Manuel Beltre — OGILVIE

Manuel BeltreSS Vancouver Canadians

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs A+ HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.9 · 2030

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .277 / .283

PA320

HR3

SB6

K%26

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

30→30

SPD

55→55

EYE

47↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.7M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.5M	-$0.1M
Totals		$6M		$18M	+$11M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	238	200	30	7	1	1	24	49	10	10	4	.150	.274	.210	.484	.060	.188	21	10	.232	36	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.8
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	228	201	39	7	1	2	15	62	10	9	4	.194	.283	.269	.552	.075	.266	27	7	.237	40	-16	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	431	383	72	19	0	4	34	116	11	12	2	.188	.273	.269	.542	.081	.256	27	8	.247	47	-26	+2	+0	+5	+12	-0.7
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	446	396	79	14	1	4	33	112	15	23	5	.199	.286	.270	.556	.071	.266	25	7	.255	53	-24	+3	+0	+5	+13	-0.4
2025	21	A	2 teams	506	456	88	20	1	4	38	131	5	27	8	.193	.263	.268	.530	.075	.256	26	8	.241	43	-33	+2	+0	+5	+14	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	53	50	6	1	0	1	2	18	0	0	1	.120	.154	.200	.354	.080	.156	34	4	.155	-23	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	TOR	267	241	47	10	1	3	19	71	5	6	2	.195	.268	.282	.550	.087	.256	27	7	.248	48	-16	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.5
TOT	22	MLB	TOR	320	291	53	11	1	4	21	89	5	6	3	.182	.249	.268	.517	.086	.245	28	7	.233	36	-23	+0	+0	+3	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	TOR	486	437	89	19	1	8	38	108	8	11	4	.204	.280	.307	.586	.103	.253	22	8	.270	64	-20	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.0
2028	24	MLB 26%	TOR	527	470	99	21	1	10	43	116	9	12	4	.211	.289	.323	.613	.113	.256	22	8	.279	72	-17	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2029	25	MLB 44%	TOR	550	490	106	22	2	11	46	120	9	13	4	.216	.295	.337	.632	.120	.259	22	8	.285	76	-15	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.8
2030	26	MLB 59%	TOR	562	500	108	22	2	12	48	123	9	13	4	.216	.296	.340	.636	.124	.260	22	9	.287	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2031	27	MLB 76%	TOR	565	502	109	23	2	12	49	124	9	13	4	.217	.298	.343	.641	.125	.260	22	9	.287	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2032	28	MLB 84%	TOR	563	500	108	22	2	12	49	125	9	12	3	.216	.297	.340	.637	.124	.259	22	9	.286	77	-14	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.8
2033	29	MLB 90%	TOR	554	491	104	22	1	11	49	124	9	11	3	.212	.295	.328	.623	.116	.259	22	9	.284	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.6
2034	30	MLB	TOR	544	482	101	21	1	11	48	124	9	9	2	.210	.293	.326	.619	.116	.257	23	9	.281	73	-16	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.4
2035	31	MLB	TOR	531	470	97	20	1	10	47	123	9	7	2	.206	.291	.317	.608	.111	.256	23	9	.277	70	-18	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.1
2036	32	MLB	TOR	512	454	92	19	1	9	45	121	8	5	1	.203	.286	.308	.594	.106	.254	24	9	.273	67	-19	+1	-4	+5	+15	-0.2
2037	33	MLB	TOR	483	431	86	18	1	8	42	118	7	3	0	.200	.281	.302	.583	.102	.252	24	9	.267	63	-20	+1	-4	+5	+14	-0.5
2038	34	MLB	TOR	436	388	76	15	1	7	38	110	7	2	0	.196	.279	.294	.573	.098	.250	25	9	.261	58	-21	+0	-5	+5	+12	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8429	7492	1530	321	21	139	705	1977	158	198	56	.204	.286	.308	.595	.104	.256	23	8	.270	65	-334	+17	-20	+90	+239	-0.7
/ 162G	—			650	578	119	25	2	11	54	152	12	15	4	.206	.287	.313	.600	.107	.258	23	8	.270	65	-26	+1	-2	+7	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	238	182	41	10	3	2	42	33	10	10	4	.225	.397	.346	.744	.121	.258	14	18	.345	122	+6	+0	—	—	+7	1.3
2022	18	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	22	21	8	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	.381	.409	.571	.981	.190	.412	14	5	.431	188	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	206	171	40	8	1	1	22	41	10	9	4	.234	.353	.310	.663	.076	.298	20	11	.310	95	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2023	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	431	368	85	22	0	6	48	83	11	12	2	.231	.336	.340	.676	.109	.280	19	11	.311	96	-2	+2	—	—	+12	1.2
2024	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	446	386	91	16	2	5	43	83	15	23	5	.236	.336	.326	.662	.091	.287	19	10	.307	93	-4	+3	—	—	+13	1.2
