Camilo Sanchez — OGILVIE

Camilo Sanchez P FCL Nationals

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 164 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%20.4%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	1	24	104	20	5	1	7%	1.7	13.1%	6.0%	7.1%	1.5%	4.12	3.57	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	14	1	24	104	20	5	1	7%	1.7	19.2%	4.8%	14.4%	1.0%	4.12	2.60	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	9	7	31	149	22	22	4	78%	3.4	10.0%	18.5%	-8.4%	3.8%	7.92	6.65	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	9	7	31	149	22	22	4	78%	3.4	10.0%	18.5%	-8.4%	3.8%	7.92	6.65	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	9	7	31	149	22	22	4	78%	3.4	14.8%	14.8%	0.0%	2.7%	7.92	5.51	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	10	52	227	50	26	5	67%	3.5	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	3.1%	5.68	5.26	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	10	52	227	50	26	5	67%	3.5	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	3.1%	5.68	5.26	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	10	52	227	50	26	5	67%	3.5	22.0%	11.5%	10.6%	2.2%	5.68	3.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	0	19	89	18	10	4	0%	1.4	13.8%	14.0%	-0.3%	6.3%	7.58	7.17	—
YTD	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	0	19	89	18	10	4	0%	1.4	13.8%	14.0%	-0.3%	6.3%	7.58	7.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	WSH	14	0	19	89	18	10	4	0%	1.4	20.2%	11.2%	9.0%	4.5%	7.58	5.28	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	46	0	48	204	43	24	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.89	4.82	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	47	0	49	206	45	23	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.0%	10.9%	3.0%	4.73	4.65	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	20	0	21	89	19	11	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.89	4.82	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	30	0	32	135	30	15	4	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.0%	10.9%	3.0%	4.73	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	53	224	48	25	7	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.3%	10.3%	3.0%	4.79	4.33	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	94	26	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.3%	10.3%	3.0%	4.79	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		52	18	126	569	75	78	20	35%	2.4	13.2%	13.7%	-0.5%	3.5%	6.21	5.62	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	29	200	903	119	124	31	35%	2.4	13.2%	13.7%	-0.5%	3.5%	6.21	5.62	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camilo Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	20.4%	13.3%	3.0%	—	4.73	21.6%	10.2%	97	-0.36	—	—	—
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	88
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	85
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	85
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	83
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	82
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	81
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	81
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	81
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	80
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	80
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	80
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	80
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	21.3%	11.8%	1.15	4.86
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99