Estivenzon Montero

OF FCL Yankees
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 189 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL NYY Yanke…119.242/.364/.3641434—.144/.246/.192
202518ROKDSL NYY Yanke…185.287/.391/.5108933—.145/.228/.235
202619ROKNYY144.220/.312/.3463616—.135/.201/.211
2027PROJMLE20MLBNYY254.196/.262/.2924457-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBNYY43.203/.270/.3141163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO55
Z-Con%32
Whiff%23
Chase%22
Speed22
K%17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsCutter Coffey (age 20) · Garrett Whitley (age 20) · Wilfredo Lara (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .260 / .289
PA74
HR1
K%31
BB%7
ISO96
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 11999 24521 17332 41 242364364728 121348 2814 332 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL NYY Yankees — 185157 45728 25522 95 287391510901 223378 2814 395 33 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Yankees — 144127 28703 15432 61 220312346659 126309 3010 302 16 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 119104 15310 12402 41 144246192438 48233 3410 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 185166 24413 16642 95 145228235463 90210 359 217 33 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 144133 18402 9622 61 135201211412 75241 436 192 16 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 119104 15310 12402 41 144246192438 48231 3410 218 34 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL NYY Yankees — 11999 24521 17332 41 242364364728 121348 2814 332 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 185166 24413 16642 95 145228235463 90210 359 217 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL NYY Yankees — 185157 45728 25522 95 287391510901 223378 2814 395 33 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 144133 18402 9622 61 135201211412 75232 436 192 16 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Yankees — 144127 28703 15432 61 220312346659 126309 3010 302 16 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 119104 15310 12402 41 144246192438 48233 3410 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 185165 24413 16642 95 145228236465 91210 359 217 33 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 144132 18402 9622 61 136201212414 76241 436 192 16 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 119104 15310 12402 41 144246192438 48233 3410 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL NYY Yankees — 185165 24413 16642 95 145228236465 91210 359 217 33 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 144132 18402 9622 61 136201212414 76241 436 192 16 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLENYY 0% 254232 46824 18782 41 196262292553 96276 317 252 57 -13 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLENYY 34% 126115 23412 9381 21 202269310579 108278 307 262 63 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202821 MLB CTXNYY 34% 4340 7101 3130 10 203270314584 112278 307 264 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4340 7101 3130 10 175233275508 100231 307 264 38 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 10615015 451970 150 175232274507 99232 307 264 38 -28 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 648586 931748 512278 228 159236242478 84240 358 224 38 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 931748 512288 228 158235241476 83239 358 224 38 -30 +1 +0 -4 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Yankees · 144 PAwOBA .294 → .192 (−102)K% 29.9% → 43.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.86%÷1.000×1.440——43.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.42%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9956.43%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.720—×0.9950.99%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.000×0.820×0.998×0.99517.45%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.720×0.998×0.9955.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.998×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9952.77%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .294 → .192; ISO .126 → .080; BABIP .309 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 185 PAwOBA .387 → .217 (−171)K% 28.1% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.11%÷0.988×1.220——34.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷1.066×0.700—×0.9958.83%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.700—×0.9950.75%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.113×0.680×0.972×0.99515.76%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.069×0.600×0.972×0.9953.62%
Triples /BIP1.90%÷0.943×0.600×0.972×0.9951.17%
Home runs /BIP7.62%÷1.093×0.470—×0.9953.26%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .387 → .217; ISO .223 → .103; BABIP .378 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 119 PAwOBA .327 → .218 (−109)K% 27.7% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.73%÷1.003×1.220——33.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷1.003×0.700—×1.00810.04%
HBP% /PA1.68%—×0.700—×1.0081.19%
Singles /BIP24.24%÷1.015×0.680×1.036×1.00816.96%
Doubles /BIP7.58%÷1.021×0.600×1.036×1.0084.65%
Triples /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.600×1.036×1.0081.90%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷0.952×0.470—×1.0080.75%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .327 → .218; ISO .121 → .071; BABIP .348 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).