Ben Anderson
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 76 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142133vR 124
ERA5.49
FIP5.49
K%10.8%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%0.1%
ROS IP76
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 123 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20% | 0.8 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 4.50 | 5.68 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20% | 0.8 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 4.50 | 5.85 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 4 | 56 | 237 | 62 | 19 | 7 | 20% | 2.8 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 3.70 | 5.05 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 4 | 56 | 237 | 62 | 19 | 7 | 20% | 2.8 | 26.2% | 8.0% | 18.1% | 3.0% | 3.70 | 3.53 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 9 | 9 | 41 | 172 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 13.0% | 12.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.51 | 4.49 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 9 | 9 | 41 | 172 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 3.51 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 67% | 1.8 | 27.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 2.66 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 67% | 1.8 | 27.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.91 | 2.63 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 108 | 440 | 93 | 28 | 10 | 87% | 4.7 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 3.51 | 3.71 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 108 | 440 | 93 | 28 | 10 | 87% | 4.7 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 3.51 | 3.36 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 111 | 499 | 70 | 46 | 11 | 85% | 4.3 | 11.6% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.66 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 111 | 499 | 70 | 46 | 11 | 85% | 4.3 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 5.66 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 13 | 8 | 47 | 213 | 22 | 25 | 13 | 62% | 3.6 | 8.5% | 12.6% | -4.1% | 7.1% | 6.13 | 7.90 | -1.8 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 13 | 13 | 76 | 320 | 34 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 123 | 533 | 56 | 59 | 22 | — | — | 10.6% | 11.1% | -0.5% | 4.2% | 5.73 | 6.41 | -1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 10.8% | 10.7% | 0.1% | 2.9% | 5.49 | 5.11 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 12 | 12 | 72 | 306 | 36 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 11.8% | 10.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.50 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 12.3% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.50 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 11.8% | 10.7% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.45 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.3% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.50 | 5.59 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 59 | 250 | 30 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.1% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.17 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 101 | 91 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 12.1% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 68 | 378 | 1627 | 239 | 160 | 53 | 67% | 3.7 | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.90 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 862 | 126 | 85 | 28 | 67% | 3.7 | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.90 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.49 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.54 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 141 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 80 |
| Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 79 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 78 |
| David Fletcher R 2028 · 5.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.92 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.92 | 100 | 78 |
| Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 78 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 78 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 78 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.26 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 412 | 78 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 77 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 77 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 76 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 76 |
| Luis Niebla R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 75 |
| Tony Bucciferro R 2023 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.96 | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 107 | 75 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 74 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 74 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.94 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .279 | 5.79 | 16.8% | 5.6% | 41 | +0.85 | 3.68 | 244 | 72 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2023 · 5.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.57 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.57 | 116 | 71 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.37 | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.25 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 85 | -0.12 | 4.25 | 275 | 71 |
| Zach Nuding R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.99 | 12.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.99 | 146 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 72 | 11.6% | 10.8% | 1.17 | 5.48 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |