Jordan Sprinkle
SS Birmingham Barons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+CWS | 384 | .207/.298/.279 | 2 | 27 | 19 | — | .161/.223/.216 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+/ACWS | 372 | .242/.378/.286 | 1 | 77 | 51 | — | .203/.301/.237 |
| 2026 | 25 | AACWS | 283 | .250/.313/.333 | 2 | 35 | 49 | — | .220/.265/.297 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBCWS | 3 | .196/.256/.259 | 0 | 0 | 46 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBCWS | 41 | .197/.259/.264 | 0 | 2 | 48 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 101 | 93 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 237 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 65 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 269 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 385 | 556 | 385 | 940 | 500 | 17 | 17 | 449 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 323 | 285 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 82 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 228 | 310 | 309 | 619 | 81 | 305 | 25 | 10 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 333 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 81 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 207 | 298 | 279 | 577 | 72 | 266 | 21 | 10 | 265 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 103 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 172 | 287 | 264 | 551 | 92 | 200 | 17 | 12 | 257 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 269 | 210 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 48 | 4 | 65 | 9 | 271 | 414 | 295 | 709 | 24 | 348 | 18 | 17 | 332 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 252 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 70 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 250 | 313 | 333 | 646 | 83 | 332 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 101 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 179 | 220 | 232 | 452 | 53 | 248 | 29 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 444 | 286 | 730 | 404 | 22 | 11 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 323 | 293 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 177 | 245 | 246 | 490 | 68 | 261 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 348 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 111 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 161 | 223 | 216 | 439 | 55 | 220 | 29 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 103 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 143 | 228 | 220 | 448 | 77 | 166 | 22 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 269 | 226 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 65 | 4 | 65 | 9 | 226 | 330 | 243 | 573 | 18 | 298 | 24 | 12 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 259 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 220 | 265 | 297 | 563 | 77 | 298 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 193 | 254 | 239 | 493 | 46 | 270 | 29 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 119 | 106 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 255 | 331 | 311 | 642 | 57 | 321 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 323 | 293 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 177 | 245 | 246 | 490 | 68 | 269 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 323 | 285 | 65 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 82 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 228 | 310 | 309 | 619 | 81 | 305 | 25 | 10 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 348 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 111 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 161 | 223 | 216 | 439 | 55 | 228 | 29 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 333 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 81 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 207 | 298 | 279 | 577 | 72 | 266 | 21 | 10 | 265 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 318 | 64 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 88 | 6 | 77 | 9 | 201 | 298 | 236 | 534 | 35 | 272 | 24 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 297 | 72 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 59 | 65 | 6 | 77 | 9 | 242 | 378 | 286 | 665 | 44 | 303 | 17 | 16 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 259 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 220 | 265 | 297 | 563 | 77 | 312 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 252 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 70 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 250 | 313 | 333 | 646 | 83 | 332 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 119 | 109 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 193 | 254 | 239 | 493 | 46 | 272 | 29 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 323 | 294 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 177 | 245 | 245 | 489 | 68 | 261 | 34 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 353 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 111 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 159 | 223 | 212 | 436 | 54 | 220 | 29 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 325 | 64 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 88 | 6 | 77 | 9 | 197 | 298 | 231 | 529 | 34 | 261 | 24 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 265 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 215 | 265 | 291 | 556 | 75 | 298 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 384 | 353 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 111 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 159 | 223 | 212 | 436 | 54 | 220 | 29 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 325 | 64 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 88 | 6 | 77 | 9 | 197 | 298 | 231 | 529 | 34 | 261 | 24 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 283 | 265 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 35 | 7 | 215 | 265 | 291 | 556 | 75 | 298 | 30 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 2% | 333 | 305 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 95 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 195 | 256 | 258 | 513 | 62 | 274 | 29 | 7 | 236 | 46 | -21 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 256 | 259 | 515 | 63 | 274 | 33 | 0 | 237 | 46 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 27% | 154 | 142 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 197 | 258 | 263 | 521 | 66 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 27% | 41 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 259 | 264 | 522 | 67 | 275 | 29 | 7 | 240 | 48 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 244 | 211 | 454 | 26 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 240 | 39 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 111 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 190 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 184 | 245 | 211 | 456 | 27 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 240 | 39 | -40 | +6 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1775 | 1598 | 304 | 46 | 8 | 11 | 122 | 513 | 22 | 183 | 29 | 190 | 257 | 250 | 507 | 59 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 225 | 39 | -19 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 112 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 188 | 8 | 67 | 11 | 191 | 259 | 251 | 510 | 60 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 225 | 39 | -41 | +4 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABirmingham Barons · 283 PAwOBA .283 → .241 (−42)K% 24.7% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 23.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .283 → .241; ISO .083 → .072; BABIP .332 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 269 PAwOBA .327 → .263 (−64)K% 17.8% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.84% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.47% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 11.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.10% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×0.980 | 27.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.09% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.980 | 2.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×0.975 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.853 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 118, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .327 → .263; ISO .024 → .020; BABIP .348 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 103 PAwOBA .253 → .195 (−58)K% 16.5% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.50% | ÷0.955 | ×1.310 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 7.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.942 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 12.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.045 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.923 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .253 → .195; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .200 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 384 PAwOBA .260 → .196 (−64)K% 21.1% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷0.952 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷0.972 | ×0.870 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 17.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.817 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .260 → .196; ISO .072 → .057; BABIP .266 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 323 PAwOBA .279 → .216 (−63)K% 25.4% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.39% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.63% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | — | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | — | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | — | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .279 → .216; ISO .081 → .063; BABIP .305 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 101 PAwOBA .262 → .197 (−64)K% 20.8% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.94% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.172 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .262 → .197; ISO .065 → .045; BABIP .296 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL White Sox · 18 PAwOBA .440 → .335 (−105)K% 16.7% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.008 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.961 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.11% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 7.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 40.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.287 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 100, 2B 157, 3B 121, K 102, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .440 → .335; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).