Bobby Bradley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | INTLMexico | 212 | .259/.322/.368 | 4 | 2 | 97 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 232 | .192/.325/.394 | 10 | 0 | 105 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 149 | .240/.358/.344 | 2 | 1 | 106 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 155 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 361 | 431 | 652 | 1.083 | 290 | 425 | 20 | 9 | 461 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Lake County Captains | — | 465 | 401 | 108 | 15 | 4 | 27 | 56 | 148 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 364 | 529 | 893 | 259 | 352 | 32 | 12 | 387 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 572 | 485 | 114 | 23 | 1 | 29 | 75 | 170 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 347 | 466 | 813 | 231 | 293 | 30 | 13 | 358 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 532 | 467 | 117 | 25 | 3 | 23 | 55 | 122 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 251 | 335 | 465 | 799 | 214 | 287 | 23 | 10 | 349 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 77 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 260 | 365 | 625 | 135 | 375 | 42 | 3 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 128 | 114 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 325 | 430 | 755 | 175 | 377 | 34 | 9 | 330 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 421 | 369 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 24 | 45 | 105 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 306 | 477 | 783 | 263 | 226 | 25 | 11 | 341 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 49 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 356 | 600 | 178 | 292 | 41 | 8 | 267 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 453 | 402 | 106 | 23 | 0 | 33 | 46 | 153 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 345 | 567 | 912 | 303 | 336 | 34 | 10 | 394 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 279 | 245 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 25 | 99 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 297 | 445 | 742 | 237 | 263 | 35 | 9 | 325 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 109 | 97 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 271 | 485 | 756 | 289 | 182 | 32 | 6 | 323 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 17 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 235 | 250 | 53 | 0 | 106 | -42 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +0 | -0.8 | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 198 | 167 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 277 | 359 | 637 | 186 | 237 | 37 | 10 | 279 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Mexico | — | 212 | 193 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 322 | 368 | 690 | 109 | 368 | 31 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 232 | 193 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 325 | 394 | 718 | 202 | 229 | 28 | 16 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 149 | 125 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 358 | 344 | 702 | 104 | 304 | 21 | 11 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 345 | 307 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 128 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 281 | 414 | 694 | 215 | 267 | 37 | 8 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -20 | +7 | -2.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 161 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 322 | 472 | 794 | 205 | 340 | 30 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 465 | 421 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 199 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 275 | 373 | 648 | 166 | 329 | 43 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 572 | 517 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 25 | 43 | 252 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 254 | 360 | 613 | 180 | 274 | 44 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 532 | 485 | 111 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 151 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 229 | 289 | 396 | 685 | 167 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 128 | 118 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 270 | 356 | 626 | 136 | 350 | 40 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 421 | 382 | 78 | 18 | 3 | 23 | 32 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 273 | 448 | 720 | 243 | 230 | 30 | 8 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 49 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 245 | 356 | 600 | 178 | 292 | 41 | 8 | 265 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -9 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 453 | 419 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 28 | 29 | 185 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 274 | 461 | 735 | 243 | 304 | 41 | 6 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 279 | 246 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 99 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 293 | 443 | 737 | 236 | 263 | 35 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 109 | 99 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 224 | 354 | 578 | 192 | 181 | 39 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 17 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 118 | 118 | 235 | 250 | 53 | 0 | 106 | -42 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +0 | -0.8 | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 198 | 172 | 25 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 86 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 145 | 230 | 279 | 509 | 134 | 204 | 43 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 161 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 322 | 472 | 794 | 205 | 352 | 30 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 155 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 361 | 431 | 652 | 1.083 | 290 | 425 | 20 | 9 | 461 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 465 | 421 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 199 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 207 | 275 | 373 | 648 | 166 | 335 | 43 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Lake County Captains | — | 465 | 401 | 108 | 15 | 4 | 27 | 56 | 148 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 364 | 529 | 893 | 259 | 352 | 32 | 12 | 387 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 572 | 517 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 25 | 43 | 252 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 254 | 360 | 613 | 180 | 279 | 44 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 572 | 485 | 114 | 23 | 1 | 29 | 75 | 170 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 347 | 466 | 813 | 231 | 293 | 30 | 13 | 358 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 555 | 127 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 172 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 229 | 290 | 396 | 687 | 168 | 289 | 28 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 609 | 541 | 134 | 27 | 4 | 25 | 57 | 154 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 248 | 325 | 451 | 776 | 203 | 297 | 25 | 9 | 340 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 500 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 178 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 424 | 694 | 218 | 259 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 483 | 108 | 26 | 5 | 27 | 56 | 148 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 311 | 466 | 777 | 242 | 260 | 27 | 10 | 338 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 464 | 99 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 205 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 271 | 450 | 722 | 237 | 303 | 41 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 502 | 447 | 114 | 28 | 0 | 34 | 50 | 173 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 335 | 546 | 881 | 291 | 332 | 34 | 10 | 382 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 345 | 67 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 29 | 141 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 274 | 417 | 692 | 223 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 388 | 342 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 25 | 32 | 134 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 290 | 456 | 746 | 251 | 239 | 35 | 8 | 324 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 189 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 221 | 265 | 486 | 122 | 229 | 44 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 215 | 184 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 83 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 264 | 337 | 601 | 168 | 238 | 39 | 9 | 265 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Mexico | — | 212 | 193 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 322 | 368 | 690 | 109 | 368 | 31 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Mexico | — | 212 | 193 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 322 | 368 | 690 | 109 | 368 | 31 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 232 | 193 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 325 | 394 | 718 | 202 | 229 | 28 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 232 | 193 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 325 | 394 | 718 | 202 | 229 | 28 | 16 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 149 | 125 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 358 | 344 | 702 | 104 | 304 | 21 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 149 | 125 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 358 | 344 | 702 | 104 | 304 | 21 | 11 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians | — | 176 | 161 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 322 | 472 | 794 | 205 | 340 | 30 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 465 | 422 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 199 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 275 | 372 | 648 | 166 | 329 | 43 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 572 | 516 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 25 | 43 | 252 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 254 | 360 | 614 | 180 | 274 | 44 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 609 | 556 | 127 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 43 | 172 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 228 | 290 | 396 | 686 | 167 | 283 | 28 | 7 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 500 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 178 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 424 | 694 | 218 | 258 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 502 | 460 | 99 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 205 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 271 | 454 | 726 | 239 | 303 | 41 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 388 | 347 | 67 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 29 | 141 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 274 | 415 | 689 | 222 | 240 | 36 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 194 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 221 | 258 | 479 | 119 | 208 | 44 | 7 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 345 | 307 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 128 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 281 | 414 | 694 | 215 | 267 | 37 | 8 | 306 | 55 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -20 | +7 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 115 | 28 | 0 | 32 | 55 | 241 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 281 | 413 | 695 | 215 | 267 | 37 | 8 | 306 | 55 | -5 | +0 | -8 | -37 | +14 | -3.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4069 | 3663 | 763 | 147 | 18 | 166 | 313 | 1457 | 56 | 16 | 5 | 208 | 281 | 394 | 675 | 186 | 288 | 36 | 8 | 249 | 55 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -20 | +7 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 27 | 50 | 233 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 281 | 397 | 678 | 188 | 287 | 36 | 8 | 249 | 55 | -5 | +0 | -8 | -37 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 198 PAwOBA .281 → .227 (−55)K% 37.4% → 43.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.37% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 12.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.75% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 8.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .281 → .227; ISO .186 → .136; BABIP .237 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 109 PAwOBA .320 → .249 (−70)K% 32.1% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.11% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.52% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 15.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.52% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 10.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .320 → .249; ISO .289 → .195; BABIP .182 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 453 PAwOBA .382 → .314 (−69)K% 33.8% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.77% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.08% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 19.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.25% | ÷0.985 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 11.87% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .382 → .314; ISO .303 → .253; BABIP .336 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAkron RubberDucks · 421 PAwOBA .330 → .307 (−23)K% 24.9% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.94% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷0.941 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.042 | 13.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷0.922 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×1.042 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×1.042 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.840 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 8.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 94, 2B 84, 3B 96, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .330 → .307; ISO .263 → .250; BABIP .226 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 128 PAwOBA .321 → .276 (−45)K% 33.6% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.59% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.94% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 22.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.86% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 8.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 3.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.135 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.28% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .321 → .276; ISO .175 → .147; BABIP .377 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAkron RubberDucks · 532 PAwOBA .342 → .298 (−44)K% 22.9% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.13% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 20.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.25% | ÷1.072 | ×0.860 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | ×1.050 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.008 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .342 → .298; ISO .214 → .175; BABIP .287 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 572 PAwOBA .346 → .270 (−76)K% 29.7% → 44.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.72% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 44.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.71% | ÷1.015 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.37% | ÷0.969 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×1.042 | 18.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×1.042 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | ×0.968 | ×1.042 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.21% | ÷0.932 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 9.26% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .346 → .270; ISO .231 → .191; BABIP .293 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALake County Captains · 465 PAwOBA .376 → .288 (−88)K% 31.8% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.83% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.75% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 23.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.902 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.103 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.045 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.67% | ÷1.169 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 7.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 101, 2B 80, 3B 121, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .376 → .288; ISO .259 → .178; BABIP .352 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .