Alejandro Blasco
2B Hill City Howlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL CLE Goryl | 135 | .188/.291/.342 | 4 | 3 | -3 | — | .098/.179/.148 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL CLE Mendo… | 122 | .259/.479/.447 | 2 | 8 | 82 | — | .161/.355/.269 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKCLE | 205 | .313/.436/.584 | 10 | 16 | 117 | — | .255/.347/.467 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBCLE | 315 | .223/.305/.357 | 7 | 7 | 88 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBCLE | 58 | .228/.309/.368 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBCLE | 133 | .231/.313/.378 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 52
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 117 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 291 | 342 | 633 | 154 | 212 | 21 | 12 | 287 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 85 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 479 | 447 | 926 | 188 | 312 | 16 | 23 | 421 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Hill City Howlers | — | 105 | 90 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 256 | 356 | 356 | 711 | 100 | 328 | 21 | 11 | 324 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 100 | 76 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 382 | 520 | 855 | 1.376 | 474 | 385 | 17 | 22 | 555 | 167 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 122 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 98 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 49 | 131 | 28 | 8 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 93 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 355 | 269 | 624 | 108 | 198 | 20 | 16 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Hill City Howlers | — | 105 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 237 | 317 | 333 | 651 | 97 | 318 | 29 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 100 | 84 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 274 | 378 | 607 | 985 | 333 | 281 | 24 | 14 | 415 | 167 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 122 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 98 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 49 | 131 | 28 | 8 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 117 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 291 | 342 | 633 | 154 | 212 | 21 | 12 | 287 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 93 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 355 | 269 | 624 | 108 | 206 | 20 | 16 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 85 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 479 | 447 | 926 | 188 | 312 | 16 | 23 | 421 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 178 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 253 | 342 | 461 | 802 | 208 | 314 | 26 | 11 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 205 | 166 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 313 | 436 | 584 | 1.020 | 271 | 353 | 19 | 17 | 437 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 122 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 98 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 49 | 131 | 28 | 8 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 93 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 355 | 269 | 624 | 108 | 198 | 20 | 16 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 179 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 251 | 342 | 458 | 800 | 207 | 300 | 26 | 11 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Goryl | — | 135 | 122 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 98 | 179 | 148 | 327 | 49 | 131 | 28 | 8 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Mendoza | — | 122 | 93 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 355 | 269 | 624 | 108 | 198 | 20 | 16 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 179 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 251 | 342 | 458 | 800 | 207 | 300 | 26 | 11 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | CLE | 0% | 315 | 279 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 81 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 305 | 357 | 661 | 133 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | CLE | 34% | 170 | 150 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 310 | 370 | 680 | 142 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | CLE | 48% | 274 | 244 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 68 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 231 | 313 | 380 | 693 | 149 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | CLE | 54% | 362 | 321 | 76 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 90 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 234 | 315 | 388 | 703 | 154 | 290 | 25 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | CLE | 55% | 419 | 372 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 103 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 236 | 317 | 394 | 711 | 157 | 291 | 25 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 56% | 451 | 401 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 110 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 237 | 318 | 397 | 715 | 160 | 291 | 24 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 56% | 466 | 415 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 114 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 237 | 318 | 398 | 716 | 160 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 55% | 470 | 418 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 115 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 236 | 317 | 395 | 712 | 159 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 59% | 468 | 416 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 116 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 234 | 315 | 390 | 705 | 156 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 56% | 459 | 409 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 115 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 232 | 312 | 384 | 696 | 152 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 59% | 448 | 399 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 114 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 229 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 147 | 285 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | CLE | 61% | 432 | 386 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 111 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 224 | 303 | 366 | 669 | 141 | 282 | 26 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | CLE | 62% | 409 | 365 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 107 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 219 | 297 | 353 | 650 | 134 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -8 | -1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | CLE | 34% | 58 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 309 | 368 | 677 | 140 | 287 | 26 | 9 | 304 | 93 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | CLE | 48% | 133 | 118 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 313 | 378 | 691 | 147 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | CLE | 54% | 196 | 174 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 315 | 386 | 701 | 152 | 289 | 24 | 9 | 313 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | CLE | 55% | 232 | 205 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 317 | 391 | 708 | 155 | 290 | 25 | 9 | 316 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 56% | 253 | 225 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 237 | 318 | 395 | 712 | 158 | 291 | 25 | 9 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 56% | 262 | 233 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 237 | 318 | 396 | 713 | 158 | 290 | 24 | 9 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 55% | 260 | 231 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 317 | 393 | 710 | 157 | 290 | 25 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 59% | 276 | 245 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 68 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 234 | 315 | 388 | 703 | 154 | 289 | 25 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 56% | 256 | 227 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 232 | 312 | 382 | 694 | 150 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 310 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 59% | 263 | 234 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 308 | 374 | 682 | 145 | 285 | 25 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | CLE | 61% | 262 | 233 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 224 | 303 | 364 | 667 | 140 | 282 | 26 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -3 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | CLE | 62% | 254 | 227 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 219 | 297 | 351 | 648 | 132 | 278 | 26 | 9 | 292 | 84 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2705 | 2404 | 556 | 101 | 15 | 77 | 249 | 676 | 31 | 60 | 23 | 231 | 311 | 382 | 693 | 151 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 310 | 94 | -11 | +3 | -6 | +10 | +59 | 5.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 134 | 24 | 4 | 19 | 60 | 162 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 232 | 312 | 386 | 697 | 154 | 287 | 25 | 9 | 310 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5408 | 4794 | 1090 | 197 | 37 | 147 | 510 | 1353 | 64 | 140 | 51 | 227 | 310 | 376 | 686 | 149 | 284 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -21 | +5 | -10 | +18 | +107 | 10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 131 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 61 | 163 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 227 | 310 | 377 | 687 | 149 | 284 | 25 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AHill City Howlers · 105 PAwOBA .316 → .272 (−44)K% 21.0% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.95% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.045 | 25.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.045 | 2.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.045 | 2.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .316 → .272; ISO .100 → .086; BABIP .328 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Guardians · 100 PAwOBA .552 → .415 (−137)K% 17.0% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 13.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.963 | ×1.008 | 16.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×1.008 | 8.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.963 | ×1.008 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 11.99% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .552 → .415; ISO .474 → .379; BABIP .385 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL CLE Mendoza · 122 PAwOBA .416 → .290 (−126)K% 16.4% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.39% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.95% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 16.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.56% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.92% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 11.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.31% | ÷0.970 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 7.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.991 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.940 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 98, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .416 → .290; ISO .188 → .117; BABIP .312 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 135 PAwOBA .282 → .164 (−118)K% 21.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.48% | ÷0.930 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.85% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 9.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.995 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 3.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.366 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.60% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .282 → .164; ISO .154 → .064; BABIP .212 → .131. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).