Raylin Heredia — OGILVIE

Raylin HerediaOF Reading Fightin Phils

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 174 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 243 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .249 / .376

PA243

HR8

SB6

K%33

BB%3

BABIP291

ISO160

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	190	177	29	9	2	2	8	77	3	7	1	164	213	271	484	107	270	41	4	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	190	172	47	16	5	2	13	49	3	7	1	273	335	459	794	186	366	26	7	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	237	215	45	8	3	3	15	93	5	11	3	209	277	316	593	107	347	39	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	237	207	65	12	5	5	23	65	5	11	3	314	396	493	888	179	432	27	10	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	289	261	41	9	3	4	17	143	5	9	4	157	223	261	483	103	311	49	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	289	257	63	11	6	8	21	97	5	9	4	245	314	428	743	183	350	34	7	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	280	264	60	7	1	7	9	89	5	10	1	227	266	341	607	114	312	32	3	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	280	255	77	15	1	10	15	64	5	10	1	302	349	486	835	184	366	23	5	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	PHI	—	365	352	84	21	1	15	9	118	2	11	5	239	262	432	694	193	312	32	2	291	81	-8	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.0
YTD	22	AA	PHI	—	365	346	98	26	1	17	13	91	2	11	5	283	311	512	823	228	338	25	4	356	130	+12	+0	+0	-2	+10	2.1
ROS	22	AA	PHI	2%	243	231	50	11	1	8	8	80	2	6	2	216	249	376	625	160	288	33	3	273	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	PHI	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		290	40	0	270	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	PHI	—	370	357	85	21	1	15	9	120	2	11	5	238	261	429	689	190	312	32	2	291	81	-8	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.0
TOT	22	AA	PHI	—	608	583	134	32	2	23	17	198	4	17	7	230	256	410	666	180	304	33	3	284	75	-17	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PHI	35%	377	356	78	17	1	13	15	119	3	8	3	219	257	382	639	163	288	32	4	280	72	-12	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	PHI	47%	436	410	92	20	2	15	19	134	4	9	4	224	266	393	658	168	289	31	4	287	78	-11	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PHI	52%	461	433	98	21	2	16	21	139	4	10	4	226	269	395	663	169	289	30	5	291	81	-10	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2030	26	MLB	PHI	54%	476	446	101	21	2	17	23	142	4	10	4	226	271	397	667	170	289	30	5	293	83	-9	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.2
2031	27	MLB	PHI	54%	477	446	101	21	2	17	24	143	4	10	4	226	272	397	669	170	289	30	5	293	83	-9	+0	+0	-3	+14	0.2
2027	23	MLB	PHI	35%	133	126	29	6	1	5	5	42	1	3	1	230	265	413	678	183	290	32	4	276	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	PHI	47%	203	190	43	9	1	7	9	62	2	4	2	226	269	395	663	168	291	31	4	283	75	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PHI	52%	239	224	52	11	1	9	11	72	2	5	2	232	274	411	685	179	292	30	5	288	78	-6	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	PHI	54%	258	242	55	12	1	9	12	77	2	5	2	227	270	397	666	169	292	30	5	289	80	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB	PHI	54%	259	242	55	12	1	9	13	78	2	5	2	227	272	397	669	169	291	30	5	289	80	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1097	1029	235	50	5	39	50	333	9	22	9	228	270	400	671	172	296	30	5	286	77	-28	+1	+0	-7	+31	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	610	140	30	3	23	30	197	5	13	5	230	271	402	673	172	298	30	5	286	77	-17	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3466	3239	695	144	19	102	159	1159	39	90	30	215	260	365	625	151	296	33	5	274	68	-124	+6	+0	-21	+98	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	131	27	4	19	30	217	7	17	6	216	260	367	628	152	299	33	5	274	68	-23	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	190	172	47	16	5	2	13	49	3	7	1	273	335	459	794	186	366	26	7	346	123	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	73	66	19	3	1	1	6	23	0	4	0	288	347	409	756	121	419	32	8	334	114	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	164	141	46	9	4	4	17	42	5	7	3	326	417	532	949	206	438	26	10	415	176	+14	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	289	257	63	11	6	8	21	97	5	9	4	245	314	428	743	183	350	34	7	322	105	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2025	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	184	165	47	7	1	7	12	46	3	5	1	285	339	467	805	182	354	25	7	352	127	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	21	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	37	35	12	2	0	1	1	6	0	2	0	343	361	486	847	143	379	16	3	365	137	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	21	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	59	55	18	6	0	2	2	12	2	3	0	327	373	545	918	218	390	20	3	403	167	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,098	38	23	225	265	394	-7	+0	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	23	14	225	265	394	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Raylin Heredia (OGILVIE)	22	45	50	50	30	230/256/410	180	304	23	17	33%	3%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→55	46→45	35	184/229/286	102	264	11	8	34%	4%	37	-2.7	225/263/354	129	266	15	7	21%	4%	68	-0.5	244/271/414	171	282	21	9	22%	3%	86	+0.5
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	35	193/236/341	148	280	19	14	38%	5%	54	-1.4	209/272/403	194	297	25	14	37%	7%	86	+0.8	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Anthony García 2014 · A	22	38→47	51→55	44→45	36	203/257/363	160	275	18	6	33%	5%	69	-0.4	210/278/358	148	261	16	6	26%	7%	77	+0.1	221/293/362	141	269	17	4	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	42→48	48→45	50→65	38	215/264/352	136	293	16	16	32%	6%	69	-0.4	208/270/334	126	279	13	32	29%	7%	66	-0.6	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2013 · AAA	22	43→45	49→55	50	35	222/258/367	144	291	18	15	30%	4%	70	-0.3	224/267/381	157	284	20	13	28%	5%	78	+0.2	219/268/382	163	267	22	12	27%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	37→41	49→60	50→55	33	187/244/331	144	313	17	14	44%	6%	55	-1.4	200/249/369	169	324	21	19	43%	5%	67	-0.5	203/259/391	188	291	25	20	38%	6%	75	-0.0
✕A.J. Vukovich 2022 · A	21	42→52	47→50	51→55	33	211/251/338	127	310	15	13	36%	4%	59	-1.1	216/258/348	132	311	15	18	34%	5%	64	-0.8	237/291/395	158	341	19	3	35%	7%	87	+0.5
●Aristides Aquino 2016 · A	22	38→40	45→65	52→50	34	198/233/326	128	264	13	10	31%	3%	48	-1.9	197/238/341	144	266	16	8	32%	4%	54	-1.4	216/277/454	238	250	36	8	31%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A	22	39→41	47→50	53→55	34	193/243/327	134	308	14	10	41%	6%	53	-1.5	200/254/318	118	309	12	12	37%	6%	56	-1.3	253/296/402	149	335	16	16	28%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Elehuris Montero 2021 · AA	22	42→52	45→55	46→30	37	211/255/331	121	293	13	4	32%	5%	59	-1.1	220/280/393	173	280	23	3	30%	6%	87	+0.8	217/278/393	176	273	24	1	30%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2016 · A	22	39→48	48→55	47→45	38	207/250/350	143	268	16	8	29%	5%	63	-0.9	209/250/345	136	286	16	7	32%	4%	61	-1.0	199/239/334	136	273	17	7	33%	4%	51	-1.1
✕Sandro Fabian 2021 · A	23	40→47	45→60	46→45	39	203/262/320	117	279	13	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	229/269/405	176	263	24	4	23%	4%	85	+0.7	227/275/399	172	253	21	4	20%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A	21	37→47	44→55	49→60	36	192/235/307	115	267	11	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	195/247/308	113	303	10	22	37%	6%	50	-1.8	242/299/384	143	312	19	14	28%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Luis Silverio 2017 · A	22	41→46	46→45	49→45	34	205/249/339	134	299	14	9	36%	4%	59	-1.1	205/242/311	106	301	8	7	33%	4%	47	-1.9	199/233/305	106	293	7	7	33%	4%	38	-1.6
●Ryan Royster 2007 · A	21	40→50	49→50	51→45	36	210/254/353	143	287	18	8	33%	5%	65	-0.7	235/275/377	142	333	17	8	33%	5%	79	+0.3	226/267/354	127	325	15	6	34%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A	22	36→45	44→55	49→45	33	184/225/298	114	272	11	8	36%	4%	37	-2.6	214/256/361	147	284	15	9	30%	5%	67	-0.5	215/259/359	144	281	15	8	29%	5%	65	-0.5
●Alonzo Harris 2010 · A	21	41→51	45→55	50→60	37	208/249/324	116	280	14	12	31%	5%	54	-1.4	215/254/309	94	284	8	15	26%	4%	52	-1.6	235/290/392	157	281	18	35	23%	7%	87	+0.7