Felix Cepeda
P Brooklyn Cyclones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 33 | 0 | 53 | 2.38 | 2.67 | 26.4% | 12.3% | — | K 19.8% · BB 14.5% · FIP 3.58 |
| 2024 | 24 | AABOS | 30 | 0 | 42 | 5.57 | 4.55 | 19.0% | 9.7% | — | K 15.4% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.15 |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX3 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 5.06 | 3.85 | 14.6% | 6.2% | — | K 14.6% · BB 6.2% · FIP 3.80 |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBNYM | — | — | 0 | 4.66 | 4.66 | 20.4% | 9.8% | — | |
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 28 | MLBNYM | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4.67 | 4.71 | 20.6% | 9.9% | -0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 32.3% | 22.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 3.24 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | 32.3% | 22.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | 10 | 8 | 38 | 171 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 80% | 3.8 | 11.5% | 14.6% | -3.1% | 3.3% | 6.16 | 5.78 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | 10 | 8 | 38 | 171 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 80% | 3.8 | 17.0% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 6.16 | 4.52 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | 6 | 5 | 21 | 104 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 83% | 3.6 | 17.0% | 21.6% | -4.6% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 5.96 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Red Sox | 6 | 5 | 21 | 104 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 83% | 3.6 | 25.0% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 4.64 | 4.41 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | 28 | 2 | 49 | 239 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 7% | 1.8 | 17.0% | 24.2% | -7.2% | 1.9% | 6.20 | 5.75 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Salem Red Sox | 28 | 2 | 49 | 239 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 7% | 1.8 | 23.0% | 20.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 6.20 | 4.64 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 53 | 227 | 60 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 2.38 | 3.58 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 53 | 227 | 60 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 2.38 | 2.67 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | 30 | 0 | 42 | 195 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.57 | 5.15 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | 30 | 0 | 42 | 195 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.57 | 5.15 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | 30 | 0 | 42 | 195 | 37 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 5.57 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 5.06 | 3.80 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 5.06 | 3.80 | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 5.06 | 3.85 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYM | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 7 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.33 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 80 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.33 | +0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 121 | 19 | 220 | 1015 | 170 | 169 | 22 | 16% | 1.8 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 4.82 | 5.01 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 110 | 17 | 200 | 921 | 154 | 153 | 20 | 16% | 1.8 | 16.8% | 16.7% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 4.82 | 5.01 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 7 IPFIP 3.87 → 4.64 (+0.77)K% 15.2% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.15% | — | ×0.770 | 11.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.03% | — | ×1.150 | 3.48% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 3.79% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 3.87 → 4.64, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 42 IPFIP 4.42 → 5.15 (+0.73)K% 19.0% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.97% | — | ×0.810 | 15.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.74% | — | ×1.100 | 10.72% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.08% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | 3.63% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 104).
Result: FIP 4.42 → 5.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASalem Red Sox · 33 IPFIP 2.77 → 3.66 (+0.89)K% 25.5% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.49% | — | ×0.740 | 18.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.38% | — | ×1.180 | 16.97% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.77 → 3.66, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greenville Drive · 20 IPFIP 2.47 → 3.43 (+0.96)K% 28.4% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.38% | — | ×0.770 | 21.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.11% | — | ×1.150 | 9.32% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.35% | ÷0.931 | ×1.250 | 1.82% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 86).
Result: FIP 2.47 → 3.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ASalem Red Sox · 49 IPFIP 4.44 → 5.75 (+1.31)K% 23.0% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 23.01% | — | ×0.740 | 17.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 20.50% | — | ×1.180 | 24.19% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.26% | ÷0.873 | ×1.300 | 1.87% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 75).
Result: FIP 4.44 → 5.75, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 21 IPFIP 4.24 → 5.96 (+1.72)K% 25.0% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 25.00% | — | ×0.680 | 17.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.31% | — | ×1.250 | 21.63% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.92% | ÷0.951 | ×1.400 | 2.83% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).
Result: FIP 4.24 → 5.96, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Red Sox · 38 IPFIP 4.43 → 5.78 (+1.34)K% 17.0% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.96% | — | ×0.680 | 11.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 11.70% | — | ×1.250 | 14.62% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 3.27% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 4.43 → 5.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKDSL Red Sox 1 · 6 IPFIP 3.24 → 4.82 (+1.59)K% 32.3% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 32.26% | — | ×0.680 | 21.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 22.58% | — | ×1.250 | 28.23% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 3.24 → 4.82, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).