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	431	376	89	20	1	5	44	76	5	26	7	.237	.325	.335	.660	.098	.279	18	10	.300	87	-6	+2	—	—	+12	0.9
2025	21	INTL	Perth Heat	75	72	19	2	0	2	2	11	0	1	1	.264	.284	.375	.659	.111	.283	15	3	.289	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Beltre (OGILVIE)	22	40	30	55	40	.200/.277/.283	.083	.268	3	8	26%	8%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	43	37→30	51→60	45	.202/.271/.271	.070	.286	4	11	29%	8%	50	-1.7	.211/.307/.281	.070	.293	4	26	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.229/.340/.278	.049	.305	3	35	22%	10%	80	+0.1
✕Erlin Cerda 2016 · A	22	45	35→40	52→55	48	.208/.279/.281	.073	.262	1	14	20%	7%	56	-1.3	.200/.251/.270	.070	.291	2	9	30%	5%	41	-2.3	.166/.201/.211	.044	.261	0	8	35%	4%	-1	-1.2
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	43	.207/.263/.285	.078	.260	5	17	22%	5%	50	-1.7	.207/.257/.291	.084	.292	7	11	30%	5%	50	-1.8	.194/.239/.274	.079	.290	9	9	35%	3%	34	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	44	39→40	53→60	40	.210/.265/.300	.090	.306	6	14	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.187/.266/.264	.077	.308	6	22	38%	8%	47	-1.9	.145/.239/.202	.057	.243	5	33	39%	9%	19	-1.1
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	35→30	50→55	45	.193/.257/.255	.062	.261	3	15	26%	7%	40	-2.4	.210/.292/.281	.071	.312	3	15	30%	10%	62	-0.9	.210/.320/.274	.064	.324	2	21	31%	13%	69	-0.2
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	44	36→30	52→55	45	.204/.278/.271	.068	.260	2	17	21%	6%	54	-1.4	.202/.253/.265	.063	.268	3	9	24%	4%	41	-2.3	.193/.226/.221	.028	.258	0	9	24%	2%	14	-1.2
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→45	37→45	50→60	41	.194/.243/.261	.068	.252	6	15	25%	5%	36	-2.7	.204/.262/.299	.095	.274	8	19	27%	6%	53	-1.5	.227/.288/.355	.128	.309	13	42	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→60	42	.219/.287/.296	.076	.318	4	13	30%	7%	63	-0.8	.226/.311/.291	.065	.315	3	28	26%	9%	72	-0.2	.233/.319/.287	.055	.311	2	37	23%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	39→40	52→45	48	.204/.276/.291	.087	.250	6	12	20%	7%	58	-1.2	.201/.263/.291	.090	.294	7	8	32%	7%	52	-1.6	.183/.248/.264	.081	.272	7	8	34%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Tyreace House 2010 · A	22	46	36→30	53→55	46	.214/.282/.276	.061	.301	3	14	28%	8%	56	-1.3	.202/.292/.246	.044	.274	1	19	24%	10%	53	-1.5	.191/.284/.221	.030	.260	1	22	24%	10%	42	-1.8
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	43	37→45	51→50	45	.202/.257/.285	.083	.254	3	11	21%	6%	47	-1.9	.202/.249/.280	.078	.275	3	11	26%	5%	42	-2.3	.195/.231/.264	.069	.262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	46→43	35→30	52→55	47	.215/.282/.278	.063	.284	2	16	24%	8%	56	-1.3	.208/.268/.272	.064	.266	3	20	21%	6%	49	-1.8	.205/.264/.263	.058	.262	2	22	21%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→47	39→40	48→50	44	.186/.276/.275	.089	.270	6	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	.202/.273/.299	.097	.277	7	11	28%	6%	59	-1.1	.213/.285/.313	.100	.282	9	16	26%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→47	39→40	53→60	49	.186/.290/.271	.084	.288	7	16	34%	11%	60	-1.0	.204/.296/.285	.081	.295	5	22	29%	10%	66	-0.6	.215/.301/.289	.073	.310	4	35	29%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	42→43	38→40	51→55	43	.203/.259/.275	.072	.276	6	16	28%	7%	46	-2.0	.221/.279/.314	.093	.282	9	18	24%	7%	65	-0.7	.227/.292/.316	.089	.272	11	27	20%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Luis Perez 2013 · A	22	47	41→30	52→50	46	.226/.281/.335	.109	.269	8	10	19%	6%	70	-0.3	.220/.261/.335	.115	.296	10	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	.217/.244/.347	.129	.299	11	2	31%	3%	54	-0.4
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	50	44	.215/.284/.276	.061	.277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.219/.293/.286	.067	.261	3	10	16%	8%	64	-0.8	.223/.303/.283	.060	.253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	45→55	37→40	52→50	44	.212/.262/.290	.077	.267	3	14	21%	5%	50	-1.7	.224/.275/.318	.094	.282	8	14	22%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.303/.319	.076	.291	6	16	17%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	55→60	41	.214/.268/.296	.082	.300	4	13	29%	6%	55	-1.4	.238/.294/.344	.106	.336	10	29	30%	6%	79	+0.3	.245/.298/.334	.089	.343	8	39	29%	6%	73	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)