Xavier Isaac — OGILVIE

Xavier Isaac1B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 22 L/L 6'3" / 240 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .296 / .368

PA204

HR8

SB6

K%38

BB%12

BABIP281

ISO175

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER66

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$37M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	20	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	188	19	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	19	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	250	14	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	433	388	82	17	3	14	37	135	4	12	0	211	287	379	666	168	280	31	9	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	433	361	103	20	4	19	64	92	4	12	0	285	399	521	919	235	331	21	15	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	502	446	85	21	1	15	46	235	6	15	3	191	275	343	618	152	350	47	9	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	3 teams	—	502	423	113	27	2	21	69	172	6	15	3	267	378	489	867	222	393	34	14	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	149	26	5	1	9	24	66	2	1	2	174	297	403	700	228	230	38	14	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	139	28	5	1	9	34	52	2	1	2	201	366	446	812	245	244	30	19	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	TB	—	307	266	50	3	3	13	38	119	2	14	2	188	294	368	663	180	274	39	12	292	82	-6	+2	+0	-5	+9	-0.1
YTD	22	AA	TB	—	307	249	57	4	3	15	55	92	2	14	2	229	373	450	822	221	294	30	18	367	139	+14	+2	+0	-5	+9	1.9
ROS	22	AA	TB	6%	204	176	34	5	1	8	24	77	2	6	1	192	296	368	664	175	280	38	12	300	88	-3	+1	-0	-4	+6	-0.0
ROS	22	MLB	TB	6%	12	11	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	91	167	91	258		284	42	8	294	83	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	TB	—	319	277	51	3	3	13	39	124	2	14	2	184	289	357	647	173	270	39	12	292	82	-7	+2	-0	-6	+9	-0.1
TOT	22	AA	TB	—	511	442	84	8	4	21	62	196	4	20	3	190	295	368	663	178	277	38	12	295	84	-9	+3	-0	-9	+14	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TB	37%	512	445	92	13	3	23	58	183	4	12	2	207	304	404	708	198	285	36	11	314	98	-1	+2	-0	-9	+15	0.6
2028	24	MLB	TB	47%	526	458	97	14	3	24	59	181	4	12	2	212	307	413	720	201	287	34	11	323	105	+3	+2	-0	-9	+15	1.0
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	530	460	100	15	3	25	60	179	5	11	2	217	314	426	740	209	288	34	11	328	109	+5	+1	-0	-9	+15	1.2
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	529	459	102	15	3	26	60	177	5	11	2	222	319	438	757	216	288	33	11	331	111	+7	+1	-0	-9	+15	1.3
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	525	455	101	15	3	26	60	176	5	10	2	222	319	440	759	218	288	34	11	331	111	+7	+1	-0	-9	+15	1.3
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	518	449	98	14	3	25	59	174	5	9	2	218	316	430	746	212	287	34	11	329	110	+6	+1	-1	-9	+15	1.1
2033	29	MLB	TB	53%	511	443	96	14	3	24	59	173	4	8	2	217	314	424	739	208	285	34	12	327	108	+5	+1	-2	-9	+14	0.9
2034	30	MLB	TB	52%	502	435	93	13	3	24	58	171	4	7	1	214	312	423	735	209	283	34	12	324	106	+3	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.7
2035	31	MLB	TB	52%	493	429	90	13	2	23	57	169	4	6	1	210	308	410	718	200	279	34	12	320	103	+2	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.4
2036	32	MLB	TB	52%	484	421	86	12	2	22	56	168	4	6	1	204	304	399	703	195	275	35	12	314	98	-1	+1	-4	-9	+14	0.1
2037	33	MLB	TB	56%	418	364	73	10	2	18	48	147	3	4	1	201	299	387	686	187	270	35	11	307	93	-3	+0	-5	-7	+12	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	TB	37%	189	164	34	5	1	8	21	68	2	5	1	207	305	396	701	189	288	36	11	307	93	-1	+1	-0	-3	+5	0.1
2028	24	MLB	TB	47%	249	217	47	7	2	11	28	86	2	6	1	217	312	419	731	203	291	35	11	316	100	-0	+1	-0	-4	+7	0.3
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	277	242	54	8	2	13	31	93	2	6	1	223	316	434	750	211	291	34	11	321	104	+1	+1	-0	-5	+8	0.5
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	288	251	56	8	2	14	32	96	3	6	1	223	318	438	756	215	292	33	11	323	106	+2	+1	-0	-5	+8	0.5
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	285	248	55	8	2	13	32	95	3	6	1	222	318	427	745	206	291	33	11	323	106	+2	+1	-0	-5	+8	0.5
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	281	245	54	8	2	13	32	94	2	5	1	220	315	429	744	208	290	33	11	322	105	+1	+1	-1	-5	+8	0.4
2033	29	MLB	TB	53%	272	237	52	7	2	13	31	92	2	4	1	219	315	430	745	211	288	34	11	320	103	+1	+0	-1	-5	+8	0.3
2034	30	MLB	TB	52%	263	229	49	7	1	12	30	90	2	4	1	214	310	410	721	197	286	34	11	317	101	+0	+0	-1	-5	+7	0.2
2035	31	MLB	TB	52%	257	223	47	6	1	12	30	88	2	3	1	211	310	408	718	197	283	34	12	313	97	-1	+0	-2	-5	+7	0.0
2036	32	MLB	TB	52%	251	218	45	6	1	11	29	87	2	3	1	206	305	394	700	188	278	35	12	307	93	-2	+0	-2	-4	+7	-0.1
2037	33	MLB	TB	56%	234	203	40	5	1	10	27	82	2	2	0	197	297	379	677	182	273	35	12	300	88	-3	+0	-3	-4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2858	2488	534	75	17	130	324	976	24	50	10	215	311	415	726	201	290	34	11	316	100	-0	+6	-10	-51	+81	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	122	17	4	30	74	222	5	11	2	216	312	419	731	203	290	34	11	316	100	-0	+1	-2	-12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	6883	5997	1258	198	36	306	766	2415	61	130	24	210	306	408	713	198	287	35	11	315	100	-4	+16	-20	-123	+195	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	119	19	3	29	72	228	6	12	2	210	306	408	714	198	288	35	11	315	100	-0	+2	-2	-12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	19	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	250	14	10	293	82	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	19	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	57	49	20	4	1	6	8	12	0	2	0	408	491	898	1.389	490	452	21	14	578	301	+13	+0	—	—	+2	1.5
2023	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	376	312	83	16	3	13	56	80	4	10	0	266	384	462	846	196	314	21	15	374	144	+19	+2	—	—	+11	3.2
2024	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	133	109	23	4	1	3	21	54	2	1	1	211	348	349	697	138	377	41	16	321	104	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	302	258	74	17	1	15	37	91	4	14	2	287	385	535	919	248	381	30	12	399	164	+22	+2	—	—	+9	3.3
2024	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	67	56	16	6	0	3	11	27	0	0	0	286	403	554	957	268	500	40	16	417	177	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	139	28	5	1	9	34	52	2	1	2	201	366	446	812	245	244	30	19	364	137	+7	-1	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,864	134	50	214	308	420	-51	-2	4.9	4.6
	/162	664	31	12	214	308	420	-11.9	-0.6	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Isaac (OGILVIE)	22	40	56→66	38→42	55	190/295/368	178	277	21	20	38%	12%	84	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	40→49	55	47→55	46	213/292/399	186	280	24	10	32%	9%	93	+1.3	209/285/353	144	280	16	9	29%	9%	78	+0.2	217/292/336	119	282	11	13	25%	9%	74	-0.0
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	40→42	53→60	45→50	44	207/286/379	172	303	21	9	37%	9%	85	+0.7	211/298/405	194	287	25	11	34%	10%	98	+1.6	201/292/394	193	265	26	11	33%	10%	89	+0.8
