Jose Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Jose RodriguezC DSL Arizona Black

Age 19 R/R 5'8" / 175 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 26 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .269 / .217

PA26

HR0

K%27

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO43

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$35M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	31	22	4	0	0	0	3	8	6	0	0	182	419	182	601		286	26	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	31	21	5	0	0	0	4	6	6	0	0	238	484	238	722		333	19	13	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	79	66	9	2	0	2	9	26	3	1	0	136	269	258	527	121	179	33	11	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	79	61	12	3	0	3	14	18	3	1	0	197	372	393	765	197	220	23	18	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	47	38	6	1	0	0	4	12	5	1	0	158	319	184	503	26	231	26	9	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
YTD	19	ROK	ARI	—	47	35	7	1	0	0	7	8	5	1	0	200	404	229	633	29	259	17	15	325	107	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	19	ROK	ARI	0%	26	23	4	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	174	269	217	487	43	274	27	8	268	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	243	44	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	ARI	—	47	39	6	1	0	0	4	12	5	1	0	154	319	179	499	26	222	26	9	232	36	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK	ARI	—	73	61	10	2	0	0	6	19	6	1	0	164	301	197	498	33	238	26	8	245	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	ARI	25%	164	144	30	5	1	2	14	44	5	3	1	208	301	299	599	90	276	27	9	276	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB	ARI	38%	304	267	57	10	2	5	25	80	9	6	2	213	302	322	624	109	278	26	8	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2029	22	MLB	ARI	45%	408	359	76	13	2	7	34	106	12	8	2	212	301	318	619	106	280	26	8	287	78	-10	+1	+1	+7	+12	1.0
2030	23	MLB	ARI	49%	477	420	90	15	2	9	40	123	14	10	3	214	304	324	628	110	281	26	8	289	80	-11	+1	+1	+9	+14	1.3
2031	24	MLB	ARI	50%	520	456	99	17	3	9	44	134	15	11	3	217	307	327	634	110	282	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.5
2032	25	MLB	ARI	51%	520	455	100	17	3	10	44	134	16	11	3	220	311	336	647	116	282	26	8	291	81	-11	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.5
2033	26	MLB	ARI	51%	520	455	100	17	3	10	44	134	16	11	3	220	311	336	647	116	282	26	8	292	81	-11	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.5
2034	27	MLB	ARI	50%	520	454	100	17	3	10	45	134	16	11	3	220	313	337	650	117	282	26	9	292	81	-11	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.5
2035	28	MLB	ARI	50%	520	454	99	17	3	10	45	135	16	11	3	218	311	335	645	117	281	26	9	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2036	29	MLB	ARI	53%	520	454	96	16	2	9	46	136	15	11	3	211	305	315	620	104	280	26	9	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2037	30	MLB	ARI	56%	520	454	96	16	2	9	46	137	15	10	3	211	305	315	620	104	279	26	9	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2038	31	MLB	ARI	58%	504	440	91	15	2	8	44	134	15	10	3	207	301	305	605	98	276	27	9	282	74	-15	+1	-2	+9	+14	0.7
2039	32	MLB	ARI	60%	488	428	87	14	2	8	43	132	14	9	3	203	297	301	598	98	273	27	9	276	70	-17	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.4
2040	33	MLB	ARI	61%	446	391	77	12	2	6	39	123	13	8	2	197	291	284	575	87	269	28	9	270	65	-18	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.0
2027	20	MLB	ARI	25%	41	37	7	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	278	27	7	254	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	ARI	38%	116	101	22	4	1	2	10	31	4	2	1	218	313	337	650	119	281	27	9	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB	ARI	45%	185	161	35	6	1	3	16	48	6	4	1	217	311	323	634	106	282	26	9	266	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB	ARI	49%	235	206	45	8	1	4	20	61	7	5	1	218	309	325	634	107	283	26	9	270	64	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	24	MLB	ARI	50%	262	230	50	9	1	5	22	67	8	6	2	217	308	330	638	113	284	26	8	271	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB	ARI	51%	265	232	51	9	1	5	23	68	8	6	2	220	312	332	644	112	284	26	9	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2033	26	MLB	ARI	51%	266	233	51	9	1	5	23	68	8	6	2	219	311	330	641	112	284	26	9	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	27	MLB	ARI	50%	262	229	50	9	1	5	23	68	8	6	2	218	312	332	643	114	284	26	9	272	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB	ARI	50%	260	227	49	8	1	5	23	67	8	6	2	216	310	326	636	110	283	26	9	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB	ARI	53%	277	243	52	9	1	5	24	72	8	6	2	214	305	321	626	107	282	26	9	269	64	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2037	30	MLB	ARI	56%	291	254	54	9	1	5	26	77	9	6	2	213	308	315	623	102	281	26	9	266	62	-13	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2038	31	MLB	ARI	58%	292	255	53	9	1	5	26	78	9	6	2	208	303	310	613	102	279	27	9	262	59	-14	+0	-1	+5	+8	-0.1
2039	32	MLB	ARI	60%	291	255	53	9	1	5	25	79	9	5	2	208	301	310	611	102	275	27	9	257	55	-15	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.3
2040	33	MLB	ARI	61%	271	237	48	8	1	4	24	75	8	5	1	203	297	295	593	93	271	28	9	251	50	-15	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3314	2901	620	107	13	59	288	870	101	70	22	214	307	321	627	107	283	26	9	266	62	-143	+5	-4	+59	+94	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	122	21	3	12	56	171	20	14	4	214	307	325	632	111	283	26	9	266	62	-28	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6567	5742	1215	204	32	114	567	1727	201	131	37	212	305	318	622	106	280	26	9	285	76	-175	+11	-6	+117	+186	13.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	120	20	3	11	56	171	20	13	4	211	304	315	619	104	279	26	9	285	76	-17	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	31	21	5	0	0	0	4	6	6	0	0	238	484	238	722		333	19	13	378	148	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	79	61	12	3	0	3	14	18	3	1	0	197	372	393	765	197	220	23	18	348	125	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,388	58	69	213	302	319	+60	+64	6.7	5.7
	/162	664	11	14	213	302	319	+11.9	+12.5	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	25→35	50→55	—	164/301/197	33	238	0	1	26%	8%	46	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/297	93	263	9	6	25%	10%	70	-0.3	188/285/268	80	281	7	4	32%	11%	57	-1.2	161/265/226	65	247	6	2	33%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2018 · A	19	48	40	49→45	45	232/284/331	99	286	7	5	21%	6%	71	-0.3	212/263/280	68	261	4	4	19%	6%	48	-1.9	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Jose Ovalles 2013 · A	19	40	42→45	45→40	47	199/278/308	110	248	9	5	23%	7%	64	-0.8	215/277/321	106	257	9	5	19%	6%	66	-0.6	219/276/329	110	242	9	3	14%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	68	-0.5	179/233/250	71	283	5	4	36%	5%	28	-3.2	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Rodney Daal 2013 · A	19	44	40→45	49→45	44	210/276/313	103	289	6	7	28%	7%	63	-0.8	212/259/330	118	281	13	7	28%	5%	60	-1.0	203/242/321	118	256	15	7	27%	4%	47	-1.0
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	47→45	47	211/285/309	98	278	8	6	26%	8%	66	-0.6	203/274/278	75	282	5	4	27%	7%	53	-1.5	184/261/241	57	257	3	0	27%	7%	40	-0.7
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→46	42→50	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	75	-0.0	215/276/339	124	320	12	16	34%	7%	70	-0.3	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Alexis Wilson 2016 · A	19	41	43→40	52→30	44	204/267/323	119	251	10	4	22%	6%	62	-0.9	192/260/272	80	256	5	3	25%	7%	46	-2.0	194/254/263	70	243	6	1	22%	6%	39	-0.7
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Josue Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	45	40→45	48→50	46	209/288/303	93	304	6	7	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/295/296	102	266	8	10	27%	10%	69	-0.4	157/269/261	104	213	10	12	29%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1