Joey Gallo

PosLF

B/TL/R

Born1993-11-19

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	28	MLBLAD	410	.160/.281/.357	19	3	85	-0.6
2023	29	AAAMIN	34	.172/.273/.414	2	0	26	—	.133/.212/.267
2023	29	MLBMIN	332	.177/.301/.440	21	1	106	-0.0
2024	30	AAAWSH	82	.177/.378/.484	6	0	68	—	.132/.280/.324
2024	30	MLBWSH	260	.161/.278/.336	10	3	76	-0.8
2025	31	No MLB games played
2026	32	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.4

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Barrel%90

Avg EV77

Bat Spd60

xwOBA40

Speed30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	193	150	44	10	1	18	37	52	3	6	0	293	442	733	1.175	440	313	27	19	484	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	446	392	96	19	5	38	48	165	5	14	1	245	335	610	945	365	305	37	11	402	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	21	19	7	4	0	2	2	7	0	1	0	368	429	895	1.323	526	500	33	10	552	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	291	250	58	10	0	21	36	115	3	2	0	232	336	524	860	292	322	40	12	372	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	246	189	61	9	3	21	51	64	2	5	3	323	471	735	1.207	413	370	26	21	498	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	123	108	22	3	1	6	15	57	0	3	0	204	301	417	717	213	356	46	12	319	82	-3	+1	+1	-5	+3	-0.4
2015	21	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	228	200	39	9	0	14	27	90	0	1	0	195	291	450	741	255	258	39	12	325	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	146	121	38	10	1	9	24	49	0	1	0	314	428	636	1.064	322	453	34	16	454	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	30	25	1	0	0	1	5	19	0	1	0	40	200	160	360	120		63	17	186	3	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.2
2016	22	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	433	359	86	17	6	25	68	150	5	2	0	240	368	529	897	290	330	35	16	390	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	532	449	94	18	3	41	75	196	8	7	2	209	333	537	869	327	250	37	14	377	128	+18	+1	-6	+2	+12	2.7
2018	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	577	500	103	24	1	40	74	207	3	3	4	206	312	498	810	292	249	36	13	353	111	+8	-1	-1	-6	+13	1.2
2019	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	297	241	61	15	1	22	52	114	2	4	2	253	390	598	987	344	368	38	18	422	152	+18	+0	+1	+1	+6	2.8
2019	25	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	16	11	3	1	0	2	5	3	0	0	0	273	500	909	1.409	636	167	19	31	558	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	226	193	35	8	0	10	29	79	4	2	0	181	301	378	679	197	240	35	13	308	86	-4	+0	+2	-2	+5	0.1
2021	27	MLB	New York Yankees	—	616	498	99	13	1	38	111	213	6	6	0	199	351	458	809	259	246	35	18	360	121	+15	+1	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2022	28	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	410	350	56	8	2	19	56	163	3	3	0	160	281	357	638	197	219	40	14	290	85	-7	+1	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	332	282	50	9	1	21	48	142	2	1	1	177	301	440	741	262	244	43	14	328	106	+3	-0	-3	-7	+7	-0.0
2023	29	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	34	29	5	1	0	2	4	11	0	0	0	172	273	414	687	241	176	32	12	295	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	260	223	36	9	0	10	32	102	4	3	1	161	278	336	614	175	232	39	12	281	76	-8	+0	-0	-6	+6	-0.8
2024	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	82	62	11	1	0	6	19	23	1	0	0	177	378	484	862	306	152	28	23	383	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3403	2869	557	107	10	208	497	1292	32	33	10	194	320	456	776	262	254	38	15	343	118	+73	+3	-5	-33	+74	11.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	193	164	32	7	1	13	23	75	3	6	0	195	305	488	793	293	222	39	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	446	410	65	13	4	25	30	223	5	14	1	159	225	393	617	234	245	50	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	21	20	4	2	0	1	1	10	0	1	0	200	238	450	688	250	352	48	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	291	264	43	9	0	12	22	143	3	2	0	163	235	333	569	170	273	49	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	246	208	53	7	2	19	32	95	2	5	3	255	360	582	941	327	332	39	13	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	123	111	22	3	1	6	12	57	0	3	0	198	276	405	682	207	356	46	10	290	82	-3	+1	+1	-5	+3	-0.4
2015	21	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	228	209	28	6	0	9	18	113	0	1	0	134	203	292	495	158	212	50	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	146	127	33	8	1	8	18	58	0	1	0	260	352	528	879	268	396	40	12	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	30	25	1	0	0	1	5	19	0	1	0	40	200	160	360	120		63	17	173	3	-3	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.2
2016	22	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	433	381	71	12	4	22	46	193	5	2	0	186	282	412	694	226	289	45	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	532	450	91	17	3	39	74	196	8	7	2	202	325	513	839	311	250	37	14	358	128	+18	+1	-6	+2	+12	2.7
2018	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	577	504	100	23	1	38	70	207	3	3	4	198	300	474	774	276	249	36	12	332	111	+8	-1	-1	-6	+13	1.2
2019	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	297	245	59	14	1	21	48	114	2	4	2	241	369	563	933	322	368	38	16	392	152	+18	+0	+1	+1	+6	2.8
2019	25	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	16	14	3	1	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	214	312	714	1.027	500	104	25	12	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	226	195	34	8	0	9	27	79	4	2	0	174	288	354	641	179	240	35	12	295	86	-4	+0	+2	-2	+5	0.1
2021	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	616	503	97	13	1	36	106	213	6	6	0	193	340	437	777	245	246	35	17	347	121	+15	+1	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2022	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	410	350	55	8	2	18	56	163	3	3	0	157	279	346	624	189	219	40	14	293	85	-7	+1	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2023	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	332	283	50	9	1	21	47	142	2	1	1	177	298	438	736	261	244	43	14	326	106	+3	-0	-3	-7	+7	-0.0
2023	29	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	34	30	4	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	133	212	267	479	133	140	41	9	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	260	223	36	9	0	10	32	102	4	3	1	161	278	336	614	175	232	39	12	280	76	-8	+0	-0	-6	+6	-0.8
2024	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	82	68	9	1	0	4	13	29	1	0	0	132	280	324	604	191	123	35	16	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	193	164	32	7	1	13	23	75	3	6	0	195	305	488	793	293	241	39	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	193	150	44	10	1	18	37	52	3	6	0	293	442	733	1.175	440	313	27	19	484	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	467	430	70	16	4	26	31	233	5	15	1	163	227	400	627	237	256	50	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	467	411	103	23	5	40	50	172	5	15	1	251	339	623	962	372	315	37	11	409	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	471	95	15	2	31	55	238	5	7	3	202	292	439	731	238	309	44	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	537	439	119	19	3	42	87	179	5	7	3	271	397	615	1.012	344	345	33	16	430	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	447	82	17	2	22	48	227	0	5	0	183	263	378	641	195	300	46	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	497	429	99	22	2	29	66	196	0	5	0	231	333	494	828	263	340	39	13	361	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	463	406	72	12	4	23	51	212	5	3	0	177	277	397	674	219	285	46	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	463	384	87	17	6	26	73	169	5	3	0	227	357	505	862	279	321	37	16	377	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	532	450	91	17	3	39	74	196	8	7	2	202	325	513	839	311	242	37	14	358	128	+18	+1	-6	+2	+12	2.7
2017	23	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	532	449	94	18	3	41	75	196	8	7	2	209	333	537	869	327	250	37	14	377	128	+18	+1	-6	+2	+12	2.7
2018	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	577	504	100	23	1	38	70	207	3	3	4	198	300	474	774	276	239	36	12	332	111	+8	-1	-1	-6	+13	1.2
2018	24	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	577	500	103	24	1	40	74	207	3	3	4	206	312	498	810	292	249	36	13	353	111	+8	-1	-1	-6	+13	1.2
2019	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	313	259	62	15	1	23	50	118	2	4	2	239	367	571	938	332	328	38	16	393	152	+19	+0	+1	+1	+7	2.9
2019	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	313	252	64	16	1	24	57	117	2	4	2	254	395	611	1.007	357	357	37	18	429	152	+19	+0	+1	+1	+7	2.9
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	226	195	34	8	0	9	27	79	4	2	0	174	288	354	641	179	234	35	12	295	86	-4	+0	+2	-2	+5	0.1
2020	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	226	193	35	8	0	10	29	79	4	2	0	181	301	378	679	197	240	35	13	308	86	-4	+0	+2	-2	+5	0.1
