Cole Sulser
P
Tampa Bay Rays
Age 36
RHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109100vR 90
ERA3.50
FIP3.47
K%23.7%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%16.4%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1892.2
Whiff%
p6026.9%
K%
p6124.3%
xwOBA vs
p270.339
CT (12%)
SL (4%)
FB-1.3 (44%)
CH-1.8 (40%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 3 | 64 | 276 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 7% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 1.1% | 4.34 | 2.93 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 3 | 64 | 276 | 70 | 16 | 2 | 7% | 1.5 | 25.4% | 5.8% | 19.6% | 0.7% | 4.34 | 2.07 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 63 | 269 | 70 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 1.7% | 2.70 | 3.43 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 63 | 269 | 70 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 3.15 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.5% | 7.7% | 23.8% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 2.29 | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.3% | 6.9% | 31.5% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 1.67 | — |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 4 | 73 | 302 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 7% | 1.3 | 28.7% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 1.3% | 2.95 | 2.55 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 4 | 73 | 302 | 98 | 27 | 4 | 7% | 1.3 | 32.5% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 1.3% | 2.95 | 2.24 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 19 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 5.56 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 19 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 5.56 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 60 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 73 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 1.8% | 2.70 | 2.83 | +1.3 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 60 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 73 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 8.9% | 19.5% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 2.91 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 43 | 186 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 2% | 0.9 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 43 | 186 | 54 | 17 | 8 | 2% | 0.9 | 29.0% | 9.1% | 19.9% | 4.3% | 5.06 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 4 | 30 | 136 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 18% | 1.3 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 5.76 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 4 | 30 | 136 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 18% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 5.76 | 5.83 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 3 | 60 | 235 | 60 | 26 | 6 | 7% | 1.4 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 1.96 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 3 | 60 | 235 | 60 | 26 | 6 | 7% | 1.4 | 25.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 1.96 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 56 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 5.1% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 1.57 | 2.33 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 56 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 5.0% | 20.5% | 1.4% | 1.57 | 2.40 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 36 | 2 | 41 | 177 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 6% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 5.6% | 18.6% | 3.4% | 5.53 | 3.62 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | TB | 13 | 0 | 13 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 3.50 | 3.47 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | TB | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 3.50 | 3.47 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | TB | — | — | 54 | 233 | 56 | 14 | 7 | — | — | 24.1% | 6.0% | 18.1% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | TB | — | — | 54 | 228 | 56 | 14 | 7 | — | — | 24.7% | 6.2% | 18.5% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | 45 | 0 | 47 | 199 | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | TB | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 36 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% | 4.46 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | TB | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 3.0% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | TB | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% | 4.46 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 276 | 4 | 300 | 1260 | 305 | 114 | 35 | 1% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.71 | +5.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 3 | 200 | 841 | 204 | 76 | 23 | 1% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 465 | 17 | 578 | 2406 | 596 | 212 | 48 | 4% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 3.49 | 3.21 | +14.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 6 | 200 | 833 | 206 | 73 | 17 | 4% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 3.49 | 3.21 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Sulser (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.85 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 2.4% | — | 4.46 | 21.9% | 13.7% | 88 | +0.61 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 79 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 78 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 77 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 76 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.10 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.82 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.72 | 3.10 | 174 | 75 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 75 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 74 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 73 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 73 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 71 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.86 | 20.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .295 | 5.60 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 27 | +1.74 | 2.61 | 339 | 70 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 69 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 68 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 47 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.12 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |