Josue Brito
OF FCL Red Sox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Red Sox B… | 132 | .212/.379/.346 | 3 | 7 | 38 | — | .126/.265/.180 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Red Sox B… | 157 | .284/.500/.606 | 9 | 13 | 100 | — | .175/.365/.342 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKBOS | 271 | .245/.403/.453 | 8 | 12 | 68 | — | .175/.295/.323 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBBOS | 381 | .216/.307/.347 | 8 | 8 | 87 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBBOS | 75 | .229/.319/.380 | 2 | 2 | 95 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBBOS | 157 | .235/.324/.398 | 5 | 4 | 101 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 104 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 212 | 379 | 346 | 725 | 135 | 271 | 23 | 20 | 340 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 109 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 284 | 500 | 606 | 1.106 | 321 | 319 | 20 | 26 | 476 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 65 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 362 | 369 | 732 | 154 | 286 | 26 | 19 | 338 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 191 | 147 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 47 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 259 | 420 | 490 | 910 | 231 | 330 | 25 | 18 | 399 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 111 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 126 | 265 | 180 | 445 | 54 | 178 | 29 | 15 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 120 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 39 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 365 | 342 | 707 | 167 | 196 | 25 | 19 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Salem RidgeYaks | — | 80 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 287 | 304 | 592 | 130 | 258 | 36 | 14 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 191 | 160 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 68 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 175 | 298 | 331 | 629 | 156 | 242 | 36 | 11 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 111 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 126 | 265 | 180 | 445 | 54 | 181 | 29 | 15 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 104 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 31 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 212 | 379 | 346 | 725 | 135 | 271 | 23 | 20 | 340 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 120 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 39 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 365 | 342 | 707 | 167 | 208 | 25 | 19 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 109 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 284 | 500 | 606 | 1.106 | 321 | 319 | 20 | 26 | 476 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 229 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 96 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 170 | 291 | 306 | 597 | 135 | 254 | 35 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 271 | 212 | 52 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 68 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 245 | 403 | 453 | 856 | 208 | 317 | 25 | 18 | 381 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 110 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 127 | 265 | 182 | 447 | 55 | 178 | 29 | 15 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 120 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 39 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 365 | 342 | 707 | 167 | 196 | 25 | 19 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 230 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 96 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 170 | 291 | 304 | 595 | 135 | 247 | 35 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 132 | 110 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 127 | 265 | 182 | 447 | 55 | 178 | 29 | 15 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox Blue | — | 157 | 120 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 39 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 365 | 342 | 707 | 167 | 196 | 25 | 19 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 230 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 96 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 170 | 291 | 304 | 595 | 135 | 247 | 35 | 12 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | BOS | 0% | 381 | 334 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 101 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 216 | 307 | 347 | 654 | 131 | 280 | 27 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | BOS | 34% | 217 | 190 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 223 | 314 | 372 | 685 | 149 | 282 | 26 | 10 | 308 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | BOS | 48% | 325 | 285 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 83 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 229 | 318 | 390 | 709 | 161 | 284 | 26 | 10 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | BOS | 54% | 401 | 352 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 102 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 233 | 322 | 404 | 725 | 171 | 286 | 25 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | BOS | 55% | 450 | 395 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 113 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 236 | 324 | 413 | 738 | 177 | 287 | 25 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | BOS | 56% | 475 | 418 | 99 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 48 | 119 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 238 | 326 | 420 | 745 | 182 | 288 | 25 | 10 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | BOS | 56% | 489 | 430 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 122 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 239 | 326 | 424 | 750 | 185 | 288 | 25 | 10 | 333 | 111 | +7 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | BOS | 55% | 492 | 433 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 124 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 238 | 325 | 421 | 746 | 183 | 287 | 25 | 10 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | BOS | 55% | 488 | 430 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 49 | 124 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 236 | 323 | 416 | 739 | 180 | 286 | 25 | 10 | 328 | 108 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | BOS | 53% | 477 | 421 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 122 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 233 | 320 | 410 | 730 | 176 | 284 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | BOS | 53% | 466 | 411 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 121 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 230 | 317 | 402 | 718 | 171 | 282 | 26 | 10 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | BOS | 52% | 451 | 398 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 119 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 226 | 312 | 391 | 703 | 166 | 279 | 26 | 10 | 314 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -3 | -3 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | BOS | 52% | 430 | 381 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 220 | 305 | 378 | 684 | 158 | 275 | 27 | 10 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -1 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | BOS | 34% | 75 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 319 | 380 | 699 | 150 | 292 | 27 | 11 | 314 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | BOS | 48% | 157 | 138 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 324 | 398 | 722 | 163 | 294 | 25 | 10 | 322 | 101 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | BOS | 54% | 217 | 190 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 239 | 327 | 411 | 738 | 172 | 296 | 25 | 10 | 329 | 105 | +1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | BOS | 55% | 249 | 219 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 63 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 330 | 421 | 750 | 178 | 297 | 25 | 10 | 333 | 108 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | BOS | 56% | 266 | 234 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 66 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 244 | 331 | 427 | 758 | 183 | 298 | 25 | 10 | 336 | 110 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | BOS | 56% | 275 | 242 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 69 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 245 | 332 | 431 | 763 | 186 | 298 | 25 | 10 | 338 | 111 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | BOS | 55% | 272 | 239 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 68 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 244 | 331 | 428 | 759 | 185 | 297 | 25 | 10 | 336 | 110 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | BOS | 55% | 268 | 236 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 68 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 328 | 424 | 752 | 182 | 296 | 25 | 10 | 334 | 108 | +3 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | BOS | 53% | 255 | 224 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 65 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 239 | 326 | 417 | 743 | 178 | 294 | 25 | 10 | 330 | 106 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | BOS | 53% | 245 | 215 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 64 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 236 | 322 | 409 | 731 | 173 | 292 | 26 | 10 | 325 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | BOS | 52% | 235 | 207 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 317 | 399 | 715 | 167 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 319 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | BOS | 52% | 223 | 197 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 226 | 310 | 385 | 696 | 159 | 284 | 27 | 10 | 311 | 93 | -2 | -1 | -2 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2737 | 2407 | 576 | 118 | 11 | 94 | 277 | 700 | 32 | 59 | 22 | 239 | 326 | 415 | 740 | 175 | 297 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 101 | +16 | +3 | -6 | -16 | +59 | 5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 137 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 66 | 166 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 240 | 327 | 414 | 741 | 175 | 297 | 26 | 10 | 329 | 101 | +4 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5882 | 5145 | 1156 | 218 | 28 | 194 | 620 | 1537 | 77 | 148 | 50 | 225 | 317 | 391 | 708 | 166 | 279 | 26 | 11 | 317 | 101 | +27 | +8 | -10 | -32 | +115 | 11.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 127 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 69 | 170 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 223 | 317 | 387 | 704 | 163 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 317 | 101 | +3 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 191 PAwOBA .396 → .275 (−121)K% 24.6% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.66% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 14.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 8.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .396 → .275; ISO .231 → .166; BABIP .330 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 80 PAwOBA .330 → .257 (−73)K% 26.2% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.25% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 13.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 17.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 7.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .330 → .257; ISO .154 → .119; BABIP .286 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 157 PAwOBA .468 → .316 (−151)K% 20.4% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.38% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.11% | ÷0.959 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 19.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.82% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.932 | ×0.680 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 12.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.39% | ÷1.059 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.967 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.69% | ÷0.920 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 6.02% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 86, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .468 → .316; ISO .321 → .182; BABIP .319 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 132 PAwOBA .333 → .224 (−109)K% 23.5% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.48% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.45% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 14.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.18% | ÷0.998 | ×0.680 | ×1.012 | ×1.022 | 13.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.080 | ×0.600 | ×1.012 | ×1.022 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.600 | ×1.012 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.992 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.99% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .333 → .224; ISO .135 → .070; BABIP .271 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).