Cristian Pache — OGILVIE

Cristian PacheOF Syracuse Mets

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION320 act + 213 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6748vR 1

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .265 / .312

PA213

HR3

SB8

K%36

BB%6

BABIP315

ISO108

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT35

Whiff%

1914.5%

xwOBA

170.270

POWER40

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

5471.7

EYE60

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

7628.5

Platoon Splits2024 · 183 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

130

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

277

190

◀◀L

ISO

112

—

BABIP

315

321

—

32.3%

41.5%

◀◀L

BB%

10.8%

5.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	236	225	57	3	5	0	8	34	1	11	5	253	282	311	593	58	297	14	3	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	236	220	68	4	7	0	13	24	1	11	5	309	350	391	741	82	345	10	6	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	Rome Braves	—	514	486	105	9	6	0	22	160	0	32	14	216	250	259	509	43	320	31	4	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	Rome Braves	—	514	469	132	13	8	0	39	104	0	32	14	281	337	343	680	62	360	20	8	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+	3 teams	—	590	571	138	22	5	9	15	171	0	10	8	242	261	345	606	103	327	29	3	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+	3 teams	—	590	559	156	26	8	9	26	115	0	10	8	279	311	403	713	123	336	19	4	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	AA	2 teams	—	538	500	113	33	9	13	30	165	4	8	11	226	275	406	681	180	309	31	6	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	AA	2 teams	—	538	487	135	36	9	12	43	122	4	8	11	277	341	462	803	185	346	23	8	352	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	30	25	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	120	241	160	401	40	158	20	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	30	25	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	120	241	160	401	40	158	20	13	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA	2 teams	—	421	394	77	14	0	10	22	147	2	9	7	195	242	307	549	112	283	35	5	237	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA	2 teams	—	421	384	92	18	0	12	32	122	2	9	7	240	301	380	682	141	320	29	8	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	—	497	460	84	12	3	7	26	138	3	4	4	183	231	267	498	85	241	28	5	220	27	-41	-1	+3	+2	+14	-2.3
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	—	497	453	91	17	3	7	33	119	3	4	4	201	260	298	558	97	254	24	7	250	50	-28	-1	+3	+2	+14	-1.0
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	170	149	33	8	1	3	19	48	1	5	4	221	314	349	663	128	306	28	11	291	81	-4	-1	+2	+1	+5	0.3
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	170	146	35	9	1	3	22	44	1	5	4	240	343	377	720	137	323	26	13	326	108	+1	-1	+2	+1	+5	0.8
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	199	179	37	9	1	1	18	70	0	1	0	207	279	285	564	78	327	35	9	259	56	-10	+0	+3	+1	+6	-0.0
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	199	178	35	8	2	1	19	71	0	1	0	197	274	281	555	84	315	36	10	254	53	-11	+0	+3	+1	+6	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	288	255	52	10	2	5	26	94	4	8	2	204	288	318	605	114	301	33	9	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	288	247	62	15	2	5	34	77	4	8	2	251	351	389	740	138	345	27	12	332	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	NYM	—	320	301	64	13	4	4	10	124	5	15	1	213	250	322	572	110	345	39	3	244	45	-20	+3	+0	+1	+9	-0.7
YTD	27	AAA	NYM	—	320	295	72	16	4	5	15	103	5	15	1	244	291	376	667	132	356	32	5	294	83	-6	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.7
ROS	27	AAA	NYM	10%	213	195	40	8	2	3	13	76	3	8	1	205	265	312	577	108	309	36	6	260	57	-10	+1	+2	+1	+6	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	NYM	10%	21	20	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	200	238	250	488	50	309	33	5	250	50	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	NYM	—	341	321	68	14	4	4	11	131	5	16	1	212	249	318	567	106	342	38	3	244	45	-21	+3	+0	+1	+10	-0.7
TOT	27	AAA	NYM	—	533	496	104	21	6	7	23	200	8	23	2	210	256	318	574	109	333	38	4	250	50	-30	+4	+2	+2	+15	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	NYM	31%	334	307	62	12	3	5	20	119	4	10	1	202	260	309	569	107	306	36	6	257	55	-17	+2	+2	+1	+9	-0.3
2027	28	MLB	NYM	31%	104	96	20	4	1	2	6	37	1	3	0	208	262	333	595	125	306	36	6	247	47	-6	+1	+1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	731	669	124	28	5	9	51	230	3	9	5	185	246	283	529	97	266	31	7	237	40	-50	-0	+10	+5	+21	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	110	25	4	8	45	205	3	8	4	185	246	281	526	96	266	32	7	237	40	-44	+0	+9	+4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	4030	3746	801	141	37	56	223	1228	22	106	58	214	262	316	578	102	300	30	6	252	51	-222	-2	+13	+14	+114	-8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	129	23	6	9	36	198	4	17	9	214	263	316	579	103	300	30	6	252	51	-36	-0	+2	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	Danville Braves	—	236	220	68	4	7	0	13	24	1	11	5	309	350	391	741	82	345	10	6	330	111	+3	+0	—	—	+7	1.0
2017	18	A	Rome Braves	—	514	469	132	13	8	0	39	104	0	32	14	281	337	343	680	62	360	20	8	306	92	-4	+1	—	—	+15	1.1
2018	19	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	109	104	27	3	1	1	5	28	0	0	2	260	294	337	630	77	347	26	5	284	75	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2018	19	A+	Florida Fire Frogs	—	387	369	105	20	5	8	15	69	0	7	6	285	312	431	743	146	330	18	4	326	107	+3	-1	—	—	+11	1.3
2018	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	94	86	24	3	2	0	6	18	0	3	0	279	326	360	687	81	348	19	6	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2019	20	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	105	95	26	8	1	1	9	18	0	0	0	274	337	411	747	137	329	17	9	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2019	20	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	433	392	109	28	8	11	34	104	4	8	11	278	342	474	816	196	351	24	8	357	131	+15	-3	—	—	+12	2.5
2020	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	30	25	3	1	0	0	4	6	0	0	1	120	241	160	401	40	158	20	13	196	8	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	68	63	7	3	0	1	2	25	1	0	0	111	152	206	358	95	162	37	3	159	-20	-9	+0	+1	+2	+2	-0.5
2021	22	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	353	321	85	15	0	11	30	97	1	9	7	265	330	414	744	150	347	27	8	332	112	+5	-1	—	—	+10	1.4
2022	23	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	260	241	40	5	2	3	15	70	1	2	2	166	218	241	459	75	220	27	6	209	18	-24	-0	+3	+2	+7	-1.2
2022	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	171	157	39	8	1	4	11	39	1	1	1	248	302	389	690	140	302	23	6	305	92	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3
2022	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	66	55	12	4	0	0	7	10	1	1	1	218	317	291	608	73	255	15	11	273	67	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	95	84	20	7	1	2	10	27	0	2	3	238	319	417	736	179	327	28	11	324	106	+1	-1	+2	+1	+3	0.5
2023	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	60	51	12	2	0	1	8	13	1	3	1	235	350	333	683	98	297	22	13	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	24	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	15	11	3	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	273	467	273	739		429	27	27	367	139	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	183	165	33	8	1	1	17	64	0	1	0	200	275	279	554	79	317	35	9	255	53	-10	+0	+3	+1	+5	-0.0
2024	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	16	13	2	0	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	154	267	308	574	154	286	44	12	245	45	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	288	247	62	15	2	5	34	77	4	8	2	251	351	389	740	138	345	27	12	332	113	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	606	553	100	23	4	7	44	186	2	5	5	181	244	275	519	94	258	31	7	235	38	-42	-1	+10	+5	+17	-1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	738	9	9	185	244	282	+2	+7	-2.5	-2.3
	/162	664	8	8	185	244	282	+1.5	+6.1	-2.3	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cristian Pache (OGILVIE)	27	35	40	60	60	210/256/318	109	333	7	23	38%	4%	50	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	209/264/326	116	289	10	19	30%	5%	62	-0.9	229/286/370	141	303	14	17	28%	5%	82	+0.5	221/280/353	132	298	13	23	29%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	44→38	40	52→55	48	210/293/296	86	292	7	17	29%	9%	67	-0.5	198/255/335	137	308	15	14	39%	6%	61	-1.0	159/218/296	137	243	16	17	41%	6%	35	-1.4
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→40	43→45	51→55	41	203/277/317	114	314	11	19	36%	8%	66	-0.6	202/278/308	106	289	11	21	32%	8%	63	-0.8	186/269/277	91	263	10	25	31%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	42	43→45	55	35	207/257/319	112	308	11	22	35%	5%	56	-1.3	218/268/310	92	334	9	18	35%	6%	59	-1.1	222/269/281	59	347	7	18	36%	5%	46	-1.2
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Tony Thomas 2013 · AAA	27	39→46	45→50	57→55	38	199/247/325	126	272	13	19	31%	5%	54	-1.4	203/246/336	133	296	12	14	34%	5%	56	-1.3	199/241/336	137	295	11	12	35%	4%	51	-1.3
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Jason Romano 2005 · MLB	26	42	44→45	53→50	44	212/267/323	112	268	12	15	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/282/350	118	283	11	9	21%	6%	75	-0.0	255/296/373	118	310	9	9	20%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	39→43	48→55	54→50	39	201/255/342	141	280	15	14	33%	6%	63	-0.9	210/253/346	136	306	17	16	36%	5%	63	-0.9	205/243/339	134	297	19	19	37%	4%	54	-0.7
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→47	40→45	52→60	43	205/279/305	101	295	6	20	31%	7%	63	-0.8	197/283/312	115	286	13	26	33%	8%	68	-0.5	172/273/285	113	252	14	31	35%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	42	195/273/320	125	283	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	201/277/315	114	267	11	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	164/253/261	97	214	9	20	27%	8%	38	-1.1
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Wade Gaynor 2015 · AAA	27	38→42	47→50	52→50	37	196/247/337	141	282	14	12	35%	6%	58	-1.2	181/221/297	116	261	12	13	35%	5%	36	-2.7	139/173/229	90	196	10	12	35%	4%	-6	-4.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→43	42→45	53→55	36	205/241/304	99	278	9	22	30%	4%	45	-2.1	218/264/354	136	288	16	24	29%	5%	69	-0.4	209/257/355	146	277	18	25	31%	5%	63	-0.4
✕Ryan Cordell 2019 · MLB	27	38→42	45→50	51→50	38	198/241/322	124	262	13	14	30%	5%	51	-1.7	204/259/338	134	290	16	12	34%	6%	63	-0.8	186/251/334	148	269	20	12	37%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA	27	40	46→50	53→55	38	205/250/330	125	281	14	20	32%	5%	57	-1.2	207/249/345	138	287	15	20	32%	5%	60	-1.0	199/240/333	135	275	14	23	33%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Eric Stamets 2019 · AAA	27	40→50	44→45	52→50	39	201/255/315	114	269	11	11	29%	5%	55	-1.4	196/250/303	107	274	10	14	31%	6%	50	-1.8	165/229/265	100	235	10	16	33%	6%	28	-1.3