Kyle NevinOF Tulsa Drillers
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 183 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .287 / .329
PA183
HR3
SB5
K%29
BB%7
BABIP312
ISO102
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +13.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7771 10510 2232 20 141187239426 99200 303 191 4 — — — — — —
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7769 12610 4152 20 174240290530 116214 195 235 38 — — — — — —
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209191 51824 15663 34 267330393723 126388 327 314 98 — — — — — —
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209186 581125 20473 34 312388473861 161396 2210 383 151 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 519476 841245 352254 186 176239250489 74316 437 223 29 — — — — — —
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 519457 1081558 541634 186 236322344666 107345 3110 302 90 — — — — — —
202523 AA3 teams — 306279 651116 20913 101 233291344635 111317 307 285 76 — — — — — —
202523 AA3 teams — 306267 731427 32673 101 273358419777 146335 2210 345 122 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AALAD — 275249 651005 17665 112 261321361682 100330 246 303 90 -3 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.5
YTD24 AALAD — 275241 691106 25515 112 286365407772 120335 199 345 122 +7 +1 +0 -2 +8 1.5
ROS24 AALAD 2% 183167 38613 12532 51 227287329615 102310 297 277 70 -6 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
ROS24 MLBLAD 2% 44 1000 010 00 250250250500 306 250 265 61 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AALAD — 279253 661005 17675 112 261320360680 99330 246 302 90 -3 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.4
TOT24 AALAD — 458416 1031618 291197 163 247307348656 101323 266 293 82 -9 +2 +0 -3 +13 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBLAD 31% 546498 11518211 371546 143 231292341633 110308 287 284 75 -15 +2 +0 -3 +15 -0.1
202826 MLBLAD 45% 561511 11819212 391566 143 231293346640 115307 287 288 78 -14 +2 +0 -3 +16 0.0
202927 MLBLAD 49% 566514 12020212 411566 143 233298350648 117306 287 290 80 -13 +2 +0 -3 +16 0.1
203028 MLBLAD 52% 565513 11920212 411566 133 232296349645 117305 287 289 80 -13 +1 -1 -3 +16 0.0
202725 MLBLAD 31% 169154 36613 11482 41 234293344638 110304 287 272 66 -6 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
202826 MLBLAD 45% 250228 52815 17703 61 228290338628 110303 287 276 69 -9 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.2
202927 MLBLAD 49% 278253 58916 20773 71 229293344637 115302 287 278 71 -9 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.2
203028 MLBLAD 52% 292266 611016 21813 71 229293342635 113301 287 278 71 -10 +1 -0 -2 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 993905 20833420 6927711 244 230292341634 112307 287 276 70 -34 +3 -0 -6 +28 -0.9
/ 162G— — 650592 13722313 451817 163 231293345638 113309 287 276 70 -22 +2 -0 -4 +18 -0.6
Career— — 35323220 7201191765 242108038 9324 224286332617 108312 317 277 70 -119 +9 -1 -21 +100 -3.3
/ 162G— — 650593 13322312 451997 174 224287332619 108313 317 277 70 -22 +2 -0 -4 +18 -0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 7769 12610 4152 20 174240290530 116214 195 235 38 -5 +0 — — +2 -0.3
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 209186 581125 20473 34 312388473861 161396 2210 383 151 +12 -1 — — +6 1.7
202422 A+Great Lakes Loons — 519457 1081558 541634 186 236322344666 107345 3110 302 90 -6 +1 — — +15 1.0
202523 AATulsa Drillers — 203181 49714 19470 90 271340387727 116338 239 323 106 +1 +2 — — +6 0.9
202523 A+Great Lakes Loons — 7663 17413 11132 11 270395508903 238298 1714 398 163 +5 -0 — — +2 0.8
202523 ROKACL Dodgers — 2723 7300 271 00 304385435819 130412 267 356 130 +1 +0 — — +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
29962124232292346-6+00.10.1
/1626641416-4.0+0.00.1pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Kyle Nevin (OGILVIE) 24 50 40 55 40 247/307/348 101323 816 26% 6% 82 +0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Ryan McKenna
2021 · AA 		24 43→53 41→50 49→55 43 207/272/310 103287 815 30% 7% 61 -1.0 219/292/355 136322 1513 34% 9% 82 +0.5 215/292/352137316161335%9%78+0.1
✕Kevin Heller
2014 · AA 		24 43→45 39→45 52→50 40 204/267/290 86298 710 32% 6% 53 -1.5 207/285/314 107310 911 34% 7% 69 -0.4 200/285/307107304101234%7%65-0.5
●Greg Golson
2011 · MLB 		25 45→51 41→45 54→55 37 221/257/319 98302 819 29% 4% 56 -1.3 229/268/340 111315 920 29% 4% 66 -0.6 267/319/3579037753128%5%87+0.3
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez
2019 · AA 		24 47→57 41→45 55→50 39 226/266/322 96307 814 28% 5% 60 -1.0 225/274/328 103308 1012 29% 6% 66 -0.6 226/279/32710130110927%6%65-0.4
✕Christopher Bostick
2017 · AAA 		24 42→52 42→45 52→55 38 209/254/319 110281 915 28% 5% 55 -1.4 237/287/350 113309 99 25% 6% 77 +0.1 242/294/36111931110724%5%79+0.2
✕Barrett Barnes
2015 · A 		24 42→48 44→45 51→50 42 210/273/325 116283 1214 30% 7% 66 -0.6 223/289/345 122293 1112 26% 7% 77 +0.1 215/293/34613130013730%8%77+0.1
✕Travis Jones
2021 · AA 		25 46→49 41→40 52→55 39 216/291/308 92315 921 32% 6% 69 -0.4 210/297/321 111310 1112 33% 9% 75 -0.0 179/287/27797265111033%11%56-0.5
✕Michael Guldberg
2023 · AA 		24 45 39→45 50→55 45 217/283/304 87281 713 24% 7% 64 -0.8 210/263/305 95287 811 28% 6% 56 -1.3 176/213/2608324181030%4%17-0.9
✕Anthony Alford
2018 · AA 		24 45→47 40→45 53→55 44 213/289/306 93317 820 33% 8% 67 -0.5 212/278/314 102317 923 34% 7% 65 -0.7 209/280/331122329122437%7%66-0.4
✕Luke Williams
2021 · AA 		24 41→46 42→45 52→60 43 202/263/305 103271 920 28% 7% 56 -1.3 228/286/325 97313 828 28% 7% 70 -0.3 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
✕Lane Adams
2014 · AA 		24 44→46 44→50 55→60 41 219/269/338 119291 1219 28% 6% 66 -0.6 225/277/348 123297 1328 27% 6% 72 -0.2 228/279/363136311163631%6%74-0.0
✕Brandon Lockridge
2021 · A 		24 40→50 44→50 50→65 36 200/251/322 121295 1112 35% 5% 55 -1.4 227/276/357 130327 1422 33% 6% 75 -0.0 251/318/3358435635328%8%83+0.3
✕Cade Gotta
2016 · A 		24 40→50 40→45 53→55 42 197/257/297 100275 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/274/327 98294 727 23% 6% 65 -0.7 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
✕Matthew Batten
2019 · AA 		24 46→51 39→40 53→55 43 216/279/300 85317 715 32% 8% 61 -1.0 220/270/304 84321 715 32% 6% 58 -1.2 209/286/2948529792730%9%59-0.9
✕Hudson Haskin
2023 · AA 		24 46→44 44→40 49→50 42 223/302/343 120303 1111 28% 6% 83 +0.6 215/302/318 103314 918 32% 8% 77 +0.1 198/295/2808230772434%8%62-0.4
✕Brian Ruggiano
2010 · A 		24 45→43 42→45 55 36 214/267/324 109319 915 34% 5% 62 -0.9 214/271/319 105294 712 28% 6% 63 -0.9 206/266/31410827371226%6%57-0.9
✕Scott Heineman
2018 · AA 		25 47→57 42→45 49→50 40 223/282/335 111319 914 31% 6% 71 -0.3 246/303/371 125324 1314 27% 6% 90 +1.0 257/317/388131330151625%6%97+0.8
✕Daz Cameron
2021 · MLB 		24 41→45 45→55 51→55 41 203/272/332 128287 1216 32% 7% 67 -0.5 213/276/351 138290 1520 30% 7% 74 -0.1 217/290/380163271192527%8%86+0.5
✕Ramon R Ramirez
2015 · AAA 		24 49→55 41→45 50 36 237/266/332 95313 914 27% 3% 63 -0.9 235/271/338 103309 910 26% 4% 67 -0.5 243/277/35010731710826%3%69-0.2
✕Patrick Leonard
2017 · AAA 		24 45→49 44→45 50 38 215/275/334 118325 119 35% 6% 69 -0.4 209/260/313 104307 910 33% 6% 56 -1.3 205/257/3051003009933%6%50-1.4