Jasson Domínguez

LF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 24 S/R 5'9" / 218 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 1.707 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AAA/AA/A2 orgs250.314/.378/.5041116105—.285/.333/.427
202421MLBNYY67.179/.313/.3042580-0.5
202522INTLLeones del Es…46.184/.311/.2630368—
202522MLBNYY429.257/.334/.3881023102-0.1
202623AAAScranton/Wilk…262.290/.374/.45091688—.247/.313/.368
202623MLBNYY222.225/.266/.3686875-0.6
2027PROJ45% MLB24MLBNYY107.254/.319/.424451050.2
2028PROJ59% MLB25MLBNYY271.254/.320/.42610131060.4
2029PROJ65% MLB26MLBNYY301.254/.320/.42511151060.5
Last 3 seasons WAR -1.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.707First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$4M2031Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed84
Bat Spd76
Avg EV59
xwOBA44
Barrel%40
CompsRoyce Lewis (age 24) · Josh Lowe (age 24) · Anthony Volpe (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 105105vR 105
AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .319 / .424
PA107
HR4
SB5
K%23
BB%7
BABIP301
ISO165
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +2.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -1.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -2.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.50.40.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
330.238
POWER45
Barrel%
406.9
Avg EV
5989.7
Bat Spd
7674.1
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
8428.8
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 496 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
127
369
—
wRC+
58
114
▶▶R
wOBA
253
336
▶▶R
ISO
070
150
▶▶R
BABIP
280
338
▶▶R
K%
31.5%
25.5%
▶▶R
BB%
11.0%
10.0%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2023
Service   1.707 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.9M+$0.1M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.4$1M+$0.8M
2029Arb-1$2M+0.5$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-2$4M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $6M +$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202118 ATampa Tarpons — 214186 48915 21675 73 258349398747 140371 3110 335 60 — — — — — —
202118 ROKFCL Yankees — 2720 4000 661 20 200407200607 286 2222 316 38 — — — — — —
202219 AASomerset Patriots — 2219 2011 350 10 105227368596 26377 2314 263 30 — — — — — —
202219 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 184157 48646 23342 171 306401510911 204353 1812 397 104 — — — — — —
202219 ATampa Tarpons — 324275 731729 46892 196 265375440815 175360 2714 364 70 — — — — — —
202219 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 8069 11400 8171 50 159256217474 58204 2110 222 37 — — — — — —
202320 MLBNew York Yankees — 3331 8104 280 10 258303677980 419211 246 416 157 +2 +0 -0 +2 +1 0.5
202320 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 3731 13310 630 31 4195145811.094 161464 816 481 185 — — — — — —
202320 AASomerset Patriots — 507425 10819215 771301 377 254370414784 160327 2615 352 95 — — — — — —
202421 MLBNew York Yankees — 6756 10102 11190 50 179313304617 125229 2816 290 80 -2 +1 -2 -3 +1 -0.5
202421 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 193175 54717 16361 151 309370480850 171353 198 375 101 — — — — — —
202421 AASomerset Patriots — 4038 12004 2110 10 316350632982 316348 285 424 114 — — — — — —
202421 ATampa Tarpons — 1713 5100 430 00 385529462991 77500 1824 453 128 — — — — — —
202522 MLBNew York Yankees — 429381 9818110 411153 235 257334388723 131338 2710 324 102 +1 +3 -9 -5 +9 -0.1
202522 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4638 7300 790 30 184311263574 79233 2015 269 68 — — — — — —
202623 MLBNew York Yankees — 222209 471206 10482 81 225266368634 144265 225 282 75 -7 +1 +0 -5 +5 -0.6
202623 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 262231 671009 28503 162 290374450824 160337 1911 369 88 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 751677 16332122 641905 376 241311388699 148301 259 312 98 -2 +5 -12 -12 +16 -0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202118 A MLETampa Tarpons — 214192 39714 15915 73 203278312591 109342 437 257 60 — — — — — —
202118 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 2722 3000 491 20 136296136433 240 3315 225 38 — — — — — —
202219 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 2220 2011 260 10 100182350532 25078 279 212 30 — — — — — —
202219 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 184165 41635 15442 171 248319412731 164301 248 322 104 — — — — — —
202219 A MLETampa Tarpons — 324290 591427 311242 196 203285338623 134319 3810 271 70 — — — — — —
202320 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 3331 8104 280 10 258303677980 419211 246 400 157 +2 +0 -0 +2 +1 0.5
202320 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 3734 13310 340 31 382432529962 147443 118 441 185 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 507445 10618212 571581 377 238326369695 130332 3111 308 95 — — — — — —
202421 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 6756 10102 11190 50 179313304617 125229 2816 287 80 -2 +1 -2 -3 +1 -0.5
