Niko Kavadas — OGILVIE

Niko Kavadas1B Salt Lake Bees

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 235 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .280 / .335

PA250

HR10

K%42

BB%12

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

60→60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$-6M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	2 teams	58	49	10	3	0	2	9	18	0	0	0	.204	.328	.388	.715	.184	.276	31	16	.316	100	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2022	23	A	4 teams	575	483	103	21	1	26	71	232	17	1	1	.213	.335	.422	.757	.209	.336	40	12	.331	112	+8	-0	+0	-10	+16	1.4
2023	24	AA	2 teams	480	400	64	11	0	18	67	214	7	2	0	.160	.291	.323	.614	.163	.264	45	14	.278	71	-16	+0	+0	-9	+14	-1.0
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	580	491	87	17	0	22	69	254	14	1	1	.177	.296	.346	.642	.169	.294	44	12	.290	80	-13	-0	+0	-10	+16	-0.7
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	550	476	77	11	2	20	56	223	14	1	1	.162	.269	.319	.589	.158	.241	41	10	.266	62	-24	-0	-2	-10	+16	-2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	72	59	13	6	0	2	11	22	2	0	0	.220	.361	.424	.785	.203	.314	31	15	.356	131	+2	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.3
ROS	27	MLB	LAA	178	150	27	6	0	7	22	71	4	1	0	.180	.301	.360	.661	.180	.264	40	12	.293	82	-4	+0	-2	-3	+5	-0.3
TOT	27	MLB	LAA	250	209	40	12	0	9	33	93	6	1	0	.191	.319	.378	.697	.187	.287	37	13	.311	96	-1	+0	-2	-4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	LAA	392	331	63	14	1	15	50	134	8	1	0	.190	.311	.375	.686	.184	.258	34	13	.308	94	-3	+0	-4	-7	+11	-0.3
2028	29	MLB 33%	LAA	390	330	63	14	1	14	49	131	8	0	0	.191	.310	.367	.677	.176	.260	34	13	.307	93	-3	+0	-5	-7	+11	-0.4
2029	30	MLB 43%	LAA	388	329	63	13	1	14	48	130	8	0	0	.191	.309	.365	.674	.173	.260	34	12	.305	92	-4	+0	-6	-7	+11	-0.5
2030	31	MLB 52%	LAA	373	317	61	13	1	13	46	125	7	0	0	.192	.308	.363	.671	.170	.259	34	12	.302	89	-5	+0	-6	-7	+11	-0.7
2031	32	MLB 64%	LAA	354	301	56	12	1	12	43	121	7	0	0	.186	.302	.352	.654	.166	.257	34	12	.297	85	-6	+0	-7	-6	+10	-0.9
2032	33	MLB 73%	LAA	324	276	51	11	1	11	39	113	6	0	0	.185	.299	.351	.651	.167	.255	35	12	.291	81	-7	+0	-7	-6	+9	-1.1
2033	34	MLB 91%	LAA	280	239	42	9	0	9	34	100	5	0	0	.176	.291	.326	.618	.151	.252	36	12	.284	76	-8	+0	-7	-5	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4922	4172	767	155	9	183	603	1866	105	7	3	.184	.302	.357	.659	.173	.271	38	12	.296	85	-83	+0	-45	-88	+139	-7.8
/ 162G	—			650	551	100	20	1	24	80	246	14	1	0	.181	.301	.352	.653	.171	.267	38	12	.296	85	-11	+0	-6	-12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	29	21	6	2	0	1	8	7	0	0	0	.286	.483	.524	1.007	.238	.385	24	28	.446	200	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	29	22	5	2	0	1	7	6	0	0	0	.227	.414	.455	.868	.227	.267	21	24	.391	157	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	100	81	18	3	0	2	16	40	3	0	0	.222	.370	.333	.703	.111	.410	40	16	.331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	161	120	37	4	0	10	32	42	7	0	0	.308	.478	.592	1.070	.283	.386	26	20	.461	211	+20	+0	—	—	+5	2.5
2022	23	A	Salem Red Sox	254	192	55	18	1	14	54	70	6	1	1	.286	.456	.609	1.066	.323	.373	28	21	.456	207	+31	-0	—	—	+7	3.9
2022	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	60	46	11	3	0	2	13	24	1	0	0	.239	.417	.435	.851	.196	.450	40	22	.387	155	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	187	148	31	8	0	8	35	62	2	0	0	.209	.368	.426	.793	.216	.287	33	19	.355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	293	221	45	8	0	14	63	110	5	2	0	.204	.391	.430	.821	.226	.307	38	22	.368	140	+13	+0	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	106	93	17	2	0	4	11	41	2	1	0	.183	.283	.333	.616	.151	.271	39	10	.283	75	-3	+0	+0	-10	+3	-1.0
2024	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	383	307	81	22	0	19	62	130	10	0	1	.264	.404	.521	.925	.257	.383	34	16	.404	167	+29	-0	—	—	+11	4.0
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	91	70	23	6	1	6	17	29	2	0	0	.329	.472	.700	1.172	.371	.459	32	19	.486	230	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2025	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	23	20	2	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	.100	.217	.100	.317	.000	.200	43	13	.170	-12	-3	+0	-2	-10	+1	-1.4
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	527	434	102	16	3	28	75	163	14	1	1	.235	.365	.479	.844	.244	.300	31	14	.372	143	+26	-0	—	—	+15	4.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			129	113	19	2	0	4	14	51	2	1	0	.168	.271	.292	.563	.124	.259	40	11	.263	59	-6	+0	-1	-20	+4	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Niko Kavadas (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	45	60	.167/.280/.335	.169	.257	10	1	42%	12%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Davidson 2018 · MLB	27	38→44	54→60	42→30	37	.206/.260/.376	.170	.282	23	2	36%	6%	74	-0.1	.218/.287/.409	.191	.297	26	2	34%	7%	94	+1.3	.214/.287/.413	.199	.285	28	0	34%	8%	94	+1.0
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	38→46	51→50	43→30	48	.196/.291/.355	.159	.286	20	3	37%	11%	82	+0.5	.203/.290/.349	.146	.301	17	5	35%	11%	79	+0.3	.184/.281/.333	.150	.264	17	3	35%	11%	69	-0.4
✕Kyle Jensen 2015 · AAA	27	36→46	53→60	44→40	39	.196/.262/.365	.168	.273	22	4	36%	7%	72	-0.2	.205/.255/.373	.168	.285	21	3	35%	5%	71	-0.3	.190/.237/.349	.159	.269	21	0	37%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Joe Koshansky 2010 · MLB	28	39→46	53→60	44→40	40	.206/.270/.375	.169	.295	21	5	37%	8%	78	+0.2	.198/.268/.356	.158	.300	21	6	39%	8%	72	-0.2	.183/.260/.333	.150	.274	21	4	39%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Cody Decker 2014 · AAA	27	36→39	57→65	40→30	40	.205/.266/.402	.197	.273	26	3	35%	7%	83	+0.6	.195/.257/.371	.176	.274	23	2	36%	7%	72	-0.2	.183/.255/.341	.158	.267	21	0	38%	8%	62	-0.3
✕Kyle Russell 2013 · AAA	27	40→44	53→60	47→45	39	.208/.274/.386	.178	.310	21	7	38%	8%	82	+0.5	.203/.267/.332	.129	.321	14	8	38%	8%	65	-0.7	.164/.226/.254	.090	.286	10	7	44%	7%	24	-1.1
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	38→48	55→60	46→30	44	.208/.276/.388	.181	.267	24	2	32%	8%	84	+0.6	.200/.266/.361	.161	.282	21	4	35%	7%	72	-0.2	.158/.231/.296	.138	.232	19	0	39%	7%	39	-1.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2015 · AAA	27	35→39	54→60	45	45	.196/.273/.377	.181	.253	22	5	32%	8%	80	+0.4	.202/.284/.408	.206	.248	27	3	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.188/.282/.411	.223	.223	31	1	32%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→47	58→60	45→30	40	.208/.278/.411	.204	.287	27	5	37%	7%	92	+1.2	.219/.287/.397	.178	.314	22	4	36%	7%	91	+1.1	.217/.288/.399	.182	.313	23	1	36%	8%	89	+0.5
●Ryan Noda 2022 · AA	26	38→48	55	49→50	45	.200/.295/.381	.181	.295	24	7	38%	10%	91	+1.1	.209/.317/.384	.175	.304	22	10	35%	12%	101	+1.8	.194/.319/.358	.164	.287	20	9	36%	13%	93	+1.1
●Matt Clark 2014 · AAA	27	44→45	50→60	42→30	43	.226/.282/.375	.149	.292	19	3	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.232/.287/.406	.174	.284	24	3	27%	6%	93	+1.3	.226/.284/.410	.184	.271	25	0	26%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Josh Lester 2022 · AAA	28	37→43	56→60	45→40	38	.206/.255/.395	.188	.270	25	4	34%	6%	77	+0.1	.211/.257/.394	.183	.262	24	5	29%	5%	77	+0.1	.203/.250/.375	.172	.245	23	3	28%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	39	54→65	44→45	39	.211/.271/.392	.182	.293	23	5	36%	7%	83	+0.6	.207/.269/.356	.149	.313	17	7	37%	7%	72	-0.2	.173/.240/.327	.153	.267	20	6	41%	8%	52	-0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2018 · AAA	26	41→43	53→60	47→50	37	.215/.262/.383	.168	.298	22	9	35%	6%	76	+0.0	.219/.277/.401	.182	.288	25	4	32%	7%	87	+0.8	.212/.281/.401	.189	.265	26	4	30%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Jason Vosler 2021 · AAA	27	40→44	53→55	46→40	39	.212/.270/.381	.168	.290	21	3	34%	7%	79	+0.3	.217/.283/.385	.168	.267	22	5	27%	8%	85	+0.7	.202/.271/.373	.171	.246	23	4	28%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Michael Johnson 2007 · AA	27	42→36	58→60	42→30	43	.226/.291/.430	.204	.295	26	3	32%	8%	101	+1.8	.214/.293/.389	.175	.306	21	4	35%	10%	91	+1.1	.192/.282/.371	.179	.275	22	0	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	42→44	54→55	45→30	36	.221/.271/.398	.177	.302	23	4	34%	5%	85	+0.7	.195/.268/.338	.143	.327	17	7	42%	9%	68	-0.5	.128/.227/.288	.160	.223	24	2	52%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Cody Thomas 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	57→60	48→45	37	.207/.260/.407	.200	.291	25	5	38%	6%	82	+0.5	.228/.279/.402	.174	.313	20	6	33%	6%	89	+0.9	.240/.291/.424	.184	.300	21	5	27%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Peter O'Brien 2017 · MLB	27	35→45	57→65	45→30	32	.200/.238/.390	.190	.270	26	3	37%	4%	69	-0.4	.176/.233/.341	.165	.269	23	3	42%	6%	54	-1.4	.155/.225/.320	.165	.233	25	1	44%	8%	43	-1.5
✕J.J. Matijevic 2022 · AAA	26	39→41	53→55	52→50	39	.204/.265/.374	.170	.305	21	9	39%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.279/.391	.174	.301	21	11	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.211/.275/.382	.171	.285	20	12	32%	7%	78	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)