Kyle Nevin

3B Tulsa Drillers
Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2215ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+LAD519.236/.322/.34481844—.189/.252/.269
202523AA/A+/ROKLAD306.273/.358/.41971077—.234/.298/.347
202624AALAD293.280/.358/.39361182—.257/.316/.351
2027PROJMLE25MLBLAD3.216/.277/.3120069-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBLAD65.219/.281/.32511730.0
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBLAD102.219/.282/.32622740.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
K%79
Z-Con%71
Whiff%68
wOBA55
wRC+52
Chase%50
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%
CompsDrew Weeks (age 25) · Quincy Latimore (age 25) · Cristian Pache (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .277 / .312
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%7
BABIP287
ISO103
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.00.0272829
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7769 12610 4152 20 174240290530 116214 195 235 18 — — — — — —
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209186 581125 20473 34 312388473861 161396 2210 383 93 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 519457 1081558 541634 186 236322344666 107345 3110 302 44 — — — — — —
202523 AATulsa Drillers — 203181 49714 19470 90 271340387727 116338 239 323 73 — — — — — —
202523 A+Great Lakes Loons — 7663 17413 11132 11 270395508903 238298 1714 398 100 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL Dodgers — 2723 7300 271 00 304385435819 130412 267 356 45 — — — — — —
202624 AATulsa Drillers — 293257 721106 26565 112 280358393751 113330 199 335 82 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7770 11510 3222 20 157213257470 100199 294 195 18 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209192 51924 14663 34 266325396721 130377 327 306 93 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 519475 901246 362094 186 189252269522 80312 407 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 203187 45613 13580 90 241290332622 91320 296 276 73 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 7666 15412 8172 11 227329409738 182265 2211 316 100 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2724 5200 1101 00 208269292561 83294 374 234 45 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 293265 681005 18685 112 257316351667 94307 236 290 82 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7770 11510 3222 20 157213257470 100220 294 195 18 — — — — — —
202220 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7769 12610 4152 20 174240290530 116214 195 235 18 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209192 51924 14663 34 266325396721 130385 327 306 93 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209186 581125 20473 34 312388473861 161396 2210 383 93 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 519475 901246 362094 186 189252269522 80318 407 233 44 — — — — — —
202422 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 519457 1081558 541634 186 236322344666 107345 3110 302 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 306278 661126 21853 101 237298356654 119314 287 282 77 — — — — — —
202523 AA RAW3 teams — 306267 731427 32673 101 273358419777 146335 2210 345 77 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 293265 681005 18685 112 257316351667 94320 236 290 82 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWTulsa Drillers — 293257 721106 26565 112 280358393751 113330 199 335 82 — — — — — —
202220 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7772 11510 3222 20 153213250463 97199 294 195 18 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209190 51924 14663 34 268325400725 132377 327 306 93 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 519474 901246 362094 186 190252270522 80312 407 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 306279 661126 21853 101 237298355653 118304 287 282 77 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 293268 681005 18685 112 254316347663 93307 236 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 519474 901246 362094 186 190252270522 80312 407 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLE3 teams — 306279 661126 21853 101 237298355653 118304 287 282 77 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 293268 681005 18685 112 254316347663 93307 236 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLELAD 2% 343314 691116 23953 82 219280317597 98293 287 270 69 -13 +1 +2 +1 +7 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXLAD 2% 33 0000 010 00 216277312590 97287 330 267 69 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLELAD 31% 208190 43714 14572 41 222284329613 107293 277 277 73 -7 +0 +1 +1 +5 0.0
202927 MLB MLELAD 42% 242221 50815 17662 51 222285330615 108292 277 277 74 -8 +1 +2 +1 +5 0.1
202826 MLB CTXLAD 31% 6560 12201 4181 10 219281325606 106287 286 274 73 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202927 MLB CTXLAD 42% 10293 20302 7281 20 219282326608 107287 277 275 74 -3 +0 +1 +0 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 167153 32503 11462 30 209271301572 92276 287 274 67 -5 +1 +1 +1 +4 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 12419012 431798 120 208271300571 92274 287 274 67 -20 +2 +4 +2 +14 0.3
Career— MLE — 20261847 414671233 13562123 5716 224285327612 103315 317 268 67 -20 +1 +4 +2 +13 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 13321411 431997 185 224285329613 105314 317 268 67 -21 +1 +4 +2 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 293 PAwOBA .332 → .290 (−42)K% 19.1% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.11%÷1.000×1.220——23.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.87%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9986.20%
HBP% /PA1.71%—×0.870—×0.9981.48%
Singles /BIP27.36%÷1.000×0.920×1.035×0.99825.99%
Doubles /BIP5.47%÷1.000×0.840×1.035×0.9984.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×1.035×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9982.38%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .332 → .290; ISO .113 → .094; BABIP .330 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AATulsa Drillers · 203 PAwOBA .320 → .276 (−44)K% 23.2% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.15%÷0.984×1.220——28.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.36%÷1.061×0.700—×1.0126.25%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP27.61%÷0.968×0.920×1.012×1.01226.87%
Doubles /BIP5.22%÷1.014×0.840×1.012×1.0124.43%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷1.137×0.940×1.012×1.0120.63%
Home runs /BIP2.99%÷0.957×0.800—×1.0122.53%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .320 → .276; ISO .116 → .097; BABIP .338 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 76 PAwOBA .388 → .316 (−72)K% 17.1% → 22.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.11%÷0.980×1.270——22.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.47%÷1.023×0.710—×0.9889.93%
HBP% /PA2.63%—×0.790—×0.9882.05%
Singles /BIP18.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.019×0.98816.68%
Doubles /BIP8.00%÷0.927×0.810×1.019×0.9887.04%
Triples /BIP2.00%÷1.150×0.850×1.019×0.9881.49%
Home runs /BIP6.00%÷0.992×0.800—×0.9884.78%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .388 → .316; ISO .238 → .193; BABIP .298 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 27 PAwOBA .360 → .234 (−126)K% 25.9% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.93%÷0.993×1.440——37.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9554.40%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.720—×0.9552.55%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.996×0.820—×0.95519.66%
Doubles /BIP18.75%÷1.102×0.720—×0.95511.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.060×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.187×0.780—×0.9550.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .360 → .234; ISO .130 → .076; BABIP .412 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 519 PAwOBA .297 → .233 (−64)K% 31.4% → 40.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.41%÷0.990×1.270——40.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.21%÷1.037×0.710—×0.9986.98%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.790—×0.9980.61%
Singles /BIP27.21%÷1.004×0.920×1.008×0.99825.09%
Doubles /BIP5.10%÷0.950×0.810×1.008×0.9984.38%
Triples /BIP1.70%÷0.948×0.850×1.008×0.9981.53%
Home runs /BIP2.72%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9982.10%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .297 → .233; ISO .107 → .081; BABIP .345 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 209 PAwOBA .373 → .306 (−68)K% 22.5% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.49%÷0.973×1.360——31.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.57%÷0.976×0.690——6.77%
HBP% /PA1.44%—×0.780——1.12%
Singles /BIP28.78%÷0.955×0.920×1.022—28.34%
Doubles /BIP7.91%÷0.990×0.830×1.022—6.78%
Triples /BIP1.44%÷0.900×0.910×1.022—1.49%
Home runs /BIP3.60%÷1.025×0.800——2.81%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .373 → .306; ISO .161 → .124; BABIP .396 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 77 PAwOBA .235 → .195 (−40)K% 19.5% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.48%÷0.930×1.360——28.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.19%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0153.39%
HBP% /PA2.60%—×0.780—×1.0152.06%
Singles /BIP9.26%÷0.981×0.920×1.013×1.0158.93%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.923×0.830×1.013×1.01510.27%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷1.150×0.910×1.013×1.0151.51%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.247×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .235 → .195; ISO .116 → .098; BABIP .214 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).