Kyle NevinOF
Tulsa Drillers
Age 24
R/R
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
HR +15%K -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.2 · 2026
wRC+†82
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .264 / .306
PA290
HR5
SB10
K%34
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
40→40
SPD
55→55
EYE
46↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $2M | $-7M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 77 | 70 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .143 | .200 | .243 | .443 | .100 | .200 | 29 | 4 | .189 | 3 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 209 | 192 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 4 | .266 | .325 | .396 | .721 | .130 | .379 | 31 | 7 | .308 | 94 | -1 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 519 | 474 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 209 | 4 | 18 | 6 | .190 | .254 | .270 | .524 | .080 | .319 | 40 | 7 | .233 | 37 | -37 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -2.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | 3 teams | 306 | 278 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 89 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .234 | .295 | .353 | .647 | .119 | .316 | 29 | 7 | .280 | 72 | -10 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 81 | 74 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .297 | .350 | .459 | .809 | .162 | .333 | 19 | 6 | .339 | 118 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 209 | 190 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .216 | .280 | .321 | .601 | .105 | .304 | 32 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | 290 | 264 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 81 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .239 | .300 | .360 | .660 | .121 | .315 | 28 | 7 | .293 | 82 | -6 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | LAD | 331 | 300 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 96 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .223 | .290 | .340 | .630 | .117 | .299 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | LAD | 379 | 343 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 108 | 3 | 9 | 1 | .224 | .293 | .350 | .642 | .125 | .299 | 28 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | LAD | 399 | 360 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 113 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .225 | .295 | .347 | .643 | .122 | .299 | 28 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | LAD | 410 | 370 | 83 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 116 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .224 | .295 | .351 | .646 | .127 | .298 | 28 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | LAD | 409 | 369 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 117 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .222 | .293 | .341 | .635 | .119 | .297 | 29 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | LAD | 406 | 366 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 117 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .221 | .293 | .342 | .634 | .120 | .296 | 29 | 8 | .285 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +12 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 91% | LAD | 394 | 356 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 116 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .219 | .289 | .340 | .629 | .121 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 378 | 341 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 113 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .217 | .288 | .334 | .622 | .117 | .293 | 30 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 349 | 315 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 107 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .210 | .280 | .314 | .595 | .105 | .292 | 31 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -13 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 306 | 276 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 96 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .207 | .277 | .312 | .589 | .105 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -13 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5081 | 4600 | 1003 | 160 | 28 | 103 | 392 | 1549 | 47 | 109 | 18 | .218 | .286 | .332 | .618 | .114 | .302 | 30 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -171 | +15 | -20 | -30 | +144 | -6.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 588 | 128 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 198 | 6 | 14 | 2 | .218 | .285 | .332 | .617 | .114 | .302 | 30 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 77 | 69 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .174 | .240 | .290 | .530 | .116 | .214 | 19 | 5 | .235 | 38 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 209 | 186 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 4 | .312 | .388 | .473 | .861 | .161 | .396 | 22 | 10 | .383 | 151 | +12 | -1 | — | — | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 519 | 457 | 108 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 163 | 4 | 18 | 6 | .236 | .322 | .344 | .666 | .107 | .345 | 31 | 10 | .302 | 90 | -6 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 203 | 181 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 47 | 0 | 9 | 0 | .271 | .340 | .387 | .727 | .116 | .338 | 23 | 9 | .323 | 106 | +1 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 76 | 63 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .270 | .395 | .508 | .903 | .238 | .298 | 17 | 14 | .398 | 163 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 27 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .304 | .385 | .435 | .819 | .130 | .412 | 26 | 7 | .356 | 130 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kyle Nevin (OGILVIE) | 24 | 50 | 40 | 55 | 40 | .201/.264/.306 | .106 | .297 | 5 | 6 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Kevin Heller 2014 · AA |
24 | 42→47 | 40 | 52→50 | 40 | .204/.265/.291 | .088 | .294 | 7 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .208/.287/.309 | .101 | .309 | 9 | 11 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .203/.290/.304 | .100 | .306 | 9 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brandon Lockridge 2021 · A |
24 | 40→50 | 44→45 | 50→65 | 37 | .199/.247/.317 | .118 | .283 | 11 | 12 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .224/.273/.354 | .130 | .321 | 14 | 21 | 33% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.322/.337 | .083 | .358 | 3 | 53 | 27% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A |
24 | 42→52 | 45 | 51→50 | 42 | .211/.272/.329 | .118 | .281 | 12 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .225/.291/.346 | .121 | .294 | 11 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.296/.347 | .127 | .310 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Sheldon Neuse 2019 · AAA |
24 | 47→53 | 42→45 | 48→45 | 35 | .225/.261/.324 | .100 | .335 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .229/.277/.353 | .124 | .330 | 14 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .239/.289/.366 | .127 | .325 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Patrick Leonard 2017 · AAA |
24 | 46→49 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 39 | .219/.279/.343 | .124 | .323 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .214/.265/.325 | .111 | .313 | 10 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.263/.319 | .108 | .306 | 10 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bubba Thompson 2022 · AA |
24 | 43→53 | 47→50 | 56→65 | 35 | .213/.254/.356 | .142 | .305 | 14 | 20 | 34% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .238/.279/.354 | .116 | .337 | 11 | 42 | 31% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .231/.274/.325 | .094 | .333 | 9 | 52 | 32% | 4% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA |
24 | 46→56 | 42→50 | 49→55 | 45 | .222/.287/.328 | .106 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .220/.293/.356 | .136 | .321 | 15 | 13 | 33% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.295/.357 | .140 | .319 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brian Ruggiano 2010 · A |
24 | 44 | 42→45 | 55 | 37 | .213/.265/.320 | .108 | .317 | 9 | 15 | 34% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .215/.271/.320 | .105 | .295 | 8 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.267/.316 | .107 | .275 | 7 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ronnie Welty 2012 · AA |
24 | 45→49 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .217/.273/.341 | .123 | .323 | 12 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.271/.384 | .157 | .327 | 16 | 11 | 34% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .269/.288/.521 | .252 | .354 | 25 | 8 | 31% | 1% | 118 | +1.0 |
|
✕Lane Adams 2014 · AA |
24 | 44→45 | 43→50 | 54→60 | 41 | .219/.270/.330 | .112 | .292 | 11 | 18 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .222/.276/.341 | .119 | .294 | 12 | 28 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .224/.277/.354 | .130 | .308 | 15 | 36 | 31% | 6% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Riley Tirotta 2023 · A |
24 | 43→46 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .198/.267/.293 | .095 | .325 | 8 | 14 | 39% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .206/.285/.333 | .127 | .321 | 13 | 13 | 37% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .209/.294/.344 | .136 | .315 | 15 | 14 | 36% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Scott Heineman 2018 · AA |
25 | 48→55 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .227/.288/.345 | .118 | .318 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .243/.301/.367 | .124 | .322 | 12 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .251/.312/.380 | .129 | .324 | 15 | 16 | 26% | 6% | 93 | +0.6 |
|
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A |
24 | 41→51 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 43 | .199/.262/.301 | .102 | .275 | 7 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .228/.274/.331 | .103 | .292 | 7 | 26 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.300/.342 | .101 | .308 | 6 | 36 | 22% | 8% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2019 · AA |
24 | 48→55 | 40→45 | 54→50 | 39 | .229/.270/.324 | .096 | .306 | 8 | 14 | 27% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .228/.278/.330 | .102 | .312 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .227/.281/.327 | .100 | .301 | 10 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.274 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .208/.307/.328 | .120 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA |
24 | 41 | 44→50 | 54→60 | 37 | .199/.259/.318 | .119 | .313 | 12 | 19 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.269/.329 | .127 | .302 | 12 | 25 | 35% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.269/.328 | .135 | .286 | 12 | 34 | 35% | 7% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA |
24 | 44→54 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 39 | .214/.259/.328 | .114 | .285 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .233/.282/.340 | .107 | .306 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .235/.286/.345 | .110 | .306 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Travis Jones 2021 · AA |
25 | 47→50 | 40 | 52→55 | 40 | .221/.298/.308 | .088 | .318 | 8 | 21 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.295/.315 | .107 | .311 | 11 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .177/.285/.273 | .097 | .265 | 11 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA |
24 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 54→55 | 44 | .207/.282/.319 | .112 | .290 | 10 | 19 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .216/.268/.334 | .118 | .294 | 13 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.255/.332 | .117 | .280 | 16 | 15 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Slade Heathcott 2015 · AA |
24 | 47 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 38 | .222/.273/.335 | .113 | .326 | 9 | 16 | 34% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .230/.281/.335 | .105 | .321 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .230/.288/.345 | .115 | .317 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 |