Steven Pérez — OGILVIE

Steven Pérez P Columbus Clippers

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 206 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%21.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD4550

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	8	4	18	82	18	11	1	50%	2.2	14.9%	16.8%	-1.8%	1.7%	2.04	4.90	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	8	4	18	82	18	11	1	50%	2.2	22.0%	13.4%	8.5%	1.2%	2.04	3.67	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	14	14	58	241	48	23	2	100%	4.1	13.5%	11.9%	1.6%	1.2%	2.97	4.11	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	14	14	58	241	48	23	2	100%	4.1	19.9%	9.5%	10.4%	0.8%	2.97	3.08	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	13	6	39	175	47	16	7	46%	3.0	18.3%	11.4%	6.8%	3.8%	6.52	5.07	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	13	6	39	175	47	16	7	46%	3.0	26.9%	9.1%	17.7%	4.0%	6.52	4.26	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	16	1	30	145	32	16	1	6%	1.9	15.0%	13.8%	1.2%	1.1%	5.04	4.16	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	16	1	30	145	32	16	1	6%	1.9	22.1%	11.0%	11.0%	0.7%	5.04	3.00	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	17	0	30	144	42	20	2	0%	1.8	19.8%	17.4%	2.5%	1.4%	3.56	4.42	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	17	0	30	144	42	20	2	0%	1.8	19.8%	17.4%	2.5%	1.4%	3.56	4.42	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	17	0	30	144	42	20	2	0%	1.8	29.2%	13.9%	15.3%	1.4%	3.56	3.17	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	56	225	70	26	7	0%	1.5	23.2%	13.5%	9.6%	4.6%	2.59	5.37	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	56	225	70	26	7	0%	1.5	23.2%	13.5%	9.6%	4.6%	2.59	5.37	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	56	225	70	26	7	0%	1.5	31.1%	11.6%	19.6%	3.1%	2.59	3.62	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	69	266	70	20	5	0%	1.8	21.0%	8.3%	12.6%	2.4%	1.83	3.71	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	69	266	70	20	5	0%	1.8	21.0%	8.3%	12.6%	2.4%	1.83	3.71	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	69	266	70	20	5	0%	1.8	26.3%	7.5%	18.8%	1.9%	1.83	2.88	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	45	0	54	240	60	33	7	0%	1.2	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	3.2%	5.13	4.68	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	45	0	54	240	60	33	7	0%	1.2	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	3.2%	5.13	4.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	CLE	45	0	54	240	60	33	7	0%	1.2	25.0%	13.8%	11.2%	2.9%	5.13	4.33	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CLE	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	60	265	65	36	8	—	—	24.7%	13.4%	11.2%	2.9%	5.08	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CLE	67	0	70	296	64	30	9	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.1%	11.7%	2.9%	4.54	4.53	+0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	291	64	29	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.0%	4.55	4.56	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	282	62	29	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.2%	11.6%	3.1%	4.59	4.63	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	61	0	64	270	58	28	9	0%	1.0	21.7%	10.4%	11.2%	3.2%	4.68	4.75	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	CLE	32	0	34	144	31	14	4	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.1%	11.7%	2.9%	4.54	4.53	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	44	0	46	194	43	20	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.0%	4.55	4.56	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	52	220	48	22	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.2%	11.6%	3.1%	4.59	4.63	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	50	0	53	224	48	23	7	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.4%	11.2%	3.2%	4.68	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		176	0	185	779	170	80	24	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	3.1%	4.60	4.25	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	87	26	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.2%	11.6%	3.1%	4.60	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		189	25	354	1518	285	190	39	13%	1.9	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	2.6%	3.59	4.50	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	14	200	858	161	107	22	13%	1.9	18.8%	12.5%	6.3%	2.6%	3.59	4.50	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Steven Pérez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	21.4%	10.2%	2.9%	—	4.57	21.9%	11.7%	206	-0.01	—	—	—
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	88
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	88
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	87
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	87
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	85
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	83
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	83
Bailey Horn L 2023 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	20.7%	10.3%	2.4%	.322	4.62	21.8%	11.1%	110	+0.65	3.96	265	83
Jerry Vasto L 2017 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	22.2%	10.2%	3.0%	.382	3.52	24.0%	12.5%	38	-0.64	2.89	206	83
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	26	SU	3.77	20.5%	6.9%	2.8%	.287	3.21	22.3%	9.6%	66	-0.56	2.81	159	82
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	82
Hunter Schryver L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	19.2%	11.2%	1.6%	.335	4.47	19.5%	6.0%	80	+0.71	3.58	206	82
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	82
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	82
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	82
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	82
Brian Clark L 2018 · 3.78 FIP	25	SU	3.78	19.6%	8.2%	2.4%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	248	81
Michael Johnson L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	18.2%	10.4%	3.3%	.352	4.72	17.4%	7.6%	129	+0.05	3.92	256	81
Mac Lardner L 2023 · 3.66 FIP	25	SU	3.66	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	186	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	21.7%	10.2%	1.18	4.59
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04