Wilmer Blanco — OGILVIE

Wilmer Blanco P Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%20.5%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	6	24	113	25	18	1	55%	2.2	15.0%	19.9%	-4.9%	1.5%	5.70	5.15	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	6	24	113	25	18	1	55%	2.2	22.1%	15.9%	6.2%	0.9%	5.70	3.82	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	45	181	47	19	1	91%	4.1	17.7%	13.1%	4.5%	1.0%	2.80	3.81	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	45	181	47	19	1	91%	4.1	17.7%	13.1%	4.5%	1.0%	2.80	3.81	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	10	45	181	47	19	1	91%	4.1	26.0%	10.5%	15.5%	0.6%	2.80	2.57	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	14.9%	16.3%	-1.3%	3.4%	6.70	5.76	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	14.9%	16.3%	-1.3%	3.4%	6.70	5.76	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	10	47	223	49	29	5	83%	3.9	22.0%	13.0%	9.0%	2.2%	6.70	4.25	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	28	1	50	228	44	24	7	4%	1.8	14.1%	11.8%	2.4%	4.4%	5.76	5.82	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	28	1	50	228	44	24	7	4%	1.8	14.1%	11.8%	2.4%	4.4%	5.76	5.82	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	PHI	5	1	14	68	16	4	3	20%	2.8	23.5%	5.9%	17.6%	4.4%	6.43	4.28	—
2026	22	A RAW	PHI	22	0	33	145	26	17	4	0%	1.5	17.9%	11.7%	6.2%	2.8%	4.91	4.59	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	PHI	1	0	3	15	2	3	0	0%	3.0	13.3%	20.0%	-6.7%	0.0%	12.00	4.51	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48	0	51	214	46	26	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.3%	9.3%	3.0%	4.93	4.83	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	50	0	52	220	49	25	6	0%	1.0	22.3%	11.2%	11.1%	2.9%	4.73	4.62	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	50	0	53	223	51	23	6	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.49	+0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	50	0	53	223	51	23	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.51	4.47	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	24	0	25	106	23	13	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.3%	9.3%	3.0%	4.93	4.83	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	34	0	36	152	34	17	4	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.2%	11.1%	2.9%	4.73	4.62	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	41	0	43	182	41	19	5	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.5%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.49	+0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44	0	46	194	45	20	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.51	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	0	150	635	143	69	19	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.9%	11.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.19	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	92	25	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.9%	11.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.19	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		62	27	166	745	115	109	21	44%	2.7	15.4%	14.7%	0.7%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	33	200	899	138	132	25	44%	2.7	15.4%	14.7%	0.7%	2.8%	5.22	5.21	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilmer Blanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	20.5%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.64	22.2%	10.9%	156	-0.52	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	89
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	87
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	84
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	83
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	80
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	80
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	80
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	79
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	79
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	22.2%	11.4%	1.14	4.74
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33