Argenis Cayama
P
San Jose Giants
Age 19
RHP
6'0" / 204 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%17.2%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%6.7%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 10 | 10 | 24 | 106 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 2.59 | 2.87 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 10 | 10 | 24 | 106 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | 27.4% | 8.5% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 2.59 | 1.83 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 62 | 271 | 62 | 28 | 2 | 83% | 3.5 | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 3.61 | 3.68 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 15 | 62 | 271 | 62 | 28 | 2 | 83% | 3.5 | 22.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 0.7% | 3.61 | 2.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | San Jose Giants | 11 | 11 | 39 | 157 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 100% | 3.5 | 23.0% | 6.5% | 16.5% | 3.6% | 4.38 | 3.95 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 35 | 147 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | SF | — | — | 74 | 304 | 73 | 23 | 8 | — | — | 24.1% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.39 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 7 | 7 | 36 | 154 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | SF | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | 76 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 18.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.21 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 156 | 78 | 22 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 36 | 126 | 534 | 98 | 56 | 7 | 92% | 3.2 | 18.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 3.65 | 3.60 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 57 | 200 | 850 | 157 | 89 | 11 | 92% | 3.2 | 18.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 3.65 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Argenis Cayama (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 17.2% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.59 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 36 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 91 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 90 |
| Randry De Leon R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.64 | 18.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 4.99 | 20.4% | 1.4% | 59 | +0.35 | 4.37 | 132 | 89 |
| Logan Gragg R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 87 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 86 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 85 |
| Edgar Moreta R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.87 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .269 | 5.59 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 117 | +1.72 | 3.87 | 170 | 85 |
| José López R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 85 |
| Regi Grace R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.92 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 1.4% | .333 | 4.31 | 20.5% | 8.8% | 86 | +0.39 | 3.30 | 224 | 85 |
| Kevin Velasco R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.54 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .327 | 5.35 | 20.5% | -1.3% | 15 | +0.81 | 2.18 | 116 | 84 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 84 |
| Tomas Cleto R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.13 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 1.6% | .233 | 3.86 | 15.5% | 5.7% | 75 | -0.27 | 3.09 | 117 | 84 |
| Xavier Lopez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.93 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 1.6% | .365 | 4.95 | 13.4% | 0.4% | 89 | +1.02 | 3.93 | 109 | 83 |
| Mauricio Veliz R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP | 5.14 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .307 | 4.85 | 12.1% | 1.0% | 189 | -0.29 | 4.54 | 282 | 83 |
| Yohanse Morel R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.62 | 17.0% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .350 | 5.11 | 16.2% | 2.7% | 96 | +0.49 | 3.33 | 263 | 83 |
| Reidis Sena R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.17 | 13.3% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .282 | 5.31 | 18.7% | 3.2% | 44 | +1.14 | 3.09 | 254 | 82 |
| Aneury Lora R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.93 | 16.6% | 11.1% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.01 | 15.1% | 5.9% | 114 | +0.08 | 3.92 | 171 | 82 |
| Ryan Harvey R 2029 · 4.98 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.98 | 16.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .294 | 3.81 | 16.9% | 3.9% | 66 | -1.17 | 3.56 | 112 | 82 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 82 |
| Carlos Betancourt R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.47 | 15.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% | .293 | 3.35 | 19.9% | 10.6% | 45 | -1.12 | 3.35 | 188 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 1.07 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |