Jose Rodriguez

C DSL Arizona Black
Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 175 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#982ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Arizona B…31.238/.484/.2380071—.182/.419/.182
202518ROKDSL Arizona B…79.197/.372/.3933134—.108/.256/.185
202619ROKDSL Arizona B…75.179/.378/.2501228—.133/.297/.200
2027PROJMLE20MLBARI185.203/.292/.28123660.0
2028PROJ25% MLB21MLBARI24.212/.301/.30400700.0
2029PROJ38% MLB22MLBARI71.216/.304/.31411740.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%70
Whiff%68
K%64
BB%54
Z-Con%51
Speed34
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsRobert Gonzalez (age 20) · Christian Cerda (age 20) · Jesus Hernandez (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .289 / .279
PA43
HR0
K%27
BB%8
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.60.70.70.60.50.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.7$2M+$1M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$0.9M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.5$1M+$0.2M
2037Arb-2$3M+0.4$0.7M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $5M $6M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 3121 5000 466 00 238484238722 333 1913 378 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 7961 12303 14183 10 197372393765 197220 2318 348 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Arizona Black — 7556 10101 12146 20 179378250628 71214 1916 312 28 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 3122 4000 376 00 182419182601 228 2310 273 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7965 7201 10223 10 108256185441 77136 2813 219 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7560 8101 8176 20 133297200497 67137 2311 210 28 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 3122 4000 376 00 182419182601 267 2310 273 71 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black — 3121 5000 466 00 238484238722 333 1913 378 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7965 7201 10223 10 108256185441 77140 2813 219 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black — 7961 12303 14183 10 197372393765 197220 2318 348 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7560 8101 8176 20 133297200497 67163 2311 210 28 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Arizona Black — 7556 10101 12146 20 179378250628 71214 1916 312 28 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 3122 4000 376 00 182419182601 228 2310 273 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7966 7201 10223 10 106256182438 76136 2813 219 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7561 8101 8176 20 131297197494 66137 2311 210 28 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 3122 4000 376 00 182419182601 228 2310 273 71 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7966 7201 10223 10 106256182438 76136 2813 219 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Arizona Black — 7561 8101 8176 20 131297197494 66137 2311 210 28 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEARI 0% 185162 33512 16505 31 203292281573 79277 279 266 66 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEARI 25% 9887 18311 8263 21 207296293589 86279 278 272 70 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202922 MLB MLEARI 38% 186163 35613 16495 41 210298303602 93281 269 277 74 -6 +0 +1 +3 +4 0.3
203023 MLB MLEARI 45% 281248 53924 24737 62 213301312613 99282 269 281 77 -8 +0 +2 +5 +6 0.6
203124 MLB MLEARI 48% 362319 691126 31949 83 216303319622 103283 269 285 79 -9 +0 +3 +6 +8 0.9
203225 MLB MLEARI 50% 407359 781327 3510510 93 218304325629 107284 269 287 81 -9 +1 +5 +7 +9 1.2
203326 MLB MLEARI 50% 434384 831427 3711110 93 218304325629 108284 269 287 81 -10 +1 +5 +8 +9 1.3
203427 MLB MLEARI 54% 445393 851428 3811511 93 216303322625 106283 269 286 80 -11 +1 +5 +8 +10 1.3
203528 MLB MLEARI 57% 445394 841427 3811610 93 215301318618 103282 269 283 78 -12 +1 +5 +8 +10 1.1
203629 MLB MLEARI 59% 439389 831427 3711610 84 212298311609 99280 268 279 75 -13 +0 +4 +8 +10 0.8
203730 MLB MLEARI 60% 428379 791326 3611410 74 209294303597 94278 278 275 72 -14 -0 +3 +8 +9 0.6
202821 MLB CTXARI 25% 2421 4100 261 00 212301304605 92288 258 279 70 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXARI 38% 7163 14211 6192 10 216304314617 98290 278 283 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXARI 45% 128113 25412 11333 31 219306322628 103291 269 287 77 -4 +0 +1 +2 +3 0.3
203124 MLB CTXARI 48% 174153 34613 15454 41 222308330637 108293 269 291 79 -4 +0 +2 +3 +4 0.5
203225 MLB CTXARI 50% 202178 39713 17525 41 224309335644 112293 268 293 81 -5 +0 +2 +4 +4 0.6
203326 MLB CTXARI 50% 219193 44824 19565 52 223309335644 112293 269 293 81 -5 +0 +3 +4 +5 0.7
203427 MLB CTXARI 54% 242213 48924 21626 52 222308332640 110292 269 292 80 -6 +0 +3 +4 +5 0.7
203528 MLB CTXARI 57% 255225 50924 22666 52 220306327633 107291 269 289 78 -7 +0 +3 +5 +6 0.6
203629 MLB CTXARI 59% 259229 50924 22686 52 218303321624 103289 268 285 75 -8 +0 +2 +5 +6 0.5
203730 MLB CTXARI 60% 258228 50924 22696 52 214299313612 98287 279 280 72 -9 +0 +2 +5 +6 0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18321616 358641429 15747644 3713 222308332640 111294 269 288 75 -50 +2 +18 +33 +40 4.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 12723510 5616916 135 222309332640 110295 269 288 75 -18 +1 +6 +12 +14 1.5
Career— MLE — 37533300 6931151858 325977101 7527 210300308609 98278 269 279 75 -97 +4 +33 +64 +77 8.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 12020310 5616917 135 210299308607 98278 269 279 75 -18 +1 +6 +12 +14 1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 75 PAwOBA .309 → .210 (−99)K% 18.7% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.67%÷1.000×1.220——22.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.00%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99511.14%
HBP% /PA8.00%—×0.700—×0.9955.57%
Singles /BIP19.05%÷1.000×0.680×0.970×0.99512.51%
Doubles /BIP2.38%÷1.000×0.600×0.970×0.9951.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×0.970×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9951.11%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .309 → .210; ISO .071 → .038; BABIP .214 → .137. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 79 PAwOBA .344 → .219 (−126)K% 22.8% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.78%÷0.991×1.220——28.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.72%÷0.984×0.700—×1.00812.70%
HBP% /PA3.80%—×0.700—×1.0082.68%
Singles /BIP13.95%÷0.988×0.680×0.963×1.0089.32%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷0.965×0.600×0.963×1.0084.21%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.959×0.600×0.963×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP6.98%÷1.141×0.470—×1.0082.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 92, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .344 → .219; ISO .197 → .094; BABIP .220 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 31 PAwOBA .371 → .273 (−97)K% 19.4% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.35%÷1.009×1.220——23.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.90%÷0.957×0.700—×1.0229.65%
HBP% /PA19.35%—×0.700—×1.02213.85%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.015×0.680—×1.02222.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.966×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.899×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .371 → .273; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).