Xavier Isaac

1B Montgomery Biscuits
Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 240 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP40OGV rank#326ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AA/A+/INTL2 orgs502.267/.378/.489211591—.207/.290/.372
202521AATB175.201/.366/.4469189—.174/.297/.383
202622AAA/AATB500.258/.406/.5102720109—.224/.333/.421
2027PROJMLE23MLBTB4.214/.321/.403001060.0
2028PROJ39% MLB24MLBTB160.219/.325/.418731110.3
2029PROJ56% MLB25MLBTB241.223/.328/.4271151130.5
Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$1M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
BB%94
Max EV82
Chase%64
Speed52
K%18
Z-Con%7
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 14, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 61%
CompsMJ Melendez (age 23) · Jack Suwinski (age 25) · Spencer Torkelson (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†106
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .321 / .403
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%25
BABIP289
ISO194
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +1.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.50.70.60.50.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.3$0.8M+$0.0M
2034Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$7M———
Totals $4M $6M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKFCL Rays — 2119 4300 230 00 211286368654 158250 1410 293 27 — — — — — —
202319 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 5749 20416 8120 20 4084918981.389 490452 2114 578 184 — — — — — —
202319 ACharleston RiverDogs — 376312 8316313 56804 100 266384462846 196314 2115 374 82 — — — — — —
202420 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 133109 23413 21542 11 211348349697 138377 4116 321 60 — — — — — —
202420 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 302258 7417115 37914 142 287385535919 248381 3012 399 87 — — — — — —
202420 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 6756 16603 11270 00 286403554957 268500 4016 417 169 — — — — — —
202521 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 175139 28519 34522 12 201366446812 245244 3019 364 89 — — — — — —
202622 AAADurham Bulls — 7559 16503 14231 20 271419508927 237382 3119 405 111 — — — — — —
202622 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 425337 868324 801194 183 255404510914 255313 2819 400 109 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2120 3200 140 00 150190250440 100196 195 208 27 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 5752 17315 5170 20 3273867121.098 385377 309 440 184 — — — — — —
202319 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 376330 7114310 381114 100 215304367670 152275 3010 290 82 — — — — — —
202420 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 133115 21412 15662 11 183288287575 104366 5011 257 60 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 302271 5914112 241254 142 218291410701 192327 418 297 87 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 175149 26518 24632 12 174297383680 208231 3614 300 89 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 7563 14402 10281 20 222338381719 159350 3713 332 111 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 425362 818320 551454 183 224333428761 204293 3413 329 109 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2120 3200 140 00 150190250440 100188 195 208 27 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 2119 4300 230 00 211286368654 158250 1410 293 27 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 433383 8717415 421274 120 227310410720 183294 2910 310 96 — — — — — —
202319 A RAW2 teams — 433361 10320419 64924 120 285399521919 235331 2115 401 96 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE3 teams — 502448 9120217 442206 153 203283371654 167344 449 285 79 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAW3 teams — 502423 11327221 691726 153 267378489867 222393 3414 381 79 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 175149 26518 24632 12 174297383680 208231 3614 300 89 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 175139 28519 34522 12 201366446812 245244 3019 364 89 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 500425 9412322 651735 203 221331419750 198306 3513 329 109 — — — — — —
202622 AA RAW2 teams — 500396 10213327 941425 203 258406510916 253323 2819 401 109 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2120 3200 140 00 150190250440 100196 195 208 27 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 433384 8717415 421274 120 227310409719 182288 2910 310 96 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE3 teams — 502447 9120217 442206 153 204283371654 168339 449 285 79 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 175147 26518 24632 12 177297388685 211231 3614 300 89 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 500426 9412322 651735 203 221331418749 197302 3513 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLE3 teams — 502447 9120217 442206 153 204283371654 168339 449 285 79 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 175147 26518 24632 12 177297388685 211231 3614 300 89 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE2 teams — 500426 9412322 651735 203 221331418749 197302 3513 329 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLETB 2% 529452 9715323 671765 123 213321406727 193286 3313 324 106 +4 +1 -1 -9 +11 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXTB 2% 43 0000 110 00 214321403724 189289 2525 323 106 +0 +0 -0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLETB 39% 414355 7812219 521344 92 219325422747 203287 3213 332 111 +5 +1 -0 -7 +9 0.8
202925 MLB MLETB 56% 432372 8313220 531384 92 223327431758 208288 3212 336 113 +7 +1 -0 -8 +9 0.9
203026 MLB MLETB 64% 450388 8714221 551414 92 225328435762 210288 3112 337 114 +8 +1 -0 -8 +10 1.0
203127 MLB MLETB 66% 455393 8814221 551414 82 224326430756 206288 3112 335 113 +7 +1 -0 -8 +10 0.9
203228 MLB MLETB 67% 453392 8714220 541404 62 223324424747 200286 3112 331 110 +6 +0 -1 -8 +10 0.7
203329 MLB MLETB 66% 445385 8413219 531394 51 220320416737 196284 3112 327 108 +4 +1 -2 -8 +10 0.5
203430 MLB MLETB 65% 434376 8313219 511374 31 217316407723 191280 3212 322 104 +2 +0 -2 -8 +9 0.2
203531 MLB MLETB 65% 417362 7612117 491333 12 212311396707 184276 3212 316 100 -0 -1 -3 -7 +9 -0.2
202824 MLB CTXTB 39% 160137 31517 20522 31 219325418743 199290 3212 331 111 +2 +0 -0 -3 +3 0.3
