Wilmer Blanco P FCL Phillies
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.7%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -3.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +2.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.21 (60 IP)-0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL Phillies White116241132518155%2.215.0%19.9%-4.9%1.8%5.705.33
202218ROKDSL Phillies White116241132518155%2.222.1%15.9%6.2%0.9%5.703.82
202319ROKDSL Phillies White1110451814719191%4.117.7%13.1%4.5%1.3%2.803.99
202319ROKDSL Phillies White1110451814719191%4.126.0%10.5%15.5%0.6%2.802.57
202420ROKFCL Phillies1210472234929583%3.914.9%16.3%-1.3%3.7%6.705.93
202420ROKFCL Phillies1210472234929583%3.922.0%13.0%9.0%2.2%6.704.25
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws16133146301246%2.015.1%8.3%6.8%4.2%4.685.18-0.2
ROS22MLBPHI26028117271140%1.122.7%9.8%12.9%3.0%4.454.45+0.0
ROS22MLBPHI022.7%9.8%12.9%3.0%4.454.45
2026 TOT22MLBPHI602635723821.5%8.9%12.6%2.9%4.584.85-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBPHI27029121281140%1.123.5%9.2%14.3%3.0%4.354.29+0.1
202723MLBPHI130145914520%1.123.5%9.2%14.3%3.0%4.354.29+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career130146014520%1.123.5%9.2%14.3%3.0%4.353.91+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084419871280%1.123.5%9.2%14.3%3.0%4.353.91+3.5
Career5027148663104951954%3.015.7%14.3%1.5%2.8%4.915.13+0.5
/ 200 IP67362008941411282554%3.015.7%14.3%1.5%2.8%4.915.13+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Wilmer Blanco (OGILVIE) 4.45 22.7%9.8%3.0% 4.29 23.5%14.3%29 -0.16
Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 23 SW 3.89 21.8%8.6%2.8%.293 4.63 20.4%9.0%33 +0.74 2.08 276 85
Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 22 SP- 3.43 25.4%10.6%2.1%.351 5.24 21.6%5.6%193 +1.81 3.43 242 85
Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 22 SW 3.83 19.2%6.0%2.9%.266 3.29 18.1%13.2%220 -0.54 3.28 255 83
Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 22 SW 3.93 21.3%8.2%2.9%.391 3.00 29.2%18.4%114 -0.93 0.86 198 82
Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 22 SW 3.60 21.8%10.3%1.9%.294 3.85 20.2%5.1%54 +0.25 3.60 122 82
Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 23 SW 4.04 20.0%7.1%3.2%.270 4.35 11.6%6.4%244 +0.31 4.04 287 81
Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 81
Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 22 SW 4.14 17.2%7.1%2.9%.310 4.49 22.4%7.1%90 +0.35 4.09 196 80
Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 22 SP- 3.47 23.7%8.4%2.4%.350 4.29 24.6%10.4%56 +0.82 2.92 103 80
Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SW 3.96 24.5%6.8%3.8%.339 3.22 20.3%11.0%89 -0.74 3.22 115 80
Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 23 SW 4.25 19.5%10.0%2.8%.308 4.88 16.3%8.9%188 +0.63 4.17 257 79
Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP 23 SW 5.05 19.8%9.4%4.4%.309 3.93 16.2%7.7%147 -1.12 3.71 361 79
Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP 22 SW 4.47 20.5%14.2%2.4%.271 5.06 21.9%6.1%128 +0.59 3.55 156 79
Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 23 SP- 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.18 234 79
John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP 23 SW 4.88 18.6%10.4%3.7%.351 4.67 15.5%1.6%145 -0.21 4.40 213 78
Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 22 SW 4.05 19.7%6.0%3.4%.340 5.20 18.7%9.2%213 +1.15 3.60 235 78
Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP 23 SP- 3.48 20.5%10.3%1.5%.246 4.20 21.6%12.8%184 +0.72 3.07 229 78
Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SW 3.85 17.9%7.1%2.5%.319 4.99 18.6%5.0%83 +1.14 3.85 156 78
Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 78
Eybersson Polanco R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 22 SW 4.11 19.5%10.3%2.5%.278 3.01 204 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22823.1%9.5%1.154.40
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77