202421 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 193180 51615 11441 151 283328411739 128341 236 318 101 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 4038 10003 2130 10 263300500800 237326 325 336 114 — — — — — —
202421 A MLETampa Tarpons — 1714 5100 340 00 357471429899 71443 2418 357 128 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 429382 971819 401153 235 254329377706 123338 279 319 102 +1 +3 -9 -5 +9 -0.1
202623 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 222210 471206 10482 81 224266367632 143265 225 279 75 -7 +1 +0 -5 +5 -0.6
202623 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 262239 59807 20603 162 247313368681 121304 238 299 88 — — — — — —
202118 A MLE2 teams — 241215 43714 181006 93 200280298578 98345 417 253 58 — — — — — —
202118 A RAW2 teams — 241206 52915 27736 93 252356379734 126362 3011 333 58 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE4 teams — 610545 11722715 552005 427 215293363656 149304 339 286 80 — — — — — —
202219 A RAW4 teams — 610520 13427716 801455 427 258362429791 171324 2413 352 80 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLE3 teams — 577510 12722316 621691 418 249332398730 149337 2911 322 104 — — — — — —
202320 AA RAW3 teams — 577487 12923319 851411 418 265375441817 177332 2415 364 104 — — — — — —
202421 AAA MLE4 teams — 317288 757110 27801 211 260326396722 135327 259 316 100 — — — — — —
202421 AAA RAW4 teams — 317282 819113 33691 211 287364465828 177338 2210 367 100 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLE2 teams — 475423 10720110 441273 265 253328376704 123333 279 319 102 +1 +3 -9 -5 +10 0.0
202522 MLB RAW2 teams — 475419 10521110 481243 265 251332377709 126328 2610 318 102 +1 +3 -9 -5 +10 0.0
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 484449 10520012 301085 243 234289359648 125283 226 290 82 — — — — — —
202623 AAA RAW2 teams — 484440 11422015 38985 243 259324411736 152303 208 329 82 — — — — — —
202118 A MLE2 teams — 241215 43714 181006 93 200280298578 98331 417 253 58 — — — — — —
202219 A MLE4 teams — 610545 11722715 552005 427 215293363656 149303 339 286 80 — — — — — —
202320 AA MLE3 teams — 577509 12722316 621691 418 250332399730 149332 2911 322 104 — — — — — —
202421 AAA MLE4 teams — 317286 757110 27801 211 262326399725 136321 259 316 100 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLE2 teams — 475425 10720110 441273 265 252328374702 122338 279 319 102 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 484446 10520012 301085 243 235289361650 126286 226 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 AAA MLE4 teams — 317286 757110 27801 211 262326399725 136321 259 316 100 — — — — — —
202522 MLB MLE2 teams — 475425 10720110 441273 265 252328374702 122338 279 319 102 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLE2 teams — 484446 10520012 301085 243 235289361650 126286 226 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLENYY 45% 528477 12021118 411255 265 252317414731 163301 248 324 105 +3 +3 -4 -6 +11 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXNYY 45% 10797 24404 8251 51 254319424742 170301 237 328 105 +1 +1 -1 -1 +2 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLENYY 59% 461418 10518116 361094 235 252318416734 164301 248 325 106 +3 +3 -4 -5 +10 0.8
202926 MLB MLENYY 65% 462419 10518116 361094 225 252318416734 164300 248 325 106 +3 +2 -4 -5 +10 0.7
203027 MLB MLENYY 67% 456413 10418116 361084 225 251317413729 162300 248 323 105 +3 +2 -3 -5 +10 0.7
203128 MLB MLENYY 67% 447405 10017115 351074 194 248314408722 159298 248 320 103 +2 +2 -4 -5 +10 0.5
203229 MLB MLENYY 66% 434394 9616114 341053 164 246311401712 155296 248 316 100 +0 +2 -5 -5 +9 0.2
203330 MLB MLENYY 65% 418380 9115014 321033 133 242307391698 150293 258 311 96 -2 +1 -5 -4 +9 -0.1
203431 MLB MLENYY 71% 399363 8514012 301003 82 237301380681 143289 258 304 92 -4 +1 -6 -4 +9 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXNYY 59% 271246 6210110 21642 133 254320426746 172301 248 329 106 +2 +1 -2 -3 +6 0.4
202926 MLB CTXNYY 65% 301271 7012111 24713 153 254320425745 171301 248 329 106 +2 +2 -2 -3 +7 0.5
203027 MLB CTXNYY 67% 303273 7012111 24723 143 253318422741 170300 248 328 105 +2 +2 -2 -3 +7 0.4
203128 MLB CTXNYY 67% 300270 6711011 24723 133 250316417733 166299 248 324 103 +1 +1 -3 -3 +6 0.3
203229 MLB CTXNYY 66% 286260 6411010 22692 112 248313410722 162297 248 320 100 +0 +1 -3 -3 +6 0.2
203330 MLB CTXNYY 65% 273248 601009 21672 82 244309400709 156294 258 315 96 -1 +1 -3 -3 +6 -0.1
203431 MLB CTXNYY 71% 281256 611009 21702 62 238303388691 150289 257 307 92 -3 +0 -4 -3 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 27662501 617108493 22167522 11724 247313405718 158300 248 319 96 +1 +14 -32 -33 +60 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 14525122 521595 276 247313405718 158300 248 319 96 +0 +3 -8 -8 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 60195438 131422319178 493158148 29857 242310388698 146306 268 311 96 +5 +20 -44 -47 +88 2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 14224219 531715 326 242310387696 145307 268 311 96 +1 +3 -7 -8 +14 0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 262 PAwOBA .358 → .299 (−59)K% 19.1% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.08%÷1.000×1.200——22.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.31%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0507.47%
