Jirvin Morillo

C ACL Reds

Age 20 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #476MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP46ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	139	.259/.381/.431	4	6	36	—	.146/.245/.228
2025	18	INTLSydney Blue S…	92	.288/.367/.425	1	0	121	—
2026	19	ACIN	94	.260/.394/.403	2	1	82	—	.220/.319/.341
2026	19	ROKCIN	235	.321/.453/.652	13	4	104	—	.216/.310/.436
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCIN	439	.226/.311/.365	10	6	92	1.0
2028PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCIN	186	.231/.317/.382	5	3	95	0.5
2029PROJ68% MLB	22	MLBCIN	318	.234/.320/.389	9	5	98	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 2.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$5M2034Arb-2$8M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%87

Max EV83

Chase%78

K%61

Speed38

Z-Con%19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 77%

CompsLeo Bernal (age 20) · Juan Brito (age 21) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .309 / .361

PA320

HR7

SB5

K%25

BB%10

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$60M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.6	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.6	$8M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$10M	+1.4	$6M	+$2M
Totals		$26M		$49M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	0	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	139	116	30	8	0	4	23	25	0	6	2	259	381	431	812	172	299	18	17	366	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	92	80	23	6	1	1	10	28	0	0	3	287	367	425	792	138	415	30	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	77	20	5	0	2	17	22	0	1	0	260	394	403	796	143	340	23	18	364	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	235	187	60	13	5	13	44	61	1	4	2	321	453	652	1.105	332	409	26	19	466	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	125	19	9	1	1	29	27	0	3	2	152	312	264	576	112	181	17	19	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	139	123	18	4	0	2	16	31	0	6	2	146	245	228	472	81	181	22	12	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	94	82	18	4	0	2	12	30	0	1	0	220	319	341	661	122	319	32	13	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	235	204	44	9	3	10	27	88	1	4	2	216	310	436	747	221	312	37	11	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	125	19	9	1	1	29	27	0	3	2	152	312	264	576	112	182	17	19	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	0	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	203	30	7	0	3	26	51	0	6	5	148	245	227	471	79	179	22	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	231	196	53	14	1	5	33	53	0	6	5	270	376	429	804	158	343	23	14	359	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	329	285	61	13	3	11	40	118	1	5	2	214	313	396	709	182	316	36	12	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	329	264	80	18	5	15	61	83	1	5	2	303	436	580	1.015	277	387	25	19	437	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	126	19	9	1	1	29	27	0	3	2	151	312	262	574	111	181	17	19	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	203	30	7	0	3	26	51	0	6	5	148	245	227	471	79	181	22	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	329	285	61	13	3	11	40	118	1	5	2	214	313	396	709	182	314	36	12	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	126	19	9	1	1	29	27	0	3	2	151	312	262	574	111	181	17	19	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	203	30	7	0	3	26	51	0	6	5	148	245	227	471	79	181	22	11	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	329	285	61	13	3	11	40	118	1	5	2	214	313	396	709	182	314	36	12	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	439	388	88	18	3	10	45	110	3	6	2	226	311	365	676	139	286	25	10	304	92	-4	+0	-4	+8	+10	1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	384	338	76	15	2	9	40	95	3	6	2	229	315	373	688	144	287	25	10	309	95	-2	+0	-3	+7	+8	1.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	68%	466	411	95	19	3	12	48	113	4	7	2	232	317	380	697	148	288	24	10	312	98	-1	+1	-3	+8	+10	1.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	76%	519	457	107	21	3	14	53	125	4	7	2	234	319	385	704	151	289	24	10	315	99	-0	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	78%	520	458	107	21	3	14	53	124	4	7	2	236	320	388	709	153	290	24	10	317	101	+0	+1	-2	+9	+11	2.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	520	458	108	21	3	14	53	124	4	7	2	236	321	390	711	154	290	24	10	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	520	458	108	21	3	14	53	124	4	7	2	236	320	390	710	154	289	24	10	317	101	+1	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	78%	520	458	107	21	3	14	53	124	4	6	2	235	319	387	707	152	289	24	10	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	77%	520	458	107	21	3	14	53	125	4	6	2	233	317	382	700	149	288	24	10	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	75%	520	459	106	21	3	13	52	127	4	5	2	231	315	376	690	145	286	24	10	310	96	-3	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	74%	520	459	105	21	3	13	52	129	4	4	3	227	311	368	678	140	284	25	10	305	92	-5	-0	-3	+9	+11	1.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	504	446	100	19	3	12	50	127	3	3	7	223	306	358	663	135	281	25	10	299	88	-7	-2	-4	+9	+11	0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	CIN	83%	489	435	94	18	2	11	48	125	3	4	8	218	300	345	644	127	277	26	10	291	83	-10	-2	-4	+9	+11	0.3
2040	33	MLB MLE	CIN	86%	452	403	85	16	2	9	44	118	2	2	31	211	292	329	621	118	272	26	10	282	77	-13	-12	-5	+8	+10	-1.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	186	164	37	7	1	5	19	46	1	3	1	231	317	382	699	150	288	25	10	313	95	-1	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	68%	318	279	66	13	2	9	33	77	3	5	1	234	320	389	708	154	289	24	10	317	98	-1	+1	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	76%	396	350	83	16	3	11	40	95	3	6	2	236	321	394	715	157	290	24	10	319	99	-0	+0	-2	+7	+9	1.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	78%	405	358	85	16	3	12	41	97	3	6	2	238	323	398	720	159	291	24	10	321	101	+0	+0	-2	+7	+9	1.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	409	362	87	17	3	12	41	97	3	6	2	239	323	400	723	161	291	24	10	322	101	+1	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	411	363	87	17	3	12	42	98	3	5	2	239	323	399	722	160	291	24	10	322	101	+0	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	78%	403	356	84	16	2	12	41	96	3	5	2	238	322	396	718	159	290	24	10	320	100	+0	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	77%	400	353	82	16	2	11	41	97	3	4	2	236	320	391	711	156	289	24	10	318	98	-1	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	75%	389	344	80	15	2	11	39	95	3	4	2	233	317	384	701	152	287	24	10	314	96	-2	+0	-2	+7	+8	1.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	74%	382	338	78	15	2	10	38	94	3	3	2	230	313	376	689	146	285	25	10	309	92	-3	-0	-2	+7	+8	0.9
2038	31	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	400	354	79	15	2	10	40	100	3	2	5	225	308	365	673	140	282	25	10	303	88	-6	-2	-3	+7	+9	0.6
2039	32	MLB CTX	CIN	83%	407	362	80	15	2	10	40	104	2	3	7	220	301	352	654	133	278	26	10	295	83	-8	-2	-4	+7	+9	0.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	CIN	86%	389	346	74	13	2	9	38	102	2	2	27	213	294	336	630	123	272	26	10	285	77	-11	-10	-4	+7	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4895	4329	1002	191	29	134	493	1198	35	54	57	231	315	382	697	150	287	24	10	312	92	-32	-12	-27	+87	+106	12.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	133	25	4	18	65	159	5	7	8	231	315	383	697	151	287	24	10	312	92	-4	-2	-4	+12	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7490	6593	1478	297	42	185	780	1856	50	90	77	224	311	366	677	142	281	25	10	305	92	-43	-12	-38	+121	+147	17.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	129	26	4	16	68	161	4	8	7	226	312	369	681	143	283	25	10	305	92	-4	-1	-4	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jim Sundberg'74-'89 * career totals — 16 seasons, 6,898 PA	10.4	6,898	95	20	245*	327*	371*	+123	+0	27.4	24.2
/162	664	9	2	+11.8	+0.0	2.6	pk7: 21
#2John Roseboro'57-'70 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,527 PA	8.3	5,527	104	67	247*	328*	393*	+97	-2	24.9	22.0
/162	664	12	8	+11.7	-0.2	3.0	pk7: 19
#3Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	9.3	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#4Charles Johnson'94-'05 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,385 PA	6.6	4,385	167	6	235*	316*	421*	+78	+0	21.1	19.6
/162	664	25	1	+11.8	+0.0	3.2	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.9	5,214	131	58	230	311	374	+93	-19	19.1	16.1
/162	664	17	7	+11.9	-2.5	2.4	pk7: 13
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jirvin Morillo (OGILVIE)	20	25→50	25→46	40	60	224/309/361	137	286	7	5	25%	10%	92	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	48→50	45→50	48→45	53	234/319/371	136	287	12	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	231/311/367	136	281	13	9	21%	10%	93	+0.8	225/308/360	135	270	13	9	21%	10%	89	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Edgar Quero 2024 · AA	21	50→58	45→50	43→40	53	239/334/366	127	305	12	5	24%	11%	102	+1.5	248/321/358	110	304	12	3	21%	8%	95	+0.9	248/318/344	96	299	11	1	20%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	53→56	46→50	46→55	55	258/340/385	126	301	13	14	18%	10%	108	+1.9	241/316/374	133	282	15	21	19%	9%	97	+1.1	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	47→57	43→45	37→40	45	231/292/342	111	292	10	3	24%	7%	80	-0.1	252/320/366	114	316	9	3	22%	7%	96	+1.0	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→55	48→50	43→45	42	231/293/376	145	306	15	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	241/311/374	133	318	15	6	27%	8%	95	+0.9	239/318/366	128	315	14	5	27%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→43	47→50	48→30	43	197/269/333	136	279	14	5	33%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/368	157	314	18	2	35%	11%	89	+0.5	200/293/350	150	295	17	1	35%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	46→50	45→50	48→50	47	228/296/358	131	289	11	11	25%	8%	86	+0.3	231/289/358	127	289	12	10	23%	7%	82	+0.0	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A	20	43	43→45	47→40	50	206/312/318	112	281	10	9	28%	10%	84	+0.1	220/283/339	119	285	13	4	26%	7%	76	-0.4	216/276/324	108	281	13	2	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	42→30	47	211/290/320	109	300	10	4	31%	9%	75	-0.5	219/283/344	125	297	13	3	29%	8%	77	-0.3	234/317/366	131	296	12	0	23%	10%	95	+0.4
●Carter Jensen 2024 · A	21	38→48	43→55	50	54	186/291/300	114	264	10	8	31%	13%	72	-0.7	223/305/385	162	297	18	9	29%	10%	95	+1.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6

Jirvin Morillo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps