Ben Anderson
P
Frisco RoughRiders
+0.1
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.86
FIP4.86
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%16.0%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%6.7%
IP108
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL5050
CMD3535
K†3030
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 20 | 4 | 56 | 237 | 62 | 19 | 7 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 3.70 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 9 | 9 | 41 | 172 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 13.0% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 3.51 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 6 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 13 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 5.91 | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 23 | 20 | 108 | 440 | 93 | 28 | 10 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 3.51 | 3.79 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 26 | 22 | 111 | 499 | 70 | 46 | 11 | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 5.66 | 4.88 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 2 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 6.14 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 20 | 20 | 108 | 458 | 62 | 48 | 13 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 5.22 | 5.22 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 116 | 492 | 68 | 54 | 15 | 13.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 4.89 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 106 | 448 | 64 | 46 | 13 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 5.17 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 64 | 44 | 13 | 14.7% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.16 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 62 | 43 | 13 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 5.14 | 5.19 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 17 | 95 | 402 | 59 | 41 | 13 | 14.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 5.25 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 17 | 91 | 384 | 55 | 40 | 12 | 14.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 16 | 16 | 86 | 365 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 5.39 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 15 | 15 | 82 | 344 | 47 | 38 | 12 | 13.7% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 49 | 33 | 11 | 15.2% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 61 | 338 | 1448 | 227 | 139 | 40 | 15.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.50 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 857 | 134 | 82 | 24 | 15.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.50 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.22 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 5.17 | 14.6% | 4.3% | 308 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 92 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.0% | .306 | 4.65 | 9.0% | -1.2% | 38 | +0.59 | 4.06 | 203 | 89 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 89 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.09 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.04 | 4.09 | 165 | 88 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 88 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 87 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 87 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 87 |
| Hector Galvan R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% | .307 | 4.27 | 13.2% | 3.1% | 162 | -0.70 | 3.59 | 406 | 87 |
| Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 118 | 86 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.40 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .289 | 4.45 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.05 | 4.33 | 221 | 86 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.96 | 106 | 86 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 85 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.31 | 12.6% | 11.4% | 1.5% | .349 | 4.16 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 146 | -0.15 | 2.98 | 306 | 84 |
| Caleb Clay R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.67 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 111 | 84 |
| Colin Bates R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.57 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 111 | 84 |
| David Fletcher R 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.65 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.65 | 100 | 84 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .311 | 3.92 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 44 | -0.45 | 3.92 | 272 | 84 |
| Sugar Ray Marimon R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.11 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 107 | 83 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.