Ben Anderson

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	23	20	108	3.51	3.36	21.1%	6.4%	—	K 17.4% · BB 7.1% · FIP 3.80
2025	27	MIX2 levels	26	22	111	5.66	4.37	14.0%	9.2%	—	K 11.5% · BB 9.5% · FIP 4.80
2026	28	MIX2 levels	21	16	85	7.09	5.86	13.0%	12.0%	—	K 10.6% · BB 12.6% · FIP 6.21
2027PROJ	29	MLBTEX	1	1	1	6.01	6.01	10.0%	12.1%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBTEX	3	3	16	5.95	6.02	11.0%	12.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	31	MLBTEX	4	4	21	5.98	6.09	11.5%	12.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control50Command35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLuis Mateo (age 29) · David Fletcher (age 30) · Miguel Ruiz (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%10.0%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%-2.1%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	5	1	4	18	4	2	1	20%	0.8	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	5.6%	4.50	5.68	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	5	1	4	18	4	2	1	20%	0.8	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	5.6%	4.50	5.85	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	56	237	62	19	7	20%	2.8	19.8%	9.4%	10.4%	4.0%	3.70	4.84	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	56	237	62	19	7	20%	2.8	26.2%	8.0%	18.1%	3.0%	3.70	3.53	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	9	9	41	172	29	18	3	100%	4.6	13.0%	12.0%	0.9%	1.9%	3.51	4.59	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	9	9	41	172	29	18	3	100%	4.6	16.9%	10.5%	6.4%	1.7%	3.51	3.95	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	4	11	48	13	7	0	67%	1.8	27.1%	14.6%	12.5%	0.0%	5.91	2.66	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	4	11	48	13	7	0	67%	1.8	27.1%	14.6%	12.5%	0.0%	5.91	2.63	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	17.4%	7.1%	10.3%	2.3%	3.51	3.80	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	17.4%	7.1%	10.3%	2.3%	3.51	3.80	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	108	440	93	28	10	87%	4.7	21.1%	6.4%	14.8%	2.3%	3.51	3.36	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	11.5%	9.5%	2.1%	2.7%	5.66	4.80	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	11.5%	9.5%	2.1%	2.7%	5.66	4.80	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	111	499	70	46	11	85%	4.3	14.0%	9.2%	4.8%	2.2%	5.66	4.37	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	16	85	401	52	48	15	76%	4.0	10.6%	12.6%	-2.0%	4.4%	7.09	6.21	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	16	85	401	52	48	15	76%	4.0	10.6%	12.6%	-2.0%	4.4%	7.09	6.21	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	16	85	401	52	48	15	76%	4.0	13.0%	12.0%	1.0%	3.7%	7.09	5.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TEX	1	1	1	4	0	1	0	100%	1.0	10.0%	12.1%	-2.1%	3.4%	6.01	6.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	8	8	50	213	23	26	7	100%	6.3	11.0%	12.1%	-1.1%	3.5%	5.95	6.02	-0.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	TEX	7	7	41	175	20	21	6	100%	5.9	11.5%	12.3%	-0.7%	3.7%	5.98	6.09	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	3	3	16	68	7	8	2	100%	5.3	11.0%	12.1%	-1.1%	3.5%	5.95	6.02	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	21	89	10	11	3	100%	5.2	11.5%	12.3%	-0.7%	3.7%	5.98	6.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	6	37	156	18	19	6	100%	6.2	11.3%	12.2%	-0.9%	3.6%	5.97	5.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	97	103	32	100%	6.0	11.3%	12.2%	-0.9%	3.6%	5.97	5.68	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		110	76	416	1815	263	181	55	69%	3.8	14.5%	10.0%	4.5%	3.0%	4.91	4.81	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	37	200	873	126	87	27	69%	3.8	14.5%	10.0%	4.5%	3.0%	4.91	4.81	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 71 IPFIP 5.13 → 5.87 (+0.74)K% 14.4% → 11.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	14.37%	—	×0.810	11.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.01%	—	×1.100	12.11%
HR / BF /BF	3.36%	÷1.000	×1.200	4.04%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.13 → 5.87, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAARound Rock Express · 14 IPFIP 7.55 → 7.72 (+0.17)K% 6.8% → 5.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	6.76%	—	×0.860	5.81%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.22%	—	×0.900	14.59%
HR / BF /BF	5.41%	÷1.000	×1.100	5.95%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 7.55 → 7.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 79 IPFIP 3.95 → 4.57 (+0.61)K% 15.6% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.61%	—	×0.810	12.64%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.38%	—	×1.100	9.22%
HR / BF /BF	2.02%	÷0.976	×1.200	2.49%

Result: FIP 3.95 → 4.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAARound Rock Express · 32 IPFIP 5.06 → 5.34 (+0.28)K% 10.5% → 9.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	10.46%	—	×0.860	8.99%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.11%	—	×0.900	10.00%
HR / BF /BF	2.61%	÷0.913	×1.100	3.15%

Result: FIP 5.06 → 5.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 106 IPFIP 3.25 → 3.80 (+0.55)K% 21.5% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.48%	—	×0.810	17.40%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.47%	—	×1.100	7.11%
HR / BF /BF	2.08%	÷1.080	×1.200	2.31%

Result: FIP 3.25 → 3.80, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hickory Crawdads · 6 IPFIP 2.96 → 3.79 (+0.83)K% 26.7% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.67%	—	×0.770	20.53%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	16.67%	—	×1.150	19.17%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.948	×1.250	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 2.96 → 3.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 41 IPFIP 3.96 → 4.59 (+0.63)K% 16.9% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.86%	—	×0.770	12.98%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.47%	—	×1.150	12.03%
HR / BF /BF	1.74%	÷1.123	×1.250	1.94%

Result: FIP 3.96 → 4.59, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 31 IPFIP 3.55 → 4.83 (+1.28)K% 23.7% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.66%	—	×0.770	18.22%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.11%	—	×1.150	7.02%
HR / BF /BF	3.05%	÷0.881	×1.250	4.33%

Result: FIP 3.55 → 4.83, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	10.0%	12.1%	3.4%	—	6.05	11.2%	-1.0%	92	+0.04	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2019 · 5.55 FIP	29	SP-	5.55	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	160	82
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	81
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	80
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	75
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	73
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	72
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	72
Walter Silva R 2009 · 5.72 FIP	32	SP	5.72	9.1%	12.4%	3.3%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	453	72
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	72
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	69
Mark Appel R 2021 · 5.90 FIP	30	SP-	5.90	15.6%	15.6%	3.9%	.260	4.22	18.5%	8.1%	40	-1.68	4.22	363	67
Mike Hauschild R 2019 · 5.76 FIP	29	SP	5.76	11.5%	14.9%	3.2%	.325	8.79	11.3%	-0.1%	54	+3.03	3.17	579	66
Brian Powell R 2002 · 5.53 FIP	28	SP-	5.53	11.8%	8.3%	4.3%	.276	4.45	14.5%	7.3%	39	-1.08	4.45	212	65
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	65
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	65
Mike McCarthy R 2016 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	6.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.78	153	64
Chris Heston R 2017 · 5.88 FIP	29	SP-	5.88	13.6%	10.0%	4.9%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	321	63
Brandon Cumpton R 2018 · 5.17 FIP	29	SP-	5.17	12.0%	6.9%	4.0%	.306	3.90	7.2%	-3.9%	13	-1.27	2.59	187	62
Dustin Beggs R 2021 · 5.09 FIP	28	SP-	5.09	11.3%	7.7%	3.6%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	407	61
Donn Roach R 2019 · 5.06 FIP	29	SP	5.06	12.2%	7.1%	3.8%	.387	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	485	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	10.7%	12.2%	1.35	5.98
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*