Drew Waters
CF Omaha Storm Chasers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAAKC | 457 | .290/.383/.494 | 13 | 20 | 97 | — | .246/.316/.395 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBKC | 19 | .188/.316/.250 | 0 | 0 | 73 | -0.6 | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAKC | 231 | .236/.309/.404 | 7 | 7 | 53 | — | .187/.243/.313 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBKC | 219 | .243/.288/.316 | 1 | 5 | 72 | -1.0 | |
| 2026 | 27 | AAAKC | 439 | .262/.324/.446 | 14 | 21 | 66 | — | .216/.263/.347 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBKC | 24 | .218/.274/.340 | 0 | 1 | 74 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBKC | 74 | .215/.271/.334 | 1 | 2 | 72 | -0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 224 | 198 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 278 | 362 | 429 | 791 | 152 | 411 | 31 | 10 | 355 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 133 | 123 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 268 | 318 | 374 | 692 | 106 | 363 | 25 | 6 | 308 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | — | 365 | 337 | 102 | 32 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 72 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 303 | 354 | 513 | 868 | 211 | 362 | 20 | 6 | 379 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 119 | 107 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 271 | 339 | 374 | 713 | 103 | 429 | 36 | 9 | 321 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 454 | 420 | 134 | 35 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 121 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 319 | 367 | 481 | 848 | 162 | 436 | 27 | 6 | 373 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 459 | 404 | 97 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 142 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 240 | 330 | 381 | 711 | 141 | 341 | 31 | 10 | 322 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 109 | 96 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 321 | 479 | 800 | 240 | 353 | 37 | 11 | 349 | 128 | +4 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 353 | 313 | 83 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 98 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 265 | 345 | 450 | 795 | 185 | 346 | 28 | 10 | 351 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 337 | 302 | 69 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 107 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 228 | 302 | 377 | 680 | 149 | 321 | 32 | 8 | 303 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 58 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 327 | 397 | 635 | 1.031 | 308 | 405 | 22 | 10 | 442 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 250 | 566 | 62 | 300 | 32 | 11 | 275 | 73 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +0 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 457 | 393 | 114 | 33 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 121 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 290 | 383 | 494 | 876 | 204 | 383 | 26 | 12 | 383 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 219 | 206 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 243 | 288 | 316 | 603 | 73 | 338 | 27 | 5 | 274 | 72 | -7 | -0 | -3 | -5 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 231 | 208 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 67 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 236 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 168 | 313 | 29 | 9 | 317 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 401 | 105 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 111 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 262 | 324 | 446 | 771 | 185 | 329 | 25 | 8 | 340 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 684 | 620 | 145 | 24 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 213 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 234 | 301 | 369 | 670 | 135 | 331 | 31 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -13 | +15 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 224 | 206 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 189 | 254 | 286 | 541 | 97 | 345 | 44 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 133 | 125 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 265 | 304 | 569 | 80 | 364 | 37 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 365 | 344 | 90 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 101 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 262 | 302 | 439 | 741 | 177 | 342 | 28 | 4 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 119 | 110 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 218 | 271 | 309 | 580 | 91 | 399 | 45 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 454 | 428 | 114 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 151 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 266 | 305 | 409 | 714 | 143 | 399 | 33 | 4 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 459 | 417 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 175 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 206 | 277 | 312 | 589 | 106 | 330 | 38 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 109 | 97 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 321 | 474 | 795 | 237 | 353 | 37 | 11 | 357 | 128 | +4 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 353 | 323 | 72 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 123 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 223 | 285 | 353 | 638 | 130 | 328 | 35 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 337 | 302 | 70 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 107 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 232 | 305 | 391 | 696 | 159 | 321 | 32 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +4 | +1 | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 58 | 54 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 296 | 345 | 574 | 919 | 278 | 367 | 28 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 250 | 566 | 62 | 300 | 32 | 11 | 276 | 73 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +0 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 457 | 410 | 101 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 149 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 246 | 316 | 395 | 711 | 149 | 354 | 33 | 8 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 219 | 206 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 243 | 288 | 316 | 603 | 73 | 338 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -7 | -0 | -3 | -5 | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 231 | 214 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 80 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 187 | 243 | 313 | 557 | 126 | 275 | 35 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 412 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 133 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 216 | 263 | 347 | 610 | 131 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 224 | 206 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 189 | 254 | 286 | 541 | 97 | 346 | 44 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 224 | 198 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 70 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 278 | 362 | 429 | 791 | 152 | 411 | 31 | 10 | 355 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 469 | 118 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 150 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 252 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 151 | 351 | 30 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 498 | 460 | 135 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 105 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 293 | 345 | 476 | 821 | 183 | 362 | 21 | 6 | 360 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 538 | 138 | 37 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 206 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 257 | 298 | 388 | 687 | 132 | 401 | 36 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 573 | 527 | 163 | 40 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 164 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 309 | 361 | 459 | 821 | 150 | 435 | 29 | 7 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 459 | 417 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 175 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 206 | 277 | 312 | 589 | 106 | 332 | 38 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 459 | 404 | 97 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 47 | 142 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 240 | 330 | 381 | 711 | 141 | 341 | 31 | 10 | 322 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 420 | 96 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 163 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 229 | 296 | 390 | 686 | 162 | 335 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 462 | 409 | 106 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 138 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 259 | 339 | 457 | 796 | 198 | 348 | 30 | 10 | 351 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 356 | 84 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 123 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 236 | 306 | 399 | 705 | 163 | 327 | 31 | 8 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +4 | +1 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 395 | 354 | 86 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 120 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 243 | 316 | 415 | 732 | 172 | 335 | 30 | 8 | 323 | 99 | -1 | +2 | +4 | +1 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 426 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 244 | 316 | 390 | 706 | 146 | 358 | 33 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 409 | 117 | 34 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 127 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 286 | 380 | 484 | 864 | 198 | 380 | 27 | 12 | 379 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 420 | 91 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 140 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 217 | 267 | 317 | 584 | 100 | 310 | 31 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 450 | 414 | 99 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 127 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 239 | 298 | 360 | 658 | 121 | 326 | 28 | 7 | 296 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 412 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 133 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 216 | 263 | 347 | 610 | 131 | 295 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 401 | 105 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 111 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 262 | 324 | 446 | 771 | 185 | 329 | 25 | 8 | 340 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 224 | 204 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 191 | 254 | 289 | 544 | 98 | 345 | 44 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 498 | 468 | 118 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 150 | 7 | 23 | 5 | 252 | 292 | 404 | 696 | 152 | 348 | 30 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 573 | 536 | 138 | 37 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 206 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 257 | 298 | 390 | 688 | 132 | 399 | 36 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 459 | 415 | 86 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 175 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 207 | 277 | 313 | 591 | 106 | 330 | 38 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 462 | 419 | 96 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 163 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 229 | 296 | 391 | 687 | 162 | 334 | 35 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 356 | 84 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 123 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 236 | 306 | 399 | 705 | 163 | 328 | 31 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 428 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 243 | 316 | 388 | 704 | 145 | 352 | 33 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 418 | 91 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 140 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 218 | 267 | 318 | 585 | 100 | 306 | 31 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 410 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 133 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 217 | 263 | 349 | 611 | 132 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 428 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 155 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 243 | 316 | 388 | 704 | 145 | 352 | 33 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 450 | 418 | 91 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 140 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 218 | 267 | 318 | 585 | 100 | 306 | 31 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 439 | 410 | 89 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 133 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 217 | 263 | 349 | 611 | 132 | 294 | 30 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | KC | 10% | 380 | 349 | 77 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 110 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 220 | 276 | 347 | 623 | 126 | 296 | 29 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | KC | 10% | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 274 | 340 | 615 | 122 | 295 | 29 | 8 | 275 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 27% | 272 | 251 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 80 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 217 | 273 | 340 | 613 | 122 | 294 | 29 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 27% | 74 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 271 | 334 | 605 | 119 | 293 | 30 | 7 | 271 | 72 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 758 | 689 | 160 | 27 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 235 | 8 | 23 | 9 | 232 | 298 | 366 | 664 | 134 | 328 | 31 | 8 | 297 | 79 | -11 | +1 | -2 | -13 | +16 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 138 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 202 | 7 | 20 | 8 | 234 | 300 | 369 | 669 | 135 | 330 | 31 | 8 | 297 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -11 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4486 | 4134 | 948 | 213 | 45 | 82 | 287 | 1493 | 43 | 178 | 48 | 229 | 286 | 362 | 648 | 133 | 336 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -25 | +3 | -4 | -12 | +26 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 138 | 31 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 216 | 6 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 287 | 366 | 653 | 135 | 337 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 439 PAwOBA .332 → .266 (−66)K% 25.3% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 20.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 7.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.992 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .332 → .266; ISO .185 → .137; BABIP .329 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 231 PAwOBA .308 → .246 (−62)K% 29.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.935 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.28% | ÷1.108 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.09% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.96% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 122, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 101, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .246; ISO .168 → .128; BABIP .313 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 457 PAwOBA .378 → .311 (−66)K% 26.5% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.48% | ÷0.976 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.60% | ÷1.049 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 22.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.13% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 10.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.935 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.018 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .378 → .311; ISO .204 → .158; BABIP .383 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 58 PAwOBA .430 → .358 (−72)K% 22.4% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.41% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 13.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 4.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.94% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .430 → .358; ISO .308 → .249; BABIP .405 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 353 PAwOBA .344 → .283 (−61)K% 27.8% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.76% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.20% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.048 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.048 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.048 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .344 → .283; ISO .185 → .139; BABIP .346 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 459 PAwOBA .314 → .260 (−54)K% 30.9% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.94% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.24% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 24.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.40% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .260; ISO .141 → .105; BABIP .341 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAMississippi Braves · 454 PAwOBA .364 → .310 (−53)K% 26.7% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.65% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.95% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.43% | ÷1.068 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 24.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.71% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 11.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.01% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.962 | ×1.050 | 2.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.56% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .364 → .310; ISO .162 → .150; BABIP .436 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 119 PAwOBA .315 → .254 (−61)K% 36.1% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.13% | ÷0.948 | ×1.200 | — | — | 45.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.24% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.38% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 32.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.899 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 90, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .315 → .254; ISO .103 → .087; BABIP .429 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).