202925 MLB CTXTB 56% 241207 467111 30772 51 223328427754 204291 3212 335 113 +4 +1 -0 -4 +5 0.5
203026 MLB CTXTB 64% 287247 558113 35903 51 225328431759 205291 3112 336 114 +5 +1 -0 -5 +6 0.7
203127 MLB CTXTB 66% 299258 579113 36933 51 225327426753 201290 3112 334 113 +5 +1 -0 -5 +6 0.6
203228 MLB CTXTB 67% 303261 589113 36933 41 224324420744 196289 3112 330 110 +4 +0 -1 -5 +7 0.5
203329 MLB CTXTB 66% 293253 569112 35913 31 221321413734 192286 3112 326 108 +3 +0 -1 -5 +6 0.3
203430 MLB CTXTB 65% 283246 538112 33892 21 217317404720 186283 3112 321 104 +1 +0 -2 -5 +6 0.1
203531 MLB CTXTB 65% 270235 497111 31862 11 213312392704 180279 3211 315 100 -0 -0 -2 -5 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 21361844 40562892 25667120 288 220321412733 192287 3112 328 104 +23 +2 -6 -38 +46 2.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650561 12319228 782046 92 219321410731 191286 3112 328 104 +7 +1 -2 -12 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 53414628 100516726227 624176050 10323 217317412728 194291 3312 322 104 +40 +5 -9 -66 +80 5.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650563 12220328 762146 133 217316412728 195289 3312 322 104 +7 +1 -2 -12 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 425 PAwOBA .393 → .329 (−64)K% 28.0% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷1.000×1.220——34.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.59%÷1.000×0.680—×1.02712.98%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.840—×1.0270.81%
Singles /BIP23.39%÷1.000×0.920×1.015×1.02722.43%
Doubles /BIP3.67%÷1.000×0.910×1.015×1.0273.48%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷1.000×0.880×1.015×1.0271.26%
Home runs /BIP11.01%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0279.05%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .393 → .329; ISO .255 → .218; BABIP .313 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAADurham Bulls · 75 PAwOBA .401 → .332 (−69)K% 30.7% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.67%÷1.000×1.200——36.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.67%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05013.52%
HBP% /PA1.33%—×0.940—×1.0501.32%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.000×0.930—×1.05021.70%
Doubles /BIP13.89%÷1.000×0.830—×1.05012.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0506.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .401 → .332; ISO .237 → .187; BABIP .382 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 175 PAwOBA .355 → .300 (−56)K% 29.7% → 35.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.71%÷1.010×1.220——35.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.43%÷0.988×0.680—×1.04213.93%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.840—×1.0421.00%
Singles /BIP14.94%÷1.045×0.920×1.035×1.04214.19%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷0.976×0.910×1.035×1.0425.78%
Triples /BIP1.15%÷1.150×0.880×1.035×1.0420.95%
Home runs /BIP10.34%÷0.922×0.800—×1.0429.35%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .355 → .300; ISO .245 → .221; BABIP .244 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 302 PAwOBA .392 → .297 (−95)K% 30.1% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.13%÷0.956×1.310——41.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.25%÷0.972×0.600—×1.0277.77%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.770—×1.0271.05%
Singles /BIP24.55%÷1.047×0.870×1.008×1.02721.11%
Doubles /BIP10.18%÷0.898×0.780×1.008×1.0279.15%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.150×0.850×1.008×1.0270.46%
Home runs /BIP8.98%÷1.015×0.880—×1.0278.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .392 → .297; ISO .248 → .199; BABIP .381 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 133 PAwOBA .316 → .257 (−59)K% 40.6% → 49.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.60%÷0.999×1.220——49.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.79%÷1.022×0.680—×1.05011.03%
HBP% /PA1.50%—×0.840—×1.0501.33%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.008×0.920×1.022×1.05026.70%
Doubles /BIP7.27%÷0.972×0.910×1.022×1.0507.30%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.115×0.880×1.022×1.0501.54%
Home runs /BIP5.45%÷0.958×0.800—×1.0504.78%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 123, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .316 → .257; ISO .138 → .115; BABIP .377 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ACharleston RiverDogs · 376 PAwOBA .368 → .290 (−77)K% 21.3% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.28%÷0.985×1.360——29.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.63%÷1.035×0.690—×1.03010.04%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.780—×1.0300.85%
Singles /BIP21.98%÷1.071×0.920×1.000×1.03019.44%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷0.964×0.830×1.000×1.0306.12%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷0.938×0.910×1.000×1.0301.29%
Home runs /BIP5.60%÷1.075×0.800—×1.0304.29%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 114, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .368 → .290; ISO .196 → .155; BABIP .314 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 57 PAwOBA .562 → .440 (−122)K% 21.1% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.950×1.310——29.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.04%÷1.060×0.600—×1.0428.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷1.008×0.870—×1.04221.88%
Doubles /BIP10.81%÷1.047×0.780—×1.0428.39%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.103×0.850—×1.0422.17%
Home runs /BIP16.22%÷1.066×0.880—×1.04213.94%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 121, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .562 → .440; ISO .490 → .398; BABIP .452 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Rays · 21 PAwOBA .285 → .208 (−77)K% 14.3% → 20.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷1.005×1.440——20.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷0.956×0.620—×1.0086.23%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP6.25%÷1.023×0.820—×1.0085.05%
Doubles /BIP18.75%÷0.933×0.720—×1.00814.57%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.005×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.902×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .285 → .208; ISO .158 → .118; BABIP .250 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .