Jose Cordoba
CF Peoria Chiefs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ASTL | 371 | .232/.294/.351 | 5 | 16 | 38 | — | .192/.243/.285 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/A/ROKSTL | 230 | .249/.341/.358 | 1 | 12 | 62 | — | .208/.280/.301 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+STL | 192 | .218/.281/.345 | 5 | 11 | 37 | — | .177/.229/.276 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSTL | 1 | .195/.248/.289 | 0 | 0 | 51 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSTL | 51 | .199/.254/.300 | 1 | 2 | 56 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 31
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 160 | 142 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 225 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 113 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 236 | 341 | 425 | 766 | 189 | 286 | 26 | 12 | 339 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 44 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 372 | 378 | 750 | 108 | 333 | 16 | 9 | 336 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 87 | 79 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 367 | 419 | 532 | 950 | 165 | 438 | 17 | 8 | 414 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 69 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 232 | 294 | 351 | 645 | 119 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 288 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 62 | 57 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 263 | 323 | 351 | 673 | 88 | 326 | 18 | 5 | 307 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 147 | 124 | 34 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 274 | 384 | 411 | 795 | 137 | 314 | 13 | 13 | 358 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 95 | 50 | 145 | 71 | 29 | 5 | 76 | -82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 36 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 273 | 306 | 667 | 972 | 394 | 217 | 17 | 6 | 406 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 156 | 141 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 206 | 276 | 270 | 545 | 64 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 254 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 160 | 145 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 145 | 220 | 193 | 413 | 48 | 183 | 26 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 162 | 244 | 270 | 514 | 108 | 226 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 44 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 326 | 359 | 685 | 103 | 309 | 23 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 87 | 82 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 256 | 291 | 366 | 657 | 110 | 327 | 25 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 344 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 97 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 192 | 243 | 285 | 527 | 93 | 243 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 62 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 190 | 242 | 241 | 483 | 52 | 272 | 24 | 3 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 147 | 130 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 238 | 322 | 362 | 683 | 123 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 21 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 95 | 50 | 145 | 55 | 43 | 5 | 47 | -82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 36 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 250 | 514 | 764 | 286 | 196 | 19 | 3 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 156 | 145 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 166 | 224 | 221 | 445 | 55 | 230 | 28 | 4 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 160 | 145 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 145 | 220 | 193 | 413 | 48 | 192 | 26 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 160 | 142 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 225 | 308 | 338 | 646 | 113 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 162 | 244 | 270 | 514 | 108 | 238 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 106 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 236 | 341 | 425 | 766 | 189 | 286 | 26 | 12 | 339 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 121 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 256 | 302 | 364 | 666 | 107 | 337 | 24 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 131 | 116 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 336 | 403 | 483 | 886 | 147 | 404 | 17 | 8 | 388 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 344 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 97 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 192 | 243 | 285 | 527 | 93 | 253 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 69 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 232 | 294 | 351 | 645 | 119 | 277 | 19 | 6 | 288 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 230 | 208 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 212 | 284 | 308 | 592 | 96 | 270 | 21 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 230 | 201 | 50 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 36 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 249 | 341 | 358 | 699 | 109 | 297 | 16 | 10 | 318 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 179 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 179 | 234 | 279 | 514 | 101 | 228 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 192 | 174 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 218 | 281 | 345 | 626 | 126 | 258 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 160 | 145 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 145 | 220 | 193 | 413 | 48 | 183 | 26 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 161 | 244 | 268 | 512 | 107 | 226 | 38 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 122 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 254 | 302 | 361 | 663 | 107 | 321 | 24 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 345 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 97 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 191 | 243 | 284 | 527 | 93 | 243 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 230 | 207 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 213 | 284 | 309 | 593 | 97 | 264 | 21 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 177 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 181 | 234 | 282 | 517 | 102 | 224 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 371 | 345 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 97 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 191 | 243 | 284 | 527 | 93 | 243 | 26 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 230 | 207 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 213 | 284 | 309 | 593 | 97 | 264 | 21 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 192 | 177 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 181 | 234 | 282 | 517 | 102 | 224 | 27 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | STL | 0% | 242 | 224 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 64 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 194 | 248 | 290 | 538 | 96 | 252 | 26 | 5 | 244 | 51 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | STL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 248 | 289 | 538 | 94 | 254 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 51 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 30% | 169 | 155 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 44 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 198 | 253 | 301 | 555 | 103 | 254 | 26 | 5 | 250 | 56 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 30% | 51 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 199 | 254 | 300 | 553 | 101 | 256 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 56 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 51 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 255 | 298 | 553 | 106 | 242 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 46 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 166 | 13 | 25 | 0 | 190 | 254 | 297 | 551 | 107 | 240 | 26 | 6 | 250 | 46 | -34 | +5 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1493 | 1369 | 264 | 52 | 11 | 19 | 79 | 392 | 32 | 61 | 22 | 193 | 253 | 289 | 542 | 96 | 253 | 26 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 115 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 171 | 14 | 27 | 10 | 193 | 253 | 289 | 542 | 96 | 254 | 26 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -36 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 156 PAwOBA .248 → .197 (−50)K% 22.4% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.21% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 19.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 2.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.962 | ×0.998 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .248 → .197; ISO .064 → .048; BABIP .267 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 36 PAwOBA .393 → .335 (−58)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 14.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 12.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .335; ISO .394 → .328; BABIP .217 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 APalm Beach Cardinals · 147 PAwOBA .352 → .303 (−49)K% 12.9% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.93% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.896 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 8.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.973 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .352 → .303; ISO .137 → .127; BABIP .314 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 62 PAwOBA .299 → .231 (−68)K% 17.7% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.74% | ÷0.951 | ×1.270 | — | — | 23.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.84% | ÷1.027 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 19.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.87% | ÷1.083 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 7.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.850 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.857 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .299 → .231; ISO .088 → .061; BABIP .326 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Cardinals · 21 PAwOBA .075 → .047 (−28)K% 28.6% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.011 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 2.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 5.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.149 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .075 → .047; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .071 → .055. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 371 PAwOBA .282 → .225 (−57)K% 18.6% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.47% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.10% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.12% | ÷1.153 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .282 → .225; ISO .119 → .090; BABIP .277 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Cardinals · 87 PAwOBA .407 → .284 (−123)K% 17.2% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 24.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.954 | ×0.995 | 2.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.21% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .407 → .284; ISO .165 → .111; BABIP .438 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 44 PAwOBA .319 → .282 (−38)K% 15.9% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 3.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .319 → .282; ISO .108 → .096; BABIP .333 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).