Leonel Espinoza — OGILVIE

Leonel EspinozaSS South Bend Cubs

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .222 / .231

PA27

HR0

K%30

BB%4

BABIP277

ISO38

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	173	39	5	1	8	21	43	9	11	3	225	340	405	745	179	252	21	10	336	114	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	47	6	1	0	0	2	15	2	2	1	128	196	149	345	21	188	29	4	167	-1	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	148	129	47	9	2	2	15	26	4	11	5	364	446	512	958	147	446	18	10	427	175	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	257	215	56	11	5	5	30	60	11	10	4	260	379	428	807	167	340	23	12	363	132	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	27	22	6	0	1	0	4	5	1	0	0	273	407	364	771	91	353	19	15	358	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	89	82	20	1	0	0	6	12	0	10	0	244	295	256	552	12	282	13	7	255	58	-4	+2	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	408	370	100	15	2	6	31	90	4	21	8	270	333	370	704	100	339	22	8	317	100	+0	+1	—	—	+9	1.0
2025	22	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	20	19	6	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	316	350	368	718	53	429	25	5	325	106	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	181	27	3	1	4	13	62	9	11	3	149	241	243	484	94	185	30	6	208	27	-18	+1	—	—	+4	-1.3
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	48	5	1	0	0	1	21	2	2	1	104	157	125	282	21	167	40	2	125	-29	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	148	135	34	6	1	1	9	37	4	11	5	252	318	333	651	81	350	25	6	300	89	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	257	226	45	8	3	5	19	87	11	10	4	199	293	327	620	128	292	34	7	270	69	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	27	23	5	0	1	0	3	7	1	0	0	217	333	304	638	87	267	26	11	244	51	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	89	84	17	1	0	0	4	15	0	10	0	202	239	214	453	12	242	17	4	206	26	-8	+2	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	408	384	82	11	1	5	17	134	4	21	8	214	254	286	541	73	308	33	4	243	51	-24	+1	—	—	+9	-1.4
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	181	27	3	1	4	13	62	9	11	3	149	241	243	484	94	198	30	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	173	39	5	1	8	21	43	9	11	3	225	340	405	745	179	252	21	10	336	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	182	39	7	1	1	11	59	6	13	6	214	281	280	562	66	311	30	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	200	176	53	10	2	2	17	41	6	13	6	301	382	415	797	114	383	20	8	359	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	250	50	8	4	5	21	94	12	10	4	200	293	324	617	124	298	33	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	284	237	62	11	6	5	34	65	12	10	4	262	382	422	804	160	341	23	12	363	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	487	104	13	1	6	22	155	4	33	10	214	253	281	535	68	297	30	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	517	471	126	17	2	6	38	107	4	33	10	268	327	350	678	83	331	21	7	306	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	180	27	3	1	4	13	62	9	11	3	150	241	244	486	94	185	30	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	181	39	7	1	1	11	59	6	13	6	215	281	282	563	66	302	30	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	249	50	8	4	5	21	94	12	10	4	201	293	325	619	124	290	33	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	486	104	13	1	6	22	155	4	33	10	214	253	282	535	68	296	30	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	181	39	7	1	1	11	59	6	13	6	215	281	282	563	66	302	30	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	249	50	8	4	5	21	94	12	10	4	201	293	325	619	124	290	33	7	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	486	104	13	1	6	22	155	4	33	10	214	253	282	535	68	296	30	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	CHC	—	207	189	35	8	2	2	12	65	4	10	1	185	249	280	529	95	268	31	6	231	42	-14	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	CHC	—	207	184	41	10	2	3	17	48	4	10	1	223	302	348	650	125	284	23	8	293	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	CHC	0%	27	26	5	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	192	222	231	453	38	275	30	4	245	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	CHC	—	234	215	40	9	2	2	13	73	4	11	1	186	246	274	520	88	270	31	6	233	44	-16	+2	+0	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	500	460	94	17	3	8	29	143	7	14	3	204	262	307	569	102	274	29	6	257	60	-24	+2	+0	+5	+11	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	528	483	101	18	3	10	32	147	8	14	3	209	270	321	591	112	276	28	6	265	66	-21	+2	+0	+6	+11	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	544	497	105	19	3	11	34	150	8	14	3	211	273	328	601	117	277	28	6	270	69	-20	+2	+0	+6	+12	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	549	500	106	19	3	11	36	151	8	14	3	212	276	328	604	116	277	28	7	271	70	-20	+2	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	548	499	106	19	3	11	36	152	8	13	3	212	276	329	605	116	277	28	7	271	69	-20	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	540	491	102	18	3	10	36	151	8	12	2	208	273	318	591	110	276	28	7	269	68	-21	+2	-1	+6	+12	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	531	483	101	18	3	10	35	149	8	11	2	209	274	321	595	112	275	28	7	266	66	-21	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	152	140	28	5	1	2	9	43	2	4	1	200	258	293	551	93	277	28	6	247	60	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	234	215	45	8	2	4	14	65	3	6	1	209	267	321	588	112	278	28	6	255	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	276	253	54	10	2	5	17	76	4	7	1	213	274	328	602	115	279	28	6	260	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	288	263	56	10	2	6	19	79	4	7	2	213	276	335	611	122	279	27	7	261	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	292	267	57	10	2	6	19	81	4	7	1	213	276	333	609	120	279	28	7	260	69	-11	+1	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	284	259	55	10	2	5	19	79	4	6	1	212	277	324	601	112	278	28	7	259	68	-11	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	277	253	53	9	2	5	18	78	4	6	1	209	273	320	593	111	277	28	6	256	66	-11	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1803	1650	348	62	13	33	115	501	25	43	8	211	273	324	597	113	280	28	6	258	63	-70	+5	-2	+19	+39	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	126	22	5	12	41	181	9	16	3	212	273	326	599	114	281	28	6	258	63	-25	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4972	4539	940	160	28	87	306	1421	86	160	42	207	270	312	582	105	279	29	6	261	63	-149	+11	-4	+40	+82	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	123	21	4	11	40	186	11	21	5	207	270	312	582	105	281	29	6	261	63	-26	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.7	1,803	34	44	210	270	323	+19	+9	0.4	0.4
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+3.3	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leonel Espinoza (OGILVIE)	23	45	30	55	30	196/252/282	86	275	4	11	30%	5%	52	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnni Turbo 2012 · A	23	45→52	38→40	55	35	214/252/292	78	311	4	16	32%	4%	53	-2.1	239/271/326	87	299	6	17	21%	3%	68	-1.0	254/283/341	87	306	5	19	18%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Andrew Sohn 2016 · A	23	45	38→30	52→55	40	214/265/290	76	279	6	18	25%	4%	57	-1.8	204/275/283	79	280	7	15	27%	7%	61	-1.5	172/263/224	53	239	5	18	28%	9%	41	-1.4
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→30	52→45	43	203/264/285	81	271	6	9	26%	6%	56	-1.9	233/294/295	62	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/291/282	54	298	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Francisco Martinez 2014 · AA	23	47→52	37→40	52→55	39	225/266/296	72	306	4	18	27%	5%	59	-1.7	215/246/297	82	293	6	18	28%	4%	51	-2.2	210/235/293	83	282	6	20	27%	3%	43	-2.1
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2018 · A	23	43→49	38→45	52→60	39	203/281/282	80	296	5	18	31%	6%	63	-1.3	189/271/265	76	299	5	23	36%	7%	56	-1.9	198/283/305	107	280	11	28	31%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	42→52	36→30	55→45	42	200/265/269	69	274	3	14	27%	6%	53	-2.1	218/258/271	53	281	3	10	22%	4%	50	-2.3	231/270/286	54	292	2	9	21%	4%	55	-1.2
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	211/278/271	60	288	4	14	27%	7%	59	-1.7	230/280/302	72	291	4	18	21%	6%	65	-1.2	243/288/302	60	299	2	27	18%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Delvin Pérez 2022 · AA	23	46→47	36→30	53→55	37	220/263/283	63	309	4	20	29%	4%	55	-2.0	207/267/291	84	305	8	25	32%	7%	59	-1.7	192/257/259	67	277	6	29	31%	7%	45	-1.5
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2011 · A	23	46→49	39→40	51→50	41	222/267/313	91	290	6	12	25%	5%	63	-1.4	206/261/295	89	264	7	8	24%	6%	57	-1.8	224/284/314	90	283	6	3	22%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Cody Koback 2013 · A	23	48	38→30	51→50	35	225/274/300	76	322	6	14	31%	4%	63	-1.3	221/272/285	64	294	3	12	24%	5%	59	-1.7	219/272/262	43	285	0	12	22%	5%	51	-1.8
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	39→40	56→55	41	197/260/280	82	277	7	21	30%	6%	54	-2.0	220/275/311	91	288	6	17	25%	6%	66	-1.1	228/284/322	94	293	6	16	23%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	48	37→30	52→65	43	220/289/294	74	319	4	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	230/314/295	65	316	3	29	25%	9%	78	-0.3	249/326/297	48	311	1	47	18%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2017 · A	23	45→48	39→40	49→50	42	217/271/307	90	291	6	14	27%	6%	64	-1.3	204/253/292	88	285	7	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	173/229/259	86	259	7	6	34%	6%	35	-1.7
✕Armand Gaerlan 2006 · A	23	46	38→30	54→55	44	218/278/299	81	295	5	16	27%	7%	64	-1.3	204/257/316	112	265	10	11	26%	6%	61	-1.5	125/167/273	148	136	14	3	22%	4%	16	-0.8
✕Najee Gaskins 2022 · A	24	45	39→30	51→50	36	211/263/299	87	319	7	12	34%	5%	59	-1.7	213/283/291	78	360	5	9	39%	6%	65	-1.2	208/292/266	59	376	2	10	40%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	61	-1.5	186/266/262	76	308	6	22	38%	9%	53	-2.1	145/240/204	59	242	5	33	39%	9%	30	-1.1
✕Trey Lipscomb 2023 · A	23	49→47	40→45	57→50	38	235/270/328	94	320	7	21	28%	4%	68	-1.0	227/266/325	98	288	9	14	24%	5%	65	-1.2	224/266/340	117	283	13	16	25%	5%	66	-0.9
✕Kurt Mertins 2009 · A	23	48→55	37→40	56→55	41	224/277/303	79	302	4	20	26%	6%	65	-1.2	231/277/311	80	305	4	11	24%	5%	66	-1.1	231/277/307	76	302	3	9	23%	5%	63	-1.0
✕Errol Robinson 2018 · AA	23	47→49	40	55	42	226/273/321	95	303	7	19	27%	6%	68	-1.0	219/268/302	83	297	8	15	27%	6%	61	-1.5	205/278/253	49	316	3	26	33%	9%	52	-0.7
✕Maikis De La Cruz 2014 · A	23	46→49	38→40	53→50	42	218/271/304	86	296	4	14	27%	6%	63	-1.4	213/254/290	77	294	5	10	28%	5%	53	-2.1	205/243/271	66	279	4	9	27%	5%	42	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps