JT Chargois
P
Round Rock Express
+0.2
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA3.87
FIP4.47
xFIP4.58
SIERA4.18
K%22.1%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.1%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL4545
CMD4545
K†5555
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p3820.5%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
FB+7.6 (57%)
SI (55%)
SL-1.2 (43%)
CH-1.4 (0%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 48 | 0 | 48 | 207 | 53 | 25 | 1 | 20.4% | 13.4% | 0.5% | 2.62 | 3.33 | +0.9 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 64 | 0 | 70 | 289 | 72 | 25 | 2 | 22.0% | 8.5% | 0.5% | 2.45 | 2.57 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 50 | 0 | 47 | 196 | 49 | 19 | 4 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 2.85 | 3.35 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 48 | 0 | 54 | 223 | 65 | 19 | 7 | 27.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.17 | 3.61 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 56 | 0 | 54 | 216 | 53 | 17 | 5 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 2.52 | 3.36 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 33 | 3 | 30 | 129 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 19.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.00 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 53 | 5 | 51 | 205 | 46 | 19 | 3 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 3.18 | 3.58 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 47 | 2 | 49 | 192 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.84 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 34 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | 19.29 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 28 | — | 28 | 118 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 3.87 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 26 | — | 26 | 111 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 406 | 10 | 410 | 1695 | 382 | 156 | 39 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.63 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 5 | 200 | 827 | 186 | 76 | 19 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.63 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JT Chargois (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.62 | 21.6% | 12.1% | 26 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 80 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 75 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 74 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 74 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 73 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 73 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 72 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 72 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 19.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 358 | 71 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 71 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 71 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 70 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.61 | 21.8% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.94 | 268 | 70 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.68 | 26.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.90 | 17.5% | 4.8% | 12 | +1.22 | 3.43 | 132 | 70 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 70 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.