Niko Kavadas — OGILVIE

Niko Kavadas1B Salt Lake Bees

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 235 lbs AAA K +5%HR +4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP303

ISO172

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4012.1%

xAVG

100.175

POWER60

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

7190.6

Bat Spd

3569.7

EYE60

Chase%

9021.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

2026.0

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M
2027	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	29	21	6	2	0	1	8	7	0	0	0	286	483	524	1.007	238	385	24	28	446	188	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	29	22	5	2	0	1	7	6	0	0	0	227	414	455	868	227	267	21	24	391	151	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	100	81	18	3	0	2	16	40	3	0	0	222	370	333	703	111	410	40	16	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	161	120	37	4	0	10	32	42	7	0	0	308	478	592	1.070	283	386	26	20	461	198	+19	+0	—	—	+3	2.3
2022	23	A	Salem Red Sox	—	254	192	55	18	1	14	54	70	6	1	1	286	456	609	1.066	323	373	28	21	456	195	+29	-0	—	—	+6	3.5
2022	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	60	46	11	3	0	2	13	24	1	0	0	239	417	435	851	196	450	40	22	387	148	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	187	148	31	8	0	8	35	62	2	0	0	209	368	426	793	216	287	33	19	355	126	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	293	221	45	8	0	14	63	110	5	2	0	204	391	430	821	226	307	38	22	368	135	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2024	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	93	17	2	0	4	11	41	2	1	0	183	283	333	616	151	271	39	10	283	78	-3	+0	+0	-10	+2	-1.0
2024	25	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	383	307	81	22	0	19	62	130	10	0	1	264	404	521	925	257	383	34	16	404	159	+27	-0	—	—	+8	3.6
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	91	70	23	6	1	6	17	29	2	0	0	329	472	700	1.172	371	459	32	19	486	215	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.5
2025	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	23	20	2	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	100	217	100	317		200	43	13	170	1	-3	+0	-2	-10	+0	-1.4
2025	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	527	434	102	16	3	28	75	163	14	1	1	235	365	479	844	244	300	31	14	372	138	+24	-0	—	—	+11	3.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	129	113	19	2	0	4	14	51	2	1	0	168	271	292	563	124	259	40	11	263	64	-6	+0	-1	-20	+3	-2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	29	24	6	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	250	379	458	838	208	339	34	17	344	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	29	25	4	1	0	1	4	9	0	0	0	160	276	320	596	160	202	31	14	271	70	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	100	87	15	2	0	1	10	49	3	0	0	172	280	230	510	57	377	49	10	250	55	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	161	132	34	3	0	9	20	53	7	0	0	258	384	485	868	227	331	33	12	370	137	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	23	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	254	211	44	13	1	13	35	107	6	1	1	209	337	464	802	256	316	42	14	338	115	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2023	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	187	159	25	5	0	6	24	73	2	0	0	157	276	302	578	145	230	39	13	263	64	-8	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	293	243	39	6	0	11	41	134	5	2	0	160	294	321	615	160	260	46	14	276	73	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	106	93	17	2	0	4	11	41	2	1	0	183	283	333	616	151	271	39	10	279	75	-3	+0	+0	-10	+2	-1.1
2024	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	383	322	57	13	0	15	47	173	10	0	1	177	301	357	658	180	297	45	12	292	84	-7	-0	—	—	+8	0.1
2025	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	23	20	2	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	100	217	100	317		200	43	13	168	0	-3	+0	-2	-10	+0	-1.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	527	455	74	11	2	20	54	215	14	1	1	163	272	327	599	165	235	41	10	268	68	-20	-0	—	—	+11	-0.9
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	58	48	9	3	0	2	10	18	0	0	0	188	328	375	703	188	250	31	17	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	58	43	11	4	0	2	15	13	0	0	0	256	448	488	937	233	321	22	26	419	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	575	481	103	21	1	25	73	234	17	1	1	214	338	418	756	204	345	41	13	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	4 teams	—	575	439	121	28	1	28	115	176	17	1	1	276	443	535	978	260	389	31	20	429	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	480	401	63	11	0	16	66	207	7	2	0	157	287	304	591	147	255	43	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	480	369	76	16	0	22	98	172	7	2	0	206	382	428	810	222	298	36	20	363	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	580	492	88	18	0	22	68	254	14	1	1	179	296	350	646	171	297	44	12	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	580	470	121	30	1	29	90	200	14	1	1	257	392	511	903	253	372	34	16	394	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	475	76	11	2	20	57	225	14	1	1	160	269	318	587	158	239	41	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	550	454	104	16	3	28	78	173	14	1	1	229	359	463	822	233	296	31	14	364	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	58	48	9	3	0	2	10	18	0	0	0	188	328	375	703	188	271	31	17	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	575	480	103	21	1	25	73	234	17	1	1	215	338	419	757	204	333	41	13	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	480	404	63	11	0	16	66	207	7	2	0	156	287	302	589	146	248	43	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	580	493	88	18	0	22	68	254	14	1	1	178	296	349	645	170	291	44	12	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	474	76	11	2	20	57	225	14	1	1	160	269	319	588	158	234	41	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	480	404	63	11	0	16	66	207	7	2	0	156	287	302	589	146	248	43	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	580	493	88	18	0	22	68	254	14	1	1	178	296	349	645	170	291	44	12	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	474	76	11	2	20	57	225	14	1	1	160	269	319	588	158	234	41	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	LAA	—	296	254	60	17	1	11	39	110	3	0	0	236	345	441	786	205	368	37	13	342	117	+6	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	ROK RAW	LAA	—	35	27	9	2	0	1	7	12	1	0	0	333	486	519	1.004	185	571	34	20	449	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA RAW	LAA	—	261	209	67	20	1	14	50	72	2	0	0	321	456	627	1.083	306	431	28	19	466	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AAA MLE	LAA	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		304	40	10	314	98	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	27	MLB CTX	LAA	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						303	0	0	302	98	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	LAA	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	302	117	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	LAA	—	306	263	61	17	1	11	40	114	3	0	0	232	340	430	770	198	362	37	13	341	117	+6	+0	-0	-5	+7	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAA	31%	580	497	100	22	1	22	69	215	9	1	0	201	310	382	692	181	298	37	12	311	97	-2	+0	-2	-10	+13	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAA	40%	569	488	100	22	1	21	67	206	9	1	0	205	312	383	695	178	295	36	12	310	96	-3	+0	-3	-10	+12	-0.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	LAA	45%	557	479	97	21	1	20	65	199	8	1	0	203	308	376	684	173	293	36	12	307	94	-4	+0	-4	-10	+12	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAA	31%	180	154	31	7	0	7	21	67	3	0	0	201	309	383	692	182	297	37	12	301	97	-1	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAA	40%	225	194	39	8	1	8	26	81	3	0	0	201	305	376	681	175	295	36	12	300	96	-1	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	LAA	45%	248	213	44	9	1	9	29	89	4	0	0	207	313	385	698	178	292	36	12	297	94	-2	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	783	675	133	26	2	28	90	288	12	1	0	197	302	366	668	169	290	37	11	293	88	-9	+0	-5	-32	+17	-2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	560	111	22	2	23	75	239	10	1	0	198	303	368	671	170	293	37	12	293	88	-8	+0	-4	-26	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3959	3370	637	129	6	148	476	1562	78	8	3	189	304	363	666	174	290	39	12	299	88	-14	+1	-10	-51	+40	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	553	104	21	1	24	78	256	13	1	0	188	303	360	663	172	288	39	12	299	88	-5	+0	-3	-18	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	2.7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	784	29	2	200	303	374	-14	-1	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	-1.3	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Niko Kavadas (OGILVIE)	27	40	60	45	60	198/309/384	185	304	9	1	39%	12%	98	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	37→47	56→60	46→30	44	208/276/391	183	267	25	2	32%	8%	86	+0.3	199/266/349	150	287	19	5	36%	7%	73	-0.6	151/223/270	119	229	15	0	40%	7%	37	-1.7
✕Joe Koshansky 2010 · MLB	28	38→46	53→55	45→40	40	201/267/372	170	292	21	5	38%	8%	78	-0.3	198/269/352	154	300	20	6	38%	8%	75	-0.5	183/259/331	148	272	21	4	39%	8%	66	-0.6
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	58→60	46→30	42	210/284/411	202	280	27	5	35%	8%	95	+0.9	218/288/390	172	316	21	4	36%	7%	91	+0.6	213/285/383	170	311	21	1	36%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	42→47	53→55	49→50	47	219/297/394	175	290	20	8	31%	9%	95	+0.9	220/283/371	151	277	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.1	215/279/360	145	265	16	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	38→44	57→60	42→50	42	208/289/402	194	286	27	5	36%	8%	94	+0.9	225/293/431	206	309	28	7	35%	7%	102	+1.5	214/288/415	200	301	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Cody Decker 2014 · AAA	27	37→39	56→65	40→30	40	206/267/395	189	273	24	2	34%	7%	84	+0.1	195/256/367	172	275	22	3	36%	7%	74	-0.6	182/253/337	156	264	21	0	38%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	206/301/391	185	287	23	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	216/317/413	197	321	25	8	37%	11%	107	+1.8	207/315/414	208	304	27	7	38%	12%	103	+1.1
✕Matt Davidson 2018 · MLB	27	38→44	54→60	42→30	37	209/261/381	172	286	23	2	36%	6%	78	-0.3	217/287/407	190	296	26	2	34%	7%	95	+0.9	216/288/412	197	287	27	0	34%	7%	94	+0.7
●Griffin Conine 2023 · AA	26	35→45	53→55	45→40	38	178/259/344	165	316	23	3	48%	9%	70	-0.9	213/284/369	156	339	19	3	40%	8%	84	+0.1	245/322/429	184	337	24	3	32%	9%	109	+1.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2015 · AAA	27	34→41	53→60	45	44	190/267/360	171	245	21	4	31%	8%	76	-0.4	203/285/409	206	250	26	3	30%	9%	95	+0.9	190/283/414	223	228	30	1	32%	10%	92	+0.6
●Ryan O'Hearn 2020 · MLB	27	40→50	54→60	44→45	47	214/285/396	182	265	22	2	28%	9%	91	+0.6	227/294/398	171	282	22	4	27%	8%	95	+0.9	270/346/440	169	306	21	3	18%	9%	119	+2.1
●Ryan Noda 2022 · AA	26	39→49	55	48→50	46	205/298/387	182	288	24	6	36%	10%	95	+0.9	210/320/385	175	305	21	10	35%	12%	102	+1.5	195/320/366	170	289	20	9	36%	13%	96	+0.9
✕Michael Johnson 2007 · AA	27	42→38	56→60	42→30	44	224/290/417	193	289	25	3	31%	8%	97	+1.1	216/294/378	162	306	19	4	33%	10%	90	+0.6	197/285/367	170	279	20	0	35%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Kennys Vargas 2018 · MLB	27	44→52	52→55	47→30	49	226/303/393	166	289	21	2	29%	10%	97	+1.1	219/284/372	153	289	19	4	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/264/341	141	262	19	0	31%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→50	43→40	41	214/272/372	157	286	21	5	32%	7%	80	-0.1	214/281/376	162	272	20	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	162/239/356	193	176	26	0	27%	8%	61	-0.3
✕Jeff Larish 2010 · MLB	27	45→44	50→55	40→45	49	228/305/384	155	292	18	5	27%	9%	95	+1.0	218/287/374	156	298	18	4	31%	8%	86	+0.3	202/272/357	155	278	18	2	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	42→43	54→55	45→30	38	223/275/398	175	299	22	4	33%	5%	87	+0.4	193/271/330	137	326	16	7	42%	9%	70	-0.8	132/233/279	147	220	21	2	48%	11%	42	-1.1
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB	26	36→45	54→60	48→30	42	203/258/378	175	235	23	3	26%	6%	77	-0.3	216/284/357	141	267	17	5	25%	8%	81	-0.1	211/287/331	120	260	15	2	24%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Peter O'Brien 2017 · MLB	27	34→44	55→60	45→30	32	196/235/377	181	270	24	3	37%	4%	68	-1.0	177/236/339	162	269	22	3	41%	7%	59	-1.6	156/225/315	159	233	23	1	43%	8%	49	-1.6
✕Kyle Russell 2013 · AAA	27	41→45	51→60	47→45	41	208/276/373	165	300	18	7	36%	8%	82	-0.0	206/271/327	121	317	12	9	36%	8%	69	-0.9	171/234/255	84	287	9	7	41%	7%	36	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps