Xavier Isaac — OGILVIE

Xavier Isaac1B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 22 L/L 6'3" / 240 lbs AA HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION481 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP302

ISO181

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER66

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	19	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	250	14	10	293	84	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	19	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	57	49	20	4	1	6	8	12	0	2	0	408	491	898	1.389	490	452	21	14	578	277	+12	+0	—	—	+1	1.4
2023	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	376	312	83	16	3	13	56	80	4	10	0	266	384	462	846	196	314	21	15	374	139	+18	+2	—	—	+8	2.8
2024	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	133	109	23	4	1	3	21	54	2	1	1	211	348	349	697	138	377	41	16	321	103	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	302	258	74	17	1	15	37	91	4	14	2	287	385	535	919	248	381	30	12	399	156	+20	+2	—	—	+7	2.9
2024	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	67	56	16	6	0	3	11	27	0	0	0	286	403	554	957	268	500	40	16	417	169	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	139	28	5	1	9	34	52	2	1	2	201	366	446	812	245	244	30	19	364	133	+7	-1	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	21	20	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	195	19	5	207	26	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	19	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	57	52	16	3	1	4	5	17	0	2	0	308	368	635	1.003	327	377	30	9	422	172	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	376	335	68	13	2	10	33	115	4	10	0	203	282	343	626	140	271	31	9	283	78	-10	+2	—	—	+8	0.0
2024	20	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	133	116	19	3	1	2	14	66	2	1	1	164	265	259	524	95	350	50	11	248	54	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	20	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	302	270	58	14	1	11	25	127	4	14	2	215	291	396	687	181	333	42	8	291	83	-6	+2	—	—	+7	0.3
2025	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	149	26	5	1	8	24	63	2	1	2	174	297	383	680	208	221	36	14	288	81	-4	-1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	21	20	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	188	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	21	19	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	250	14	10	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	387	85	16	3	15	38	132	4	12	0	220	296	393	689	173	287	30	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	433	361	103	20	4	19	64	92	4	12	0	285	399	521	919	235	331	21	15	401	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	502	447	89	20	2	15	45	223	6	15	3	199	281	353	635	154	347	44	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	502	423	113	27	2	21	69	172	6	15	3	267	378	489	867	222	393	34	14	381	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	149	26	5	1	8	24	63	2	1	2	174	297	383	680	208	231	36	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	139	28	5	1	9	34	52	2	1	2	201	366	446	812	245	244	30	19	364	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	21	20	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	195	19	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	388	85	16	3	15	38	132	4	12	0	219	296	392	688	173	285	30	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	502	446	89	20	2	15	45	223	6	15	3	200	281	354	635	155	338	44	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	147	26	5	1	8	24	63	2	1	2	177	297	388	685	211	221	36	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	388	85	16	3	15	38	132	4	12	0	219	296	392	688	173	285	30	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	502	446	89	20	2	15	45	223	6	15	3	200	281	354	635	155	338	44	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	175	147	26	5	1	8	24	63	2	1	2	177	297	388	685	211	221	36	14	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	TB	—	481	411	89	10	3	21	61	167	5	20	3	217	325	409	734	192	300	35	13	323	105	+3	+3	+0	-9	+10	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	TB	—	425	337	86	8	3	24	80	119	4	18	3	255	404	510	914	255	313	28	19	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA RAW	TB	—	56	45	13	4	0	3	10	18	1	2	0	289	429	578	1.006	289	417	32	18	438	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	TB	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		293	30	10	319	102	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	AA MLE	TB	—	491	420	90	10	3	21	62	170	5	20	3	214	322	402	725	188	296	35	13	323	105	+3	+3	-0	-9	+11	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TB	35%	519	447	98	14	3	22	62	175	5	13	2	219	321	412	733	192	298	34	12	327	107	+4	+2	-1	-9	+11	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	47%	533	460	104	15	3	24	63	173	5	13	2	226	326	428	754	202	299	32	12	334	112	+8	+2	-1	-10	+12	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TB	52%	538	465	107	16	3	25	63	171	5	12	2	230	328	439	767	209	299	32	12	339	115	+10	+2	-1	-10	+12	1.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	TB	54%	537	464	108	16	3	26	63	169	5	12	2	233	331	448	779	216	299	31	12	341	117	+11	+2	-1	-10	+12	1.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	TB	54%	533	460	107	16	3	26	63	169	5	11	2	233	331	450	781	217	298	32	12	341	117	+11	+1	-1	-10	+12	1.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	TB	54%	526	453	104	15	3	25	63	167	5	10	2	230	330	442	772	212	297	32	12	340	116	+10	+1	-1	-9	+11	1.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	518	446	101	15	2	24	62	166	5	9	2	226	327	430	758	204	296	32	12	338	115	+9	+1	-2	-9	+11	1.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	TB	52%	509	438	99	14	2	24	61	164	5	8	1	226	327	432	759	205	293	32	12	335	113	+8	+1	-3	-9	+11	0.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	500	431	95	13	2	23	60	163	5	7	1	220	323	420	743	200	290	33	12	330	110	+6	+1	-3	-9	+11	0.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	TB	52%	491	424	91	12	2	22	59	162	5	6	1	215	318	408	726	193	286	33	12	324	106	+3	+1	-4	-9	+11	0.2
2037	33	MLB MLE	TB	52%	424	366	77	10	2	18	51	142	4	4	1	210	314	396	710	186	280	33	12	317	101	+0	+0	-5	-8	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	TB	35%	183	157	35	5	1	8	22	62	2	5	1	223	326	420	746	197	307	34	12	327	107	+2	+1	-0	-3	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	47%	248	215	49	7	1	12	29	81	2	6	1	228	325	437	762	209	308	33	12	335	112	+4	+1	-0	-4	+5	0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	TB	52%	279	241	57	9	2	13	33	89	3	6	1	237	336	452	788	216	308	32	12	339	115	+5	+1	-0	-5	+6	0.7
2030	26	MLB CTX	TB	54%	292	253	60	9	2	14	34	92	3	6	1	237	334	455	789	217	308	32	12	342	117	+6	+1	-0	-5	+6	0.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	TB	54%	289	250	59	9	2	14	34	91	3	6	1	236	334	456	790	220	308	31	12	342	117	+6	+1	-0	-5	+6	0.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	TB	54%	286	247	59	9	2	14	34	91	3	5	1	239	338	462	800	223	306	32	12	341	116	+6	+1	-1	-5	+6	0.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	275	237	54	8	1	13	33	88	3	5	1	228	330	435	764	207	305	32	12	338	115	+5	+1	-1	-5	+6	0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	TB	52%	267	230	53	8	1	13	32	86	3	4	1	230	332	443	776	213	303	32	12	335	113	+4	+0	-1	-5	+6	0.4
2035	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	260	225	50	7	1	12	31	85	2	3	1	222	322	422	744	200	299	33	12	331	110	+3	+0	-2	-5	+6	0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	TB	52%	254	220	49	7	1	12	30	84	2	3	1	223	321	427	749	205	294	33	12	325	106	+2	+0	-2	-5	+6	0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	TB	52%	219	189	41	5	1	10	26	73	2	2	0	217	318	413	731	196	289	33	12	317	101	+0	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2852	2464	566	83	15	135	338	922	28	51	10	230	329	440	769	210	304	32	12	334	107	+41	+6	-11	-51	+62	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	129	19	3	31	77	210	6	12	2	230	329	440	769	210	302	32	12	334	107	+9	+1	-3	-12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6769	5866	1295	199	34	297	779	2246	66	133	23	221	319	418	737	197	297	33	12	326	107	+80	+14	-21	-101	+122	9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	124	19	3	29	75	216	6	13	2	220	318	419	738	199	295	33	12	326	107	+9	+2	-2	-12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
#2Khris Davislast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,804 PA	5.7	3,804	221	18	242	314	491	-40	-39	13.3	13.4
/162	664	39	3	-7.0	-6.9	2.3	pk7: 13
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	6.1	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
/162	664	31	2	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.3	2,858	132	52	226	323	431	-51	-3	7.4	6.7
/162	664	31	12	-11.9	-0.8	1.7	pk7: 6
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Isaac (OGILVIE)	22	43→42	57→66	34→40	48	210/313/394	184	293	13	10	35%	12%	102	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	41→49	52→55	47→55	48	214/297/379	165	280	19	10	30%	10%	91	+0.7	211/290/341	130	279	13	9	27%	9%	80	-0.2	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
●Spencer Torkelson 2022 · AAA	22	41→45	57→60	45→40	50	223/310/423	200	269	24	6	27%	10%	106	+1.8	219/299/389	170	275	20	3	27%	9%	95	+0.9	228/314/430	201	280	26	2	27%	10%	106	+2.0
●Triston Casas 2022 · AAA	22	45→50	50→60	48→40	48	229/301/387	158	285	18	8	26%	9%	94	+0.9	240/331/429	189	296	23	4	26%	12%	115	+2.4	238/338/442	204	293	26	0	27%	13%	117	+1.7
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	38→48	55	45→50	44	207/289/391	184	267	23	6	31%	8%	92	+0.7	240/307/413	173	302	20	9	27%	7%	103	+1.5	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→47	56→60	38→45	47	220/314/415	194	293	24	3	32%	10%	106	+1.8	229/303/387	158	305	17	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	228/299/376	148	295	16	7	27%	7%	89	+0.3
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	38→48	60	40→50	46	217/288/430	213	270	29	5	32%	9%	99	+1.3	224/305/409	185	277	22	6	26%	10%	101	+1.4	218/301/397	179	270	20	5	26%	10%	94	+0.8
●Michael Busch 2022 · AA	24	45→49	51→60	41→40	46	225/310/388	162	314	18	4	32%	9%	98	+1.2	230/309/413	183	304	22	4	30%	9%	103	+1.6	247/341/452	205	298	25	3	25%	11%	121	+2.9
●Tyler Soderstrom 2023 · AAA	21	44→53	55→60	44→40	37	229/276/409	180	308	23	3	33%	6%	91	+0.6	225/284/408	183	286	24	4	30%	7%	93	+0.8	251/333/462	211	292	26	4	23%	10%	119	+2.2
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A	22	45→49	53→55	41→45	45	227/302/408	181	315	21	3	33%	9%	99	+1.3	217/278/374	157	300	17	3	32%	7%	83	+0.1	256/319/421	164	308	18	6	22%	8%	105	+1.0
●Pedro Álvarez 2010 · AA	23	47	54→65	45	43	240/296/422	182	318	23	4	32%	8%	100	+1.3	234/302/415	181	315	22	3	31%	9%	101	+1.4	241/313/470	229	291	33	4	29%	9%	111	+2.0
●Wil Myers 2013 · AAA	22	47→52	52→60	47→55	45	240/303/410	170	305	20	7	28%	8%	100	+1.3	245/308/402	157	313	18	11	26%	8%	100	+1.3	249/328/454	205	308	25	22	26%	10%	116	+2.4
★Matt Olson 2016 · AA	22	37→47	51→70	46→40	50	198/288/358	160	263	19	4	31%	11%	84	+0.1	219/301/421	202	273	27	3	29%	10%	103	+1.5	264/364/544	279	283	38	1	22%	13%	145	+5.4
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	41→43	50→60	45→50	45	206/286/361	155	299	18	9	36%	10%	83	+0.1	213/300/408	195	287	25	11	33%	10%	99	+1.3	203/294/400	197	265	26	11	33%	10%	92	+0.7
★Cody Bellinger 2017 · AA	22	40→50	54→70	50	44	215/278/393	178	271	23	8	30%	8%	87	+0.4	261/342/504	243	309	31	13	25%	11%	136	+3.9	277/368/549	272	312	34	14	23%	12%	145	+4.9
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	42→40	51→50	44→45	48	214/298/373	159	287	19	6	31%	10%	90	+0.6	209/285/349	140	293	16	6	32%	9%	80	-0.2	215/282/349	134	280	16	5	28%	8%	76	-0.2
●Ryan O'Hearn 2016 · A	23	44→54	52→60	46→45	39	227/276/383	157	315	21	5	34%	6%	84	+0.1	220/273/380	160	304	20	3	33%	7%	82	+0.0	270/346/440	169	306	21	3	18%	9%	119	+2.1
●Chris Carter 2009 · A	22	38→48	58→65	47→45	44	214/284/418	204	274	27	3	32%	8%	96	+1.0	231/304/423	192	297	24	6	30%	9%	104	+1.6	226/317/463	237	289	33	4	33%	11%	114	+2.3
●Hunter Renfroe 2015 · AA	23	43→47	51→65	47→45	39	221/274/381	161	296	19	8	32%	6%	83	+0.1	231/270/403	172	296	21	6	29%	5%	86	+0.3	243/306/456	213	274	28	1	23%	8%	110	+1.9
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	40→49	52→55	46→45	48	208/301/377	169	281	20	5	32%	10%	93	+0.8	217/292/378	161	280	19	3	28%	8%	89	+0.5	222/297/388	165	279	20	1	27%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Bobby Bradley 2018 · AA	22	38→40	52→60	44→40	39	204/264/367	163	286	21	4	36%	7%	76	-0.4	206/264/394	188	284	24	3	35%	7%	82	+0.0	193/258/399	206	256	29	0	36%	7%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps