247	+0.73	3.45	376	84
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	83
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	82
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	82
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	81
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	80
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	80
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	80
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	80
Tanner Dodson R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SW	5.04	13.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.433	4.48	17.7%	2.8%	91	-0.56	3.87	277	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	31	19.0%	11.0%	1.19	5.01
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*