HBP% /PA1.15%—×0.940—×1.0501.13%
Singles /BIP26.52%÷1.000×0.930×0.953×1.05024.67%
Doubles /BIP5.52%÷1.000×0.830×0.953×1.0504.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.953×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP4.97%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0503.65%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .358 → .299; ISO .160 → .121; BABIP .337 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 193 PAwOBA .367 → .318 (−49)K% 18.7% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.65%÷0.990×1.200——22.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.29%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0505.94%
HBP% /PA0.52%—×0.940—×1.0500.51%
Singles /BIP28.06%÷0.976×0.930×1.004×1.05028.18%
Doubles /BIP5.04%÷1.072×0.830×1.004×1.0504.11%
Triples /BIP0.72%÷0.900×0.970×1.004×1.0500.82%
Home runs /BIP5.04%÷1.045×0.700—×1.0503.54%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .367 → .318; ISO .171 → .128; BABIP .353 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AASomerset Patriots · 40 PAwOBA .411 → .336 (−75)K% 27.5% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.50%÷1.018×1.220——32.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷0.972×0.700—×1.0503.78%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP29.63%÷1.050×0.970—×1.05028.73%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.902×0.860—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.934×0.950—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP14.81%÷1.027×0.780—×1.05011.81%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .411 → .336; ISO .316 → .236; BABIP .348 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 17 PAwOBA .443 → .357 (−86)K% 17.6% → 25.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.959×1.360——25.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.53%÷1.061×0.690—×1.01515.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷1.035×0.920—×1.01536.09%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.028×0.830—×1.0158.19%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .443 → .357; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .500 → .443. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AASomerset Patriots · 507 PAwOBA .345 → .308 (−37)K% 25.6% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.64%÷1.006×1.220——31.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.79%÷0.973×0.700—×1.05011.18%
HBP% /PA0.20%—×0.850—×1.0500.18%
Singles /BIP24.41%÷0.987×0.970×1.010×1.05025.42%
Doubles /BIP6.44%÷0.958×0.860×1.010×1.0506.13%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷0.900×0.950×1.010×1.0500.76%
Home runs /BIP5.08%÷1.033×0.780—×1.0504.03%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .345 → .308; ISO .160 → .136; BABIP .327 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 37 PAwOBA .463 → .441 (−22)K% 8.1% → 9.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.11%÷0.998×1.200——9.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷1.059×0.690—×1.0509.24%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP32.14%÷1.029×0.930—×1.05030.49%
Doubles /BIP10.71%÷0.903×0.830—×1.05010.34%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.048×0.970—×1.0503.47%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 81, 3B 110, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .463 → .441; ISO .161 → .167; BABIP .464 → .443. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ATampa Tarpons · 324 PAwOBA .355 → .271 (−85)K% 27.5% → 38.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.47%÷0.975×1.360——38.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷1.056×0.690—×1.0459.49%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.780—×1.0450.50%
Singles /BIP24.19%÷1.085×0.920×1.008×1.04521.61%
Doubles /BIP9.14%÷0.989×0.830×1.008×1.0458.08%
Triples /BIP1.08%÷0.937×0.910×1.008×1.0451.10%
Home runs /BIP4.84%÷1.026×0.800—×1.0453.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 117, 2B 98, 3B 87, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .355 → .271; ISO .175 → .135; BABIP .360 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 184 PAwOBA .391 → .322 (−69)K% 18.5% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.48%÷1.015×1.310——23.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.976×0.600—×1.0508.07%
HBP% /PA1.09%—×0.770—×1.0500.88%
Singles /BIP26.02%÷1.084×0.870×1.002×1.05021.95%
Doubles /BIP4.88%÷0.895×0.780×1.002×1.0504.47%
Triples /BIP3.25%÷1.028×0.850×1.002×1.0502.83%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷1.014×0.880—×1.0504.44%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 79, 3B 106, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .391 → .322; ISO .204 → .185; BABIP .353 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .