Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 5 | 33 | 154 | 43 | 21 | 0 | 45% | 3.0 | 19.0% | 17.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 6.48 | 3.66 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 5 | 33 | 154 | 43 | 21 | 0 | 45% | 3.0 | 27.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.48 | 2.41 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 10 | 4 | 25 | 120 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 40% | 2.5 | 17.6% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.89 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 10 | 4 | 25 | 120 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 40% | 2.5 | 25.8% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 4.97 | 3.34 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 16 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.4% | 17.3% | 0.0% | 3.1% | 5.28 | 5.55 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 16 | 0 | 29 | 137 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 5.28 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 57 | 262 | 65 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 6.19 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 57 | 262 | 65 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 1.5% | 6.19 | 3.05 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 40 | 1 | 58 | 269 | 72 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 5.43 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 40 | 1 | 58 | 269 | 72 | 23 | 6 | 2% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 2.2% | 5.43 | 3.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 23 | 1 | 34 | 174 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 4% | 1.5 | 14.9% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 4.5% | 8.47 | 6.13 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 54 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 101 | 458 | 90 | 53 | 14 | — | — | 19.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 6.09 | 5.30 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 57 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.72 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 59 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.67 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 58 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.69 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 120 | 0 | 126 | 532 | 108 | 56 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.31 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 89 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 11 | 236 | 1116 | 200 | 150 | 27 | 8% | 1.7 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 6.13 | 4.65 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 9 | 200 | 944 | 169 | 127 | 23 | 8% | 1.7 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 6.13 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Restituyo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.69 | 20.3% | 9.7% | 203 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 92 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 90 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 88 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 87 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 87 |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 87 |
| Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 87 |
| Jose Molina L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 1.3% | .313 | 4.23 | 14.4% | 5.5% | 83 | +0.50 | 3.73 | 144 | 86 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 86 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.70 | 19.2% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .335 | 4.27 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 80 | +0.57 | 3.54 | 206 | 86 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 86 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 86 |
| Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 86 |
| Billy Strode L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .306 | 2.85 | 16.0% | 7.3% | 47 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 155 | 85 |
| Haylen Green L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.85 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .291 | 4.08 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.23 | 3.85 | 104 | 85 |
| Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.57 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | .361 | 4.55 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 40 | -0.02 | 3.01 | 201 | 85 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 85 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 85 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.82 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.77 | 17.5% | 9.1% | 61 | -0.05 | 3.77 | 200 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 1.12 | 4.76 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |