Niko Kavadas — OGILVIE

Niko Kavadas1B Salt Lake Bees

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 235 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION137 act + 113 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .295 / .344

PA113

HR4

K%40

BB%12

BABIP271

ISO167

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4012.1%

xwOBA

240.278

POWER60

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

7190.6

Bat Spd

3569.7

EYE60

Chase%

9021.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

2026.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.1M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	58	49	10	3	0	2	9	19	0	0	0	204	328	388	715	184	286	33	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	58	43	11	4	0	2	15	13	0	0	0	256	448	488	937	233	321	22	26	419	179	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	4 teams	—	575	480	102	20	1	27	74	244	17	1	1	212	338	427	765	215	352	42	13	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	4 teams	—	575	439	121	28	1	28	115	176	17	1	1	276	443	535	978	260	389	31	20	429	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	480	402	63	9	0	18	65	213	7	2	0	157	285	313	598	157	254	44	14	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	2 teams	—	480	369	76	16	0	22	98	172	7	2	0	206	382	428	810	222	298	36	20	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	580	488	85	16	0	24	72	260	14	1	1	174	298	355	652	180	290	45	12	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	580	470	121	30	1	29	90	200	14	1	1	257	392	511	903	253	372	34	16	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	550	473	73	11	2	20	59	230	14	1	1	154	267	313	580	159	233	42	11	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	550	454	104	16	3	28	78	173	14	1	1	229	359	463	822	233	296	31	14	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	LAA	—	137	113	26	11	0	4	21	52	3	0	0	230	365	434	799	204	386	38	15	353	129	+4	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.6
YTD	27	AAA	LAA	—	137	104	34	14	0	6	30	39	3	0	0	327	489	635	1.124	308	475	28	22	484	228	+20	+0	+0	-2	+4	2.2
ROS	27	AAA	LAA	10%	113	96	17	4	0	4	14	45	2	0	0	177	295	344	638	167	288	40	12	305	92	-1	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB	LAA	10%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		286	36	9	287	78	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	LAA	—	148	123	27	11	0	4	22	56	3	0	0	220	351	407	758	187	365	38	15	348	125	+4	+0	-0	-3	+4	0.6
TOT	27	AAA	LAA	—	250	209	43	15	0	8	35	97	5	0	0	206	333	392	726	187	333	39	14	332	112	+3	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	LAA	31%	580	492	92	21	1	21	71	223	12	2	1	187	304	362	666	175	284	38	12	304	91	-6	+0	-2	-10	+16	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	LAA	40%	569	484	92	21	1	20	69	213	11	1	0	190	305	362	667	171	283	37	12	303	90	-6	+0	-3	-10	+16	-0.3
2029	30	MLB	LAA	45%	557	475	90	20	1	19	66	206	11	1	0	189	303	356	658	166	281	37	12	301	89	-7	+0	-4	-10	+16	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	LAA	31%	180	152	27	6	0	6	22	69	4	1	0	178	298	336	633	158	282	38	12	287	78	-5	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	LAA	40%	225	192	36	8	0	8	27	84	4	1	0	188	300	354	655	167	281	37	12	287	78	-6	+0	-1	-4	+6	-0.4
2029	30	MLB	LAA	45%	248	211	40	9	0	9	30	92	5	1	0	190	305	360	665	171	280	37	12	285	76	-7	+0	-2	-4	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	793	678	123	25	0	27	94	300	15	4	0	181	295	338	633	156	271	38	12	282	74	-23	+1	-5	-32	+22	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	556	100	20	0	22	77	246	12	3	0	180	293	335	627	155	269	38	12	282	74	-19	+1	-4	-26	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	4062	3439	624	125	6	155	499	1653	88	9	4	181	301	356	657	175	282	41	12	295	84	-72	+0	-10	-73	+115	-4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	550	100	20	1	25	80	265	14	1	1	182	301	358	659	176	283	41	12	295	84	-12	-0	-2	-12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	29	21	6	2	0	1	8	7	0	0	0	286	483	524	1.007	238	385	24	28	446	200	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	29	22	5	2	0	1	7	6	0	0	0	227	414	455	868	227	267	21	24	391	157	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	100	81	18	3	0	2	16	40	3	0	0	222	370	333	703	111	410	40	16	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	161	120	37	4	0	10	32	42	7	0	0	308	478	592	1.070	283	386	26	20	461	211	+20	+0	—	—	+5	2.5
2022	23	A	Salem Red Sox	—	254	192	55	18	1	14	54	70	6	1	1	286	456	609	1.066	323	373	28	21	456	207	+31	-0	—	—	+7	3.9
2022	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	60	46	11	3	0	2	13	24	1	0	0	239	417	435	851	196	450	40	22	387	155	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	187	148	31	8	0	8	35	62	2	0	0	209	368	426	793	216	287	33	19	355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	293	221	45	8	0	14	63	110	5	2	0	204	391	430	821	226	307	38	22	368	140	+13	+0	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	93	17	2	0	4	11	41	2	1	0	183	283	333	616	151	271	39	10	283	75	-3	+0	+0	-10	+3	-1.0
2024	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	383	307	81	22	0	19	62	130	10	0	1	264	404	521	925	257	383	34	16	404	167	+29	-0	—	—	+11	4.0
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	91	70	23	6	1	6	17	29	2	0	0	329	472	700	1.172	371	459	32	19	486	230	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2025	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	23	20	2	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	100	217	100	317		200	43	13	170	-12	-3	+0	-2	-10	+1	-1.4
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	527	434	102	16	3	28	75	163	14	1	1	235	365	479	844	244	300	31	14	372	143	+26	-0	—	—	+15	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	129	113	19	2	0	4	14	51	2	1	0	168	271	292	563	124	259	40	11	263	59	-6	+0	-1	-20	+4	-2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	7	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	28	0	220	342	411	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	24	2	234	338	423	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	784	28	3	190	299	361	-14	-1	-0.4	-0.3
	/162	664	24	2	190	299	361	-11.9	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Niko Kavadas (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	45	60	206/333/392	187	333	8	0	39%	14%	112	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Koshansky 2010 · MLB	28	38→46	53→60	45→40	40	201/266/371	170	292	21	5	38%	8%	76	+0.0	195/265/351	156	297	20	6	39%	7%	69	-0.4	178/254/329	151	266	22	4	40%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→47	59→60	46→30	41	210/283/415	205	278	28	5	35%	8%	95	+1.4	222/289/404	182	318	23	4	36%	7%	93	+1.3	218/288/401	183	314	23	1	36%	7%	89	+0.5
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	38→48	56→60	46→30	43	212/277/400	188	273	25	2	32%	8%	87	+0.8	199/261/351	152	290	19	5	37%	7%	68	-0.5	147/216/267	120	228	15	0	41%	7%	25	-1.8
✕Kyle Russell 2013 · AAA	27	39→45	52→60	47→45	40	204/272/374	170	300	20	7	38%	8%	79	+0.3	202/265/323	121	325	13	9	39%	7%	61	-1.0	160/219/247	87	287	10	7	45%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	37→47	52→60	44→40	39	198/263/359	161	276	20	4	35%	7%	71	-0.3	204/253/371	167	286	21	3	36%	5%	70	-0.3	189/236/350	161	265	21	0	37%	5%	54	-1.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2015 · AAA	27	33→41	54→65	44→45	43	190/265/371	181	249	23	4	34%	8%	76	+0.0	203/285/415	212	252	27	3	31%	9%	95	+1.4	190/284/417	228	228	31	1	32%	10%	92	+0.9
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	43	55→60	45→30	37	228/278/411	183	305	24	4	33%	5%	91	+1.1	189/265/326	137	333	16	7	44%	9%	63	-0.8	114/217/256	141	217	21	2	54%	11%	24	-1.3
✕J.J. Matijevic 2022 · AAA	26	41→42	55→60	51→50	40	214/276/403	189	310	24	9	38%	8%	88	+0.9	227/288/415	188	312	22	11	33%	7%	95	+1.4	223/286/412	189	301	22	12	32%	7%	91	+0.8
●Matt Davidson 2018 · MLB	27	38→44	55→60	42→30	37	210/262/385	175	286	24	2	35%	6%	77	+0.1	218/287/408	190	296	26	2	34%	7%	94	+1.3	221/293/427	206	292	29	0	34%	7%	99	+1.3
✕Jason Vosler 2021 · AAA	27	40→43	53→55	46→40	39	213/269/383	170	291	22	4	34%	6%	79	+0.3	222/288/399	177	271	22	5	27%	8%	92	+1.2	209/278/387	177	255	24	4	28%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	37→44	58→60	48→30	42	211/266/408	198	241	27	3	27%	6%	85	+0.7	218/287/373	155	267	19	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	211/291/346	135	257	18	2	25%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	37	52→65	43→45	39	199/260/367	167	280	21	5	36%	7%	72	-0.2	205/268/344	139	314	16	8	37%	7%	69	-0.4	173/241/320	147	270	19	6	42%	8%	51	-0.4
✕Josh Lester 2022 · AAA	28	37→41	57→60	46→40	38	208/257/406	197	273	26	4	34%	6%	81	+0.4	209/257/391	182	259	24	5	29%	6%	76	+0.1	201/249/376	174	242	23	3	28%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	43→47	53→55	49→50	46	220/297/398	178	292	20	8	31%	9%	95	+1.4	219/279/373	154	279	18	6	27%	8%	81	+0.4	212/274/358	146	266	17	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Gabe Matthews 2023 · AAA	25	37→45	51→55	47→40	41	194/276/354	160	285	19	5	37%	8%	76	+0.0	217/308/359	142	317	16	5	34%	9%	90	+1.0	215/322/348	133	314	15	2	33%	11%	90	+0.8
✕Peter O'Brien 2017 · MLB	27	33→43	55→65	45→30	32	192/231/370	178	266	24	3	38%	4%	60	-1.0	173/230/334	161	267	22	3	42%	6%	50	-1.7	154/220/314	160	233	23	1	44%	7%	39	-1.7
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	205/299/392	188	289	24	7	36%	10%	95	+1.4	214/315/412	198	318	25	8	38%	11%	107	+2.2	204/314/414	210	297	28	7	38%	12%	103	+1.4
✕Matt Clark 2014 · AAA	27	43→49	49→60	44→30	42	221/276/367	146	292	18	3	30%	7%	78	+0.2	231/284/412	181	280	26	3	27%	6%	93	+1.3	226/281/409	183	271	26	0	27%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	37→42	59→60	42→50	42	206/288/408	202	286	28	5	38%	8%	95	+1.4	224/293/434	210	305	29	7	35%	7%	103	+1.9	216/289/425	209	296	30	9	36%	8%	96	+1.1
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	39→40	56→55	45→40	41	217/270/408	192	260	25	5	28%	6%	86	+0.8	219/276/373	154	274	21	4	27%	7%	79	+0.3	209/272/336	127	265	18	1	28%	7%	65	-0.4