Omar Hernandez — OGILVIE

Omar HernandezC Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .258 / .279

PA128

HR1

SB6

K%25

BB%4

BABIP290

ISO58

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Royals	—	147	134	29	5	1	0	5	29	4	2	1	216	266	269	534	52	271	20	3	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	AZL Royals	—	147	131	38	7	1	0	8	20	4	2	1	290	350	359	708	69	336	14	5	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	264	247	32	9	1	1	11	98	2	3	0	130	173	186	359	57	207	37	4	165	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	264	241	42	11	2	3	17	68	2	3	0	174	235	274	508	100	227	26	6	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	359	337	56	11	1	1	14	127	2	18	3	166	204	214	418	47	262	35	4	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	359	320	74	15	1	1	26	78	2	18	3	231	289	294	583	62	302	22	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	363	324	61	7	1	4	27	93	5	26	11	188	261	253	514	65	246	26	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	363	306	66	9	1	5	41	61	5	26	11	216	315	301	615	85	249	17	11	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	277	257	50	7	0	2	14	73	1	14	3	195	239	245	484	51	264	26	5	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	277	251	57	10	0	2	19	57	1	14	3	227	283	291	574	64	286	21	7	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	282	264	50	9	1	0	6	69	4	10	3	189	219	231	450	42	253	24	2	194	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	2 teams	—	282	258	58	11	1	0	9	54	4	10	3	225	259	275	534	50	280	19	3	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	KC	—	193	175	48	4	0	3	8	49	3	17	4	274	317	349	666	74	360	25	4	285	76	-5	+2	+0	+3	+5	0.6
YTD	24	AA	KC	—	193	167	48	4	0	3	12	38	3	17	4	287	339	365	704	78	352	20	6	306	92	-2	+2	+0	+3	+5	0.9
ROS	24	AA	KC	2%	128	121	27	4	0	1	5	32	1	6	2	222	258	279	538	58	288	25	4	245	46	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	KC	2%	3	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	333	333	333	667		285	33	0	234	37	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	KC	—	196	178	49	4	0	3	8	50	3	17	4	275	317	348	666	73	362	26	4	284	76	-5	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.6
TOT	24	AA	KC	—	321	296	75	8	0	4	13	81	4	23	6	253	293	320	614	67	331	25	4	269	64	-13	+2	+0	+6	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	KC	31%	323	303	67	9	1	3	14	79	3	13	3	221	263	287	550	66	288	24	4	253	52	-17	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	KC	45%	374	349	79	11	1	5	18	91	4	15	4	226	272	307	579	80	289	24	5	263	59	-17	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2029	27	MLB	KC	49%	395	368	84	12	1	6	20	96	4	16	4	228	276	315	591	87	289	24	5	266	61	-17	+2	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2030	28	MLB	KC	52%	406	378	85	12	1	6	21	99	4	15	4	225	273	310	582	85	289	24	5	266	62	-18	+1	-1	+7	+12	0.2
2031	29	MLB	KC	52%	406	377	85	12	1	6	22	100	4	14	4	225	275	310	586	85	288	25	5	264	60	-18	+1	-1	+7	+12	0.0
2027	25	MLB	KC	31%	100	95	21	3	0	1	4	24	1	4	1	221	260	284	544	63	285	24	4	243	44	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	KC	45%	167	155	34	5	0	2	8	41	2	7	2	219	267	290	557	71	286	25	5	252	51	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	KC	49%	194	180	41	6	0	3	10	47	2	8	2	228	276	311	587	83	286	24	5	255	53	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	KC	52%	210	195	43	6	0	3	11	51	2	8	2	221	269	297	567	77	285	24	5	255	53	-11	+1	-0	+4	+6	-0.1
2031	29	MLB	KC	52%	209	194	43	6	0	3	11	51	2	7	2	222	271	299	570	77	285	24	5	253	52	-11	+1	-1	+4	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	883	822	183	26	0	12	44	215	9	34	9	223	270	298	568	75	285	24	5	252	51	-49	+3	-1	+16	+25	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	135	19	0	9	32	158	7	25	7	223	270	299	569	76	286	24	5	252	51	-36	+2	-1	+12	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	3724	3459	705	108	10	35	177	986	38	152	42	204	250	271	521	67	272	26	5	234	37	-265	+14	-2	+67	+106	-8.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	123	19	2	6	31	172	7	27	7	204	251	272	523	68	272	26	5	234	37	-46	+3	-0	+12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	AZL Royals	—	147	131	38	7	1	0	8	20	4	2	1	290	350	359	708	69	336	14	5	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	264	241	42	11	2	3	17	68	2	3	0	174	235	274	508	100	227	26	6	229	33	-20	+1	—	—	+7	-1.2
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	359	320	74	15	1	1	26	78	2	18	3	231	289	294	583	62	302	22	7	262	59	-17	+2	—	—	+10	-0.4
2023	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	30	23	3	1	0	0	6	9	1	0	1	130	333	174	507	43	214	30	20	267	63	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	333	283	63	8	1	5	35	52	4	26	10	223	313	311	624	88	251	16	11	282	74	-10	+1	—	—	+9	0.1
2024	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	277	251	57	10	0	2	19	57	1	14	3	227	283	291	574	64	286	21	7	259	56	-14	+2	—	—	+8	-0.4
2025	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	155	140	34	5	0	0	4	27	3	4	2	243	275	279	554	36	293	17	3	243	44	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	127	118	24	6	1	0	5	27	1	6	1	203	240	271	511	68	264	21	4	228	33	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	885	13	33	227	272	310	+16	+8	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	9	25	227	272	310	+11.9	+6.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Omar Hernandez (OGILVIE)	24	45	25	50	20	253/293/320	67	331	4	23	25%	4%	64	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Francisco Martinez 2015 · AA	24	44→51	36→40	54→55	38	208/247/268	60	286	3	22	28%	5%	37	-2.6	219/247/320	101	301	8	16	29%	3%	52	-1.6	224/243/335	111	307	9	15	30%	2%	50	-1.5
✕Wilson Soriano 2017 · AA	25	48	34→30	50→55	40	227/253/271	45	268	2	19	16%	3%	40	-2.4	224/257/292	68	279	3	25	20%	4%	47	-1.9	232/254/288	56	287	1	41	19%	3%	42	-1.1
✕Omar Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→54	35→30	46→50	39	206/230/264	57	254	3	10	20%	3%	29	-3.2	244/277/306	62	285	2	11	15%	4%	60	-1.0	259/293/316	57	296	2	11	13%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Alejandro Rivero 2013 · AAA	24	46	36→30	49→55	43	220/262/274	55	259	4	13	17%	4%	46	-2.0	231/278/275	44	270	2	16	15%	4%	53	-1.5	224/280/260	36	256	2	19	13%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Blake Trahan 2018 · AA	24	46→51	35→30	48→50	45	215/264/276	60	265	3	13	19%	6%	47	-1.9	200/250/263	63	269	4	8	26%	5%	38	-2.6	190/240/244	54	260	4	5	27%	5%	27	-2.5
✕Heiker Meneses 2015 · AAA	24	43→51	36→40	46→55	38	204/246/270	67	270	3	13	25%	4%	38	-2.6	217/259/271	54	300	2	14	27%	4%	44	-2.1	226/266/266	40	325	0	15	29%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Jose Rosario 2016 · AAA	24	48	38→40	49→50	38	228/264/309	81	289	5	11	23%	3%	56	-1.3	224/253/308	84	296	6	9	26%	3%	51	-1.7	248/264/336	88	319	8	7	24%	1%	59	-0.5
✕Jecksson Flores 2018 · A	24	45→53	38→40	50→55	41	214/255/293	79	268	5	13	22%	4%	48	-1.9	225/268/313	88	278	7	18	21%	5%	59	-1.1	222/273/305	83	271	6	17	20%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	43→49	39→40	52→50	40	209/252/291	82	286	6	16	29%	5%	46	-2.0	208/252/290	82	311	6	12	33%	5%	46	-2.0	195/240/269	73	306	4	8	36%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Kevin Vicuña 2022 · AAA	24	42→39	36→40	50	38	200/253/266	66	278	4	15	29%	4%	41	-2.3	217/269/305	88	288	5	12	25%	5%	58	-1.2	219/269/308	89	288	4	10	24%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Delvin Zinn 2021 · A	24	46→44	36→30	50→55	38	217/263/280	62	300	4	16	28%	4%	48	-1.9	187/246/256	69	265	5	31	29%	6%	36	-2.7	162/225/215	53	228	4	43	29%	7%	15	-1.8
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Jorma Rodriguez 2019 · AA	23	48→52	35→30	48→50	37	224/260/287	63	307	3	10	27%	4%	48	-1.9	216/254/283	67	320	4	8	32%	4%	44	-2.1	186/207/201	15	314	0	0	40%	3%	-1	-1.1
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2010 · AA	24	47→49	36→30	49→55	41	222/268/287	66	298	4	17	26%	6%	52	-1.6	211/258/285	74	304	5	19	30%	6%	47	-1.9	179/223/213	34	280	0	35	34%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Derrik Gibson 2014 · AA	24	45→54	35→40	50→55	44	212/272/274	62	294	3	15	27%	7%	51	-1.7	234/295/309	75	305	4	12	23%	7%	69	-0.4	240/303/308	68	305	3	11	21%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Luis Rivera 2008 · AA	24	49	34→30	47→45	42	228/265/282	54	271	2	8	17%	4%	49	-1.8	224/256/280	56	266	3	5	16%	4%	44	-2.1	230/256/270	40	269	1	2	15%	3%	38	-0.9
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48	39→40	56→55	38	228/263/311	83	304	6	18	26%	4%	56	-1.3	234/267/321	87	288	6	17	20%	3%	60	-1.0	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4