2021	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	616	503	97	13	1	36	106	213	6	6	0	193	340	437	777	245	239	35	17	347	121	+15	+1	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2021	27	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	616	498	99	13	1	38	111	213	6	6	0	199	351	458	809	259	246	35	18	360	121	+15	+1	+5	-7	+13	2.9
2022	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	410	350	55	8	2	18	56	163	3	3	0	157	279	346	624	189	218	40	14	293	85	-7	+1	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2022	28	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	410	350	56	8	2	19	56	163	3	3	0	160	281	357	638	197	219	40	14	290	85	-7	+1	-3	-4	+9	-0.6
2023	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	366	313	54	10	1	22	50	156	2	1	1	173	290	422	712	249	235	43	14	315	99	-0	-0	-3	-7	+8	-0.2
2023	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	366	311	55	10	1	23	52	153	2	1	1	177	299	437	736	260	235	42	14	325	99	-0	-0	-3	-7	+8	-0.2
2024	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	342	291	45	10	0	14	45	131	5	3	1	155	279	333	612	179	211	38	13	277	74	-11	+0	-0	-6	+7	-0.9
2024	30	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	342	285	47	10	0	16	51	125	5	3	1	165	302	368	670	204	214	37	15	305	74	-11	+0	-0	-6	+7	-0.9
2012	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	193	165	32	7	1	13	23	75	3	6	0	194	305	485	790	291	222	39	12	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	467	428	70	16	4	26	31	233	5	15	1	164	227	402	629	238	250	50	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	537	472	95	15	2	31	55	238	5	7	3	201	292	439	730	237	300	44	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	497	446	82	17	2	22	48	227	0	5	0	184	263	379	642	195	302	46	10	280	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	463	404	72	12	4	23	51	212	5	3	0	178	277	399	676	220	270	46	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	532	445	91	17	3	39	74	196	8	7	2	204	325	519	844	315	250	37	14	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	577	499	100	23	1	38	70	207	3	3	4	200	300	479	779	279	249	36	12	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	313	258	62	15	1	23	50	118	2	4	2	240	367	574	940	333	354	38	16	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	226	193	34	8	0	9	27	79	4	2	0	176	288	358	645	181	240	35	12	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	616	499	97	13	1	36	106	213	6	6	0	194	340	441	781	246	246	35	17	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	410	348	55	8	2	18	56	163	3	3	0	158	279	348	626	190	219	40	14	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	366	311	54	10	1	22	50	156	2	1	1	174	290	424	715	251	234	43	14	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	342	289	45	10	0	14	45	131	5	3	1	156	279	336	614	180	206	38	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	30	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	342	289	45	10	0	14	45	131	5	3	1	156	279	336	614	180	206	38	13	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3403	2869	557	107	10	208	497	1292	32	33	10	194	320	456	776	262	254	38	15	343	100	+73	+3	-5	-33	+74	11.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	548	106	20	2	40	95	247	6	6	2	193	319	456	775	263	252	38	15	343	100	+14	+0	-1	-6	+14	2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5539	4783	889	171	22	314	686	2248	51	65	14	186	295	428	722	242	257	41	12	316	100	+73	+3	-5	-33	+74	11.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	105	20	3	37	81	264	6	8	2	187	296	431	728	244	260	41	12	316	100	+14	+0	-1	-6	+14	2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 82 PAwOBA .373 → .269 (−105)K% 28.0% → 35.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.05%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	35.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.17%	÷0.969	×0.690	—	×0.962	15.86%
HBP% /PA	1.22%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.10%
Singles /BIP	10.26%	÷1.029	×0.930	—	×0.962	8.92%
Doubles /BIP	2.56%	÷0.962	×0.830	—	×0.962	2.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	15.38%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.962	10.51%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .269; ISO .306 → .213; BABIP .152 → .123. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 34 PAwOBA .296 → .207 (−90)K% 32.4% → 39.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.35%	÷0.973	×1.200	—	—	39.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷1.067	×0.690	—	×0.972	7.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.964	×0.930	—	×0.972	10.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.341	×0.830	—	×0.972	3.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.970	—	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷1.009	×0.700	—	×0.972	7.50%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .207; ISO .241 → .160; BABIP .176 → .140. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Rangers · 16 PAwOBA .534 → .402 (−132)K% 18.8% → 27.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	27.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	14.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	8.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	18.33%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .534 → .402; ISO .636 → .539; BABIP .167 → .104. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAARound Rock Express · 433 PAwOBA .378 → .303 (−75)K% 34.6% → 44.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.64%	÷1.004	×1.290	—	—	44.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.78%	÷1.039	×0.710	—	×1.050	10.60%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.19%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷0.949	×0.900	×0.950	×1.050	17.20%
Doubles /BIP	8.13%	÷1.079	×0.810	×0.950	×1.050	6.09%
Triples /BIP	2.87%	÷0.977	×0.810	×0.950	×1.050	2.37%
Home runs /BIP	11.96%	÷0.839	×0.780	—	×1.050	11.67%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 90, 2B 116, 3B 95, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .378 → .303; ISO .290 → .242; BABIP .330 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAARound Rock Express · 228 PAwOBA .314 → .217 (−97)K% 39.5% → 49.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.47%	÷1.031	×1.290	—	—	49.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.96%	÷1.014	×0.710	—	×1.050	8.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.55%	÷1.007	×0.900	×0.956	×1.050	13.06%
Doubles /BIP	8.18%	÷1.029	×0.810	×0.956	×1.050	6.47%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.956	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.73%	÷1.184	×0.780	—	×1.050	8.80%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .314 → .217; ISO .255 → .159; BABIP .258 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 146 PAwOBA .445 → .369 (−75)K% 33.6% → 39.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.56%	÷1.033	×1.220	—	—	39.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.44%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×1.042	12.28%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.047	×0.920	×0.995	×1.042	22.80%
Doubles /BIP	13.89%	÷1.026	×0.840	×0.995	×1.042	11.80%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.995	×1.042	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	12.50%	÷0.946	×0.800	—	×1.042	11.02%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 109, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 107, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .445 → .369; ISO .322 → .274; BABIP .453 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 291 PAwOBA .359 → .251 (−107)K% 39.5% → 49.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.52%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	49.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.00%	÷1.055	×0.700	—	×1.050	7.66%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.94%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.030	×0.920	×0.950	×1.050	17.82%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷0.890	×0.840	×0.950	×1.050	6.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.921	×0.940	×0.950	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	15.56%	÷1.322	×0.800	—	×1.050	9.88%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 84, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .359 → .251; ISO .292 → .181; BABIP .322 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 246 PAwOBA .490 → .398 (−92)K% 26.0% → 38.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.02%	÷0.957	×1.420	—	—	38.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.51%	÷0.954	×0.630	—	×1.027	13.23%
HBP% /PA	0.81%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	0.72%
Singles /BIP	22.40%	÷0.984	×0.940	×0.960	×1.027	21.10%
Doubles /BIP	7.20%	÷1.007	×0.830	×0.960	×1.027	5.85%
Triples /BIP	2.40%	÷0.900	×0.800	×0.960	×1.027	2.10%
Home runs /BIP	16.80%	÷0.971	×0.900	—	×1.027	15.99%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .490 → .398; ISO .413 → .358; BABIP .370 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).