Patrick Halligan
P
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 26
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%24.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 117 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 16 | 80 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10% | 1.6 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 4.96 | 3.57 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 1 | 16 | 80 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10% | 1.6 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 4.96 | 3.65 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 4 | 69 | 299 | 51 | 14 | 14 | 15% | 2.6 | 12.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.45 | 5.70 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 4 | 69 | 299 | 51 | 14 | 14 | 15% | 2.6 | 17.1% | 4.7% | 12.4% | 4.7% | 5.45 | 4.86 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 10 | 72 | 313 | 79 | 30 | 6 | 36% | 2.6 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 4.02 | 4.40 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 10 | 72 | 313 | 79 | 30 | 6 | 36% | 2.6 | 25.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 1.9% | 4.02 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 51 | 212 | 67 | 25 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.4% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 0.8% | 3.02 | 2.52 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 51 | 212 | 67 | 25 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 0.5% | 3.02 | 2.19 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 66 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.35 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 66 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 2 | 47 | 202 | 67 | 20 | 7 | 8% | 2.0 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 4.2% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 72 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 117 | 498 | 139 | 50 | 16 | — | — | 27.9% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.38 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 71 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 68 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 64 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 45 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 114 | 49 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 87 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 170 | 18 | 313 | 1359 | 286 | 130 | 45 | 11% | 1.8 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 12 | 200 | 869 | 183 | 83 | 29 | 11% | 1.8 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Halligan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 24.3% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.43 | 24.0% | 13.7% | 200 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 85 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 85 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 85 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 85 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 85 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 84 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 83 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 83 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 83 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 83 |
| Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.24 | 25.8% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .223 | 5.47 | 15.2% | -3.3% | 46 | +2.23 | 3.24 | 113 | 83 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 83 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 83 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.66 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.18 | 2.61 | 304 | 82 |
| Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .314 | 2.59 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 223 | -0.51 | 1.51 | 544 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 24.1% | 10.3% | 1.16 | 4.37 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |