Drew WatersLF Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 27 S/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR -5%BB +4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†vL 178vR 83
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .283 / .349
PA350
HR7
SB13
K%31
BB%7
xwOBA.265
Barrel%4.1%
MLB%10%
BAT: -8.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +2.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4545
PWR
4040
SPD
5050
EYE
4440
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2027
Barrel%
184.1
xwOBA
130.265
Avg EV
1086.0
Whiff%
100.164
Chase%
160.382
Speed
5227.6
Bat Spd
5271.6

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026Arb-2$0.4M
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Totals $-1M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201718 ROKDanville Braves 224206 39913 15993 63 .189.254.286.541 .097.346 447 .236 39 -15 +0 +0 -2 +6 -1.2
201819 A2 teams 498470 1112978 191477 235 .236.276.379.655 .143.325 304 .282 74 -14 +3 +0 -5 +14 -0.3
201920 AA2 teams 573540 1303587 262184 166 .241.281.374.655 .133.387 385 .281 73 -17 +1 +0 -6 +16 -0.7
202122 AAAGwinnett Stripers 459419 851819 321747 289 .203.271.315.586 .112.321 387 .258 56 -23 +2 +0 -5 +13 -1.3
202223 AAA2 teams 462421 9516515 371612 181 .226.291.394.686 .169.324 358 .298 86 -7 +3 -3 -5 +13 0.2
202324 MLB2 teams 395356 821669 311235 185 .230.301.385.686 .154.322 318 .303 90 -5 +2 +4 +1 +11 1.4
202425 AAA2 teams 476427 10530410 371557 207 .246.316.405.722 .159.356 338 .311 96 -2 +1 -0 -5 +13 0.7
202526 AAA2 teams 450420 911457 261403 124 .217.267.324.591 .107.308 316 .260 57 -22 +1 -3 -5 +13 -1.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202627 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 5150 11212 1130 30 .220.235.420.655 .200.257 252 .307 93 -0 +1 +0 -1 +1 0.1
ROS27 MLBKC 299275 611137 19903 102 .222.279.360.639 .138.301 306 .284 75 -8 +1 -1 -3 +8 -0.3
TOT27 MLBKC 350325 721349 201033 132 .222.273.369.642 .148.294 296 .287 78 -9 +2 -1 -4 +10 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202728 MLB 20%KC 461423 9517511 311274 153 .225.284.366.650 .142.295 287 .292 82 -9 +2 -2 -5 +13 -0.2
202829 MLB 33%KC 449411 9317511 311254 142 .226.287.372.659 .146.294 287 .290 80 -10 +2 -3 -5 +13 -0.3
202930 MLB 43%KC 438401 9016510 301234 132 .224.285.364.649 .140.293 287 .287 78 -11 +2 -4 -5 +12 -0.5
203031 MLB 52%KC 423387 841549 291214 101 .217.279.346.625 .129.291 297 .283 75 -12 +2 -4 -5 +12 -0.7
203132 MLB 64%KC 404370 801449 281173 80 .216.277.349.625 .132.290 297 .279 72 -13 +2 -5 -4 +11 -0.9
203233 MLB 81%KC 374343 731347 251113 60 .213.272.335.608 .122.288 307 .273 67 -14 +1 -5 -4 +11 -1.2
203334 MLBKC 329301 621136 221013 50 .206.267.322.589 .116.287 317 .267 63 -14 +1 -6 -4 +9 -1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 67146170 137628170138 438213266 22250 .223.282.358.640 .135.315 327 .282 74 -197 +24 -32 -66 +190 -8.2
/ 162G 650597 13327713 422066 215 .223.280.357.637 .134.315 326 .282 74 -19 +2 -3 -6 +18 -0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201718 ROKDanville Braves 224198 551424 23703 63 .278.362.429.791 .152.411 3110 .355 130 +7 +0 +6 1.4
201819 A+Florida Fire Frogs 133123 33730 8331 30 .268.318.374.692 .106.363 256 .308 94 -1 +1 +4 0.4
201819 ARome Braves 365337 1023269 21726 205 .303.354.513.868 .211.362 206 .379 148 +20 +2 +10 3.3
201920 AAAGwinnett Stripers 119107 29502 11430 30 .271.339.374.713 .103.429 369 .321 104 +0 +1 +3 0.5
201920 AAMississippi Braves 454420 1343595 281214 136 .319.367.481.848 .162.436 276 .373 143 +22 +0 +13 3.6
202122 AAAGwinnett Stripers 459404 9722111 471427 289 .240.330.381.711 .141.341 3110 .322 104 +2 +2 +13 1.8
202223 MLBKansas City Royals 10996 23615 12400 00 .240.321.479.800 .240.353 3711 .349 125 +3 +0 -3 -5 +3 -0.1
202223 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 353313 8312512 36982 181 .265.345.450.795 .185.346 2810 .351 127 +11 +3 +10 2.4
202324 MLBKansas City Royals 337302 691158 271075 165 .228.302.377.680 .149.321 328 .303 90 -4 +1 +4 +1 +10 1.3
202324 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 5852 17622 6130 20 .327.397.6351.031 .308.405 2210 .442 196 +6 +0 +2 0.9
202425 MLBKansas City Royals 1916 3100 261 00 .188.316.250.566 .062.300 3211 .275 69 -1 +0 -0 -5 +1 -0.6
202425 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 457393 11433413 531216 207 .290.383.494.876 .204.383 2612 .383 152 +27 +1 +13 4.2
202526 MLBKansas City Royals 219206 50631 11602 53 .243.288.316.603 .073.338 275 .274 68 -8 -0 -3 -5 +6 -1.0
202526 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 231208 491027 21671 71 .236.309.404.713 .168.313 299 .317 101 +0 +1 +7 0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 684620 14524914 522138 218 .234.301.369.670 .135.331 318 .300 88 -9 +1 -1 -13 +19 -0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Drew Waters (OGILVIE) 27 45 40 50 40 .220/.283/.349 .129.308 711 31% 7% 77 +0.1
Kaleb Cowart
2019 · MLB
27 45→51 44→45 53→50 42 .220/.270/.345 .125.284 1117 26% 6% 69 -0.4 .216/.263/.337 .121.276 1110 25% 6% 63 -0.8 .209/.252/.322.113.26210624%5%53-1.0
Darnell Sweeney
2018 · MLB
27 44→49 43→50 48→55 41 .218/.266/.333 .115.288 1019 28% 6% 63 -0.8 .206/.258/.327 .121.313 1312 36% 6% 59 -1.1 .178/.234/.297.119.29714843%6%39-1.0
Riley Unroe
2023 · AAA
27 45→47 44→45 54→55 48 .220/.290/.337 .117.282 1119 26% 8% 76 +0.0 .221/.300/.344 .123.297 1323 28% 10% 82 +0.5 .221/.306/.342.121.297132628%10%80+0.2
Blake Tekotte
2014 · MLB
27 40→46 46→50 50→55 41 .204/.262/.336 .132.274 1320 30% 6% 63 -0.8 .203/.261/.323 .120.276 1110 29% 6% 60 -1.0 .193/.255/.309.116.26212430%6%50-0.7
Darrell Ceciliani
2017 · MLB
27 48→54 44→45 52→55 40 .237/.278/.358 .121.299 1220 25% 5% 75 -0.0 .216/.262/.323 .107.290 1014 28% 5% 59 -1.1 .165/.203/.182.018.2590535%3%-7-1.0
Dalton Guthrie
2023 · MLB
27 51→55 45 51→50 40 .247/.297/.373 .126.319 1218 26% 5% 88 +0.9 .236/.296/.338 .102.311 817 25% 6% 78 +0.2 .227/.293/.301.074.30451725%7%63-0.4
Adam Engel
2019 · MLB
27 42→48 43→50 54→60 39 .208/.265/.327 .119.287 1021 30% 6% 62 -0.9 .230/.286/.372 .142.305 1417 28% 5% 83 +0.6 .227/.287/.366.138.305132328%5%79+0.1
Skye Bolt
2021 · AAA
27 42→39 47→50 50 42 .209/.273/.350 .141.295 1513 33% 8% 72 -0.2 .232/.296/.375 .143.310 1613 29% 7% 88 +0.9 .234/.302/.369.135.310151228%8%86+0.3
Daniel Ortmeier
2008 · MLB
27 46→51 47→50 53→55 42 .229/.282/.366 .136.281 1419 24% 5% 79 +0.3 .225/.282/.331 .106.293 914 25% 6% 70 -0.3 .221/.286/.300.079.29661326%7%64-0.4
Alejandro Ortiz
2016 · AAA
26 50→56 42→40 49→50 40 .238/.283/.348 .110.327 914 29% 6% 74 -0.1 .252/.304/.351 .099.346 912 28% 6% 85 +0.7 .261/.316/.346.086.35881028%6%86+0.4
Mel Rojas Jr.
2017 · AAA
27 48→53 43→45 50 43 .233/.282/.346 .114.300 1012 25% 6% 74 -0.1 .227/.274/.352 .125.293 1210 26% 6% 72 -0.2 .225/.270/.346.121.28613426%5%69-0.2
Taylor Kohlwey
2021 · AAA
27 47→53 43→45 49→50 43 .224/.293/.338 .114.317 1111 31% 7% 77 +0.1 .238/.306/.339 .101.316 811 25% 8% 82 +0.5 .236/.313/.340.104.30391123%9%83+0.5
Junior Lake
2017 · MLB
27 45→55 44→50 48→55 41 .220/.274/.335 .115.306 1217 31% 7% 68 -0.5 .232/.299/.367 .135.296 1416 25% 8% 87 +0.8 .252/.327/.415.163.293192120%9%108+1.5
Andrew Velazquez
2021 · MLB
27 44→52 45→50 55→60 40 .219/.267/.349 .130.296 1221 30% 6% 69 -0.4 .213/.269/.335 .122.311 1132 33% 7% 66 -0.6 .200/.258/.316.115.294124134%7%53-0.8
Eli White
2021 · MLB
27 44→50 43→50 49→60 41 .215/.280/.327 .112.303 1014 31% 7% 69 -0.4 .213/.286/.341 .128.300 1521 32% 8% 76 +0.0 .234/.299/.378.144.310183129%7%87+0.4
Jimmy Paredes
2016 · MLB
27 52→54 45→50 52→55 37 .250/.282/.376 .125.336 1117 29% 4% 81 +0.4 .243/.282/.383 .140.328 1610 29% 5% 84 +0.6 .227/.263/.368.141.30317631%4%72-0.1
Derek Hill
2023 · MLB
27 47→53 44→50 55→60 39 .227/.275/.348 .121.320 1216 32% 6% 72 -0.2 .244/.292/.387 .143.324 1519 28% 6% 89 +1.0 .250/.300/.402.152.328162328%6%93+0.7
Victor Mendez
2007 · AAA
27 43 45 49→50 41 .214/.264/.335 .121.290 1211 30% 6% 63 -0.8 .227/.285/.354 .127.300 1310 27% 7% 77 +0.1 .237/.309/.361.124.299151225%9%88+0.3
Rymer Liriano
2018 · MLB
27 45→52 45 47→55 41 .220/.280/.342 .122.311 1411 32% 7% 72 -0.2 .197/.265/.332 .135.307 1812 39% 8% 65 -0.7 .167/.249/.304.137.265201442%9%49-1.0
Thomas Milone
2022 · AAA
27 50→46 45 53→55 44 .237/.299/.367 .130.329 1118 30% 8% 86 +0.8 .219/.287/.340 .121.339 1115 36% 8% 75 -0.0 .201/.274/.312.111.320101538%8%59-0.9