Ben Anderson — OGILVIE

Ben Anderson P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 119

ERA5.40

FIP5.40

K%10.6%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%0.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	5	1	4	18	4	2	1	20%	0.8	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	5.6%	4.50	5.68	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	5	1	4	18	4	2	1	20%	0.8	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	5.6%	4.50	5.85	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	56	237	62	19	7	20%	2.8	19.8%	9.4%	10.4%	4.0%	3.70	4.84	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	56	237	62	19	7	20%	2.8	26.2%	8.0%	18.1%	3.0%	3.70	3.53	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	9	9	41	172	29	18	3	100%	4.6	13.0%	12.0%	0.9%	1.9%	3.51	4.59	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	9	9	41	172	29	18	3	100%	4.6	16.9%	10.5%	6.4%	1.7%	3.51	3.95	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	4	11	48	13	7	0	67%	1.8	27.1%	14.6%	12.5%	0.0%	5.91	2.66	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	4	11	48	13	7	0	67%	1.8	27.1%	14.6%	12.5%	0.0%	5.91	2.66	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	4	11	48	13	7	0	67%	1.8	27.1%	14.6%	12.5%	0.0%	5.91	2.63	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	17.4%	7.1%	10.3%	2.3%	3.51	3.80	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	17.4%	7.1%	10.3%	2.3%	3.51	3.80	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	21.1%	6.4%	14.8%	2.3%	3.51	3.36	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	11.4%	9.5%	2.0%	2.7%	5.66	4.81	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	11.4%	9.5%	2.0%	2.7%	5.66	4.81	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	14.0%	9.2%	4.8%	2.2%	5.66	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	21	16	85	401	52	48	15	76%	4.0	10.5%	12.6%	-2.0%	4.4%	7.09	6.21	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	21	16	85	401	52	48	15	76%	4.0	10.5%	12.6%	-2.0%	4.4%	7.09	6.21	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	TEX	15	12	71	327	47	36	11	80%	4.7	14.4%	11.0%	3.4%	3.4%	6.75	5.13	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	TEX	6	4	14	74	5	12	4	67%	2.4	6.8%	16.2%	-9.5%	5.4%	8.79	7.55	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	TEX	1	1	6	27	3	3	1	100%	6.4	10.6%	10.0%	0.6%	2.8%	5.40	5.40	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	91	428	55	51	16	—	—	12.8%	11.8%	1.0%	3.7%	6.98	6.16	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TEX	12	12	72	306	36	31	9	100%	6.0	11.7%	10.2%	1.5%	3.0%	5.37	5.42	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	11	11	68	288	35	30	9	100%	6.2	12.2%	10.4%	1.8%	3.2%	5.43	5.52	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	23	97	11	10	3	100%	5.8	11.7%	10.2%	1.5%	3.0%	5.37	5.42	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	35	148	18	15	5	100%	5.8	12.2%	10.4%	1.8%	3.2%	5.43	5.52	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	58	244	29	25	8	100%	5.8	12.0%	10.3%	1.6%	3.1%	5.41	5.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	100	87	28	100%	6.0	12.0%	10.3%	1.6%	3.1%	5.41	5.10	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		110	76	416	1815	262	181	55	69%	3.8	14.4%	10.0%	4.5%	3.0%	4.91	4.81	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	37	200	873	126	87	27	69%	3.8	14.4%	10.0%	4.5%	3.0%	4.91	4.81	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.40	10.6%	10.0%	2.8%	—	5.47	11.9%	1.6%	141	+0.07	—	—	—
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	82
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	82
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	82
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	82
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	81
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	80
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	79
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	78
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	78
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	78
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	76
Tony Bucciferro R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	25	SP-	5.11	6.8%	6.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	5.11	107	75
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	75
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	75
Mike Augliera R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP-	4.27	12.0%	7.2%	2.3%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	114	75
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	74
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	74
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	74
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	73
Matthew Shepherd R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	13.7%	9.5%	3.3%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	4.98	116	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	72	11.5%	10.2%	1.16	5.40
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10