Manuel Beltre — OGILVIE

Manuel BeltreSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION213 act + 142 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .241 / .262

PA142

HR2

K%27

BB%6

BABIP231

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	238	200	31	7	2	1	24	49	10	10	4	155	278	225	503	70	195	21	10	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	238	182	41	10	3	2	42	33	10	10	4	225	397	346	744	121	258	14	18	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	228	201	39	7	1	2	15	62	10	9	4	194	283	269	552	75	266	27	7	242	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	228	192	48	9	1	2	23	44	10	9	4	250	358	339	697	89	311	19	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	431	385	71	18	0	3	32	114	11	12	2	184	266	255	521	70	251	26	7	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	431	368	85	22	0	6	48	83	11	12	2	231	336	340	676	109	280	19	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	446	395	81	14	1	4	34	109	15	23	5	205	293	276	569	71	271	24	8	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	446	386	91	16	2	5	43	83	15	23	5	236	336	326	662	91	287	19	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	506	457	85	19	1	3	37	135	5	27	8	186	255	252	506	66	252	27	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	506	448	108	22	1	7	46	87	5	27	8	241	319	342	660	100	280	17	9	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	TOR	—	213	197	38	9	0	5	8	66	4	6	2	193	239	315	554	122	254	31	4	233	37	-15	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
YTD	22	A+	TOR	—	213	192	47	12	0	6	13	47	4	6	2	245	306	401	707	156	287	22	6	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.8
ROS	22	A+	TOR	0%	142	130	23	5	0	2	8	38	3	4	1	177	241	262	503	85	239	27	6	237	39	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
ROS	22	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						240	0	0	224	29	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	TOR	—	214	198	38	9	0	5	8	66	4	6	2	192	238	313	551	121	252	31	4	233	36	-15	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
TOT	22	A+	TOR	—	355	327	61	14	0	7	16	104	7	10	3	187	240	294	534	107	244	29	5	235	38	-25	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TOR	35%	486	444	84	18	1	8	31	125	8	11	3	189	255	288	543	99	243	26	6	250	49	-28	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	527	478	94	20	1	10	35	133	9	12	3	197	264	305	570	109	248	25	7	260	57	-26	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	550	498	101	21	1	12	38	137	9	13	4	203	272	321	593	118	250	25	7	265	61	-24	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	562	509	102	21	1	12	39	139	9	13	4	200	269	316	586	116	251	25	7	268	63	-23	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.0
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	565	511	102	21	1	12	40	141	9	13	4	200	270	315	585	115	251	25	7	268	64	-23	+1	+0	+6	+16	-0.0
2027	23	MLB	TOR	35%	168	152	29	6	0	3	11	43	3	4	1	191	259	289	549	99	244	26	7	238	40	-11	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	244	222	44	9	1	5	16	61	4	6	2	198	264	315	580	117	249	25	7	249	48	-14	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	284	257	53	11	1	6	20	71	5	7	2	206	277	327	603	121	251	25	7	254	53	-15	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	305	276	57	12	1	7	21	76	5	7	2	207	275	333	608	127	252	25	7	257	55	-16	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	307	277	57	12	1	7	22	76	5	7	2	206	276	332	608	126	252	25	7	257	55	-16	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1309	1185	240	50	4	28	90	327	22	31	9	203	271	322	594	120	253	25	7	252	51	-72	+3	+0	+14	+37	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	119	25	2	14	45	162	11	15	4	202	271	323	594	121	253	25	7	252	51	-36	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	4681	4208	813	171	10	69	333	1182	98	147	42	193	268	288	556	95	249	25	7	254	53	-250	+13	+0	+50	+133	-5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	113	24	1	10	46	164	14	20	6	193	269	289	558	96	248	25	7	254	53	-35	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	238	182	41	10	3	2	42	33	10	10	4	225	397	346	744	121	258	14	18	345	122	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.3
2022	18	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	22	21	8	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	381	409	571	981	190	412	14	5	431	188	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	206	171	40	8	1	1	22	41	10	9	4	234	353	310	663	76	298	20	11	310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	431	368	85	22	0	6	48	83	11	12	2	231	336	340	676	109	280	19	11	311	96	-2	+2	—	—	+12	1.2
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	446	386	91	16	2	5	43	83	15	23	5	236	336	326	662	91	287	19	10	307	93	-4	+3	—	—	+13	1.2
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	431	376	89	20	1	5	44	76	5	26	7	237	325	335	660	98	279	18	10	300	87	-6	+2	—	—	+12	0.9
2025	21	INTL	Perth Heat	—	75	72	19	2	0	2	2	11	0	1	1	264	284	375	659	111	283	15	3	289	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,309	27	31	200	266	315	+14	+6	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	14	16	200	266	315	+7.1	+3.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Beltre (OGILVIE)	22	40	30	55	40	187/240/294	107	244	7	10	29%	5%	38	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕Jonatan Santana 2010 · A	22	45	37→40	50→55	49	210/266/286	76	245	4	13	16%	6%	51	-1.7	194/245/265	71	265	4	7	26%	6%	37	-2.6	163/212/202	39	257	0	3	34%	4%	4	-1.4
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2011 · A	22	45	35→30	50→55	42	210/255/270	60	259	1	15	19%	4%	42	-2.3	220/262/311	91	280	5	10	22%	4%	56	-1.3	235/255/369	134	291	7	9	22%	2%	69	-0.1
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	43	39→45	54→55	45	207/270/301	93	254	6	21	20%	6%	57	-1.2	209/281/312	103	254	11	18	21%	8%	66	-0.6	196/272/287	90	235	10	17	21%	8%	53	-0.9
✕Juan Montes 2017 · A	22	39	38→30	50→55	43	189/263/266	77	237	6	12	22%	6%	46	-2.0	203/284/273	70	273	5	16	26%	6%	58	-1.2	192/284/244	52	266	4	21	26%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Anthony Phillips 2012 · A	22	36→46	39→40	50	41	181/240/260	78	242	7	18	28%	6%	34	-2.8	190/256/273	83	263	6	9	28%	7%	45	-2.1	208/273/277	69	284	4	6	26%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jose Antequera 2018 · A	22	41	35→30	53→40	42	193/238/257	64	243	2	11	21%	5%	32	-3.0	218/269/283	65	289	4	6	24%	6%	52	-1.6	231/282/279	48	305	3	3	24%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Cristo Arnal 2008 · A	22	42	36→30	48→50	45	198/253/260	62	250	3	12	22%	6%	39	-2.5	221/267/277	56	270	3	15	18%	5%	49	-1.8	226/272/264	38	271	2	19	16%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Jose Cardona 2016 · A	22	45→48	39→40	50	42	218/259/304	85	268	6	16	21%	5%	52	-1.6	226/269/317	91	273	9	14	20%	5%	60	-1.0	225/269/309	83	269	9	14	20%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Ricky Eusebio 2016 · A	22	45→42	35→40	52→45	45	208/271/269	61	268	2	13	22%	6%	50	-1.8	203/257/305	102	278	8	6	29%	6%	53	-1.5	190/245/303	112	258	10	3	29%	5%	44	-1.0
✕Luis Pintor 2017 · A	22	44→43	35→30	50→45	44	205/264/265	60	267	2	10	23%	6%	46	-2.0	192/258/250	58	248	3	6	22%	6%	40	-2.4	177/248/225	47	227	2	5	21%	6%	26	-1.8
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	44	-2.1	203/279/287	84	272	6	8	26%	8%	58	-1.2	196/277/278	82	262	7	8	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	39→45	39→40	52→50	42	189/255/275	86	267	5	17	30%	7%	45	-2.1	200/273/295	95	285	8	14	30%	8%	57	-1.2	195/270/282	88	278	8	14	30%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Robert Del Rosario 2013 · A	21	40	36→40	53→55	45	191/251/257	67	255	4	15	26%	7%	38	-2.6	212/263/277	65	287	3	13	26%	6%	47	-1.9	226/270/269	43	303	0	17	24%	4%	46	-0.7
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8