Abis Prado — OGILVIE

Abis Prado P FCL Red Sox

Age 20 LHP 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%22.4%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	11	32	159	31	35	0	92%	2.6	13.3%	27.5%	-14.3%	0.0%	5.40	5.47	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	11	32	159	31	35	0	92%	2.6	13.3%	27.5%	-14.3%	0.0%	5.40	5.47	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	11	32	159	31	35	0	92%	2.6	19.5%	22.0%	-2.5%	0.0%	5.40	4.46	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	6	0	3	38	3	21	1	0%	0.6	7.9%	55.3%	-47.4%	2.6%	43.20	10.88	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	6	0	3	38	3	21	1	0%	0.6	7.9%	55.3%	-47.4%	2.6%	43.20	10.88	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	6	0	3	38	3	21	1	0%	0.6	7.9%	55.3%	-47.4%	2.6%	43.20	24.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	BOS	3	3	19	80	18	13	2	100%	6.3	22.4%	15.8%	6.7%	3.0%	5.22	5.22	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	4	4	20	84	19	12	2	100%	5.0	22.9%	13.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	2	2	10	42	10	6	1	100%	5.0	22.9%	13.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.88	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	6	1	100%	4.9	22.9%	13.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	203	122	20	100%	4.8	22.9%	13.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.98	4.50	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		18	11	35	197	24	65	1	61%	1.9	12.2%	32.9%	-20.6%	0.5%	9.00	6.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	63	200	1126	138	370	6	61%	1.9	12.2%	32.9%	-20.6%	0.5%	9.00	6.51	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Abis Prado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	22.4%	15.8%	3.0%	—	4.88	22.9%	9.2%	20	-0.34	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	86
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	78
Luichi Casilla L 2024 · 4.62 FIP	19	SP-	4.62	22.4%	20.2%	1.6%	.372	2.62	25.7%	16.1%	34	-2.00	2.62	133	75
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	74
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	73
Elier Morillo L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	17	SP-	4.12	18.1%	12.7%	1.7%	.418	4.31	28.7%	8.3%	89	+0.19	2.67	115	72
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	72
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	71
Fernando Sanchez L 2022 · 4.17 FIP	21	SP	4.17	24.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.318	3.93	17.7%	6.9%	213	-0.24	3.09	332	70
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	358	70
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	70
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	70
Jagger Haynes L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	20	SP	4.25	19.7%	13.0%	2.1%	.303	4.98	17.7%	3.9%	349	+0.73	4.25	374	69
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	20	SW	4.20	20.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.271	5.99	13.6%	-3.1%	71	+1.79	4.20	128	69
Reinold Navarro L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	17	SP	4.92	21.7%	22.6%	1.4%	.211	4.32	29.4%	5.7%	95	-0.60	3.55	119	69
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	68
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	68
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	68
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	68
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	68