Cole Sulser
P
Tampa Bay Rays
+0.5
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA3.22
FIP3.83
xFIP5.54
SIERA5.08
K%23.4%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%15.4%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p1091.5
Whiff%
p2922.3%
K%
p1014.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.382
CT (14%)
SL (1%)
FB-1.3 (44%)
CH-1.8 (41%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 42 | 3 | 64 | 276 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 4.34 | 2.89 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 45 | 0 | 63 | 269 | 70 | 26 | 5 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.54 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 47 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 31.5% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.39 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 4 | 73 | 302 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 28.7% | 9.2% | 1.5% | 2.95 | 2.64 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 19 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 19.0% | 16.0% | 2.1% | 5.56 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 60 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 73 | 23 | 5 | 28.4% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 2.70 | 2.74 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 47 | 1 | 43 | 186 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.06 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 22 | 4 | 30 | 136 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 5.76 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 43 | 3 | 60 | 235 | 60 | 26 | 6 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 1.96 | 4.02 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 48 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 56 | 11 | 3 | 23.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 1.57 | 2.39 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 7 | 1 | 11 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 4.91 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | TB | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 21.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 3.03 | 3.74 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | TB | — | — | 46 | 204 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 19.4% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 3.86 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 20.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 3.96 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | TB | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 436 | 16 | 548 | 2283 | 561 | 208 | 44 | 24.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 3.37 | 3.24 | +12.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 6 | 200 | 833 | 205 | 76 | 16 | 24.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 3.37 | 3.24 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Sulser (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 2.4% | — | 4.40 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 83 | +0.42 | — | — | — |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.11 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.86 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.75 | 3.11 | 174 | 83 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 82 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 81 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 81 |
| Ramon E Ramirez R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.50 | 14.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 140 | 79 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 79 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 79 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 79 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 78 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 78 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 78 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 76 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.44 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% | .328 | 3.24 | 14.8% | 10.4% | 69 | -0.20 | 3.00 | 119 | 74 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 74 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.99 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 73 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 72 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.64 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 404 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.