JT Chargois
P
Round Rock Express
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.29
FIP4.59
K%20.8%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
FB+7.6 (57%)
SI (55%)
SL-1.2 (43%)
CH-1.4 (0%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 207 | 53 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 2.62 | 3.30 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 48 | 207 | 53 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 0.5% | 2.62 | 2.73 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 70 | 289 | 72 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 0.5% | 2.45 | 2.59 | +1.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 70 | 289 | 72 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 0.7% | 2.45 | 2.48 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.63 | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 47 | 196 | 49 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 2.2% | 2.85 | 3.47 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 47 | 196 | 49 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 2.85 | 3.33 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 223 | 65 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 8.9% | 18.3% | 3.2% | 4.17 | 3.68 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 223 | 65 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 8.5% | 20.6% | 3.1% | 4.17 | 3.43 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 0 | 54 | 216 | 53 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 2.4% | 2.52 | 3.37 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 0 | 54 | 216 | 53 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 2.3% | 2.52 | 3.29 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 3 | 30 | 129 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 9% | 0.9 | 19.8% | 5.8% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 6.00 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 3 | 30 | 129 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 9% | 0.9 | 17.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 6.00 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 5 | 51 | 205 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 9% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 3.64 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 53 | 5 | 51 | 205 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 9% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 3.18 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 2 | 49 | 192 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 4% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.84 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 2 | 49 | 192 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 4% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 1.84 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 34 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 19.29 | 11.84 | — |
| 2025 | 34 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 19.29 | 15.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 48 | 0 | 50 | 213 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 43 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 37 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 4.69 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 4.69 | 4.96 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 244 | 8 | 232 | 947 | 220 | 78 | 25 | 3% | 0.9 | 23.3% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 2.6% | 3.35 | 3.63 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 7 | 200 | 817 | 190 | 67 | 22 | 3% | 0.9 | 23.3% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 2.6% | 3.35 | 3.63 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 406 | 10 | 410 | 1695 | 382 | 156 | 41 | 2% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.20 | 3.68 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 5 | 200 | 827 | 187 | 76 | 20 | 2% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 3.20 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JT Chargois (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 20.8% | 9.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.96 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 45 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 81 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 81 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 81 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 78 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 77 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 76 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 76 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 75 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 75 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 74 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 74 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 74 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.68 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.97 | 268 | 74 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.78 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 197 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 73 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 73 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.71 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 46 | -0.36 | 3.08 | 349 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 48 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 1.27 | 4.48 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |