Patrick Halligan

Patrick Halligan P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%24.3%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	1	16	80	19	7	2	10%	1.6	23.8%	8.8%	15.0%	2.5%	4.96	3.57	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	1	16	80	19	7	2	10%	1.6	23.8%	8.8%	15.0%	2.5%	4.96	3.65	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	4	69	299	51	14	14	15%	2.6	12.6%	5.5%	7.0%	5.7%	5.45	5.86	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	4	69	299	51	14	14	15%	2.6	17.1%	4.7%	12.4%	4.7%	5.45	4.86	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	10	72	313	79	30	6	36%	2.6	18.8%	11.6%	7.3%	2.6%	4.02	4.43	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	10	72	313	79	30	6	36%	2.6	18.8%	11.6%	7.3%	2.6%	4.02	4.43	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	10	72	313	79	30	6	36%	2.6	25.2%	9.6%	15.7%	1.9%	4.02	3.24	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	51	212	67	25	1	2%	1.2	27.4%	10.2%	17.2%	0.7%	3.02	2.47	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	51	212	67	25	1	2%	1.2	27.4%	10.2%	17.2%	0.7%	3.02	2.47	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	1	51	212	67	25	1	2%	1.2	31.6%	11.8%	19.8%	0.5%	3.02	2.19	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	57	253	66	27	8	0%	1.4	22.8%	10.7%	12.2%	3.5%	4.40	4.44	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	57	253	66	27	8	0%	1.4	22.8%	10.7%	12.2%	3.5%	4.40	4.44	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	57	253	66	27	8	0%	1.4	26.1%	10.7%	15.4%	3.2%	4.40	4.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	38	2	76	326	100	29	9	5%	2.0	25.0%	9.5%	15.5%	3.3%	4.60	3.99	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	38	2	76	326	100	29	9	5%	2.0	25.0%	9.5%	15.5%	3.3%	4.60	3.99	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	BOS	29	2	57	241	78	24	8	7%	2.0	32.4%	10.0%	22.4%	3.3%	4.29	3.45	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	BOS	9	0	20	85	22	5	1	0%	2.2	25.9%	5.9%	20.0%	1.2%	5.49	2.31	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	BOS	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	24.3%	10.3%	14.0%	2.9%	4.33	4.33	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	82	351	106	32	10	—	—	30.2%	9.0%	21.2%	2.8%	4.58	4.02	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	70	0	74	311	75	32	9	0%	1.1	24.2%	10.3%	13.9%	3.0%	4.35	4.37	+0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	68	0	72	302	73	31	9	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.4%	13.7%	3.1%	4.41	4.45	+0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	288	68	30	9	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.5%	13.2%	3.2%	4.50	4.57	-0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	271	63	29	9	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.8%	12.6%	3.4%	4.65	4.74	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	27	0	28	118	29	12	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	10.3%	13.9%	3.0%	4.35	4.37	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	41	0	43	182	44	19	6	0%	1.0	24.0%	10.4%	13.7%	3.1%	4.41	4.45	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	46	0	48	203	48	21	7	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.5%	13.2%	3.2%	4.50	4.57	-0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	48	0	50	211	49	23	7	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.8%	12.6%	3.4%	4.65	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		161	0	169	713	170	75	23	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.5%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.18	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	89	27	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.5%	13.3%	3.2%	4.50	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		184	18	342	1483	313	139	48	10%	1.9	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	3.3%	4.40	4.30	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	11	200	868	183	82	28	10%	1.9	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	3.3%	4.40	4.30	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Halligan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	24.3%	10.3%	2.9%	—	4.46	24.0%	13.6%	214	+0.13	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	88
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	87
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	86
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	85
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	85
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	85
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	85
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	85
Madison Younginer IV R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	26	SU	4.22	23.0%	9.8%	3.3%	.370	4.73	14.0%	-5.3%	27	+0.51	3.08	219	84
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	84
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	84
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	84
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	83
Héctor Neris R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.03	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	2.03	682	83
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	83
Jordan Gore R 2021 · 3.20 FIP	26	SU	3.20	25.8%	11.9%	1.4%	.223	5.37	15.2%	-3.3%	46	+2.17	3.20	113	83
Anthony Vizcaya R 2019 · 3.22 FIP	25	SU	3.22	21.9%	10.8%	1.1%	.259	7.20	18.2%	5.5%	13	+3.98	3.22	115	83
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	651	83
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	70	23.9%	10.5%	1.20	4.44
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93