●Bobby Bradley 2018 · AA	22	38→40	53→65	44→40	38	204/263/371	167	291	23	4	37%	7%	73	-0.1	219/275/440	221	298	30	3	36%	7%	97	+1.5	208/272/450	242	270	35	0	37%	7%	96	+1.2
●Triston Casas 2022 · AAA	22	44→48	53→60	48→40	47	229/299/404	175	283	21	8	27%	8%	97	+1.5	239/329/434	195	291	25	4	26%	12%	118	+3.0	235/335/438	204	285	27	0	27%	13%	117	+2.0
●Cavan Biggio 2019 · AA	24	41→48	51→60	48→50	49	209/297/372	163	289	19	13	33%	10%	89	+0.9	230/338/402	172	302	19	14	28%	14%	113	+2.6	227/344/390	164	293	18	13	26%	15%	109	+1.7
●Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	39→49	51→60	46→45	47	205/296/366	161	279	19	5	32%	10%	87	+0.8	218/291/386	168	283	20	3	29%	8%	89	+1.0	231/305/421	189	283	24	1	27%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Nick Pratto 2022 · AAA	23	38→45	60	50	43	208/289/427	218	291	28	11	37%	9%	99	+1.7	202/284/370	168	303	21	8	38%	9%	83	+0.6	189/269/330	141	291	17	8	39%	9%	64	-0.7
✕J.J. Matijevic 2019 · A	23	43→42	55→60	43→50	37	221/272/408	188	324	23	11	38%	6%	87	+0.8	209/263/376	167	325	19	10	39%	7%	75	-0.0	218/282/414	196	297	24	10	34%	8%	89	+0.7
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	41→39	52→50	44→45	48	212/297/379	167	288	20	6	33%	10%	90	+1.0	210/286/357	147	298	17	6	33%	9%	79	+0.3	202/278/340	138	285	17	4	33%	9%	70	-0.2
●Sergio Pedroza 2006 · A	22	41→47	54→60	51→45	38	217/277/394	178	297	23	6	35%	6%	86	+0.8	226/310/407	181	302	21	5	31%	9%	103	+1.9	222/309/396	174	295	20	5	30%	9%	98	+1.2
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA	24	34→44	54→55	53→55	44	182/274/361	178	284	22	15	41%	10%	76	+0.1	225/325/404	179	323	19	22	33%	12%	108	+2.3	225/329/410	185	318	19	26	32%	12%	109	+1.7
✕Richard Jones 2010 · A	22	45→49	55→60	49→30	34	230/273/410	180	339	25	6	39%	5%	89	+0.9	223/255/363	140	315	16	2	33%	3%	67	-0.5	225/257/367	142	313	16	0	33%	3%	68	-0.2
●Brandon Allen 2009 · AA	23	42→47	53→55	50	39	219/268/395	176	290	21	9	32%	6%	82	+0.5	227/298/404	177	292	21	9	29%	8%	97	+1.5	223/305/404	181	286	22	9	29%	9%	96	+1.4
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→40	51→60	43→40	40	194/264/345	150	272	20	7	35%	7%	68	-0.5	213/273/397	184	285	25	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	210/275/403	192	267	26	2	31%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Greg Bird 2015 · AA	22	46→50	52→55	46→30	51	228/318/401	173	314	18	2	31%	11%	105	+2.1	233/306/414	181	288	21	3	26%	9%	102	+1.9	217/297/406	188	252	23	0	24%	9%	94	+0.9
●Chris Carter 2009 · A	22	38→48	58→65	47→45	44	214/284/418	204	274	27	3	32%	8%	95	+1.4	235/307/438	203	301	26	6	30%	8%	109	+2.4	213/311/464	252	256	36	3	32%	11%	114	+2.5
●Hunter Renfroe 2015 · AA	23	44→47	54→70	48→45	39	227/280/405	177	307	22	8	33%	6%	89	+1.0	231/270/412	181	301	23	6	31%	5%	87	+0.8	243/302/508	265	278	38	4	28%	7%	124	+2.8
★Cody Bellinger 2017 · AA	22	39→49	57→70	50	44	216/282/407	191	274	26	8	31%	8%	92	+1.2	267/348/527	260	313	34	13	25%	11%	149	+5.1	285/375/575	290	318	38	14	23%	12%	158	+6.1
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2020 · AA	22	37→47	55→60	54→60	36	200/261/383	183	301	24	14	41%	7%	76	+0.1	230/292/423	193	312	24	20	33%	7%	99	+1.7	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	34→26	54→50	51→50	41	194/261/370	176	265	24	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	200/264/348	148	298	18	12	37%	8%	68	-0.5	226/305/379	153	324	20	8	34%	9%	90	+0.6